STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant is long. Happy Thanksgiving. The bears ate too much turkey because the tryptophan put them to sleep. The bulls came to play this week right out of the gate on Monday morning bludgeoning the bears.

Retail stocks are pumped higher. Ditto chips. Ditto the banksters that join the Thanksgiving holiday party. This morning, the commodities do not want left out and they jumped into the bull camp. The ago number explodes higher now 47 points above the signal line. The stock market remains euphorically bullish.

Volatility, utilities, commodities and banks are the key metrics impacting stock market direction.

The bulls need VIX below 17.23 to throw confetti and declare that the end of year rally is guaranteed going forward. Price is at 17.81 in real-time so the bulls need another 58 cents lower to celebrate a huge stock market victory. If stocks continue rallying, but the VIX does not drop below 17.23, the bulls got buptkis, and the joy in equities this week will likely reverse.

The bull/bear lines in the sand for commodities and banks are GTX 3858.50 and XLF 52.54, respectively. Bears need to pull prices below these numbers if they want to growl.

UTIL 1103.18 remains a very important line in the sand for this week and the bulls keep pumping utes to keep them buoyant and away from danger. Stocks trade for a half-day on Friday. On Monday, the 1103.18 is meaningless replaced with 1109.48 for all of next week. Watch UTIL, or DJU, like a hawk on Friday. If it ends this week below 1109, that will point to a sour start for the stock market for next week. If UTIL ends this week above 1109, the bulls will celebrate since they will be set up for more fun next week.

Watch VIX 17.23, GTX 3858.50, XLF 52.54, UTIL 1103.18 and UTIL 1109. They will tell you stock market direction. Volatility is the only one helping the bears right now. Bulls need the VIX jewel in their camp to continue a robust celebration going forward.

For now, the turkeys do not have a chance. Time to wear the pants with the elastic waist line and begin eating for the next four days. Hopefully, the poor and disadvantaged will have a great meal tomorrow. In this area, everything is being done that can be done. Maybe some abused, lonely and runaway kids can find some help, so they can remember how to smile. Runaway Train.

11/30/25; 7:00 PM EST =
11/26/25; 9:41 AM EST = +41; signal line is -6
11/25/25; 2:35 PM EST = +27; signal line is -7
11/25/25; 11:33 AM EST = +11; signal line is -8
11/25/25; 10:27 AM EST = -6; signal line is -8
11/25/25; 10:00 AM EST = -21; signal line is -8 but algorithm remains long
11/25/25; 9:44 AM EST = -17; signal line is -6 but algorithm remains long
11/25/25; 9:36 AM EST = -1; signal line is -5
11/24/25; 12:54 PM EST = +13; signal line is -4