Thursday, March 12, 2020

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant whipsaws back to the short side at SPX 2815 as the US stock market goes into crash mode on the collapse in utilities. The quant flips short after yesterday's opening bell on the failure in the utility sector. S&P futures are down 130 points, -4.7%, placing another limit-down day as a possibility for Thursday morning.

Bulls need utilities to rally for equities to recover. Bulls cannot sigh relief until they see UTIL back above 847. Bears are in clover slashing at the bulls with the blood flowing on Wall Street. WHO declares China's coronavirus as a global pandemic tanking stocks. President Trump appears back on his heels worrying more about the economy than actually handling the health crisis. Trump appears nervous and worried as he tells everyone not to be nervous and worried which immediately tanks index futures. The ECB and Madame Lagarde are on tap this morning and she needs to deliver the goods to help stabilize the global markets, if not, look out below, crash helmets will be required.

Stay alert for a potential whipsaw back to the long side at anytime. The VIX is over 60 which means these massive intraday and day to day price moves will continue. Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number tomorrow morning on Friday the 13th, how apropos.

On the last trade, which humorously lasted for only 12 minutes of trading time late Tuesday into early Wednesday morning, the quant program loses -2.1% and the actual trading loses nearly -4%. The benchmark SPX is down -13% on the year and headed into a bear market which is -20% off its peak. The actual trading generated by Keybot the Quant is up +11% on the year. Keybot exits SSO and enters SH a single 1x ETF that shorts the S&P 500. The quant slips back into single ETF mode due to the whipsaw and will remain with 1x ETF's for 35 days (until 4/15/20) to reduce risk. Markets remain too volatile, erratic and unstable to employ 2x leveraged ETF's due to the whipsaw choppy moves.

Okay, Christine, show the world what you got and we do not mean your toned Olympian body. The world wants to see stimulus and big globs of it. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell did not sleep a wink last night.

3/15/20; 7:00 PM EST =
3/13/20; 10:00 AM EST =
3/11/20; 9:36 AM EST = -52; signal line is -27; go short 2815; (Benchmark SPX for 2020 = -12.9%)(Keybot algo this trade = -2.1%; Keybot algo for 2020 = +7.8%)(Actual trading results this trade = -3.7%; Actual trading results for 2020 = +10.5%)
3/10/20; 3:54 PM EST = -20; signal line is -26; go long 2875; (Benchmark SPX for 2020 = -11.0%)(Keybot algo this trade = +11.0%; Keybot algo for 2020 = +9.9%)(Actual trading results this trade = +8.0%; Actual trading results for 2020 = +14.2%)

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