STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short with the algo number 20 points below the signal line. The bears are feeling good but the stock market remains a coin-flip with counteracting forces everywhere. The metrics impacting stock market direction currently are utes, banks and chips in the bear camp versus copper and commodities in the bull camp.

There was lots of drama with utilities last week as they potentially break down and drag the stock market lower. UTIL 1103.18 is the bull/bear line in the sand for the week ahead. Price starts at 1107 so the bulls are already celebrating thinking they will be off to a positive start. If UTIL falls below 1103 this week, there will be Hell to pay going forward.

Bears need UTIL below 1103 pronto and at the same time pull CPER below 30.63 and GTX below 3859. It is a game of pennies and dollars since prices are so close to the lines in the sand. Copper futures need to drop about -1.4% for CPER to fail and flip to the bear camp. GTX is only 4 bucks away so that can flip bearish at the opening bell without much effort like utilities. The bulls must keep UTIL above 1103, CPER above 30.63 and GTX above 3859, otherwise, they will lay their head on the guillotine and accept their fate.

Bulls need help from the banksters. Bulls need XLF above 52.60 that is a +1.8% rise so watch it in the premarket. Bulls will also rejoice if SOX moves above 6597 that is a +3% rise needed to send the stock market higher.

If the bulls succeed on keeping UTIL above 1103 after the opening bell tomorrow morning, and also push the XLF above 52.60, and then the SPX overtakes 6660, trip 6's, Keybot the Quant will likely flip long. Stronger chips will also bolster the bull case and their hope of creating a strong stock market rally.

Bears need to spank UTIL below 1103 out of the gate tomorrow to prove they mean business. This action will maintain stock market negativity. Then, if GTX loses 3859 and/or CPER loses 30.63, it is goodnight for stocks that will be falling in earnest.

There are a lot of moving parts these days but focus on the UTIL 1103, XLF 52.60, GTX 3859 and CPER 30.63 lines in the sand. They will tell you the direction of the stock market ahead.

Keybot the Quant prints one prescheduled number this week on Tuesday morning shortly after the opening bell. Bulls and bears square off snorting and growling with utilities, banks, commodities and copper dictating the winner going forward. Bulls and bears are giving everyone the Run Around.

11/30/25; 7:00 PM EST =
11/25/25; 10:00 AM EST =
11/23/25; 7:00 PM EST = -19; signal line is +1
11/21/25; 12:03 PM EST = -19; signal line is +2
11/21/25; 10:00 AM EST = -33; signal line is +3
11/21/25; 9:36 AM EST = -33; signal line is +6
11/20/25; 12:02 PM EST = -19; signal line is +7