Thursday, August 16, 2018

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains on the short side as the bulls and bears battle. The algo number is only 6 points below the signal line. Yesterday the bears were joyous but today, in the Thursday trade, the bulls slap the bears in the face. The bears remain in control of the stock market.

Bulls push stocks higher by stabbing volatility in the gut and pushing the NYA Index higher. The bulls, however, did not have enough juice to flip Keybot long since the chips are soft (and NVDA is down -4.4% in late US trading after reporting earnings this evening).

For Friday, the bulls need stronger semiconductors. Bulls need to push the SOX above 1361.50 (now at 1333 which is its 200-day MA support; it is bounce or die time at the 200) which would likely set up Keybot to go long.

The bears need to push volatility higher and/or the NYA Index lower. Either parameter turning bearish will immediately stop the upside stock market rally. Bears need to push the VIX above 14.15 (now at 13.45) and/or NYA below 12738.80 (now at 12841).

Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number tomorrow morning. If the SOX moves above 1361.50 and the SPX moves above 2850, Keybot will likely flip long thus, the imminent turn notation is in the title line. If VIX and NYA remain bullish, and SOX bearish, the stock market will likely stagger along sideways with a slight upward bias.

8/19/18; 7:00 PM EST =
8/17/18; 10:00 AM EST =
8/16/18; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +60
8/16/18; 9:00 AM EST = +40; signal line is +61
8/16/18; 5:02 AM EST = +40; signal line is +62
8/15/18; 9:48 AM EST = +26; signal line is +64

Wednesday, August 15, 2018

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short. The bears are growling taking the stock market lower by pushing volatility higher and the NYA Index lower. The algo number is 38 points below the signal line so the bears are cruising.

The bears next have their sights on the banks. The bears must push XLF under 27.62 (now at 27.74) to continue the stock market rout.

The bulls have to reverse today's mayhem if they expect to right the ship. The bulls need to push the VIX below 14.15 (now at 14.64) and/or NYA above 12738.80 (now at 12723) to stop the stock market selloff. Since the NYA Index is only 15 bucks on the bear side, watch this like a hawk at the Thursday opening bell. If the bulls cannot push the NYA back above 12739-ish, not only are they in for another long day of selling but on a weekly basis the stock market will remain weak.

Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number at 9 AM EST. The beat goes on.

8/17/18; 10:00 AM EST =
8/16/18; 9:00 AM EST =
8/15/18; 9:48 AM EST = +26; signal line is +64
8/15/18; 6:45 AM EST = +40; signal line is +66
8/14/18; 9:55 AM EST = +54; signal line is +67

Tuesday, August 14, 2018

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short as the stock market rallies today (Tuesday). The algo is active this week printing five numbers yesterday and three today. The algo number is 13 points below the signal line indicating that the bears are running the show.

The bulls were trying to push chips, SOX, above the important 1361.50 but did not have enough gusto. If SOX moves above 1361.50 (now at 1354.19), consider the imminent turn to be in play, and if the SPX then moves above 2843, Keybot will likely flip long.

The bears need to push the VIX above 14.15 (now at the 13.31 palindrome) and/or the NYA below 12740 (now at 12835) to send the stock market lower. Thus, for hump day, the bulls need stronger chips while the bears need higher volatility and/or a lower NYA index. These three parameters currently dictate the broad stock market direction. The beat goes on.

8/17/18; 10:00 AM EST =
8/16/18; 9:00 AM EST =
8/14/18; 9:55 AM EST = +54; signal line is +67
8/14/18; 9:36 AM EST = +70; signal line is +68 but algorithm remains short
8/14/18; 3:00 AM EST = +54; signal line is +68
8/13/18; 2:39 PM EST = +40; signal line is +69
8/13/18; 2:31 PM EST = +56; signal line is +70
8/13/18; 11:57 AM EST = +40; signal line is +71
8/13/18; 11:25 AM EST = +54; signal line is +72
8/13/18; 9:48 AM EST = +70; signal line is +72
8/12/18; 7:00 PM EST = +54; signal line is +72

Sunday, August 12, 2018

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant is on the short side from Friday afternoon. As always, stay alert for a potential whipsaw. The stock market bulls need a recovery in the chips to nullify Friday's negativity. Bulls need SOX above 1362.05 (now at 1354.80). Watch this closely after the opening bell since it will tell you the market story for Monday. Bulls will also benefit if commodities rally with the GTX above 2710 (now at 2686.23).

Bears will benefit from weaker banks, weaker NYA Index and/or higher volatility, XLF below 27.58 (now at 27.97), NYA below 12728 (now at 12843) and/or VIX above 14.46 (now at 13.16), respectively. The five parameters above dictate the stock market direction going forward.

Keybot prints two pre-scheduled numbers this week one on Thursday morning and the other on Friday morning. The beat goes on.

8/19/18; 7:00 PM EST =
8/17/18; 10:00 AM EST =
8/16/18; 9:00 AM EST =
8/12/18; 7:00 PM EST = +54; signal line is +72
8/10/18; 2:31 PM EST = +54; signal line is +72; go short 2827; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 = +5.7%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = +3.3%; Keybot algo for 2018 = +6.2%)(Actual results this trade = +6.6%; Actual trading results for 2018 = +14.4%)

Saturday, August 11, 2018

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side at SPX 2827 on Friday afternoon. The failure in the chip sector was the main driver of lower stock prices. The market bulls will need stronger semiconductors to resume the upside in the stock market. Chips, banks, commodities, the NYA Index and volatility are all important parameters to watch next week.

On the last trade, the Keybot algorithm program gains +3.3% and is up +6.2% on the year. The actual trading executed by the robot gains +6.6% on the last trade and is up +14.4% on the year. The benchmark S&P 500 is up +5.7% this year thus far. Keybot exited SSO and entered SDS remaining in the 2x ETF's.

8/12/18; 7:00 PM EST =
8/10/18; 2:31 PM EST = +54; signal line is +72; go short 2827; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 = +5.7%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = +3.3%; Keybot algo for 2018 = +6.2%)(Actual results this trade = +6.6%; Actual trading results for 2018 = +14.4%)
8/10/18; 9:57 AM EST = +54; signal line is +72 but algorithm remains long
8/8/18; 9:56 AM EST = +70; signal line is +72 but algorithm remains long
8/6/18; 9:36 AM EST = +84; signal line is +72
8/5/18; 7:00 PM EST = +70; signal line is +71 but algorithm remains long
8/3/18; 11:34 AM EST = +70; signal line is +70 but algorithm remains long
8/3/18; 10:31 AM EST = +84; signal line is +69
8/3/18; 10:19 AM EST = +70; signal line is +69
8/3/18; 10:09 AM EST = +84; signal line is +69
8/3/18; 9:00 AM EST = +70; signal line is +68
8/2/18; 1:05 PM EST = +70; signal line is +67
8/2/18; 12:51 PM EST = +84; signal line is +67
8/2/18; 10:06 AM EST = +70; signal line is +66
8/2/18; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +65 but algorithm remains long
8/1/18; 9:36 AM EST = +70; signal line is +65
7/31/18; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +84; signal line is +64
7/31/18; 10:00 AM EST = +84; signal line is +62
7/31/18; 9:36 AM EST = +84; signal line is +61
7/30/18; 3:59 PM EST = +68; signal line is +60
7/30/18; 1:11 PM EST = +84; signal line is +59
7/30/18; 11:41 AM EST = +68; signal line is +56
7/29/18; 7:00 PM EST = +84; signal line is +55
7/27/18; 10:00 AM EST = +84; signal line is +54
7/26/18; 9:36 AM EST = +84; signal line is +54
7/25/18; 11:29 AM EST = +68; signal line is +54
7/25/18; 10:51 AM EST = +54; signal line is +54 but algorithm remains long
7/25/18; 10:02 AM EST = +68; signal line is +54
7/24/18; 3:34 PM EST = +54; signal line is +54 but algorithm remains long
7/24/18; 12:49 PM EST = +38; signal line is +54 but algorithm remains long
7/24/18; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +53
7/23/18; 12:39 PM EST = +70; signal line is +53
7/23/18; 12:15 PM EST = +54; signal line is +52
7/23/18; 11:55 AM EST = +38; signal line is +52 but algorithm remains long
7/23/18; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +52
7/22/18; 7:00 PM EST = +70; signal line is +52
7/18/18; 9:00 AM EST = +70; signal line is +51
7/17/18; 3:28 PM EST = +70; signal line is +50
7/17/18; 3:02 PM EST = +54; signal line is +49
7/17/18; 2:15 PM EST = +70; signal line is +49
7/16/18; 11:12 AM EST = +54; signal line is +48
7/16/18; 10:54 AM EST = +38; signal line is +47 but algorithm remains long
7/16/18; 10:37 AM EST = +54; signal line is +47
7/15/18; 7:00 PM EST = +38; signal line is +47 but algorithm remains long
7/13/18; 2:21 PM EST = +38; signal line is +46 but algorithm remains long
7/13/18; 2:00 PM EST = +52; signal line is +46
7/13/18; 10:00 AM EST = +38; signal line is +45 but algorithm remains long
7/11/18; 2:27 PM EST = +38; signal line is +45 but algorithm remains long
7/11/18; 2:16 PM EST = +24; signal line is +45 but algorithm remains long
7/11/18; 1:02 PM EST = +38; signal line is +44 but algorithm remains long
7/11/18; 9:36 AM EST = +52; signal line is +44
7/10/18; 12:12 PM EST = +68; signal line is +42
7/10/18; 12:09 PM EST = +84; signal line is +41
7/10/18; 10:57 AM EST = +68; signal line is +38
7/10/18; 10:36 AM EST = +52; signal line is +36
7/10/18; 9:36 AM EST = +68; signal line is +35
7/9/18; 3:34 PM EST = +52; signal line is +33
7/9/18; 3:20 PM EST = +36; signal line is +32
7/9/18; 2:41 PM EST = +52; signal line is +31
7/9/18; 1:34 PM EST = +36; signal line is +30
7/9/18; 9:36 AM EST = +52; signal line is +29
7/8/18; 7:00 PM EST = +38; signal line is +28
7/6/18; 3:47 PM EST = +38; signal line is +27
7/6/18; 1:07 PM EST = +52; signal line is +26
7/6/18; 12:54 PM EST = +38; signal line is +25
7/6/18; 12:06 PM EST = +52; signal line is +24
7/6/18; 11:57 AM EST = +38; signal line is +23
7/6/18; 11:46 AM EST = +52; signal line is +22
7/6/18; 9:00 AM EST = +38; signal line is +21

Thursday, August 9, 2018

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long but is champing at the bit to go short. Commodities failed yesterday setting-up the algo to flip to the bear side but the internal parameters are not fully latched to permit the move.

If the SPX falls below 2853, Keybot will likely flip to the short side. The SPX begins the Thursday trade at 2858. S&P futures are up 2 points as this message is typed 3-1/2 hours before the opening bell.

The bulls need higher copper and/or commodities to right the ship and maintain the upside trend in the stock market. Bulls need either JJCTF above 31.95 and/or GTX above 2712. Copper futures are trading strongly higher.

The bears have it on a silver platter if they want it only having to send the SPX below 2853 which will likely flip Keybot short. Bears would benefit from a slow and steady move lower in the S&P 500 and not a gap-down open. Thus, bears win with SPX 2853 while bulls win with JJCTF 31.95 and GTX 2712.

8/12/18; 7:00 PM EST =
8/8/18; 9:56 AM EST = +70; signal line is +72 but algorithm remains long
8/6/18; 9:36 AM EST = +84; signal line is +72

Tuesday, August 7, 2018

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long. Out of the gate on Monday, the bulls slap the bears in the face once again. Slap, slap. Commodities rally creating lift in the stock market to begin the week. Stocks also rise in the Tuesday session but Keybot does not print any numbers during the market joy. The algo number is 12 points above the signal line verifying that the bulls remain in charge of the stock market.

Copper and commodities are battling. Copper is the only major market parameter that creates negativity in the stock market. The bulls need JJCTF above 31.95 (now at 30.43) to create substantive new all-time record highs in the S&P 500.

The bears need to push commodities lower, GTX under 2714 (now at 2735), to create market negativity. If copper remains in the bear camp, and commodities in the bull camp, the stock market will chop sideways with a slight upward bias. The beat goes on.

8/12/18; 7:00 PM EST =
8/6/18; 9:36 AM EST = +84; signal line is +72
8/5/18; 7:00 PM EST = +70; signal line is +71 but algorithm remains long

Sunday, August 5, 2018

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long but interestingly, the algo number slips below the signal line setting-up the algorithm to go short. If the SPX drops below 2827 (beginning the week at 2840), Keybot will likely flip to the short side.

Bulls need stronger commodities, GTX above 2712.80, to take the stock market higher. Last Thursday, GTX teased a break-out higher but fell backwards. The same behavior occurred on Friday.

Bears need weaker chips and utilities, SOX under 1362.50 and UTIL under 712.05, respectively, to take the stock market lower. Utilities may play a key role in stock market direction for the week ahead. If UTIL falls below 712.05, and then drops under 708.68, stocks will be falling like rocks. Keybot does not print any pre-scheduled numbers this week.

8/12/18; 7:00 PM EST =
8/5/18; 7:00 PM EST = +70; signal line is +71 but algorithm remains long
8/3/18; 11:34 AM EST = +70; signal line is +70 but algorithm remains long
8/3/18; 10:31 AM EST = +84; signal line is +69
8/3/18; 10:19 AM EST = +70; signal line is +69
8/3/18; 10:09 AM EST = +84; signal line is +69
8/3/18; 9:00 AM EST = +70; signal line is +68
8/2/18; 1:05 PM EST = +70; signal line is +67

Thursday, August 2, 2018

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long. The bulls sent commodities higher and cheered the GTX crossing above 2713 but then the GTX fell on its sword unable to maintain the joy. The algo number is only 3 points above the signal line.

Bulls need GTX above 2713 (now at 2706) to prove that the stock market rally will continue.

Bears need UTIL under 711.96 (now at 722) and/or SOX under 1361 (now at 1379). If either parameter slips bearish, and the SPX falls below 2796, Keybot will likely flip short. The bulls pumped utes and chips higher today. If either UTIL or SOX flips bearish, consider the imminent turn to the short side to be in play. Keybot prints the Friday pre-scheduled number before tomorrow's opening bell.

8/5/18; 7:00 PM EST =
8/3/18; 9:00 AM EST =
8/2/18; 1:05 PM EST = +70; signal line is +67
8/2/18; 12:51 PM EST = +84; signal line is +67
8/2/18; 10:06 AM EST = +70; signal line is +66

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long. The algo threatened to go short at the opening bell today but the bulls stepped in to pump the semiconductors higher and save the day maintaining the long posture for Keybot.

Market bears need either SOX under 1360 and/or UTIL under 712.22 to create negativity in the stock market. If either parameter turns bearish, and the SPX falls below 2796, Keybot will likely flip short, hence the imminent turn notation is in the title line.

Market bulls need GTX above 2711 to prove that up is the direction forward for equities. Thus, bears need weaker semiconductors and utilities while bulls need stronger commodities.

8/5/18; 7:00 PM EST =
8/3/18; 9:00 AM EST =
8/2/18; 10:06 AM EST = +70; signal line is +66
8/2/18; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +65 but algorithm remains long
8/1/18; 9:36 AM EST = +70; signal line is +65
7/31/18; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +84; signal line is +64
7/31/18; 10:00 AM EST = +84; signal line is +62

Tuesday, July 31, 2018

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long. Chips explode higher at the opening bell on Tuesday so the bulls slap the bears in the face. Slap, slap. After the pre-scheduled number prints, the algo number is 22 points above the signal line so the bulls are cruising but SOX falls on its sword heading lower. Watch SOX 1359 (now at 1365). Bulls need SOX to stay above 1359 while bears want the semiconductors to fail to create stock market downside. For now, the caution flag remains out.

8/5/18; 7:00 PM EST =
8/3/18; 9:00 AM EST =
7/31/18; 7:00 PM EST EOM =
7/31/18; 10:00 AM EST = +84; signal line is +62
7/31/18; 9:36 AM EST = +84; signal line is +61
7/30/18; 3:59 PM EST = +68; signal line is +60

Monday, July 30, 2018

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long despite stock market softness to begin the new week of trading. Chips fail creating the downside in equities today. Keybot prints three numbers with the algo number only 8 points above the signal line so the caution flag is out. Chips matter. In the final minutes, SOX drops into the bear camp.

Bulls need to push SOX immediately back above 1358.90 (now at 1358.56), it is a game of pennies for Tuesday morning, to signal that the bulls continue to rule the roost. If you see SOX drop out of the gate and move lower, the bears will be growling very strongly.

Bears need either UTIL under 712.22 (now at 717) or VIX above 15.20 (now at 14.26). Either one will set up the imminent turn to the short side for Keybot.

Bulls need higher semiconductors. Bears need weaker utilities and higher volatility. These three parameters tell you the story for the Tuesday trade. Two pre-scheduled numbers print on Tuesday one mid-morning and the other in the evening to finalize the month of July (EOM). The beat goes on.

7/31/18; 7:00 PM EST EOM =
7/31/18; 10:00 AM EST =
7/30/18; 3:59 PM EST = +68; signal line is +60
7/30/18; 1:11 PM EST = +84; signal line is +59
7/30/18; 11:41 AM EST = +68; signal line is +56
7/29/18; 7:00 PM EST = +84; signal line is +55

Sunday, July 29, 2018

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long and did not print any numbers on Friday except for the pre-scheduled number despite the collapse in stocks during the afternoon. The bulls are cruising with the algo number 29 points above the signal line. The bulls have every major market parameter in their camp except for copper, the red metal, that sits in the bear camp.

Bulls need JJCTF above 32.70 (now down at 30.83) to prove that new all-time records will occur in the stock indexes especially the SPX (S&P 500) and INDU (Dow) which have lagged the COMPQ (Nasdaq Composite) and RUT (Russell 2000). Any lift in copper will hint that the bulls remain firmly in control of the stock market direction.

Bears need weaker commodities and higher volatility, GTX below 2712 (now at 2720) and VIX above 15.28 (now at 13.03), respectively. Note that GTX fell on Friday to kiss the 2712 but the bulls came in to defend and bounce commodities so they could remain in control of stock market direction. If either parameter turns bearish, the upside in stocks is done and consider the caution flag to be out. If both turn bearish, the imminent turn to the bear side is on the table.

You can watch copper futures overnight to see if the bulls have any further oomph and the VIX begins trading at 3 AM EST which will show if the bears have any juice, or not.

Keybot prints three pre-scheduled numbers this week two on Tuesday and one on Friday morning. The month of July ends on Tuesday (EOM).

8/5/18; 7:00 PM EST =
8/3/18; 9:00 AM EST =
7/31/18; 7:00 PM EST EOM =
7/31/18; 10:00 AM EST =
7/29/18; 7:00 PM EST = +84; signal line is +55
7/27/18; 10:00 AM EST = +84; signal line is +54

Friday, July 27, 2018

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long. The bulls are cruising with the algo number 30 points above the signal line. Bears need weaker utilities, chips and commodities. Bulls need stronger copper.

7/29/18; 7:00 PM EST =
7/27/18; 10:00 AM EST = +84; signal line is +54
7/26/18; 9:36 AM EST = +84; signal line is +54
7/25/18; 11:29 AM EST = +68; signal line is +54
7/25/18; 10:51 AM EST = +54; signal line is +54 but algorithm remains long
7/25/18; 10:02 AM EST = +68; signal line is +54
7/24/18; 3:34 PM EST = +54; signal line is +54 but algorithm remains long

Tuesday, July 24, 2018

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long as the bulls and bears are in a knock-down, drag-out battle for stock market direction. The algo number and signal line are dead even at +54 but the internal parameters are not yet fully latched to permit the move to the short side.

Stock market direction is currently controlled by utes, chips and commodities.

The bulls need either SOX above 1355 (now at 1347) and/or GTX above 2710.75 (now at 2695). Either parameter flipping bullish tells you that the bulls are going to take the stock market higher.

The bears need UTIL under 712.14 (now at 716.61) to send the stock market lower. If UTIL turns bearish and the SPX drops below 2811, Keybot will likely flip short, hence the imminent turn is in play. Bears will benefit from a slow and steady move lower. If stocks gap down on the hump day open, this will likely delay the flip to the short side.

7/29/18; 7:00 PM EST =
7/27/18; 10:00 AM EST =
7/24/18; 3:34 PM EST = +54; signal line is +54 but algorithm remains long
7/24/18; 12:49 PM EST = +38; signal line is +54 but algorithm remains long
7/24/18; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +53
7/23/18; 12:39 PM EST = +70; signal line is +53

Monday, July 23, 2018

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long. Semiconductors and utilities control overall stock market direction on Monday to begin the new week of trading. The market bears push stocks south to begin the day and the algo wanted to flip short but the internal parameters would not fully latch to permit the move. Stocks rally throughout the afternoon as the banks rally on a steeper yield curve keeping the bulls in charge. The algo number is 17 points above the signal line.

The bulls need stronger commodities, GTX above 2710, to send stocks higher.

The bears need weaker utilities and chips, UTIL under 712.14 and SOX under 1356, respectively, to send the stock market lower. Keybot likely needs both parameters to turn bearish to position the model to go short or one parameter can turn bearish, then oscillate back above the level listed, then below again, which would hint that Keybot wants to flip short. If either parameter turns bearish, consider the imminent turn to the short side to be in play.

7/29/18; 7:00 PM EST =
7/27/18; 10:00 AM EST =
7/23/18; 12:39 PM EST = +70; signal line is +53
7/23/18; 12:15 PM EST = +54; signal line is +52
7/23/18; 11:55 AM EST = +38; signal line is +52 but algorithm remains long
7/23/18; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +52
7/22/18; 7:00 PM EST = +70; signal line is +52

Sunday, July 22, 2018

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long and is idling sideways without printing any numbers since last Tuesday (excluding the Wednesday and Sunday pre-scheduled numbers). The bulls are cruising with the algo number 18 points above the signal line. The caution flag remains out, however, since the price action appears very unstable.

The bulls need higher commodities and copper to keep the upside party in the stock market going.

The bears need lower chips, utilities and/or banks; SOX under 1355 (now at 1359), UTIL under 712.42 (now at 718) and/or XLF under 27.23 (now at 27.56), respectively. Any one of these three will immediately stop the stock market rally. If two flip bearish, the imminent turn to the short side is likely on tap for Keybot. In addition, if one of the three parameters turn bearish, then oscillates back above the level listed, and then bearish again, and so forth, that will hint that the model is likely ready to flip to the short side.

Volatility is in the bull camp. The bears have absolutely nothing until the VIX overtakes the 200-day MA at 14.29 (now at 12.86 with a HOD on Friday at 13.58). Keybot identifies VIX 15.35 as the level where the stock market will begin falling apart in earnest.

Keybot prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Friday morning. The beat goes on.

7/29/18; 7:00 PM EST =
7/27/18; 10:00 AM EST =
7/22/18; 7:00 PM EST = +70; signal line is +52
7/18/18; 9:00 AM EST = +70; signal line is +51

Friday, July 20, 2018

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION


Keybot the Quant remains long and has not printed any numbers since the pre-scheduled number early Wednesday morning. The bulls are in charge with the algo number comfortably 19 points above the signal line. Market price action, however, remains unstable.

Bulls will receive further upside fuel if copper and commodities rally. Bears need weaker banks and chips. Bears need XLF under 27.23 and SOX under 1356. The beat goes on.

7/22/18; 7:00 PM EST =
7/18/18; 9:00 AM EST = +70; signal line is +51
7/17/18; 3:28 PM EST = +70; signal line is +50

Tuesday, July 17, 2018

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long as the market drama continues. The Powell Rally sends equities higher in the Tuesday session. The stock market upside is fueled by banks and chips this week.

Bulls need higher commodities and copper to extend the upside move in the stock market. GTX above 2718 would confirm lots more upside ahead for stocks.

Bears need XLF under 27.23, SOX under 1354 and/or NYA under 12666. Any one of these three will stop the move higher in the stock market. Two of the three are likely needed to flip Keybot to the short side. Also, if one parameter jumps into the bear camp and then oscillates a couple times above and below the number listed, then commits to the short side, that will indicate that a move to the short side is likely imminent for Keybot. Banks, chips and the NYA Index will tell the stock maket direction story for hump day. Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number before Wednesday's opening bell.

7/22/18; 7:00 PM EST =
7/18/18; 9:00 AM EST =
7/17/18; 3:28 PM EST = +70; signal line is +50
7/17/18; 3:02 PM EST = +54; signal line is +49
7/17/18; 2:15 PM EST = +70; signal line is +49
7/16/18; 11:12 AM EST = +54; signal line is +48
7/16/18; 10:54 AM EST = +38; signal line is +47 but algorithm remains long
7/16/18; 10:37 AM EST = +54; signal line is +47
7/15/18; 7:00 PM EST = +38; signal line is +47 but algorithm remains long

Monday, July 16, 2018

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long but continues champing at the bit to go short. The algo number is 8 points below the signal line so the algo wants to flip to the short side but the internal parameters are not yet fully latched. If the SPX drops below 2792, Keybot will likely flip short. The week begins at SPX 2801. The bears have it on a silver platter if they want it. S&P futures are +3 about 3 hours before the opening bell so the  bulls are not going down without a fight.

Bulls will benefit if XLF moves above 27.25 or GTX above 2718. Stronger chips will also help the bulls. Commodities are trading weak overnight.

Bears will benefit if the NYA Index drops below 12676. Weaker utes and higher volatility will also hep the bears. Keybot prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Wednesday morning.

7/22/18; 7:00 PM EST =
7/18/18; 9:00 AM EST =
7/15/18; 7:00 PM EST = +38; signal line is +47 but algorithm remains long
7/13/18; 2:21 PM EST = +38; signal line is +46 but algorithm remains long

Saturday, July 14, 2018

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long and continues champing at the bit to go short. The algo number is 8 points below the signal line. If the SPX falls below 2792 on Monday, Keybot will likely flip short.

Bulls need stronger commodities, banks and chips while the bears need a weaker NYA Index and utilities and higher volatility.

7/15/18; 7:00 PM EST =
7/13/18; 2:21 PM EST = +38; signal line is +46 but algorithm remains long
7/13/18; 2:00 PM EST = +52; signal line is +46
7/13/18; 10:00 AM EST = +38; signal line is +45 but algorithm remains long

Friday, July 13, 2018

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long but has been champing at the bit to go short for the last day and more. The algo number is below the signal line so the quant wants to flip short. However, the internal parameters will not yet fully latch to permit the move to the short side. Keybot likely needs to see the SPX under 2782 to flip the model short.

7/15/18; 7:00 PM EST =
7/13/18; 10:00 AM EST = +38; signal line is +45 but algorithm remains long
7/11/18; 2:27 PM EST = +38; signal line is +45 but algorithm remains long
7/11/18; 2:16 PM EST = +24; signal line is +45 but algorithm remains long
7/11/18; 1:02 PM EST = +38; signal line is +44 but algorithm remains long
7/11/18; 9:36 AM EST = +52; signal line is +44
7/10/18; 12:12 PM EST = +68; signal line is +42
7/10/18; 12:09 PM EST = +84; signal line is +41
7/10/18; 10:57 AM EST = +68; signal line is +38
7/10/18; 10:36 AM EST = +52; signal line is +36
7/10/18; 9:36 AM EST = +68; signal line is +35
7/9/18; 3:34 PM EST = +52; signal line is +33

Monday, July 9, 2018

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long after a fascinating day of market action. Keybot prints five numbers to kick off the new week of trading. The algo number is 19 points above the signal line so the market bulls are cruising higher.

The NYA Index pops higher at the open paving the way for market joy. However, utilities fail into the bear camp and financials oscillate between bullishness and bearishness. There are several moving parts determining market direction currently.

Note that the semiconductors, SOX, ran higher at the opening bell taking out the key 1358.33 line in the sand, but quickly retreated back to the bear camp a couple minutes after the opening bell. The SOX ends the day at 1358.03 only 30 cents below. Keybot is an amazing algorithm that foretells the market action before it occurs.

In addition, the banks, XLF, line in the sand is 27.27 and price closes at....... wait for it.... wait a bit longer for it...... 27.28 creating market bullishness. You should be in awe that the algorithm can identify these key levels before they occur. There is no other model that can perform such a feat.

Consider yourself fortunate to witness the drama first hand. Do not forget to support the site if you want the information to continue and this is not directed at anyone that has supported the site in the past--it is directed at you 10's of thousands of deadbeats out there (the KE Stone blogs are visited by a half million people per month). Pony a few bucks up since you will find no better model on the internet that guides you through the market action--especially you cheapskates at the large investment houses in New York, Chicago, London, Frankfurt and Tokyo that monitor this site daily. You have the money to throw a few bucks in the till. Do not be a freeloader.

For Tuesday, watch the financials, chips and utes to determine the path ahead. Bears need XLF under 27.27 immediately or they are going to have another rough day at the office. Bulls need SOX above 1358.33 and/or UTIL above 712.50 pronto to prove that up is the direction forward for equities. If semiconductors and utilities remain in the bear camp, the upside in equities will quickly run out of gas and reverse.

One or more of these three parameters will flinch and tell you the direction of the broad stock market forward. If the banks turn bearish, consider the caution flag to be back out in the title line. If the XLF oscillates above and below 27.27 during the Tuesday session a couple-few times, that will hint that the bears are pushing to flip the model negative. The beat goes on.

7/15/18; 7:00 PM EST =
7/13/18; 10:00 AM EST =
7/9/18; 3:34 PM EST = +52; signal line is +33
7/9/18; 3:20 PM EST = +36; signal line is +32
7/9/18; 2:41 PM EST = +52; signal line is +31
7/9/18; 1:34 PM EST = +36; signal line is +30
7/9/18; 9:36 AM EST = +52; signal line is +29
7/8/18; 7:00 PM EST = +38; signal line is +28

Sunday, July 8, 2018

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant is on the long side but the bulls and bears continue to battle for stock market control. The bulls need stronger chips and NYA Index to prove that up is the direction forward for equities; watch SOX 1359 and NYA 12668 as the lines in the sand, respectively.

The market bears need higher volatility and lower commodities; watch VIX 15.87 and GTX 2716 as the lines in the sand, respectively.

One of the above four parameters will flinch and immediately tell you the direction forward for stocks. The NYA is at 12665 only 3 points under the 12668 level identified by Keybot creating market negativity. Watch the NYA like a hawk especially out of the gate on Monday.

If NYA moves above 12668, the bulls will win and the bears will lose. If NYA turns bullish, stocks will pop higher and the bulls will focus on SOX 1359 which will catapult equities to new record highs if it is taken out.

If the NYA remains below 12668, the bears are firmly in the game and will focus on hiking volatility and pounding commodities. If the VIX pops above 15.87 consider that the imminent turn to the downside is in play for the algorithm. Keybot prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Friday the 13th's morning. The beat goes on.

7/15/18; 7:00 PM EST =
7/13/18; 10:00 AM EST =
7/8/18; 7:00 PM EST = +38; signal line is +28
7/6/18; 3:47 PM EST = +38; signal line is +27

Friday, July 6, 2018

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the long side at 2738 in the final minutes of the Thursday trade. The bulls had a tall order needing to gain 23 SPX points as the previous post described and they finally pulled it off late in the day. Volatility flips into the bull camp creating market joy. Keybot is amazing that it can identify the key parameters and levels to watch--before they occur. The algorithm printed seven numbers today including the pre-scheduled number.

The current battle for market directional control is between semiconductors and the NYA Index that are causing negativity and volatility and commodities that are creating positivity.

On the last trade, the Keybot the Quant algorithm computer program gains +0.7% and the actual trading gains +1.3% now up almost +8% on the year at the halfway point. The benchmark S&P 500 is up +2.4% this year. Keybot exited SDS and entered SSO.

7/8/18; 7:00 PM EST =
7/6/18; 3:47 PM EST = +38; signal line is +27
7/6/18; 1:07 PM EST = +52; signal line is +26
7/6/18; 12:54 PM EST = +38; signal line is +25
7/6/18; 12:06 PM EST = +52; signal line is +24
7/6/18; 11:57 AM EST = +38; signal line is +23
7/6/18; 11:46 AM EST = +52; signal line is +22
7/6/18; 9:00 AM EST = +38; signal line is +21
7/5/18; 3:53 PM EST = +38; signal line is +19; go long 2738; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 = +2.4%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = +0.7%; Keybot algo for 2018 = +2.9%)(Actual results this trade = +1.3%; Actual trading results for 2018 = +7.8%)
7/5/18; 11:12 AM EST = +38; signal line is +18 but algorithm remains short
7/5/18; 10:57 AM EST = +24; signal line is +17 but algorithm remains short
7/5/18; 9:36 AM EST = +38; signal line is +18 but algorithm remains short
7/3/18; 12:54 PM EST = +24; signal line is +18 but algorithm remains short
7/2/18; 3:51 PM EST = +38; signal line is +19 but algorithm remains short
7/2/18; 2:08 PM EST = +24; signal line is +19 but algorithm remains short
7/2/18; 12:06 PM EST = +8; signal line is +20
7/2/18; 11:17 AM EST = +24; signal line is +20 but algorithm remains short
7/2/18; 10:57 AM EST = +8; signal line is +21
7/2/18; 9:36 AM EST = +24; signal line is +22 but algorithm remains short
7/2/18; 3:07 AM EST = +8; signal line is +23
7/1/18; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ2 EOH1 = +22; signal line is +23
6/29/18; 10:00 AM EST = +22; signal line is +24
6/29/18; 4:50 AM EST = +22; signal line is +25
6/28/18; 3:30 PM EST = +8; signal line is +25
6/28/18; 1:02 PM EST = +24; signal line is +25
6/28/18; 12:50 PM EST = +8; signal line is +25
6/28/18; 9:36 AM EST = +24; signal line is +27
6/27/18; 3:20 PM EST = +8; signal line is +28
6/27/18; 3:00 PM EST = +24; signal line is +29
6/27/18; 2:43 PM EST = +8; signal line is +30
6/27/18; 2:33 PM EST = +24; signal line is +32
6/27/18; 12:45 PM EST = +8; signal line is +33
6/26/18; 11:42 AM EST = +22; signal line is +35
6/26/18; 10:00 AM EST = +8; signal line is +37
6/25/18; 1:34 PM EST = +8; signal line is +40
6/25/18; 1:23 PM EST = -6; signal line is +42
6/25/18; 10:08 AM EST = +8; signal line is +45
6/25/18; 9:36 AM EST = +22; signal line is +47
6/24/18; 7:00 PM EST = +38; signal line is +49
6/22/18; 3:59 PM EST = +38; signal line is +50
6/22/18; 10:57 AM EST = +52; signal line is +51 but algorithm remains short
6/22/18; 10:43 AM EST = +36; signal line is +51
6/22/18; 9:36 AM EST = +52; signal line is +53
6/21/18; 9:36 AM EST = +24; signal line is +53
6/20/18; 2:20 PM EST = +38; signal line is +54
6/20/18; 2:04 PM EST = +52; signal line is +55
6/20/18; 11:24 AM EST = +38; signal line is +55
6/20/18; 10:28 AM EST = +24; signal line is +56
6/20/18; 10:01 AM EST = +38; signal line is +56
6/20/18; 9:36 AM EST = +52; signal line is +56
6/19/18; 10:48 AM EST = +24; signal line is +56
6/19/18; 10:40 AM EST = +8; signal line is +57
6/19/18; 9:36 AM EST = +24; signal line is +58
6/19/18; 9:00 AM EST = +52; signal line is +58
6/18/18; 12:48 PM EST = +52; signal line is +57
6/18/18; 9:36 AM EST = +38; signal line is +57; go short 2758; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 = +3.1%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = +0.9%; Keybot algo for 2018 = +2.2%)(Actual results this trade = +0.5%; Actual trading results for 2018 = +6.5%)

Wednesday, July 4, 2018

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short. The bulls had it on a silver platter on Tuesday but instead of slowly ramping the S&P 500 higher the bulls jammed price higher at the opening bell. This action triggers a gap-up timer that prevents the algo from flipping long for 87 minutes. At the expiration of the timer, the SPX could not surpass its HOD at 2737 so the algo remains short. The algo prints one number on Tuesday and Keybot continues to want to flip to the long side once all the internal parameters latch.

For Thursday, as US stocks begin trading again after the Independence Day holiday, the bulls need to tag SPX 2737 and move higher and Keybot will likely flip long.

Bulls will receive upside fuel with lower volatility and higher chips and a higher NYA Index. Watch VIX 16.00 (now at 16.14 in the bear camp causing market negativity). If this fails and the VIX moves lower into a 15-handle and 14-handle and lower, the bulls win, the SPX 2737 will likely give way and up is the direction ahead.

Bears need lower utilities, retail stocks and commodities which will create market weakness. Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number Friday morning. The bulls have it on a silver platter again but likely need more than 23 SPX points to flip long. Watch VIX 16.00 as the rudder that steers the direction of the US stock market during the back end of the week.

7/8/18; 7:00 PM EST =
7/6/18; 9:00 AM EST =
7/3/18; 12:54 PM EST = +24; signal line is +18 but algorithm remains short
7/2/18; 3:51 PM EST = +38; signal line is +19 but algorithm remains short