Saturday, August 23, 2025

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the bull camp at 10 AM EST Friday morning at 6448 as Pope Powell brought the tablets down from On High and told everyone a rate cut is locked-in for 9/17/25. The crowd goes wild celebrating the crony capitalism system pumping stocks higher. The SPX was up over one hundo points intraday on the euphoria.

Interestingly, despite the rampant euphoric bull party, the S&P 500 did not print a new all-time high. The all-time record high remains at 6481.34 on 8/15/25, the prior Friday; traders must be happy for the weekend on Friday's. The all-time closing high remains at 6468.54 on 8/14/25. The SPX could have easily poked out a new record high and new record closing high but did not. Monday will be interesting.

The quant was champing at the bit to go long and the second Powell opened his pie hole it was off to the races. As previously explained, chips, banks and commodities are the three metrics most impacting stock market direction  currently. The stick-save with the chips and commodities this week paved the way for Powell to flap his dovish wings.

On the last trade that ran for about 3 weeks, the quant program and actual trading each lose a couple percent. On the year thus far, the benchmark SPX is up about +10%. The Keybot the Quant algorithm program is up +21% and the actual trading generated by the quant is up +23% outperforming the benchmark by 2x. Keybot the Quant exited SDS and entered SSO.

Since the banksters are running to the moon, the bears likely need weaker chips and/or commodities to wrestle back the market football. The algo number is only 9 points above the signal line. The end of August trading (EOM) is next Friday.

8/24/25; 7:00 PM EST =
8/22/25; 10:02 AM EST = +44; signal line is +35; go long 6448 (Benchmark SPX for 2025 = +9.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.6%; Keybot algo for 2025 = +21.1%)(Actual results this trade = -2.4%; Actual results for 2025 = +23.4%)
8/20/25; 11:17 AM EST = +44; signal line is +35 but algorithm remains short
8/20/25; 11:13 AM EST = +30; signal line is +35
8/20/25; 10:52 AM EST = +14; signal line is +35
8/20/25; 10:49 AM EST = +28; signal line is +36
8/20/25; 10:28 AM EST = +44; signal line is +35 but algorithm remains short
8/20/25; 10:18 AM EST = +28; signal line is +34
8/20/25; 9:41 AM EST = +44; signal line is +34 but algorithm remains short
8/19/25; 9:00 AM EST = +30; signal line is +34
8/17/25; 7:00 PM EST = +30; signal line is +34
8/15/25; 10:01 AM EST = +30; signal line is +35
8/15/25; 10:00 AM EST = +30; signal line is +35
8/12/25; 9:36 AM EST = +30; signal line is +37
8/11/25; 2:01 PM EST = +44; signal line is +38 but algorithm remains short
8/11/25; 1:43 PM EST = +30; signal line is +38
8/11/25; 12:31 PM EST = +44; signal line is +39 but algorithm remains short
8/11/25; 11:55 AM EST = +30; signal line is +39
8/11/25; 11:27 AM EST = +44; signal line is +40 but algorithm remains short
8/11/25; 10:47 AM EST = +30; signal line is +41
8/10/25; 7:00 PM EST = +44; signal line is +42 but algorithm remains short
8/8/25; 3:59 PM EST = +44; signal line is +43 but algorithm remains short
8/8/25; 2:39 PM EST = +30; signal line is +43
8/8/25; 10:59 AM EST = +44; signal line is +44 but algorithm remains short
8/8/25; 10:15 AM EST = +30; signal line is +44
8/8/25; 10:06 AM EST = +44; signal line is +45
8/7/25; 11:00 AM EST = +28; signal line is +46
8/6/25; 3:59 PM EST = +44; signal line is +47
8/6/25; 3:06 PM EST = +30; signal line is +48
8/5/25; 12:28 PM EST = +44; signal line is +48
8/5/25; 10:29 AM EST = +28; signal line is +49
8/4/25; 10:19 AM EST = +44; signal line is +50
8/4/25; 9:36 AM EST = +28; signal line is +50
8/3/25; 7:00 PM EST = +12; signal line is +51
8/1/25; 9:37 AM EST = +12; signal line is +53
8/1/25; 9:36 AM EST = +28; signal line is +54
8/1/25; 9:00 AM EST = +44; signal line is +55
7/31/25; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +44; signal line is +56
7/30/25; 3:00 PM EST = +44; signal line is +56; go short 6348 (Benchmark SPX for 2025 = +7.9%)(Keybot algo this trade = +7.1%; Keybot algo for 2025 = +22.7%)(Actual results this trade = +7.0%; Actual results for 2025 = +25.8%)

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