STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side yesterday afternoon straight-up at 3 PM EST at SPX 6348. The algo number is 12 points below the signal line. The crash in copper comes out of left field (due to King Donnie's Trade and Tariff War) and then the Fed decision created soggy stocks triggering the robot to go short.

Copper needs to recover bigtime to right the ship but that does not appear to be on the docket going forward. S&P futures are up over +60 points on happy tech earnings last evening but copper will likely remain in the cellar.

Retail stocks and banks will tell you if the move lower has legs. If the XRT loses -1.6% and/or the XLF loses -2.0%, stocks will be in a lot of trouble. If these two parameters remain bullish, stocks will likely stutter sideways waiting on more information.

On the last trade, that ran for 2 months, the quant program gains a huge +7% ditto the actual trading. The entire gain for the S&P 500 this year (+8%) basically occurred over the last 2 months. For the year, the Keybot the Quant algorithm program is up +23% and the actual trading generated by the quant is up a huge +26% three times the gain in the SPX this year thus far. Keybot exited SPY and entered SDS back into the 2x ETF's since the whipsaw timer from 6/2/25 has expired.

As always, watch for a potential whipsaw, and futures are up big, but the copper crash may prevent the quant from flipping back to the long side. There are probably more surprises ahead this week but for now, Keybot the Quant is on the short side. The copper crash yesterday was more important than the ongoing tariff drama and the Fed.

8/3/25; 7:00 PM EST =
8/1/25; 9:00 AM EST =
7/31/25; 7:00 PM EST EOM =
7/30/25; 3:00 PM EST = +44; signal line is +56; go short 6348 (Benchmark SPX for 2025 = +7.9%)(Keybot algo this trade = +7.1%; Keybot algo for 2025 = +22.7%)(Actual results this trade = +7.0%; Actual results for 2025 = +25.8%)
7/30/25; 2:18 PM EST = +44; signal line is +56 but algorithm remains long
7/29/25; 10:00 AM EST = +60; signal line is +56
7/27/25; 7:00 PM EST = +57; signal line is +56
7/20/25; 7:00 PM EST = +57; signal line is +56
7/18/25; 10:00 AM EST = +57; signal line is +55
7/18/25; 9:00 AM EST = +57; signal line is +54
7/13/25; 7:00 PM EST = +57; signal line is +53
7/6/25; 7:00 PM EST = +57; signal line is +52
7/3/25; 9:00 AM EST = +57; signal line is +52
6/30/25; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ2 EOH1 = +57; signal line is +51
6/29/25; 7:00 PM EST = +57; signal line is +50
6/27/25; 10:00 AM EST = +57; signal line is +50
6/24/25; 10:00 AM EST = +57; signal line is +49
6/22/25; 7:00 PM EST = +60; signal line is +48
6/18/25; 9:00 AM EST = +60; signal line is +47
6/15/25; 7:00 PM EST = +60; signal line is +46
6/13/25; 3:09 PM EST = +60; signal line is +45
6/13/25; 2:38 PM EST = +44; signal line is +44 but algorithm remains long
6/13/25; 10:00 AM EST = +60; signal line is +44
6/8/25; 7:00 PM EST = +60; signal line is +43
6/6/25; 9:00 AM EST = +60; signal line is +41
6/4/25; 3:59 PM EST = +60; signal line is +40
6/4/25; 3:14 PM EST = +46; signal line is +39
6/4/25; 9:36 AM EST = +60; signal line is +38
6/3/25; 3:15 PM EST = +46; signal line is +38
6/3/25; 9:36 AM EST = +60; signal line is +37
6/2/25; 3:06 PM EST = +46; signal line is +36
6/2/25; 2:51 PM EST = +60; signal line is +35
6/2/25; 2:23 PM EST = +46; signal line is +35; go long 5925 (Benchmark SPX for 2025 = +0.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.1%; Keybot algo for 2025 = +15.6%)(Actual results this trade = -2.2%; Actual results for 2025 = +18.8%)