Keybot the Quant remains long as the bulls and bears bloody each other in this Christmas season. The bears fight back and pull utilities and volatility into their camp but alas, volatility already runs back to the bull camp. The bulls remain in control of the stock market with the algo number 26 points above the signal line.
Utes, volatility, and banks are running the show so watch UTIL 1109.48, VIX 17.23, and XLF 52.67. The failure in the utilities is ominous for the stock market going forward. Keep watching to see if UTIL, or DJU, remains under 1109, that will be trouble, and especially if it falls below 1089 by the end of the week. Utes are creating market negativity but the VIX and XLF create positivity.
The Fed has its jackboot on the throat of Uncle Vix holding him to the ground so stocks can remain buoyant. The VIX is now at 16.95 in the early morning falling below 17. The bulls want to maintain control but will fall apart if the VIX moves above 17.23.
The banksters are teasing the XLF line in the sand, again. Each time the banks are ready to roll over, the happy dip-buyers buy with both fists. Today will be another test. Price ended yesterday at 52.89 only pennies from the bear camp at 52.67 that will create stock market angst. In the premarket, XLF pops to 52.97. Do you think the bulls are sweating? Yes they are already trying to keep the banksters heads above water.
If utilties remain negative, and either VIX or XLF turn negative, consider the caution flag to be out. If both metrics jump into the bear camp, consider the imminent turn to the downside to be in play for the quant.
The bears can take it if they want it; they need to turn volatility and banks bearish and pull the SPX below 6800 and that will likely be enough to flip the robot short. VIX is at 16.88 and XLF is at 52.98. The stock market is bipolar so some Lithium is in order. Kurt cracked.
12/7/25;
7:00 PM EST =
12/5/25;
10:00 AM EST =
12/2/25;
3:35 AM EST = +39; signal line is +13
12/1/25;
3:59 PM EST = +25; signal line is +11
12/1/25;
2:28 PM EST = +39; signal line is +11
12/1/25;
1:14 PM EST = +55; signal line is +9
12/1/25;
12:18 PM EST = +39; signal line is +7
12/1/25;
10:58 AM EST = +55; signal line is +5
12/1/25; 3:06 AM EST = +41; signal line is +3
11/30/25;
7:00 PM EST EOM = +55; signal line is +1
