Wednesday, July 16, 2025

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long in a sleepy summer mode. The robot is idling along for over a week without printing any numbers. The bulls remain in control of the stock market but the banks, retail stocks and commodities are in play and the algo number is only 4 points from the signal line.

The SPX prints a new all-time high at 6302.04 yesterday but the all-time closing high at 6280.46 from 7/10/25 remains in place.

Banks are key since earnings are released this week. The quant identifies XLF 51.07 as the bull/bear line in the sand. In the pre-market right now, less than 5 hours before the opening bell on Wall Street, XLF is at 51.666. If XLF loses the 51.07 level, and the SPX is below 6242 trending lower, the quant will likely flip short.

The quant prints two pre-scheduled numbers this week one before the opening bell on Friday morning and one after the open. Watch the banks.

7/20/25; 7:00 PM EST =
7/18/25; 10:00 AM EST =
7/18/25; 9:00 AM EST =
7/13/25; 7:00 PM EST = +57; signal line is +53
7/6/25; 7:00 PM EST = +57; signal line is +52

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