STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant is long the stock market after a wild finish to the week. On Thursday morning, the algo flipped to the short side at SPX 2093. The bears were in control but the bulls fight back on Friday. In the final minutes of trading to end the week, the model flips back to the long side at SPX 2077. Utilities, retail stocks and volatility play a key role in Friday's drama.

For next week, the bulls will be in good shape if UTIL remains above 590 while the bears will growl again if VIX moves above 13.67. Next week's parameters and levels of interest to the algo can be identified after the Sunday pre-scheduled number prints.

For the long trade that ended on Thursday morning, the Keybot computer program gained +0.9% and the actual trading gained +1.6%. For the quick Thursday-Friday trade with Keybot flipping back to the long side, the algo program gained +0.8% and the actual trading +1.4%. The SPX Benchmark index is up a paltry +0.9% this year. The choppy sideways behavior continues for months chewing up bulls and bears. The Dow is negative on the year. The Keybot algorithm computer program is up nearly +4% this year and the Keybot actual trading, triggered by the algo, is up over +5% in 2015.

On Thursday morning when the algo flipped short, Keybot exited SSO and entered SDS. Late Friday when the algo flipped long, the algo exited SDS and entered SSO. The algo rules dictate a whipsaw as a flip in status within 10 hours and 22 minutes of trading time. The move back to the long side is not considered a whipsaw move and the algorithm remains in the 2x ETF funds (if a whipsaw would have occurred the algo would have dropped into single ETF's). The bulls are driving the bus but markets are a coin flip.

8/9/15; 7:00 PM EST =

8/7/15; 3:53 PM EST = +19; signal line is +7; go long 2077; (Benchmark SPX for 2015 = +0.9%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.8%; Keybot algo for 2015 = +3.9%)(Actual results this trade = +1.4%; Actual results for 2015 = +5.4%)

8/7/15; 11:56 AM EST = +5; signal line is +7

8/7/15; 11:51 AM EST = -11; signal line is +7

8/7/15; 11:32 AM EST = -27; signal line is +7

8/7/15; 10:29 AM EST = -11; signal line is +8

8/7/15; 9:57 AM EST = +3; signal line is +7

8/7/15; 9:00 AM EST = -11; signal line is +7

8/6/15; 11:32 AM EST = -11; signal line is +7

8/6/15; 9:54 AM EST = +3; signal line is +7; go short 2093; (Benchmark SPX for 2015 = +1.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.9%; Keybot algo for 2015 = +3.1%)(Actual results this trade = +1.6%; Actual results for 2015 = +4.0%)

8/4/15; 9:36 AM EST = +3; signal line is +5 but algorithm remains long

8/3/15; 3:46 PM EST = +19; signal line is +4

8/3/15; 2:24 PM EST = +3; signal line is +2

8/3/15; 9:36 AM EST = +19; signal line is +2

8/2/15; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +19; signal line is -1

7/31/15; 12:02 PM EST = +19; signal line is -3

7/31/15; 10:29 AM EST = +35; signal line is -6

7/31/15; 10:00 AM EST = +19; signal line is -8

7/31/15; 9:37 AM EST = +19; signal line is -10

7/28/15; 1:08 PM EST = +3; signal line is -12

7/28/15; 10:00 AM EST = -11; signal line is -14

7/27/15; 9:36 AM EST = -6; signal line is -15

7/26/15; 7:00 PM EST = +8; signal line is -15

7/24/15; 3:59 PM EST = +8; signal line is -16

7/24/15; 1:21 PM EST = -6; signal line is -18

7/21/15; 11:05 AM EST = +8; signal line is -19

7/19/15; 7:00 PM EST = +22; signal line is -20

7/17/15; 10:00 AM EST = +22; signal line is -22

7/17/15; 9:00 AM EST = +22; signal line is -23

7/13/15; 3:01 PM EST = +22; signal line is -25

7/13/15; 9:36 AM EST = +8; signal line is -27

7/12/15; 7:00 PM EST = -6; signal line is -28

7/10/15; 2:20 PM EST = -6; signal line is -30

7/10/15; 12:36 PM EST = -22; signal line is -30

7/10/15; 11:47 AM EST = -6; signal line is -30

7/10/15; 10:01 AM EST = -22; signal line is -29

7/10/15; 9:36 AM EST = -6; signal line is -29; go long 2075; (Benchmark SPX for 2015 = +0.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = +1.5%; Keybot algo for 2015 = +2.2%)(Actual results this trade = +2.6%; Actual results for 2015 = +2.4%)