Wednesday, January 1, 2014

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- END OF YEAR RESULTS

Keybot the Quant remains long through the year end into the new 2014 year. The program is zeroed as always to begin the new year tomorrow morning. The SPX Benchmark Index is up a huge +26.9% in 2013, the biggest yearly gain in 16 years. The Keybot the Quant algorithm program gained +17.8%. Keybot the Quant actual trading (the bottom line) gained +12.4% in 2014; a respectable gain but only half of the Benchmark. Keybot remains in SSO. The entries and exits for trades in 2013 are provided below. The slate is clean to begin the year. The bulls are running. Watch VIX 14.15 and GTX 4820 to see if the bears can develop juice. Bulls need UTIL above 493.50 to continue the upside party.

1/12/14; 7:00 PM EST =
1/10/14; 9:00 AM EST =
1/5/14; 7:00 PM EST =
1/1/14; Begin 2014 Data Set = +63; signal line is +41; go long 1848; (Benchmark SPX for 2014  = 0%)(Keybot this trade = 0%; Keybot for 2014 = 0%)(Actual this trade = 0%; Actual for 2014 = 0%)

Keybot the Quant Begins 2014 on the Long Side from SPX 1848. All Data 0%. Begin 2014.

End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End

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START 2014 PROGRAM

Begin Printing

Mark and Set

Date Stamp 1/1/14; 9:14 AM EST

START 2014 PROGRAM

End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End

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END OF 2013 RESULTS:

SPX Benchmark Final 2013:  +26.9% Return (SPX Started at 1426 and Ended at 1848)

Keybot the Quant Actual Trading +12.4% Return Did Not Beat the SPX Benchmark

Keybot the Quant is a long-short algorithm that oscillates between a bullish position and a bearish position only.

Number of Position Changes (Long to Short or Short to Long) During 2011:  27
Number of Broker Commissions Required During 2012:  54

Benchmark SPX During 2013:  +29.6% Return

Keybot the Quant Algorithm (the Computer Program Only) During 2013: +17.8% Return

Keybot the Quant Actual Trading (Actual Trading with the Quant Using ETF’s) During 2013:  +12.4% Return


12/31/2012
1426
Go Long
4:00 PM
DIA
130.57
2/21/2013
1498
Sell Long
2:08 PM
DIA
138.12
2/21/2013
1498
Go Short
2:08 PM
SDS
48.57
2/25/2013
1522
Cover short
9:30 AM
SDS
46.93
2/25/2013
1522
Go Long
9:30 AM
SPY
152.58
2/25/2013
1502
Sell Long
3:21 PM
SPY
150.35
2/25/2013
1502
Go Short
3:21 PM
SH
32.12
3/4/2013
1520
Cover short
2:25 PM
SH
31.69
3/4/2013
1520
Go Long
2:25 PM
DIA
140.69
3/19/2013
1540
Sell Long
1:23 PM
DIA
143.60
3/19/2013
1540
Go Short
1:23 PM
DOG
31.05
3/20/2013
1557
Cover short
11:15 AM
DOG
30.80
3/20/2013
1557
Go Long
11:15 AM
DIA
144.91
4/3/2013
1562
Sell Long
11:02 AM
DIA
145.77
4/3/2013
1562
Go Short
11:02 AM
SH
30.78
4/9/2013
1568
Cover short
12:32 PM
SH
30.63
4/9/2013
1568
Go Long
12:32 PM
DIA
146.43
4/15/2013
1566
Sell Long
12:58 PM
DIA
146.78
4/15/2013
1566
Go Short
12:58 PM
RWM
22.23
4/23/2013
1569
Cover short
9:30 AM
RWM
22.05
4/23/2013
1569
Go Long
9:30 AM
DIA
146.10
5/22/2013
1661
Sell Long
2:12 PM
DIA
153.34
5/22/2013
1661
Go Short
2:12 PM
SDS
38.66
6/7/2013
1633
Cover short
10:02 AM
SDS
39.81
6/7/2013
1633
Go Long
10:02 AM
SSO
79.56
6/12/2013
1622
Sell Long
11:51 AM
SSO
78.44
6/12/2013
1622
Go Short
11:51 AM
SDS
40.32
6/17/2013
1638
Cover short
9:30 AM
SDS
39.50
6/17/2013
1638
Go Long
9:30 AM
SPY
164.29
6/20/2013
1625
Sell Long
9:30 AM
SPY
161.94
6/20/2013
1625
Go Short
9:30 AM
SH
29.49
6/26/2013
1601
Cover short
9:31 AM
SH
29.65
6/26/2013
1601
Go Long
9:31 AM
DIA
148.53
8/7/2013
1691
Sell Long
9:35 AM
DIA
154.39
8/7/2013
1691
Go Short
9:35 AM
SDS
36.66
8/13/2013
1694
Cover short
12:50 PM
SDS
36.45
8/13/2013
1694
Go Long
12:50 PM
SSO
85.59
8/15/2013
1669
Sell Long
9:43 AM
SSO
83.19
8/15/2013
1669
Go Short
9:43 AM
SH
28.34
9/9/2013
1661
Cover short
9:30 AM
SH
28.48
9/9/2013
1661
Go Long
9:30 AM
SPY
166.21
9/27/2013
1689
Sell Long
9:59 AM
SPY
168.72
9/27/2013
1689
Go Short
9:59 AM
SDS
36.33
10/10/2013
1681
Cover short
10:45 AM
SDS
36.51
10/10/2013
1681
Go long
10:45 AM
SSO
84.47
10/23/2013
1746
Sell Long
9:51 AM
SSO
91.08
10/23/2013
1746
Go Short
9:51 AM
SDS
33.73
12/6/2013
1803
Cover short
12:41 PM
SDS
31.35
12/6/2013
1803
Go long
12:41 PM
SSO
97.48
12/10/2013
1803
Sell Long
11:56 AM
SSO
97.48
12/10/2013
1803
Go Short
11:56 AM
TWM
13.03
12/18/2013
1797
Cover short
2:36 PM
TWM
12.82
12/18/2013
1797
Go long
2:36 PM
SSO
96.73
12/31/2013
1848
Sell Long
4:00 PM
SSO
102.56
12/31/2013
1848
Go Long
4:00 PM
SSO
102.56

Begin Printing Trade Data Entries Exits Reverse Order

FINAL 2013

Mark and Set

Date Stamp 1/1/14; 7:27 AM EST

End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End

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1/1/14; Algorithm Zeroed for 2014 Data = +63; signal line is +41; go long 1848; (Benchmark SPX for 2013 Final = +29.6%)(Keybot this trade = +2.8%; Keybot for 2013 Final = +17.8%)(Actual this trade = +6.0%; Actual for 2013 Final = +12.4%)
12/31/13; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ4 EOY2013 = +63; signal line is +41
12/31/13; 3:45 PM EST = +63; signal line is +40
12/31/13; 2:30 PM EST = +49; signal line is +39
12/31/13; 10:00 AM EST = +63; signal line is +39
12/29/13; 7:00 PM EST = +61; signal line is +38
12/23/13; 10:00 AM EST = +61; signal line is +38
12/22/13; 7:00 PM EST = +60; signal line is +38
12/19/13; 10:36 AM EST = +60; signal line is +37
12/19/13; 10:11 AM EST = +46; signal line is +36
12/19/13; 9:39 AM EST = +60; signal line is +36
12/18/13; 3:20 PM EST = +46; signal line is +35
12/18/13; 2:38 PM EST = +32; signal line is +35 but algorithm stays long
12/18/13; 2:36 PM EST = +46; signal line is +36; go long 1797; (Benchmark SPX for 2013 = +26.0%)(Keybot this trade = +0.3%; Keybot for 2013 = +15.0%)(Actual this trade = -1.6%; Actual for 2013 = +6.4%)
12/18/13; 2:30 PM EST = +46; signal line is +36 but algorithm remains short
12/18/13; 9:00 AM EST = +32; signal line is +36

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