STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long as the year of choppy whipsaw slop and daily Powell, Donnie and AI drama continues. The bears have had their opportunities but after the last couple weeks of battle, the bulls have the ball firmly in hand and running downfield with the algo number 10 points above the signal line.

The caution and imminent turn notations must remain in play since the stock market is extremely erratic and unstable. The bulls simply need to cruise along with status quo while pushing retail stocks higher. Consumer spending is the linchpin holding the stock market together so it makes sense that the robot is tracking this metric, retail stocks, as the top influence on direction.

Bulls need XRT above 79.52 and there will be nothing but blue skies and rainbows for stocks going forward. XRT begins trading Tuesday morning at 79.36 in the bear camp so it is a game of pennies.

Bears have had chances to flip the model short but keep falling short. Bears played around too long and now the bulls are back to slapping them silly again. Bears need to keep retail stocks in their camp since that will create a cancer on the stock market. At the same time, bears need lower chips and higher volatility.

Bears need SOX below 5114, now at 5161, only a few bucks away, and/or VIX above 16.80, now at 15.42, only a stick or so away. VIX is the only thing trading currently as Americans enjoy a day off.

If the bears push either SOX or VIX into the bear camp, either one would do, and the SPX falls below 6108 trending lower, Keybot the Quant will likely flip short.

Retail stocks, chips and volatility are all that matter right now for the US stock market direction. You do not need to watch anything else. Watch XRT 79.52, SOX 5114, VIX 16.80, and SPX 6108. Easy-peasy. Keybot prints two pre-scheduled numbers this week one on hump day morning and the other on Friday morning.

2/23/25; 7:00 PM EST =
2/21/25; 10:00 AM EST =
2/19/25; 9:00 AM EST =
2/16/25; 7:00 PM EST = +30; signal line is +20
2/14/25; 10:30 AM EST = +30; signal line is +19
2/13/25; 10:02 AM EST = +46; signal line is +19
2/13/25; 9:36 AM EST = +30; signal line is +19
2/9/25; 7:00 PM EST = +14; signal line is +19 but algorithm remains long