2014 RESULTS SUMMARY -- STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long to begin the new 2015 year of trading. The year begins with the caution flag out after two days of market selling to end the 2014 year. Watch NYA 10780. Price is currently at 10839 causing market bullishness. If NYA drops under 10780, equities will begin selling off in earnest and Keybot will likely flip to the short side. If NYA remains above 10780, bulls are fine.

For the SPX starting at 2059 in Friday trading, the first trading day of the year, the bulls need to push above 2085 to accelerate the upside. The bears need to push under 2058, only one point lower, to accelerate the downside. Watch the S&P futures to see if a point of negativity appears, or not. A move through 2059-2084 on Friday is sideways action. The bulls will fortify positions at NYA 10780 and defend that level with all their might.

The Keybot the Quant algorithm prints another successful year with the computer program gaining +16.4% beating the SPX benchmark that is up +11.4% in 2014. The actual trading results are a gain of +17.6%, nearly +18%, handily beating the benchmark. The actual trading allows for commissions and other mechanical inefficiencies that reduce performance, but the use of double-leveraged ETF's typically boosts the actual trading performance. Keybot flipped sides 32 times during 2014 either long to short or short to long resulting in 64 broker commissions. The algorithm has printed ongoing consistent and consecutive winning years ever since going live in late 2008.

The algorithm is re-zeroed on New Year's Day to keep the performance data in sync. Nothing has changed with the trade started on 12/18/14 which is long from SPX 2047 with the algo in the SSO ETF. Happy New Year!

Keybot is updated daily throughout the year and will only continue with the support of the loyal viewers and followers. If consistent improvements in support do not continue, the site will go dark. If Keybot is a useful service, use the button at the right to support the KE Stone Blog Series of Web Sites, otherwise the information will disappear at any time and remain proprietary.

1/11/15; 7:00 PM EST =

1/9/15; 9:00 AM EST =

1/4/15; 7:00 PM EST =

1/1/15; Begin 2015 Data Set = +49; signal line is +40; go long 2059; (Benchmark SPX for 2015  = 0%)(Keybot algo this trade = 0%; Keybot algo for 2015 = 0%)(Actual results this trade = 0%; Actual results for 2015 = 0%)

Keybot the Quant Begins 2015 on the Long Side from SPX 2059. All Data 0%. Begin 2015.

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START 2015 PROGRAM

Begin Printing

Mark and Set

Date Stamp 1/1/14; 6:07 AM EST

START 2015 PROGRAM

End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End

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END OF 2014 RESULTS:

SPX Benchmark Final 2014:  +11.4% Return (SPX Started at 1848 and Ended at 2059)

Keybot the Quant Actual Trading +17.6% Return Beat the SPX Benchmark

Keybot the Quant is a long-short algorithm that oscillates between a bullish position (long) and a bearish (short) position.

Number of Position Changes (Long to Short or Short to Long) During 2014:  32

Number of Broker Commissions Required During 2014:  64

Benchmark SPX During 2014:  +11.4% Return

Keybot the Quant Algorithm (Computer Program Only) During 2014: +16.4% Return

Keybot the Quant Actual Trading by the Quant Using ETF’s During 2014:  +17.6% Return

12/18/2013	1797	Go long	2:36 PM	SSO	96.73
12/31/2013	1848	Sell Long	4:00 PM	SSO	102.56
12/31/2013	1848	Go Long	4:00 PM	SSO	102.56
1/1/2014	1841	Sell Long	9:36 AM	SSO	102.60
1/1/2014	1841	Go Short	9:36 AM	SDS	29.93
1/7/2014	1837	Cover short	10:00 AM	SDS	30.03
1/7/2014	1837	Go long	10:00 AM	SSO	101.18
1/13/2014	1827	Sell Long	2:28 PM	SSO	100.03
1/13/2014	1827	Go Short	2:28 PM	SDS	30.33
1/30/2014	1791	Cover short	11:23 AM	SDS	31.44
1/30/2014	1791	Go long	11:23 AM	DDM	105.02
2/3/2014	1768	Sell Long	10:16 AM	DDM	101.68
2/3/2014	1768	Go Short	10:16 AM	SDS	32.25
2/6/2014	1767	Cover short	10:32 AM	SDS	32.21
2/6/2014	1767	Go long	10:32 AM	QLD	94.14
2/19/2014	1828	Sell Long	3:52 PM	QLD	102.68
2/19/2014	1828	Go Short	3:52 PM	TWM	48.48
2/24/2014	1846	Cover short	9:45 AM	TWM	48.61
2/24/2014	1846	Go long	9:45 AM	QLD	104.43
3/7/2014	1873	Sell Long	11:03 AM	QLD	105.17
3/7/2014	1873	Go Short	11:03 AM	SDS	28.44
4/1/2014	1877	Cover short	9:30 AM	SDS	28.14
4/1/2014	1877	Go long	9:30 AM	SSO	105.91
4/4/2014	1875	Sell Long	12:53 PM	SSO	105.64
4/4/2014	1875	Go Short	12:53 PM	TWM	47.21
4/9/2014	1859	Cover short	12:22 PM	TWM	47.50
4/9/2014	1859	Go long	12:22 PM	QLD	97.68
4/11/2014	1848	Sell Long	12:54 PM	QLD	95.17
4/11/2014	1848	Go Short	12:54 PM	SH	24.96
4/16/2014	1859	Cover short	2:54 PM	SH	24.81
4/16/2014	1859	Go long	2:54 PM	SPY	185.75
4/28/2014	1859	Sell Long	1:05 PM	SPY	185.85
4/28/2014	1859	Go Short	1:05 PM	DOG	26.06
4/29/2014	1874	Cover short	9:31 AM	DOG	25.89
4/29/2014	1874	Go long	9:31 AM	SPY	187.43
5/15/2014	1880	Sell Long	9:41 AM	SPY	188.16
5/15/2014	1880	Go Short	9:41 AM	SDS	27.85
5/22/2014	1889	Cover short	9:44 AM	SDS	27.54
5/22/2014	1889	Go long	9:44 AM	SSO	107.39
7/17/2014	1963	Sell Long	3:20 PM	SSO	116.23
7/17/2014	1963	Go Short	3:20 PM	SDS	25.29
7/22/2014	1982	Cover short	9:35 AM	SDS	24.81
7/22/2014	1982	Go long	9:35 AM	SSO	118.36
7/25/2014	1975	Sell Long	11:25 AM	SSO	117.68
7/25/2014	1975	Go Short	11:25 AM	QID	46.79
8/14/2014	1952	Cover short	10:32 AM	QID	46.87
8/14/2014	1952	Go long	10:32 AM	UWM	81.67
9/4/2014	1997	Sell Long	3:03 PM	UWM	85.49
9/4/2014	1997	Go Short	3:03 PM	SDS	24.18
9/17/2014	2005	Cover short	2:24 PM	SDS	23.95
9/17/2014	2005	Go long	2:24 PM	SSO	121.70
9/22/2014	2004	Sell Long	9:36 AM	SSO	121.68
9/22/2014	2004	Go Short	9:36 AM	QID	43.74
10/6/2014	1974	Cover short	9:31 AM	QID	44.63
10/6/2014	1974	Go long	9:31 AM	SSO	117.99
10/7/2014	1951	Sell Long	9:36 AM	SSO	115.19
10/7/2014	1951	Go Short	9:36 AM	SH	23.26
10/8/2014	1962	Cover short	3:22 PM	SH	23.12
10/8/2014	1962	Go long	3:22 PM	SPY	195.98
10/9/2014	1943	Sell Long	11:54 AM	SPY	194.28
10/9/2014	1943	Go Short	11:54 AM	DOG	25.02
10/20/2014	1900	Cover short	2:12 PM	DOG	25.59
10/20/2014	1900	Go long	2:12 PM	DIA	163.46
12/9/2014	2038	Sell Long	9:36 AM	DIA	176.76
12/9/2014	2038	Go Short	9:36 AM	SDS	22.66
12/18/2014	2047	Cover short	12:50 PM	SDS	22.36
12/18/2014	2047	Go long	12:50 PM	SSO	126.96
12/31/2014	2059	Sell Long	4:00 PM	SSO	128.31
12/31/2014	2059	Go Long	4:00 PM	SSO	128.31

Date – SPX – Position – Date Stamp – ETF – Price

Begin Printing Trade Data Entries Exits Reverse Order

FINAL 2014

Mark and Set

Date Stamp 1/1/15; 5:46 AM EST

End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End

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1/1/15; Algorithm Zeroed for 2015 Data = +49; signal line is +40; go long 2059; (Benchmark SPX for 2014 Final = +11.4%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.6%; Keybot algo for 2014 Final = +16.4%)(Actual results this trade = +1.1%; Actual results for 2014 Final = +17.6%)

12/31/14; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ4 EOH2 EOY 2014 = +49; signal line is +40

12/30/14; 10:00 AM EST = +49; signal line is +40

12/29/14; 9:36 AM EST = +46; signal line is +39

12/28/14; 7:00 PM EST = +60; signal line is +38

12/26/14; 3:59 PM EST = +60; signal line is +37

12/26/14; 3:24 PM EST = +46; signal line is +36

12/24/14; 9:36 AM EST = +60; signal line is +35

12/23/14; 3:30 PM EST = +46; signal line is +34

12/23/14; 2:25 PM EST = +60; signal line is +34

12/23/14; 10:17 AM EST = +46; signal line is +33

12/23/14; 10:00 AM EST = +46; signal line is +33

12/23/14; 9:36 AM EST = +60; signal line is +32

12/21/14; 7:00 PM EST = +46; signal line is +32

12/18/14; 3:01 PM EST = +46; signal line is +31

12/18/14; 2:31 PM EST = +32; signal line is +31

12/18/14; 12:50 PM EST = +46; signal line is +32; go long 2047; (Benchmark SPX for 2014 = +10.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.4%; Keybot algo for 2014 = +15.8%)(Actual results this trade = -1.3%; Actual results for 2014 = +16.5%)