STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant is on the short side from last week from SPX 2636 with the sideways choppy market slop continuing. The stock market remains a coin-flip as evidenced with the algo number only 2 points below the signal line favoring bears by a hair.

The two key parameters controlling stock market direction currently are semiconductors and volatility. Bears will send the stock market lower if VIX moves above 10.76 (now at 9.58). Bulls will take control and send stocks to more record highs if the SOX moves above 1253.80 (now at 1238). One of these two parameters will flinch and tell you the stock market direction ahead.

If the SOX moves above 1253-1254, and the SPX moves above 2652, Keybot will likely flip back to the long side hence the imminent turn notation remains in the title line.

On the last trade, the algorithm computer program gains a couple percent and the actual trading nearly +3%. The Keybot program and the actual trading are each up about +3% this year with 3 weeks remaining in 2017. The benchmark S&P 500 is up a big +18% this year. The global central bankers are money Gods. Keybot exits IWM and enters SDS. The algo is back into the 2x ETF mode again.The low volatility continues wreaking havoc on algorithms this year.

Keybot does not print any pre-scheduled numbers this week. The bears are in control but stronger chips will help the bulls regain control. Higher volatility will send stocks lower.

12/31/17; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ4 EOY2017 =

12/27/17; 10:00 AM EST =

12/24/17; 7:00 PM EST =

12/22/17; 10:00 AM EST =

12/19/17; 9:00 AM EST =

12/17/17; 7:00 PM EST =

12/10/17; 7:00 PM EST = +68; signal line is +70

12/8/17; 10:08 AM EST = +68; signal line is +70

12/8/17; 10:00 AM EST = +84; signal line is +71 but algorithm remains short

12/8/17; 9:36 AM EST = +84; signal line is +70 but algorithm remains short

12/8/17; 9:00 AM EST = +68; signal line is +70

12/7/17; 10:16 AM EST = +68; signal line is +70

12/5/17; 2:23 PM EST = +54; signal line is +71; go short 2636; (Benchmark SPX for 2017 = +17.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = +2.1%; Keybot algo for 2017 = +2.7%)(Actual results this trade = +2.5%; Actual results for 2017 = +2.7%)

12/5/17; 12:03 PM EST = +54; signal line is +71 but algorithm remains long

12/5/17; 11:16 AM EST = +68; signal line is +71 but algorithm remains long

12/4/17; 2:36 PM EST = +54; signal line is +71 but algorithm remains long

12/4/17; 12:03 PM EST = +68; signal line is +72 but algorithm remains long

12/4/17; 9:57 AM EST = +54; signal line is +74 but algorithm remains long

12/4/17; 9:51 AM EST = +70; signal line is +75 but algorithm remains long

12/4/17; 9:36 AM EST = +86; signal line is +76

12/3/17; 7:00 PM EST = +70; signal line is +77 but algorithm remains long

12/1/17; 3:59 PM EST = +70; signal line is +77 but algorithm remains long

12/1/17; 3:43 PM EST = +86; signal line is +78

12/1/17; 3:42 PM EST = +70; signal line is +78 but algorithm remains long

12/1/17; 11:58 AM EST = +54; signal line is +79 but algorithm remains long

12/1/17; 11:14 AM EST = +70; signal line is +81 but algorithm remains long

12/1/17; 10:45 AM EST = +86; signal line is +81

12/1/17; 10:22 AM EST = +70; signal line is +81 but algorithm remains long

12/1/17; 9:50 AM EST = +54; signal line is +82 but algorithm remains long

11/30/17; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +70; signal line is +82 but algorithm remains long

11/30/17; 10:15 AM EST = +70; signal line is +83 but algorithm remains long

11/30/17; 10:02 AM EST = +84; signal line is +83

11/30/17; 9:43 AM EST = +70; signal line is +82 but algorithm remains long

11/30/17; 3:06 AM EST = +84; signal line is +82

11/29/17; 3:59 PM EST = +70; signal line is +82 but algorithm remains long

11/29/17; 3:29 PM EST = +84; signal line is +82

11/29/17; 2:44 PM EST = +70; signal line is +82 but algorithm remains long

11/29/17; 2:16 PM EST = +84; signal line is +83

11/29/17; 1:42 PM EST = +70; signal line is +82 but algorithm remains long

11/29/17; 1:24 PM EST = +84; signal line is +83

11/29/17; 12:21 PM EST = +70; signal line is +83 but algorithm remains long

11/29/17; 12:09 PM EST = +54; signal line is +83 but algorithm remains long

11/29/17; 11:54 AM EST = +70; signal line is +85 but algorithm remains long

11/29/17; 9:36 AM EST = +84; signal line is +85 but algorithm remains long

11/28/17; 10:00 AM EST = +100; signal line is +86

11/26/17; 7:00 PM EST = +100; signal line is +86

11/22/17; 10:00 AM EST = +100; signal line is +84

11/20/17; 3:59 PM EST = +100; signal line is +84

11/20/17; 3:32 PM EST = +86; signal line is +84

11/20/17; 1:50 PM EST = +100; signal line is +84

11/20/17; 1: 42 PM EST = +86; signal line is +84

11/20/17; 10:56 AM EST = +100; signal line is +84

11/19/17; 7:00 PM EST = +86; signal line is +84

11/17/17; 9:00 AM EST = +86; signal line is +84
11/16/17; 2:05 PM EST = +86; signal line is +85; go long 2589; (Benchmark SPX for 2017 = +15.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.8%; Keybot algo for 2017 = +0.6%)(Actual results this trade = -0.8%; Actual results for 2017 = +0.2%)