Saturday, December 23, 2023

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant whipsaws back to the long side at SPX 4769. The choppy whipsaw slop that is the hallmark of 2023 continues into year end. The quant program loses about a percent on the 7-hour trade and the actual trading loses -2.5%. For the year with only 4 trading days remaining, the benchmark S&P 500 index is up a huge +24%. The Keybot the Quant algo program is up +13% and the actual trading generated by the quant is up +22% this year. The whipsaw timer is triggered so the robot drops into single 1x ETF's for the next 30 days to lessen risk in the choppy slop. Keybot exited SDS and entered SPY.

UTIL 871.75 is a meaningless number now replaced with 892.13. UTIL is at 873 so utes would fail out of the gate on Tuesday creating negativity. The SPX likely needs to drop through 4737 on Tuesday for the quant to whipsaw back to the short side. If UTIL remains below 892 and copper weakens, stocks will begin falling apart.

Bulls need higher utilities and commodities to continue the rally. It's not Christmas without Jingle Bell Rock.

12/31/23; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ4 EOH2 EOY2023 =
12/24/23; 7:00 PM EST =
12/22/23; 10:00 AM EST = +34; signal line is +22
12/22/23; 9:45 AM EST = +34; signal line is +22; go long 4769; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +24.2%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.4%; Keybot algo for 2023 = +12.5%)(Actual results this trade = -2.5%; Actual results for 2023 = +22.1%)
12/22/23; 9:37 AM EST = +34; signal line is +21 but algorithm remains short
12/21/23; 11:12 AM EST = +18; signal line is +20
12/21/23; 9:48 AM EST = +34; signal line is +20 but algorithm remains short
12/20/23; 3:57 PM EST = +18; signal line is +20; go short 4705; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +22.5%)(Keybot algo this trade = +11.8%; Keybot algo for 2023 = +13.9%)(Actual results this trade = +24.2%; Actual results for 2023 = +24.6%)

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