STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long after a wild day to begin the holiday-shortened week that will end with a Jobs Report crescendo. The quant prints a dozen numbers today but goes nowhere, man. The algo number is 11 points above the signal line.

Today was a battle between chips and volatility. The VIX jumped into the bear camp followed by semiconductors causing the flush lower in the SPX at the opening bell. But the pair turn positive again, then negative again, then positive again, then negative again, then positive again. The robot's internal parameters would not fully latch to permit the move to the short side so the quant remains long.

VIX 18.23 and SOX 5565 dictate stock market direction currently. Both are in the bull camp so the bear's only need one to turn bearish to position the quant to go short. The difficult road for the bears tomorrow is that the SPX likely needs to drop below 6361 to allow the quant to go short and that is a long way down.

If volatility spikes, and chips collapse, like this morning, and one other parameter fails (maybe banks?), the quant may flip short immediately. For now, the bulls remain in possession of the stock market ball but it is difficult to hold with hooves.

Chips and volatility are controlling stock market direction currently with copper, commodities and banks waiting in the wings hoping to influence equities going forward. Today is a wild start to the month. Wake Me Up When September Ends.

9/7/25; 7:00 PM EST =
9/5/25; 9:00 AM EST =
9/2/25; 2:56 PM EST = +44; signal line is +33
9/2/25; 2:54 PM EST = +30; signal line is +32 but algorithm remains long
9/2/25; 2:18 PM EST = +14; signal line is +33 but algorithm remains long
9/2/25; 2:00 PM EST = +28; signal line is +33 but algorithm remains long
9/2/25; 1:44 PM EST = +44; signal line is +34
9/2/25; 1:38 PM EST = +28; signal line is +34 but algorithm remains long
9/2/25; 10:48 AM EST = +14; signal line is +34 but algorithm remains long
9/2/25; 10:10 AM EST = +28; signal line is +35 but algorithm remains long
9/2/25; 9:57 AM EST = +44; signal line is +35
9/2/25; 9:56 AM EST = +30; signal line is +35 but algorithm remains long
9/2/25; 9:36 AM EST = +14; signal line is +35 but algorithm remains long
9/2/25; 8:15 AM EST = +30; signal line is +36 but algorithm remains long
8/31/25; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +44; signal line is +36