Thursday, August 23, 2018

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant flips to the long side at SPX 2868. The odd market action continues. Keybot avoided going long for many days and finally flips today when the internal parameters lined up for only a few seconds of time. The drama will likely continue. As always, stay alert for a whipsaw back to the short side. The bulls are pumping the chips higher to create the lift in the stock market.

The bears need to send the semiconductors lower which will create market selling. Bears need to push SOX below 1354.72 (now at 1356.13). It continues to be a game of pennies. Bears will also benefit from higher volatility and weaker banks. To keep things simple, if the SOX flips back into the bear camp, and the SPX drops below 2854, Keybot will likely flip short.

The bulls need to keep SOX above 1354.72 and focus on boosting copper and commodities. Bulls need GTX above 2702.78 (now at 2695) to prove that up is the correct stock market direction.

On the last trade, the algo program loses -1.5% and the actual trading gives back nearly -3%. The benchmark S&P 500 is up +7.3% this year, the Keybot algo is up nearly +5% and the actual trading executed by the robot is up +11.5% thus far this year. Keybot exited SDS and entered SSO. Watch the chips.

8/26/18; 7:00 PM EST =
8/23/18; 10:30 AM EST = +70; signal line is +57; go long 2868; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 = +7.3%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = -1.5%; Keybot algo for 2018 = +4.7%)(Actual results this trade = -2.9%; Actual trading results for 2018 = +11.5%)
8/23/18; 9:39 AM EST = +70; signal line is +56 but algorithm remains short
8/22/18; 3:59 PM EST = +54; signal line is +55
8/22/18; 3:20 PM EST = +70; signal line is +56 but algorithm remains short
8/22/18; 2:14 PM EST = +54; signal line is +57
8/22/18; 1:52 PM EST = +68; signal line is +57 but algorithm remains short
8/22/18; 1:36 PM EST = +84; signal line is +57 but algorithm remains short
8/22/18; 1:07 PM EST = +68; signal line is +57 but algorithm remains short
8/22/18; 12:55 PM EST = +54; signal line is +57
8/22/18; 12:21 PM EST = +68; signal line is +58 but algorithm remains short
8/22/18; 12:12 PM EST = +54; signal line is +58
8/22/18; 11:52 AM EST = +70; signal line is +59 but algorithm remains short
8/19/18; 7:00 PM EST = +54; signal line is +59
8/17/18; 10:00 AM EST = +54; signal line is +60
8/16/18; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +60
8/16/18; 9:00 AM EST = +40; signal line is +61
8/16/18; 5:02 AM EST = +40; signal line is +62
8/15/18; 9:48 AM EST = +26; signal line is +64
8/15/18; 6:45 AM EST = +40; signal line is +66
8/14/18; 9:55 AM EST = +54; signal line is +67
8/14/18; 9:36 AM EST = +70; signal line is +68 but algorithm remains short
8/14/18; 3:00 AM EST = +54; signal line is +68
8/13/18; 2:39 PM EST = +40; signal line is +69
8/13/18; 2:31 PM EST = +56; signal line is +70
8/13/18; 11:57 AM EST = +40; signal line is +71
8/13/18; 11:25 AM EST = +54; signal line is +72
8/13/18; 9:48 AM EST = +70; signal line is +72
8/12/18; 7:00 PM EST = +54; signal line is +72
8/10/18; 2:31 PM EST = +54; signal line is +72; go short 2827; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 = +5.7%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = +3.3%; Keybot algo for 2018 = +6.2%)(Actual results this trade = +6.6%; Actual trading results for 2018 = +14.4%)

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