Thursday, November 8, 2018

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant flips to the bull side at yesterday's opening bell at SPX 2783. Retail stocks and banks drive the upside gains. The bulls are cruising with the algo number 24 points above the signal line. A huge post-election rally occurs.

The SPX 2753-2758 area is immensely important and separates long-term stock market pleasure from pain. Late Tuesday, the S&P 500 broke up through this range and then never looked back.

Bulls need stronger chips, a higher NYA Index and lower volatility to continue the upside rally. Bulls need SOX above 1280, NYA above 12704 and VIX below 14.80.

Bears need weaker banks and retail stocks. Bears need XLF under 26.98 and RTH under 106.30. If either one turns bearish, the stock market upside will immediately stall. If these two remain bullish, stocks will move sideways with an upward bias.

On the last trade which lasted for about one-month, the Keybot program gains a couple percent. Ditto the actual trading. The actual trading occurring from Keybot is up +14% on the year with about 7 weeks of trading remaining. The S&P 500 benchmark index is up +4.1% on the year. Keybot exits SH and enters SPY remaining in the single ETF's due to the whipsaw behavior that surfaced 28 days ago. 

Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number tomorrow (Friday) morning.

11/11/18; 7:00 PM EST =
11/9/18; 10:00 AM EST =
11/7/18; 12:11 PM EST = +26; signal line is +2
11/7/18; 11:05 AM EST = +10; signal line is +2
11/7/18; 10:46 AM EST = +26; signal line is +2
11/7/18; 10:02 AM EST = +10; signal line is +2
11/7/18; 9:36 AM EST = +26; signal line is +3; go long 2783; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 = +4.1%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = +2.2%; Keybot algo for 2018 = +4.4%)(Actual results this trade = +2.2%; Actual trading results for 2018 = +13.9%)
11/6/18; 3:58 PM EST = -6; signal line is +2
11/5/18; 9:36 AM EST = -20; signal line is +3
11/4/18; 7:00 PM EST = -4; signal line is +4
11/2/18; 10:01 AM EST = -4; signal line is +5
11/2/18; 9:42 AM EST = +10; signal line is +6 but algorithm remains short
11/2/18; 9:36 AM EST = -4; signal line is +6
11/2/18; 9:00 AM EST = -20; signal line is +7
10/31/18; 7:00 PM EST EOM = -20; signal line is +8
10/30/18; 10:00 AM EST = -20; signal line is +9
10/28/18; 7:00 PM EST = -20; signal line is +10
10/26/18; 10:00 AM EST = -20; signal line is +11
10/23/18; 3:52 PM EST = -20; signal line is +12
10/23/18; 3:39 PM EST = -6; signal line is +14
10/23/18; 10:01 AM EST = -20; signal line is +15
10/23/18; 9:36 AM EST = -6; signal line is +17
10/21/18; 7:00 PM EST = +24; signal line is +19 but algorithm remains short
10/19/18; 2:32 PM EST = +24; signal line is +20 but algorithm remains short
10/17/18; 11:20 AM EST = +8; signal line is +21
10/17/18; 9:00 AM EST = +24; signal line is +23 but algorithm remains short
10/16/18; 10:13 AM EST = +24; signal line is +25
10/15/18; 3:08 PM EST = +8; signal line is +26
10/15/18; 2:27 PM EST = +24; signal line is +27
10/15/18; 11:10 AM EST = +8; signal line is +28
10/15/18; 10:58 AM EST = +24; signal line is +29
10/15/18; 9:36 AM EST = +8; signal line is +29
10/14/18; 7:00 PM EST = +24; signal line is +30
10/12/18; 3:01 PM EST = +24; signal line is +31
10/12/18; 1:33 PM EST = +10; signal line is +31
10/12/18; 1:12 PM EST = +24; signal line is +33
10/12/18; 12:32 PM EST = +10; signal line is +34
10/12/18; 10:00 AM EST = +24; signal line is +36
10/12/18; 9:36 AM EST = +24; signal line is +36
10/11/18; 3:50 PM EST = +10; signal line is +37
10/11/18; 3:21 PM EST = +24; signal line is +38
10/11/18; 3:12 PM EST = +10; signal line is +39
10/11/18; 3:03 PM EST = -6; signal line is +41
10/11/18; 2:41 PM EST = +10; signal line is +44
10/11/18; 9:36 AM EST = +24; signal line is +46
10/10/18; 2:46 PM EST = +8; signal line is +47
10/10/18; 1:56 PM EST = +24; signal line is +49
10/10/18; 1:24 PM EST = +38; signal line is +51
10/10/18; 1:05 PM EST = +24; signal line is +53
10/10/18; 11:15 AM EST = +38; signal line is +54
10/10/18; 10:57 AM EST = +54; signal line is +56; go short 2846; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 = +6.4%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = -1.6%; Keybot algo for 2018 = +2.2%)(Actual results this trade = -2.9%; Actual trading results for 2018 = +11.7%)


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