Tuesday, May 29, 2018

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side at the opening bell today (Tuesday) at SPX 2702. Banks are bludgeoned so you know the stock market is in trouble. Weakness first showed in the South Korean banks overnight. Volatility also slipped into the bear camp but recovered as the day ended.

Keybot is now on the short side. Bears win big if either VIX moves above 17.10, RTH under 95.47 and/or GTX under 2683.

Bulls will stop the slide lower in stocks if they maintain the VIX below 17.10 and push the NYA Index and copper higher. Bulls need NYA above 12583 and JJCTF above 34.68.

Since the VIX is at 17.02 only pennies below the 17.10 in the bull camp, as volatility goes, the stock market will go inversely.

On the last trade, the algorithm program gains +0.8% and the actual trading gains +0.4%. The SPX benchmark is up +1.1% on the year with the actual trading by the Keybot algo up +7.2%.

Volatility, the VIX, begins trading at 3 AM EST when the European markets open so that will give you an early indication on the hump day trade. The bears are in good shape but they must immediately push the VIX above 17.10 or they will prove that they got nothing.

6/1/18; 9:00 AM EST =
5/31/18; 7:00 PM EST EOM =
5/29/18; 3:59 PM EST = +38; signal line is +60
5/29/18; 1:37 PM EST = +24; signal line is +61
5/29/18; 10:00 AM EST = +38; signal line is +64
5/29/18; 9:36 AM EST = +38; signal line is +65; go short 2702; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 = +1.1%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = +0.8%; Keybot algo for 2018 = +2.5%)(Actual results this trade = +0.4%; Actual trading results for 2018 = +7.2%)
5/27/18; 7:00 PM EST = +52; signal line is +66 but algorithm remains long
5/25/18; 10:00 AM EST = +52; signal line is +66 but algorithm remains long
5/25/18; 9:36 AM EST = +52; signal line is +66 but algorithm remains long
5/24/18; 3:06 PM EST = +68; signal line is +66
5/24/18; 2:32 PM EST = +84; signal line is +64
5/24/18; 12:19 PM EST = +68; signal line is +62
5/24/18; 10:23 AM EST = +52; signal line is +61 but algorithm remains long
5/24/18; 10:08 AM EST = +68; signal line is +60
5/24/18; 10:01 AM EST = +52; signal line is +58 but algorithm remains long
5/23/18; 9:36 AM EST = +68; signal line is +57
5/21/18; 1:52 PM EST = +84; signal line is +54
5/21/18; 1:37 PM EST = +68; signal line is +51
5/21/18; 12:53 PM EST = +84; signal line is +51
5/21/18; 9:44 AM EST = +68; signal line is +49
5/21/18; 9:36 AM EST = +84; signal line is +47
5/20/18; 7:00 PM EST = +52; signal line is +44
5/16/18; 9:00 AM EST = +52; signal line is +43
5/15/18; 9:36 AM EST = +52; signal line is +43
5/14/18; 2:58 PM EST = +68; signal line is +43
5/14/18; 2:08 PM EST = +52; signal line is +42
5/14/18; 12:42 PM EST = +68; signal line is +42
5/14/18; 12:26 PM EST = +52; signal line is +41
5/14/18; 11:16 AM EST = +68; signal line is +41
5/14/18; 10:42 AM EST = +84; signal line is +39
5/14/18; 10:07 AM EST = +68; signal line is +37
5/14/18; 9:36 AM EST = +84; signal line is +36
5/13/18; 7:00 PM EST = +68; signal line is +33
5/11/18; 10:00 AM EST = +68; signal line is +31
5/11/18; 9:36 AM EST = +68; signal line is +28
5/9/18; 12:37 PM EST = +52; signal line is +27
5/9/18; 11:31 AM EST = +36; signal line is +26
5/9/18; 10:57 AM EST = +20; signal line is +25 but algorithm remains long
5/9/18; 10:16 AM EST = +36; signal line is +24
5/9/18; 10:07 AM EST = +20; signal line is +22 but algorithm remains long
5/9/18; 9:36 AM EST = +36; signal line is +21; go long 2681; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 = +0.3%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = -0.5%; Keybot algo for 2018 = +1.7%)(Actual results this trade = -0.6%; Actual trading results for 2018 = +6.8%)

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