Wednesday, March 7, 2012

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant is short and begins an active day by printing five numbers thus far.  The semiconductors are enjoying buoyancy as traders anticipate the iPad3 release, pumping up AAPL, which pumps the tech sector, Nasdaq and semi's. Thus, this may become dramatic once Apple announces the news today at 1 PM EST about an hour away. Copper is fighting along the JJC 48.44 line in the sand between bulls and bears.  Watch SOX 410.20 and JJC 48.44 as the bull-bear lines that will push markets negatively or positively.

CRB was weakening towards 313 but is now moving higher with  copper and the markets. The SPX went straight up at the open so the bears never had a chance to attack 1340, at least so far today. The SPX:VIX ratio moved above 68 which signals a big bull rally today (now printing 69.71), however, see how it plays out into the Apple news. Market bears remain in control for now, watch semiconductors and copper. The algo will likely continue to favor bears today as long as the SPX does not exceed 1363.

3/11/12; 7:00 PM EST =
3/9/12; 9:00 AM EST =
3/7/12; 11:17 AM EST = +60; signal line is +66
3/7/12; 11:10 AM EST = +76; signal line is +66 but algorithm says stay short
3/7/12; 10:59 AM EST = +60; signal line is +66
3/7/12; 10:44 AM EST = +44; signal line is +66
3/7/12; 10:28 AM EST = +60; signal line is +67
3/6/12; 12:18 PM EST = +44; signal line is +67; go short 1343; (Benchmark SPX for 2012  = +6.8%)(Keybot this trade = -1.0%; Keybot for 2012 = +4.7%)(Actual this trade = -0.8%; Actual for 2012 = +7.4%)

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