Keybot the Quant flips to the bull side at SPX 6805 after the opening bell for the new week of trading. Banks bounce and stocks are getting a lift on the hope for a resolution to the US government shutdown. So up we go, but the banksters stumble and fall on their sword, slumping over again, but now trying to recover.
It is all about the banks and the XLF 52.80 bull/bear line in the sand. Bulls win above XLF 52.80 and stocks will jump strongly higher with lower volatility.
Bears will win below XLF 52.80, like now, by pennies, and need to drag copper, commodities and utilities lower if they want to create stock market carnage.
For now, the bulls are in control but the bears are champing at the bit to take the ball back immediately with the algo number 12 points below the signal line. Watch for a potential whipsaw back to the short side over the next day. It is all about the banks.
On the last trade that ran just shy of a couple weeks, the quant program gains about a percent and the actual trading gains over +3% helped by the collapse in the tech stocks. Sometimes the specific ETF helps and sometimes it hurts; this time it helped. For the year that is in its last few weeks, as guitarists practice Christmas songs that everyone will want to hear, the benchmark SPX is up about +16%. America's wealthy class will be happy with that this year. The quant program is up about +28% and the actual trading triggered by the quant gains over +37% thus far this year outperforming the benchmark S&P 500 by over 2x. Keybot the Quant exited QID and entered SSO. May as well kick off the season with the top radio-play Christmas song for the last several years. Mariah Carey shaking her money-maker.
Watch XLF 52.80. You do not have to watch the broad stock market indexes because watching XLF 52.80 will tell you what they are doing.
11/16/25;
7:00 PM EST =
11/10/25;
10:44 AM EST = +13; signal line
is +25 but algorithm remains long
11/10/25; 9:36 AM EST = +29; signal line is +27; go long 6805
(Benchmark SPX for 2025 = +15.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.7%; Keybot algo
for 2025 = +27.5%)(Actual results this trade = +3.4%; Actual results for 2025 =
+37.4%)
11/9/25;
7:00 PM EST = +13; signal line
is +27
11/7/25;
10:00 AM EST = +13; signal line
is +28
11/7/25;
9:00 AM EST = +13; signal line
is +29
11/2/25;
7:00 PM EST EOM = +13; signal line is +30
10/31/25;
10:00 AM EST = +13; signal line
is +31
10/31/25;
3:06 AM EST = +27; signal line
is +32
10/30/25;
3:07 PM EST = +13; signal line
is +31
10/30/25;
12:13 PM EST = +27; signal line
is +31
10/30/25;
11:42 AM EST = +13; signal line
is +30
10/30/25;
11:15 AM EST = +27; signal line
is +30
10/30/25;
10:08 AM EST = +13; signal line
is +29
10/30/25;
9:52 AM EST = +27; signal line
is +29
10/30/25;
9:36 AM EST = +13; signal line
is +28
10/30/25;
9:17 AM EST = +27; signal line
is +28
10/30/25;
9:10 AM EST = +13; signal line
is +27
10/30/25;
3:06 AM EST = +27; signal line
is +27 but algorithm remains short
10/29/25;
3:19 PM EST = +13; signal line
is +26
10/29/25;
3:00 PM EST = +27; signal line
is +26 but algorithm remains short
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