Keybot the Quant remains long as the daily stock market drama continues. The algo number is only 4 measly points above the signal line so the bulls are not as strong as prior days. The bulls pumped the banksters last week and the Fed maintained their jack boot on the throat of volatility to make sure stocks remain buoyant to please the wealthy class.
Utilities, volatility and commodities are the three metrics that will determine the fate of the stock market in the days ahead. The bull/bear lines in the sand are UTIL 1078.53, UTIL 1057.60, VIX 17.23 and GTX 3882.48, respectively.
UTIL begins the week at 1070 causing bearishness in markets being under 1079 but also creating bullishness because it is above 1058. One of these two parameters should flinch and that will tell you a lot about stock market direction ahead. Obviously, bulls need UTIL, or DJU, above 1079 because that paves the way to Christmas gifts galore and stock prices making more record highs. If UTIL loses 1058, however, may the Lord have mercy on your soul if you are long the stock market.
VIX begins trading overnight at 15.74. Bears got absolutely nothing unless the VIX climbs above 17.23. Stocks may sell off sharply, but if the VIX remains below 17.23, the selling is meaningless and stocks will recover. If stocks begin selling off and the VIX spikes above 17.23 heading higher, equities will be falling apart.
GTX starts the new week of trading at 3887 only a couple bucks from the line in the sand. It is there if the bears want it. Bulls need to keep GTX above 3882 or they are in big trouble. As commodities go, so goes the stock market.
Thus, mathematicians say thus a lot, that is why we are never invited to the neighborhood barbecue party, the bulls are in control of the stock market and if they can push UTIL above 1078.53, they are golden, with nothing but blue skies, bright flowers, sunshine and unicorns ahead to finish the year.
If UTIL loses 1057.60, or if VIX pops above 17.23, or if GTX loses 3882.48, any 1 of the 3 will do, the quant will be in position to go short. If 1 of the 3 flip into the bear camp, and if the SPX falls below 6801 trending lower, Keybot the Quant will likely flip short. Watch utilities, volatility and commodities and you can probably ignore everything else occurring in the stock market.
Keybot prints three prescheduled numbers this week, two on Tuesday morning when some jobs data will finally be available that will move markets, and the other on Friday morning. The bulls are trying to choke the bears in the shallow water as Edie sings, "What I Am."
12/21/25;
7:00 PM EST =
12/19/25;
10:00 AM EST =
12/16/25;
9:01 AM EST =
12/16/25;
9:00 AM EST =
12/14/25;
7:00 PM EST = +39; signal line is +35
12/10/25;
2:38 PM EST = +39; signal line is +33