Tuesday, November 18, 2025

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips short after the opening bell at SPX 6637. It is about time. The algo number is 22 points below the signal line. The price action has been very odd the last couple weeks. Chips collapse into the bear camp creating more broad stock market selling.

Watch SOX 6620, the bull/bear line in the sand. Bulls will stop the selling and stabilize the stock market if they push SOX above 6620. If SOX remains below 6620, the market will remain negative and the beatings will continue until moral improves. SOX 6620 is the rudder steering the market ship. As the semiconductors go, so goes the stock market.

Utilities remain elevated that gives the bulls some hope. Banks and chips are in the bear camp and creating negativity. Utes, copper and commodities are in the bull camp helping to support stocks and prevent a collapse.

On the last trade that ran for a week, the quant program loses about -2% and the actual trading generated by the quant loses -5%. That is a slap in the face but no worries. For the year, now getting down to the short strokes, the benchmark S&P 500 is up about +13%. The quant program is up +25% for 2025 and the actual trading is up +33% outperforming the benchmark by nearly 3x. Keybot the Quant exited SSO and entered QID.

SOX is at 6520 so the bulls need 100 points and 6620 and higher to stop the stock market selling. The drama continues. Live is still Selling the Drama.

11/23/25; 7:00 PM EST =
11/21/25; 10:00 AM EST =
11/19/25; 9:00 AM EST =
11/18/25; 9:47 AM EST = -3; signal line is +19; go short 6637 (Benchmark SPX for 2025 = +12.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = -2.4%; Keybot algo for 2025 = +25.1%)(Actual results this trade = -4.9%; Actual results for 2025 = +32.5%)
11/16/25; 7:00 PM EST = +13; signal line is +21 but algorithm remains long
11/10/25; 9:37 AM EST = +13; signal line is +23 but algorithm remains long
11/10/25; 11:53 AM EST = +29; signal line is +24
11/10/25; 10:44 AM EST = +13; signal line is +25 but algorithm remains long
11/10/25; 9:36 AM EST = +29; signal line is +27; go long 6805 (Benchmark SPX for 2025 = +15.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.7%; Keybot algo for 2025 = +27.5%)(Actual results this trade = +3.4%; Actual results for 2025 = +37.4%)

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