Monday, February 28, 2011

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long.  For Tuesday, the market bears will growl with joy if they push the SPX under 1321 while maintaining the VIX above 18.10.  If the VIX falls under 18.10, however, now at 18.35, then the bull party lives on.

4/3/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/31/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM =
3/29/11; 10:00 AM EST =
3/27/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/25/11; 10:00 AM EST =
3/20/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/16/11; 8:30 AM EST =
3/13/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/11/11; 10:00 AM EST =
3/6/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/4/11; 9:00 AM EST =
2/28/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM = +50
2/28/11; 3:23 PM EST = +50
2/28/11; 12:42 PM EST = +34; signal line is +35 but algorithm says stay long
2/28/11; 12:16 PM EST = +50
2/28/11; 11:44 AM EST = +34; signal line is +36 but algorithm says stay long
2/28/11; 10:21 AM EST = +50
2/27/11; 7:00 PM EST = +34; signal line is +37 but algorithm says stay long
2/25/11; 10:00 AM EST = +34; signal line is +37 but algorithm says stay long
2/25/11; 9:46 AM EST = +34; signal line is +38 but algorithm says stay long
2/25/11; 9:38 AM EST = +50; signal line is +38; go long 1314; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+4.5%)(Keybot this trade=+1.3%; Keybot for 2011=+3.6%)(Actual this trade via MZZ=+2.6%; Actual for 2011=+6.7%)
2/25/11; 9:31 AM EST = +34; signal line is +40
2/24/11; 2:10 PM EST = +18

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

4/3/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/31/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM =
3/29/11; 10:00 AM EST =
3/27/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/25/11; 10:00 AM EST =
3/20/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/16/11; 8:30 AM EST =
3/13/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/11/11; 10:00 AM EST =
3/6/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/4/11; 9:00 AM EST =
2/28/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM =
2/28/11; 12:16 PM EST = +50
2/28/11; 11:44 AM EST = +34; signal line is +36 but algorithm says stay long
2/28/11; 10:21 AM EST = +50
2/27/11; 7:00 PM EST = +34; signal line is +37 but algorithm says stay long
2/25/11; 10:00 AM EST = +34; signal line is +37 but algorithm says stay long
2/25/11; 9:46 AM EST = +34; signal line is +38 but algorithm says stay long
2/25/11; 9:38 AM EST = +50; signal line is +38; go long 1314; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+4.5%)(Keybot this trade=+1.3%; Keybot for 2011=+3.6%)(Actual this trade via MZZ=+2.6%; Actual for 2011=+6.7%)
2/25/11; 9:31 AM EST = +34; signal line is +40
2/24/11; 2:10 PM EST = +18

STOCK MARKET BULISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long but the retail sector buoyancy fades away and semi's continue to weaken.

4/3/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/31/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM =
3/29/11; 10:00 AM EST =
3/27/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/25/11; 10:00 AM EST =
3/20/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/16/11; 8:30 AM EST =
3/13/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/11/11; 10:00 AM EST =
3/6/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/4/11; 9:00 AM EST =
2/28/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM =
2/28/11; 11:44 AM EST = +34; signal line is +36 but algorithm says stay long
2/28/11; 10:21 AM EST = +50
2/27/11; 7:00 PM EST = +34; signal line is +37 but algorithm says stay long
2/25/11; 10:00 AM EST = +34; signal line is +37 but algorithm says stay long
2/25/11; 9:46 AM EST = +34; signal line is +38 but algorithm says stay long
2/25/11; 9:38 AM EST = +50; signal line is +38; go long 1314; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+4.5%)(Keybot this trade=+1.3%; Keybot for 2011=+3.6%)(Actual this trade via MZZ=+2.6%; Actual for 2011=+6.7%)
2/25/11; 9:31 AM EST = +34; signal line is +40
2/24/11; 2:10 PM EST = +18

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Retail sector is enjoying some buoyancy this morning.  Semi's are looking weak.  Keybot the Quant remains long.

4/3/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/31/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM =
3/29/11; 10:00 AM EST =
3/27/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/25/11; 10:00 AM EST =
3/20/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/16/11; 8:30 AM EST =
3/13/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/11/11; 10:00 AM EST =
3/6/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/4/11; 9:00 AM EST =
2/28/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM =
2/28/11; 10:21 AM EST = +50
2/27/11; 7:00 PM EST = +34; signal line is +37 but algorithm says stay long
2/25/11; 10:00 AM EST = +34; signal line is +37 but algorithm says stay long
2/25/11; 9:46 AM EST = +34; signal line is +38 but algorithm says stay long
2/25/11; 9:38 AM EST = +50; signal line is +38; go long 1314; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+4.5%)(Keybot this trade=+1.3%; Keybot for 2011=+3.6%)(Actual this trade via MZZ=+2.6%; Actual for 2011=+6.7%)
2/25/11; 9:31 AM EST = +34; signal line is +40
2/24/11; 2:10 PM EST = +18

Saturday, February 26, 2011

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long to start the week.  During the Friday session, market bulls bounced the indexes with copper strength out of the gate.  The weak retail sector and higher volatility, however, are keeping the bulls in check.  This week, copper, retail and volatility, the Three Musketeers, will determine if the indexes live by the sword, or die by the sword. 

Keybot will print a prescheduled number Monday evening to close out the month so stay tuned.  As always, Keybot the Quant can fire off numbers at any time, independent of the prescheduled times listed below.

4/3/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/31/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM =
3/29/11; 10:00 AM EST =
3/27/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/25/11; 10:00 AM EST =
3/20/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/16/11; 8:30 AM EST =
3/13/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/11/11; 10:00 AM EST =
3/6/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/4/11; 9:00 AM EST =
2/28/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM =
2/27/11; 7:00 PM EST = +34; signal line is +37 but algorithm says stay long
2/25/11; 10:00 AM EST = +34; signal line is +37 but algorithm says stay long
2/25/11; 9:46 AM EST = +34; signal line is +38 but algorithm says stay long
2/25/11; 9:38 AM EST = +50; signal line is +38; go long 1314; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+4.5%)(Keybot this trade=+1.3%; Keybot for 2011=+3.6%)(Actual this trade via MZZ=+2.6%; Actual for 2011=+6.7%)
2/25/11; 9:31 AM EST = +34; signal line is +40
2/24/11; 2:10 PM EST = +18

Friday, February 25, 2011

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant flipped to the long side at 9:38 AM EST at SPX 1314.  Copper strength is helping equities as well as a bounce in the retail sector at the open.  Retail has since weakened again.  Keybot required reprogramming this morning to handle the ETF reverse splits.

3/13/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/11/11; 10:00 AM EST =
3/6/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/4/11; 9:00 AM EST =
2/28/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM =
2/27/11; 7:00 PM EST =
2/25/11; 10:00 AM EST = +34; signal line is +37 but algorithm says stay long
2/25/11; 9:46 AM EST = +34; signal line is +38 but algorithm says stay long
2/25/11; 9:38 AM EST = +50; signal line is +38; go long 1314; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+4.5%)(Keybot this trade=+1.3%; Keybot for 2011=+3.8%)(Actual this trade via MZZ=+2.6%; Actual for 2011=+6.7%)
2/25/11; 9:31 AM EST = +34; signal line is +40
2/24/11; 2:10 PM EST = +18
2/24/11; 1:22 PM EST = +2
2/24/11; 12:55 PM EST = +18
2/24/11; 12:44 PM EST = +2
2/23/11; 1:50 PM EST = +18
2/23/11; 1:23 PM EST = +2
2/23/11; 1:09 PM EST = -14
2/23/11; 12:02 PM EST = +2
2/23/11; 10:17 AM EST = +18
2/22/11; 11:40 AM EST = +34
2/22/11; 10:00 AM EST = +50
2/22/11; 9:31 AM EST = +50; signal line is +58; go short 1331; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+5.8%)(Keybot this trade=-0.2%; Keybot for 2011=+2.5%)(Actual this trade via SSO=-1.0%; Actual for 2011=+4.1%)
2/20/11; 7:00 PM EST = +64

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Copper regained its composure helping equities.

3/13/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/11/11; 10:00 AM EST =
3/6/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/4/11; 9:00 AM EST =
2/28/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM =
2/27/11; 7:00 PM EST =
2/25/11; 10:00 AM EST =
2/25/11; 9:31 AM EST = +34; signal line is +40
2/24/11; 2:10 PM EST = +18
2/24/11; 1:22 PM EST = +2
2/24/11; 12:55 PM EST = +18
2/24/11; 12:44 PM EST = +2
2/23/11; 1:50 PM EST = +18
2/23/11; 1:23 PM EST = +2
2/23/11; 1:09 PM EST = -14
2/23/11; 12:02 PM EST = +2
2/23/11; 10:17 AM EST = +18
2/22/11; 11:40 AM EST = +34
2/22/11; 10:00 AM EST = +50
2/22/11; 9:31 AM EST = +50; signal line is +58; go short 1331; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+5.8%)(Keybot this trade=-0.2%; Keybot for 2011=+2.5%)(Actual this trade via SSO=-1.0%; Actual for 2011=+4.1%)
2/20/11; 7:00 PM EST = +64

Thursday, February 24, 2011

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short.  Financials stumbled today but recovered.  Retail, copper and volatility are the three key elements that are keeping the markets weak.  Keybot clicks off a pre-scheduled number tomorrow morning at 10 AM EST so stay tuned.

3/13/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/11/11; 10:00 AM EST =
3/6/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/4/11; 9:00 AM EST =
2/28/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM =
2/27/11; 7:00 PM EST =
2/25/11; 10:00 AM EST =
2/24/11; 2:10 PM EST = +18
2/24/11; 1:22 PM EST = +2
2/24/11; 12:55 PM EST = +18
2/24/11; 12:44 PM EST = +2
2/23/11; 1:50 PM EST = +18
2/23/11; 1:23 PM EST = +2
2/23/11; 1:09 PM EST = -14
2/23/11; 12:02 PM EST = +2
2/23/11; 10:17 AM EST = +18
2/22/11; 11:40 AM EST = +34
2/22/11; 10:00 AM EST = +50
2/22/11; 9:31 AM EST = +50; signal line is +58; go short 1331; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+5.8%)(Keybot this trade=-0.2%; Keybot for 2011=+2.5%)(Actual this trade via SSO=-1.0%; Actual for 2011=+4.1%)
2/20/11; 7:00 PM EST = +64

Wednesday, February 23, 2011

SPX Chart Showing Keybot the Quant Signal Lines

Keybot the Quant's last five signals.  The green bar is market bullish moving forward and the red bar is market bearish moving forward.  Keybot remains short from 2/22/11 at 9:31 AM EST.

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short.  After lunch today, the financials and semi's were on shaky ground but have regained composure as we approach the close.  The -14 print at 1:09 PM EST is the first negative print for the Keystone Oscillator since 9/3/10, over five months ago.

3/13/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/11/11; 10:00 AM EST =
3/6/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/4/11; 9:00 AM EST =
2/28/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM =
2/27/11; 7:00 PM EST =
2/25/11; 10:00 AM EST =
2/23/11; 1:50 PM EST = +18
2/23/11; 1:23 PM EST = +2
2/23/11; 1:09 PM EST = -14
2/23/11; 12:02 PM EST = +2
2/23/11; 10:17 AM EST = +18
2/22/11; 11:40 AM EST = +34
2/22/11; 10:00 AM EST = +50
2/22/11; 9:31 AM EST = +50; signal line is +58; go short 1331; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+5.8%)(Keybot this trade=-0.2%; Keybot for 2011=+2.5%)(Actual this trade via SSO=-1.0%; Actual for 2011=+4.1%)
2/20/11; 7:00 PM EST = +64
2/17/11; 9:30 AM EST = +64

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short.  Retail sector weakened causing further market deterioration.

3/13/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/11/11; 10:00 AM EST =
3/6/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/4/11; 9:00 AM EST =
2/28/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM =
2/27/11; 7:00 PM EST =
2/25/11; 10:00 AM EST =
2/23/11; 10:17 AM EST = +18
2/22/11; 11:40 AM EST = +34
2/22/11; 10:00 AM EST = +50
2/22/11; 9:31 AM EST = +50; signal line is +58; go short 1331; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+5.8%)(Keybot this trade=-0.2%; Keybot for 2011=+2.5%)(Actual this trade via SSO=-1.0%; Actual for 2011=+4.1%)
2/20/11; 7:00 PM EST = +64
2/17/11; 9:30 AM EST = +64
2/16/11; 11:25 AM EST = +48; signal line is +58 but algorithm says stay long
2/16/11; 10:13 AM EST = +64; signal line is +59; go long 1334; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+6.0%)(Keybot this trade=-0.5%; Keybot for 2011=+2.7%)(Actual this trade via DXD=-1.3%; Actual for 2011=+5.1%)
2/16/11; 9:00 AM EST = +64; signal line is +59 but algorithm says stay short

Tuesday, February 22, 2011

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Copper slides causing further market deterioration.

3/13/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/11/11; 10:00 AM EST =
3/6/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/4/11; 9:00 AM EST =
2/28/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM =
2/27/11; 7:00 PM EST =
2/25/11; 10:00 AM EST =
2/22/11: 11:40 AM EST = +34
2/22/11; 10:00 AM EST = +50
2/22/11; 9:31 AM EST = +50; signal line is +58; go short 1331; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+5.8%)(Keybot this trade=-0.2%; Keybot for 2011=+2.5%)(Actual this trade via SSO=-1.0%; Actual for 2011=+4.1%)
2/20/11; 7:00 PM EST = +64
2/17/11; 9:30 AM EST = +64
2/16/11; 11:25 AM EST = +48; signal line is +58 but algorithm says stay long
2/16/11; 10:13 AM EST = +64; signal line is +59; go long 1334; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+6.0%)(Keybot this trade=-0.5%; Keybot for 2011=+2.7%)(Actual this trade via DXD=-1.3%; Actual for 2011=+5.1%)
2/16/11; 9:00 AM EST = +64; signal line is +59 but algorithm says stay short

STOCK MARKET BEARISH - SHORT

3/13/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/11/11; 10:00 AM EST =
3/6/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/4/11; 9:00 AM EST =
2/28/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM =
2/27/11; 7:00 PM EST =
2/25/11; 10:00 AM EST =
2/22/11; 10:00 AM EST = +50
2/22/11; 9:31 AM EST = +50; signal line is +58; go short 1331; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+5.8%)(Keybot this trade=-0.2%; Keybot for 2011=+2.5%)(Actual this trade via SSO=-1.0%; Actual for 2011=+4.1%)
2/20/11; 7:00 PM EST = +64
2/17/11; 9:30 AM EST = +64
2/16/11; 11:25 AM EST = +48; signal line is +58 but algorithm says stay long
2/16/11; 10:13 AM EST = +64; signal line is +59; go long 1334; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+6.0%)(Keybot this trade=-0.5%; Keybot for 2011=+2.7%)(Actual this trade via DXD=-1.3%; Actual for 2011=+5.1%)
2/16/11; 9:00 AM EST = +64; signal line is +59 but algorithm says stay short

STOCK MARKET BEARISH - SHORT

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side after the open.  VIX is key.

3/13/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/11/11; 10:00 AM EST =
3/6/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/4/11; 9:00 AM EST =
2/28/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM =
2/27/11; 7:00 PM EST =
2/25/11; 10:00 AM EST =
2/22/11; 10:00 AM EST =
2/22/11; 9:31 AM EST = +50; signal line is +58; go short 1331; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+5.8%)(Keybot this trade=-0.2%; Keybot for 2011=+2.5%)(Actual this trade via SSO=-1.0%; Actual for 2011=+4.1%)
2/20/11; 7:00 PM EST = +64
2/17/11; 9:30 AM EST = +64
2/16/11; 11:25 AM EST = +48; signal line is +58 but algorithm says stay long
2/16/11; 10:13 AM EST = +64; signal line is +59; go long 1334; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+6.0%)(Keybot this trade=-0.5%; Keybot for 2011=+2.7%)(Actual this trade via DXD=-1.3%; Actual for 2011=+5.1%)
2/16/11; 9:00 AM EST = +64; signal line is +59 but algorithm says stay short

Monday, February 21, 2011

SPX Showing Keybot the Quant Signal Lines

Keybot the Quant's signals over the last three months. The green bar is market bullish moving forward and the red bar is market bearish moving forward. Keybot the Quant is currently long from 2/16/11. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. The charts and information, as well as any links, are for educational and entertainment purposes only.

Sunday, February 20, 2011

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long with the market.  The following four levels require watching on Tuesday; UTIL 401.06; Copper 436.01; VIX 18.20; RTH 106.42.  If any one of these levels should fail, the market bears will start to growl, otherwise, market bulls remain in firm control.

A standard signal clicks off 10 AM Tuesday so view this as a potential market pivot area.

3/13/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/11/11; 10:00 AM EST =
3/6/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/4/11; 9:00 AM EST =
2/28/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM =
2/27/11; 7:00 PM EST =
2/25/11; 10:00 AM EST =
2/22/11; 10:00 AM EST =
2/20/11; 7:00 PM EST = +64
2/17/11; 9:30 AM EST = +64
2/16/11; 11:25 AM EST = +48; signal line is +58 but algorithm says stay long
2/16/11; 10:13 AM EST = +64; signal line is +59; go long 1334; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+6.0%)(Keybot this trade=-0.5%; Keybot for 2011=+2.7%)(Actual this trade via DXD=-1.3%; Actual for 2011=+5.1%)
2/16/11; 9:00 AM EST = +64; signal line is +59 but algorithm says stay short
2/15/11; 10:15 AM EST = +64; signal line is +59 but algorithm says stay short
2/15/11; 10:09 AM EST = +48; signal line is +59; go short 1327; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+5.5%)(Keybot this trade=+2.4%; Keybot for 2011=+3.2%)(Actual this trade via SSO=+5.0%; Actual for 2011=+6.4%)
2/15/11; 9:31 AM EST = +48; signal line is +59 but algorithm says stay long; reversal appears imminent
2/14/11; 3:45 PM EST = +64
2/14/11; 1:37 PM EST = +48; signal line is +60 but algorithm says stay long
2/14/11; 1:20 PM EST = +64

Friday, February 18, 2011

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant says the status is quo.  Bulls comfortably in control--especially after utilities jumped at the open yesterday.  For the market bears to have any hope today, UTIL would have to slip under 409.60, or Copper has to fall about 8 or 9 pennies, or the VIX would have to jump about 10% to 18.21, the VIX is now at 16.59.

Next standard signal for Keybot clicks off on Sunday but stay tuned, Keybot can start flashing at any time. 

If none of the three items above occur today, then the bulls will enjoy the pre-holiday weekend expected buoyancy and take an easy slide into the weekend.

3/6/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/4/11; 9:00 AM EST =
2/28/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM =
2/27/11; 7:00 PM EST =
2/22/11; 10:00 AM EST =
2/20/11; 7:00 PM EST =
2/17/11; 9:30 AM EST = +64
2/16/11; 11:25 AM EST = +48; signal line is +58 but algorithm says stay long
2/16/11; 10:13 AM EST = +64; signal line is +59; go long 1334; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+6.0%)(Keybot this trade=-0.5%; Keybot for 2011=+2.7%)(Actual this trade via DXD=-1.3%; Actual for 2011=+5.1%)
2/16/11; 9:00 AM EST = +64; signal line is +59 but algorithm says stay short
2/15/11; 10:15 AM EST = +64; signal line is +59 but algorithm says stay short
2/15/11; 10:09 AM EST = +48; signal line is +59; go short 1327; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+5.5%)(Keybot this trade=+2.4%; Keybot for 2011=+3.2%)(Actual this trade via SSO=+5.0%; Actual for 2011=+6.4%)
2/15/11; 9:31 AM EST = +48; signal line is +59 but algorithm says stay long; reversal appears imminent
2/14/11; 3:45 PM EST = +64

Thursday, February 17, 2011

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

3/6/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/4/11; 9:00 AM EST =
2/28/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM =
2/27/11; 7:00 PM EST =
2/22/11; 10:00 AM EST =
2/20/11; 7:00 PM EST =
2/17/11; 9:30 AM EST = +64
2/16/11; 11:25 AM EST = +48; signal line is +58 but algorithm says stay long
2/16/11; 10:13 AM EST = +64; signal line is +59; go long 1334; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+6.0%)(Keybot this trade=-0.5%; Keybot for 2011=+2.7%)(Actual this trade via DXD=-1.3%; Actual for 2011=+5.1%)
2/16/11; 9:00 AM EST = +64; signal line is +59 but algorithm says stay short
2/15/11; 10:15 AM EST = +64; signal line is +59 but algorithm says stay short
2/15/11; 10:09 AM EST = +48; signal line is +59; go short 1327; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+5.5%)(Keybot this trade=+2.4%; Keybot for 2011=+3.2%)(Actual this trade via SSO=+5.0%; Actual for 2011=+6.4%)
2/15/11; 9:31 AM EST = +48; signal line is +59 but algorithm says stay long; reversal appears imminent
2/14/11; 3:45 PM EST = +64
2/14/11; 1:37 PM EST = +48; signal line is +60 but algorithm says stay long
2/14/11; 1:20 PM EST = +64
2/14/11; 9:59 AM EST = +48; signal line is +60 but algorithm says stay long
2/13/11; 7:00 PM EST = +64
2/11/11; 10:00 AM EST = +64

KEY SECTOR AND SPX PRICE TODAY

Keybot the Quant is long but tenuously long.  The oscillator signal prefers the short side but the algorithm is temporarily overriding the oscillator.  Stay tuned today for a firming of the signals in one direction or the other.

Watch UTIL 409.60, which failed yesterday.  Also, SPX 1329.51.  If the markets stay above these values then the bulls remain in control.  If SPX 1329.51 fails after the open with the utilities remaining sub 409.60, then Keybot the Quant will probably trigger to the short side again.

Wednesday, February 16, 2011

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

3/6/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/4/11; 9:00 AM EST =
2/28/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM =
2/27/11; 7:00 PM EST =
2/22/11; 10:00 AM EST =
2/20/11; 7:00 PM EST =
2/16/11; 11:25 AM EST = +48; signal line is +58 but algorithm says stay long
2/16/11; 10:13 AM EST = +64; signal line is +59; go long 1334; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+6.0%)(Keybot this trade=-0.5%; Keybot for 2011=+2.7%)(Actual this trade via DXD=-1.3%; Actual for 2011=+5.1%)
2/16/11; 9:00 AM EST = +64; signal line is +59 but algorithm says stay short
2/15/11; 10:15 AM EST = +64; signal line is +59 but algorithm says stay short
2/15/11; 10:09 AM EST = +48; signal line is +59; go short 1327; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+5.5%)(Keybot this trade=+2.4%; Keybot for 2011=+3.2%)(Actual this trade via SSO=+5.0%; Actual for 2011=+6.4%)
2/15/11; 9:31 AM EST = +48; signal line is +59 but algorithm says stay long; reversal appears imminent
2/14/11; 3:45 PM EST = +64
2/14/11; 1:37 PM EST = +48; signal line is +60 but algorithm says stay long
2/14/11; 1:20 PM EST = +64
2/14/11; 9:59 AM EST = +48; signal line is +60 but algorithm says stay long
2/13/11; 7:00 PM EST = +64
2/11/11; 10:00 AM EST = +64

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant flipped back to the long side at SPX 1334 at 10:13 AM EST.  Utilites remain above the critical 409.60 level and SPX took out yesterday's HOD.

3/6/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/4/11; 9:00 AM EST =
2/28/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM =
2/27/11; 7:00 PM EST =
2/22/11; 10:00 AM EST =
2/20/11; 7:00 PM EST =
2/16/11; 10:13 AM EST = +64; signal line is +59; go long 1334; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+6.0%)(Keybot this trade=-0.5%; Keybot for 2011=+2.7%)(Actual this trade via DXD=-1.3%; Actual for 2011=+5.1%)
2/16/11; 9:00 AM EST = +64; signal line is +59 but algorithm says stay short
2/15/11; 10:15 AM EST = +64; signal line is +59 but algorithm says stay short
2/15/11; 10:09 AM EST = +48; signal line is +59; go short 1327; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+5.5%)(Keybot this trade=+2.4%; Keybot for 2011=+3.2%)(Actual this trade via SSO=+5.0%; Actual for 2011=+6.4%)
2/15/11; 9:31 AM EST = +48; signal line is +59 but algorithm says stay long; reversal appears imminent
2/14/11; 3:45 PM EST = +64
2/14/11; 1:37 PM EST = +48; signal line is +60 but algorithm says stay long
2/14/11; 1:20 PM EST = +64
2/14/11; 9:59 AM EST = +48; signal line is +60 but algorithm says stay long
2/13/11; 7:00 PM EST = +64
2/11/11; 10:00 AM EST = +64
2/6/11; 7:00 PM EST = +64
2/4/11; 9:00 AM EST = +64
2/1/11; 9:34 AM EST = +64; signal line is +60; go long 1296; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+3.0%)(Keybot this trade=-1.1%; Keybot for 2011=+0.8%)(Actual this trade via SDS=-2.4%; Actual for 2011=+1.4%)
1/31/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM = +50
1/31/11; 1:22 PM EST = +50
1/31/11; 1:06 PM EST = +64; signal line is +60 but algorithm says stay short
1/30/11; 7:00 PM EST = +50

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant is watching SPX 1330.43 and UTIL 409.60. 

3/6/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/4/11; 9:00 AM EST =
2/28/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM =
2/27/11; 7:00 PM EST =
2/22/11; 10:00 AM EST =
2/20/11; 7:00 PM EST =
2/16/11; 9:00 AM EST = +64; signal line is +59 but algorithm says stay short
2/15/11; 10:15 AM EST = +64; signal line is +59 but algorithm says stay short
2/15/11; 10:09 AM EST = +48; signal line is +59; go short 1327; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+5.5%)(Keybot this trade=+2.4%; Keybot for 2011=+3.2%)(Actual this trade via SSO=+5.0%; Actual for 2011=+6.4%)
2/15/11; 9:31 AM EST = +48; signal line is +59 but algorithm says stay long; reversal appears imminent
2/14/11; 3:45 PM EST = +64
2/14/11; 1:37 PM EST = +48; signal line is +60 but algorithm says stay long
2/14/11; 1:20 PM EST = +64
2/14/11; 9:59 AM EST = +48; signal line is +60 but algorithm says stay long
2/13/11; 7:00 PM EST = +64
2/11/11; 10:00 AM EST = +64
2/6/11; 7:00 PM EST = +64
2/4/11; 9:00 AM EST = +64
2/1/11; 9:34 AM EST = +64; signal line is +60; go long 1296; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+3.0%)(Keybot this trade=-1.1%; Keybot for 2011=+0.8%)(Actual this trade via SDS=-2.4%; Actual for 2011=+1.4%)
1/31/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM = +50
1/31/11; 1:22 PM EST = +50
1/31/11; 1:06 PM EST = +64; signal line is +60 but algorithm says stay short
1/30/11; 7:00 PM EST = +50

KEY SECTOR AND SPX PRICE TODAY

Interesting morning shaping up for Keybot the Quant.  A standard signal clicks off at 9 AM EST.

If the SPX moves above 1330.43 Keybot will probably return to the long side.  The utilites are the key sector to watch now, and more specifically the 409.60 level.  Keybot should return to the long side if the utes stay above 409.60.  If UTIL loses 409.60, especially shortly after this morning's open, that will be a hint that the short side is the preferred direction.

If Keybot flips back to the long side it probably will not occur until after the 10 AM EST hour.

Watch SPX 1330.43 and UTIL 409.60.

Tuesday, February 15, 2011

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

3/6/11; 7:00 PM EST =
3/4/11; 9:00 AM EST =
2/28/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM =
2/27/11; 7:00 PM EST =
2/22/11; 10:00 AM EST =
2/20/11; 7:00 PM EST =
2/16/11; 9:00 AM EST = 
2/15/11; 10:15 AM EST = +64; signal line is +59 but algorithm says stay short
2/15/11; 10:09 AM EST = +48; signal line is +59; go short 1327; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+5.5%)(Keybot this trade=+2.4%; Keybot for 2011=+3.2%)(Actual this trade via SSO=+5.0%; Actual for 2011=+6.4%)
2/15/11; 9:31 AM EST = +48; signal line is +59 but algorithm says stay long; reversal appears imminent
2/14/11; 3:45 PM EST = +64
2/14/11; 1:37 PM EST = +48; signal line is +60 but algorithm says stay long
2/14/11; 1:20 PM EST = +64
2/14/11; 9:59 AM EST = +48; signal line is +60 but algorithm says stay long
2/13/11; 7:00 PM EST = +64
2/11/11; 10:00 AM EST = +64
2/6/11; 7:00 PM EST = +64
2/4/11; 9:00 AM EST = +64
2/1/11; 9:34 AM EST = +64; signal line is +60; go long 1296; (Benchmark SPX for 2011=+3.0%)(Keybot this trade=-1.1%; Keybot for 2011=+0.8%)(Actual this trade via SDS=-2.4%; Actual for 2011=+1.4%)
1/31/11; 7:00 PM EST; EOM = +50
1/31/11; 1:22 PM EST = +50
1/31/11; 1:06 PM EST = +64; signal line is +60 but algorithm says stay short
1/30/11; 7:00 PM EST = +50