Wednesday, July 16, 2025

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long in a sleepy summer mode. The robot is idling along for over a week without printing any numbers. The bulls remain in control of the stock market but the banks, retail stocks and commodities are in play and the algo number is only 4 points from the signal line.

The SPX prints a new all-time high at 6302.04 yesterday but the all-time closing high at 6280.46 from 7/10/25 remains in place.

Banks are key since earnings are released this week. The quant identifies XLF 51.07 as the bull/bear line in the sand. In the pre-market right now, less than 5 hours before the opening bell on Wall Street, XLF is at 51.666. If XLF loses the 51.07 level, and the SPX is below 6242 trending lower, the quant will likely flip short.

The quant prints two pre-scheduled numbers this week one before the opening bell on Friday morning and one after the open. Watch the banks.

7/20/25; 7:00 PM EST =
7/18/25; 10:00 AM EST =
7/18/25; 9:00 AM EST =
7/13/25; 7:00 PM EST = +57; signal line is +53
7/6/25; 7:00 PM EST = +57; signal line is +52

Monday, July 7, 2025

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long as the bulls remain in full control of the stock market. The stock market is one big party just like the dotcom bubble in 1999/2000. The quant is idling along on the long side with the algo number only a measly 5 points above the signal line.

Weakness in commodities and utilities may help the bears but each sector that weakens is immediately boosted to keep the Wall Street party going. Banks took off higher. Copper jumped higher. Volatility collapses. It is a bull's dream.

The quant does not print any prescheduled numbers this week. Up, Up and Away. Oh we can fly in my beautiful balloon. At least until it pops.

7/13/25; 7:00 PM EST =
7/6/25; 7:00 PM EST = +57; signal line is +52
7/3/25; 9:00 AM EST = +57; signal line is +52
6/30/25; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ2 EOH1 = +57; signal line is +51
6/29/25; 7:00 PM EST = +57; signal line is +50