Tuesday, January 29, 2019

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips long this morning at SPX 2649. The bull-bear battle continues creating choppy sideways markets chewing up both sides. The algo continues to print numbers like a madman another nine today and the day is not over. Retail stocks and copper run the show today. The bulls are in control with the algo number 16 points above the signal line.

Bears need RTH under 98.36 and CPER under 16.96 to regain stock market direction control. Otherwise, the bulls rule. Stay alert for a whipsaw back to the short side (if retail stocks and copper fail) especially in these crazy markets and with AAPL reporting earnings this evening.

On the last trade, the algo program loses a percent and is flat on the year. The actual trading loses -2.3% due to the DXD 2x ETF. The Dow is higher today and held up better in the short downdraft so DXD is hurt more than other ETF's. Sometimes the quant wins on the ETF in play, sometimes not. 2x ETF's are not a good play in sideways choppiness but the algo has not yet whipsawed to prevent the use of double ETF's. Keybot exits DXD and enters SSO. The S&P 500 benchmark index is up a strong +5.666% this year thus far.

1/31/19; 7:00 PM EST EOM =
1/29/19; 1:13 PM EST = +26; signal line is +10
1/29/19; 1:02 PM EST = +10; signal line is +9
1/29/19; 11:56 AM EST = +26; signal line is +9
1/29/19; 11:20 AM EST = +10; signal line is +8
1/29/19; 10:56 AM EST = -6; signal line is +8 but algorithm remains long
1/29/19; 10:35 AM EST = +10; signal line is +8
1/29/19; 10:00 AM EST = +26; signal line is +8
1/29/19; 9:48 AM EST = +26; signal line is +7; go long 2649; (Benchmark SPX for 2019 = +5.666%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = -0.8%; Keybot algo for 2019 = +0.2%)(Actual results this trade = -2.3%; Actual trading results for 2019 = -0.6%)
1/29/19; 9:36 AM EST = +26; signal line is +6 but algorithm remains short
1/28/19; 1:13 PM EST = +10; signal line is +5 but algorithm remains short
1/28/19; 12:59 PM EST = -4; signal line is +4
1/28/19; 12:31 PM EST = +10; signal line is +4 but algorithm remains short
1/28/19; 12:30 PM EST = -6; signal line is +3
1/28/19; 11:46 AM EST = -20; signal line is +3
1/28/19; 11:18 AM EST = -6; signal line is +3
1/28/19; 11:06 AM EST = -20; signal line is +3
1/28/19; 10:49 AM EST = -6; signal line is +3
1/28/19; 10:26 AM EST = +10; signal line is +3 but algorithm remains short
1/28/19; 9:56 AM EST = -20; signal line is +2
1/28/19; 9:52 AM EST = -6; signal line is +2
1/28/19; 9:36 AM EST = +10; signal line is +1 but algorithm remains short
1/27/19; 7:00 PM EST = +26; signal line is +1 but algorithm remains short
1/25/19; 12:57 PM EST = +26; signal line is -1 but algorithm remains short
1/25/19; 9:36 AM EST = +42; signal line is -1 but algorithm remains short
1/24/19; 2:26 PM EST = +26; signal line is -2 but algorithm remains short
1/24/19; 12:42 PM EST = +12; signal line is -2 but algorithm remains short
1/24/19; 10:20 AM EST = +26; signal line is -2 but algorithm remains short
1/24/19; 9:50 AM EST = +12; signal line is -2 but algorithm remains short
1/24/19; 9:40 AM EST = -4; signal line is -3
1/24/19; 9:36 AM EST = +10; signal line is -3 but algorithm remains short
1/24/19; 7:43 AM EST = -4; signal line is -3
1/24/19; 7:27 AM EST = +10; signal line is -3 but algorithm remains short
1/24/19; 6:33 AM EST = -4; signal line is -3
1/24/19; 4:46 AM EST = +10; signal line is -3 but algorithm remains short
1/24/19; 3:06 AM EST = -4; signal line is -3
1/23/19; 3:59 PM EST = +10; signal line is -3 but algorithm remains short
1/23/19; 3:06 PM EST = -4; signal line is -3
1/23/19; 2:47 PM EST = -20; signal line is -3
1/23/19; 1:15 PM EST = -4; signal line is -2
1/23/19; 1:06 PM EST = -20; signal line is -3
1/23/19; 12:52 PM EST = -4; signal line is -2
1/23/19; 11:51 AM EST = -20; signal line is -3
1/23/19; 11:27 AM EST = -4; signal line is -3
1/23/19; 10:48 AM EST = -20; signal line is -4
1/23/19; 9:36 AM EST = -4; signal line is -3
1/22/19; 3:59 PM EST = -20; signal line is -3
1/22/19; 2:16 PM EST = -36; signal line is -2
1/22/19; 1:06 PM EST = -20; signal line is -1
1/22/19; 1:04 PM EST = -4; signal line is -1; go short 2629; (Benchmark SPX for 2019 = +4.9%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = +2.9%; Keybot algo for 2019 = +1.0%)(Actual results this trade = +5.8%; Actual trading results for 2019 = +1.7%)

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