Saturday, December 30, 2023

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side yesterday morning at SPX 4777. The robot was champing at the bit all week long to go short and finally commits on Friday as another successful year draws to a close.

The last trade ran for a week with marginal gains in the S&P 500 benchmark, the quant program and the actual trading generated by the quant. The SPX is up a huge +24% this year with the actual trading generated by the quant in step with a +23% gain in 2023.

Keybot the Quant will be rezeroed tomorrow morning for the new year ahead and to provide the final results of 2023. Keybot exited SPY and entered SH remaining in the 1x ETF's since the whipsaw timer remains active. Imagine.

12/31/23; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ4 EOH2 EOY2023 =
12/29/23; 10:46 AM EST = +18; signal line is +23; go short 4777; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +24.4%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.2%; Keybot algo for 2023 = +12.7%)(Actual results this trade = +0.2%; Actual results for 2023 = +22.3%)
12/26/23; 9:36 AM EST = +18; signal line is +23 but algorithm remains long
12/24/23; 7:00 PM EST = +34; signal line is +23
12/22/23; 10:00 AM EST = +34; signal line is +22
12/22/23; 9:45 AM EST = +34; signal line is +22; go long 4769; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +24.2%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.4%; Keybot algo for 2023 = +12.5%)(Actual results this trade = -2.5%; Actual results for 2023 = +22.1%)

Saturday, December 23, 2023

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant whipsaws back to the long side at SPX 4769. The choppy whipsaw slop that is the hallmark of 2023 continues into year end. The quant program loses about a percent on the 7-hour trade and the actual trading loses -2.5%. For the year with only 4 trading days remaining, the benchmark S&P 500 index is up a huge +24%. The Keybot the Quant algo program is up +13% and the actual trading generated by the quant is up +22% this year. The whipsaw timer is triggered so the robot drops into single 1x ETF's for the next 30 days to lessen risk in the choppy slop. Keybot exited SDS and entered SPY.

UTIL 871.75 is a meaningless number now replaced with 892.13. UTIL is at 873 so utes would fail out of the gate on Tuesday creating negativity. The SPX likely needs to drop through 4737 on Tuesday for the quant to whipsaw back to the short side. If UTIL remains below 892 and copper weakens, stocks will begin falling apart.

Bulls need higher utilities and commodities to continue the rally. It's not Christmas without Jingle Bell Rock.

12/31/23; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ4 EOH2 EOY2023 =
12/24/23; 7:00 PM EST =
12/22/23; 10:00 AM EST = +34; signal line is +22
12/22/23; 9:45 AM EST = +34; signal line is +22; go long 4769; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +24.2%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.4%; Keybot algo for 2023 = +12.5%)(Actual results this trade = -2.5%; Actual results for 2023 = +22.1%)
12/22/23; 9:37 AM EST = +34; signal line is +21 but algorithm remains short
12/21/23; 11:12 AM EST = +18; signal line is +20
12/21/23; 9:48 AM EST = +34; signal line is +20 but algorithm remains short
12/20/23; 3:57 PM EST = +18; signal line is +20; go short 4705; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +22.5%)(Keybot algo this trade = +11.8%; Keybot algo for 2023 = +13.9%)(Actual results this trade = +24.2%; Actual results for 2023 = +24.6%)

Wednesday, December 20, 2023

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side at the end of the session at SPX 4705. The last trade ran for about 7 weeks with the algo program gaining about +12% and the actual trading gaining a humongous +24%. On the year, with only 6 trading days remaining, the S&P 500 benchmark index, the US stock market, is up a big +23%. Wowza. The Keybot the Quant program is up +14% on the year and the actual trading generated by the quant is up +25% beating the benchmark. Comically, it looked like the robot may log its first negative year ever only 2 months ago. Keybot exited SSO and entered SDS remaining in the 2x leveraged ETF's.

If UTIL remains below 871, stocks will continue lower. If copper drops, stocks will be toast. Bulls need UTIL above 871 and they will be able to right the ship. Utes will tell you who wins.

It's Christmastime and the band is back together for holiday fun. Now back to Darlene's song; that girl is a gift from heaven.

12/24/23; 7:00 PM EST =
12/22/23; 10:00 AM EST =
12/20/23; 3:57 PM EST = +18; signal line is +20; go short 4705; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +22.5%)(Keybot algo this trade = +11.8%; Keybot algo for 2023 = +13.9%)(Actual results this trade = +24.2%; Actual results for 2023 = +24.6%)
12/20/23; 10:00 AM EST = +34; signal line is +19
12/19/23; 9:00 AM EST = +32; signal line is +17
12/17/23; 7:00 PM EST = +32; signal line is +16
12/13/23; 12:59 PM EST = +32; signal line is +14
12/13/23; 3:41 PM EST = +48; signal line is +13
12/13/23; 10:51 AM EST = +32; signal line is +11
12/13/23; 9:36 AM EST = +32; signal line is +10
12/12/23; 10:02 AM EST = +32; signal line is +10
12/12/23; 9:36 AM EST = +16; signal line is +9
12/11/23; 9:36 AM EST = +32; signal line is +9
12/10/23; 7:00 PM EST = +16; signal line is +7
12/8/23; 10:00 AM EST = +16; signal line is +7
12/8/23; 9:00 AM EST = +16; signal line is +7
12/7/23; 11:30 AM EST = +16; signal line is +6
12/7/23; 11:11 AM EST = +0; signal line is +6 but algorithm remains long
12/7/23; 10:45 AM EST = +16; signal line is +6
12/7/23; 10:18 AM EST = +0; signal line is +6 but algorithm remains long
12/7/23; 9:36 AM EST = +16; signal line is +5
12/6/23; 11:37 AM EST = +0; signal line is +4 but algorithm remains long
12/3/23; 7:00 PM EST = +16; signal line is +3
11/30/23; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +16; signal line is -2
11/28/23; 10:00 AM EST = +16; signal line is +0
11/26/23; 7:00 PM EST = +16; signal line is -2
11/22/23; 10:00 AM EST = +16; signal line is -4
11/19/23; 7:00 PM EST = +16; signal line is -7
11/17/23; 9:00 AM EST = +16; signal line is -10
11/14/23; 9:36 AM EST = +16; signal line is -14
11/13/23; 10:45 AM EST = +2; signal line is -17
11/12/23; 7:00 PM EST = -14; signal line is -21
11/10/23; 10:00 AM EST = -14; signal line is -23
11/9/23; 11:51 AM EST = -14; signal line is -24
11/9/23; 9:45 AM EST = +2; signal line is -26
11/8/23; 10:54 AM EST = -14; signal line is -28
11/7/23; 9:36 AM EST = +2; signal line is -29
11/6/23; 2:42 PM EST = +16; signal line is -33
11/6/23; 1:18 PM EST = +0; signal line is -37
11/6/23; 9:36 AM EST = +16; signal line is -39
11/5/23; 7:00 PM EST = +2; signal line is -43
11/3/23; 3:30 PM EST = +2; signal line is -45
11/3/23; 2:33 PM EST = +16; signal line is -48
11/3/23; 1:12 PM EST = +2; signal line is -51
11/3/23; 9:45 AM EST = +16; signal line is -54
11/3/23; 9:00 AM EST = +0; signal line is -57
11/2/23; 3:13 PM EST = +0; signal line is -60
11/2/23; 11:32 AM EST = -14; signal line is -62
11/2/23; 11:11 AM EST = -28; signal line is -64
11/2/23; 10:42 AM EST = -14; signal line is -66
11/2/23; 10:39 AM EST = -28; signal line is -68
11/2/23; 10:37 AM EST = -44; signal line is -69
11/2/23; 9:56 AM EST = -30; signal line is -70
11/1/23; 3:46 PM EST = -44; signal line is -70
11/1/23; 3:24 PM EST = -60; signal line is -70
11/1/23; 3:01 PM EST = -76; signal line is -70 but algorithm remains long
11/1/23; 2:46 PM EST = -90; signal line is -69 but algorithm remains long
11/1/23; 2:36 PM EST = -76; signal line is -68 but algorithm remains long
11/1/23; 1:38 PM EST = -90; signal line is -67 but algorithm remains long
11/1/23; 12:26 PM EST = -76; signal line is -66 but algorithm remains long
11/1/23; 12:17 PM EST = -60; signal line is -65
11/1/23; 10:27 AM EST = -46; signal line is -65
11/1/23; 9:48 AM EST = -60; signal line is -65; go long 4209; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +9.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = +5.8%; Keybot algo for 2023 = +2.1%)(Actual results this trade = +5.9%; Actual results for 2023 = +0.4%)