Keybot the Quant remains long with the algo number 15 points above the signal line. Utilities and commodities came to play today.
Out of the gate, utilities perform a faceplant falling through the trap-door at UTIL 1059-1060 but this failure is nullified by commodities running higher. Geopolitics and more AI hype send oil, gold, silver, copper, and other commodities strongly higher creating stock market joy. GTX crosses above its bull/bear line in the sand at GTX 3882.
The algo was champing at the bit to go short this morning after the opening bell but that was a pipe dream because stocks were jumping higher because someone coughed and it sounded like he said, "buy."
For Tuesday, that will print a prescheduled number at 10 AM EST, the bulls need UTIL over 1101 to prove that they can keep stocks elevated until the Santa Claus rally begins Wednesday and runs to Monday, 1/5/25. UTIL 11 hundo is the only obstacle in the bull's way that will begin the day at UTIL 1065. It is a tall order, but direction can tell you something. If UTIL not only does not want to go up, but it continues down and through 1060, there will be Hell to pay. It is only 5 points away.
Bears need commodities to weaken. They created market joy today. Bears need GTX below the 3883 palindrome and that will create stock market trouble.
Bulls need UTIL above 1101 and there will be market joy through New Year's.
Bears need UTIL below 1060 where the wheels will immediately fall off the stock market bus. If GTX loses 3883, stocks will be dropping like rocks. If either parameter flips negative tomorrow, consider the imminent turn to be in play, and if the SPX moves below 6856, Keybot the Quant will likely flip short. The bears cannot say that they do not have a chance. So you're telling me there's a chance. All the bears need is weaker commodities and/or utilities, either one will do, and the SPX to drop 22 points.
12/28/25;
7:00 PM EST =
12/23/25;
10:00 AM EST =
12/22/25;
11:06 AM EST = +39; signal line is +24
12/22/25;
9:36 AM EST = +23; signal line is +24 but algorithm remains long
12/21/25;
7:00 PM EST = +25; signal line is +24
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