STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant is long moving into the Thursday session but as seen by both the algo number and signal line at +80, the model is champing at the bit to go short. Keybot did not latch all the necessary parameters yesterday to flip short so it remains long. The imminent turn notation is in the title line. Thursday is a battle between commodities and copper and interestingly, they will likely move in the same direction. The bulls need GTX above 2154 to continue the stock market rally. GTX popped above yesterday only to reverse and collapse.

The bears need to push JJC (copper) under 25.14 to create market weakness. If JJC drops under 25.14 and SPX under 2058, Keybot will likely flip short. Copper is down -0.9% in early trading which would correlate to JJC at 25.08 in bear territory after the opening bell.

Note that Keybot prints an off-the-charts, overbot, lofty, very rare and uber high +94 yesterday. This likely warns of trouble ahead for stocks since there is little room for the algo to move higher (+100 is maximum for the Keybot the Quant oscillator).

For the SPX starting at 2064, the bulls need to push above 2072 to accelerate the upside. The bears need to push under 2058 to accelerate the downside. S&P futures are -4 three hours before the opening bell. A move through 2059-2063 is sideways action but this is such a tight range that markets will likely make a decision up or down instead.

Keybot remains in the bull camp but it appears the algo may flip short today. Watch JJC 25.14 and SPX 2058 for the answer. Keybot only sees 1's and 0's so you have to simply wait to see how the algo progresses.

3/31/16; 7:00 PM EST EOM =

3/30/16; 10:07 AM EST = +80; signal line is +80 but algorithm remains long

3/30/16; 9:52 AM EST = +94; signal line is +79

3/29/16; 2:15 PM EST = +80; signal line is +77; go long 2050; (Benchmark SPX for 2016 = +0.3%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.2%; Keybot algo for 2016 = +7.8%)(Actual results this trade = -1.4%; Actual results for 2016 = +13.0%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the long side at SPX 2050 this afternoon. The NYA runs above 10156 creating upside bullish joy in markets. The choppy behavior will likely continue and do not be surprised with a reversal back to the downside. The bears need to push NYA under 10156 to stop the upside stock market rally and roll equities over to the downside. The bulls need to push GTX above 2155 to prove they have the beans to take stocks higher. If NYA remains above 10156 and GTX under 2155, stocks will drift along sideways with a slight upward bias.

The algo number is only 3 points above the signal line so a cautious stance has to be maintained. If NYA turns bearish as described above, consider the imminent turn notation to be in play and a potential whipsaw to the downside.

For the SPX on Wednesday starting at 2055, the bulls need only one point of upside, to touch the 2056 handle, and the upside will accelerate above 2060 in a flash. The bears need to push under 2028 to get their mojo back. A move through 2029-2054 is sideways action for hump day. The bulls have the ball.

The benchmark SPX index turns positive on the year by a few points (the year began at 2044), up +0.3%. The Keybot algorithm program lost -1.2% on the last trade and the actual trading lost -1.4%. Keybot remains in single ETF's and exits SH with the loss and enters SPY. The actual trading generated by Keybot remains up +13% on the year while the benchmark SPX is flat.

4/3/16; 7:00 PM EST =

4/1/16; 10:00 AM EST =

4/1/16; 9:00 AM EST =

3/31/16; 7:00 PM EST EOM =

3/29/16; 2:15 PM EST = +80; signal line is +77; go long 2050; (Benchmark SPX for 2016 = +0.3%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.2%; Keybot algo for 2016 = +7.8%)(Actual results this trade = -1.4%; Actual results for 2016 = +13.0%)

3/29/16; 10:00 AM EST = +66; signal line is +77

3/27/16; 7:00 PM EST = +64; signal line is +77

3/24/16; 2:44 PM EST = +64; signal line is +76

3/24/16; 9:31 AM EST = +50; signal line is +76; go short 2026; (Benchmark SPX for 2016 = -0.9%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.9%; Keybot algo for 2016 = +9.0%)(Actual results this trade = +0.3%; Actual results for 2016 = +14.4%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short as markets print a quiet sideways day. The status is quo. The SPX remains above 2030 creating market positivity. The GTX remains under 2156 and NYA under 10158 creating stock market negativity. One of these parameters will finch and confirm the market direction ahead. If either GTX or NYA turn positive, and the SPX moves above 2043, Keybot will likely flip long.

For the SPX on Tuesday starting at 2037, the bulls need to touch the 2043 handle and the upside will accelerate towards 2050. The bears need to push under 2032 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2033-2042 is sideways action. Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number one-half hour after the opening bell. The stock market remains a coin flip until one of the above three parameters announce the path ahead.

3/29/16; 10:00 AM EST =

3/27/16; 7:00 PM EST = +64; signal line is +77

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant is on the short side moving into the new week of trading. The algo flipped into the bear camp last Thursday morning which was the last trading day of the week. Markets remain a coin flip with the bears winning with the algo number 13 points below the signal line. Monday is a battle between the S&P 500, NYA Index and commodities. These three parameters are most affecting broad market direction currently; SPX 2030, NYA 10181 and GTX 2156. The SPX is above 2030 creating market bullishness. The NYA is under 10181 and GTX under 2156 creating bearish negativity in the stock market that reared its head late last week.

The bulls need either NYA above 10181 and/or GTX above 2156 to restart the upside stock market rally and place Keybot in the position to likely flip back to the long side. Therefore, the imminent turn notation remains in the title line. The bears need SPX under 2030 and downside carnage will begin.

For the SPX starting at 2036, the bulls need only a smidge of positivity in the overnight futures and bingo, the upside will accelerate several handles after the opening bell to 2040 in a flash. The bears need to push under 2022 to create a downside acceleration. As mentioned, however, if 2030 fails, the SPX will drop like a rock to test 2022 in a heartbeat where it would either bounce or die. The SPX must push under 2022 to prove it has the beans to take stocks much lower. A move through 2023-2035 on Monday would be deemed a sideways day. The bears are in control. Watch SPX 2030 and GTX 2156. Keybot prints four pre-scheduled numbers this week as March ends on Thursday (EOM) and April begins on Friday.

4/3/16; 7:00 PM EST =

4/1/16; 10:00 AM EST =

4/1/16; 9:00 AM EST =

3/31/16; 7:00 PM EST EOM =

3/29/16; 10:00 AM EST =

3/27/16; 7:00 PM EST = +64; signal line is +77

3/24/16; 2:44 PM EST = +64; signal line is +76

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side after Thursday's opening bell at SPX 2026. The S&P 500 losing the 2030 level is a critical failure but as the trading mood improved into the Easter holiday weekend, the SPX recovers back above the important 2030 level to 2036. This battle continues next week and is key to overall stock market direction. Commodities (GTX) will also play a key role.

US markets are closed until Monday morning. On the last trade, the Keybot the Quant algorithm computer program gains almost +1% while the actual trading gains only a paltry +0.3% due to the gap-down after the opening bell which chews up profits. The benchmark SPX is down about -1% this year (started at 2044) reversing a positive stance on the year for the first time during the trading week. Keybot exits SPY and enters SH remaining in the single ETF's until 4/14/16 as long as a whipsaw does not occur.

The imminent turn notation remains in the title line since stocks may flip back to the long side on Monday depending on the price action in SPX, GTX and NYA. The parameters can be set up for next week as the weekend progresses. The month of March ends on Thursday (EOM). Happy Easter.

4/3/16; 7:00 PM EST =

4/1/16; 9:00 AM EST =

3/31/16; 7:00 PM EST EOM =

3/29/16; 10:00 AM EST =

3/27/16; 7:00 PM EST =

3/24/16; 2:44 PM EST = +64; signal line is +76

3/24/16; 9:31 AM EST = +50; signal line is +76; go short 2026; (Benchmark SPX for 2016 = -0.9%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.9%; Keybot algo for 2016 = +9.0%)(Actual results this trade = +0.3%; Actual results for 2016 = +14.4%)

3/23/16; 2:39 PM EST = +64; signal line is +76 but algorithm remains long

3/23/16; 9:36 AM EST = +78; signal line is +75

3/22/16; 10:26 AM EST = +92; signal line is +74

3/22/16; 9:36 AM EST = +78; signal line is +72

3/21/16; 12:58 PM EST = +92; signal line is +70

3/21/16; 12:46 PM EST = +78; signal line is +69

3/21/16; 11:22 AM EST = +92; signal line is +68

3/21/16; 10:12 AM EST = +78; signal line is +67

3/20/16; 7:00 PM EST = +92; signal line is +67

3/18/16; 1:48 PM EST = +92; signal line is +65

3/18/16; 1:40 PM EST = +78; signal line is +64

3/18/16; 10:00 AM EST = +92; signal line is +63

3/18/16; 9:36 AM EST = +93; signal line is +62

3/17/16; 3:51 PM EST = +79; signal line is +61

3/17/16; 3:27 PM EST = +93; signal line is +60

3/17/16; 3:17 PM EST = +79; signal line is +58

3/17/16; 2:13 PM EST = +93; signal line is +57

3/17/16; 10:55 AM EST = +79; signal line is +55

3/16/16; 3:51 PM EST = +65; signal line is +54

3/16/16; 3:43 PM EST = +79; signal line is +52

3/16/16; 11:14 AM EST = +65; signal line is +50

3/16/16; 9:00 AM EST = +51; signal line is +49

3/14/16; 9:36 AM EST = +51; signal line is +48

3/13/16; 7:00 PM EST = +65; signal line is +47

3/11/16; 9:36 AM EST = +65; signal line is +46; go long 2008; (Benchmark SPX for 2016 = -1.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.8%; Keybot algo for 2016 = +8.1%)(Actual results this trade = -3.4%; Actual results for 2016 = +14.1%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long but the algo is champing at the bit to go short. The algo number is below the signal line but the necessary parameters have not latched to permit the move to the bear side. If the SPX drops under 2035 on Thursday morning, Keybot will likely flip short. If GTX moves above 2156.50 (now only one point beneath), all bets are off for bears and the bulls will stabilize equities sideways with a slight upward bias. If the 2035 fails and Keybot flips short, watch the 2030 level; if this fails, stocks may go into a quick free fall.

For the SPX starting at 2037, the bulls need to touch the 2049 handle and bingo, price will accelerate higher into the Easter weekend. US markets are closed on Friday. The bears need to push under 2035 to accelerate the downside and Keybot will likely flip short. A move through 2036-2048 is sideways action.

If bullish, you want GTX above 2156.50 as soon as possible. If bearish, youi want the SPX to drop under 2035 and then a failure at 2030 will likely create downside carnage.

3/27/16; 7:00 PM EST =

3/23/16; 2:39 PM EST = +64; signal line is +76 but algorithm remains long

3/23/16; 9:36 AM EST = +78; signal line is +75

3/22/16; 10:26 AM EST = +92; signal line is +74

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long and prints two numbers during the Tuesday session. The NYA dipped under its critical 10181 level but recovered. Watch this and SPX 2031 and GTX 2158. All three parameters are bullish creating market upside. If any one turns bearish, that will stop the stock market rally. If two of the three flip bearish, Keybot will likely flip short.

For Wednesday with the SPX starting at 2050, the bulls need to touch the 2057 handle and the upside will accelerate well into the 2060's. The bears need to push under 2041 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2042-2056 is sideways action. Watch the three parameters above to gauge the oomph of any pullback in stocks.

3/27/16; 7:00 PM EST =

3/22/16; 10:26 AM EST = +92; signal line is +74

3/22/16; 9:36 AM EST = +78; signal line is +72

3/21/16; 12:58 PM EST = +92; signal line is +70

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long as the new week begins with the algo printing four numbers. The model remains overbot at +92 which is a significant event not seen often and the algo number is 22 points above the signal line. The bears need either SPX under 2031, NYA under 10180 and/or GTX under 2152 to stop the bull rally. If any 2 of the 3 parameters turn bearish, Keybot will likely flip short.

For Tuesday with the SPX starting at 2052, the bulls need to touch the 2054 handle and bingo, price will accelerate higher. The bears need to push under 2043 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2044-2053 is sideways action. Keep an eye on the 3 parameters listed above to determine if the market is going to turn south.

3/27/16; 7:00 PM EST =

3/21/16; 12:58 PM EST = +92; signal line is +70

3/21/16; 12:46 PM EST = +78; signal line is +69

3/21/16; 11:22 AM EST = +92; signal line is +68

3/21/16; 10:12 AM EST = +78; signal line is +67

3/20/16; 7:00 PM EST = +92; signal line is +67

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long moving into the new week of trading. NYA 10202 is the line in the sand for bulls and bears. NYA begins at 10223 in the bull camp creating bullishness in the stock market. Bears got nothing unless they move NYA under 10202. Bulls will send the stock market sideways to sideways higher as long as NYA remains above 10202.

For the SPX starting at 2050, the bulls need two points of upside, to push above 2052 and the upside will immediately accelerate towards 2060. The bears need to push below 2041 to accelerate the downside into the low 2030's in a heartbeat. A move through 2042-2051 is sideways action to begin the week. The bulls are in charge with the algo number 25 points above the signal line. Keybot is seriously overbot now at +92 so although bullish, there may be something nasty coming in the days and weeks ahead. Keybot does not print any pre-scheduled numbers this week. The trading week is only four days with markets closed for Good Friday.

3/27/16; 7:00 PM EST =

3/20/16; 7:00 PM EST = +92; signal line is +67

3/18/16; 1:48 PM EST = +92; signal line is +65

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long through the weekend in a wild finish to the trading week. The stock market pivoted higher on Thursday destroying the bear's hopes for downside. The SPX is above 2031 and the GTX is above 2152, two key levels identified by the robot, and the big time push higher in equities occurs as NYA moves above 10202. The NYA 10202 level will be key first thing Monday morning.

The algo is off the charts bullish hitting the +93 level this is astounding. The Keybot algorithm is an oscillator at its heart so algo numbers over +80 represent an overbot condition and under -80 oversold. Overbot conditions typically hint at a euphoric top taking place. Prior overbot levels during the last couple years occurred in May-June 2014 and a major top occurred in late June 2014. The algorithm hit +84 in February 2015 which resulted in a stock market top. In April-May 2015, the algo printed in the +81 to +84 overbot territory and that marked the multi-month top in the stock market that continues to hold 10 months later. What will a +93 lead to? If playing the market on the long side over the next couple months exercise extreme caution since there is likely an important and significant stock market top on the come at any time say within the next 8 weeks. Interestingly, as a sidebar, the stock market topped in October 2007 then the crash began about one year later in October 2008. Using this same fractal relationship, the stock market placed its top last May 2015 and one year later would be May 2016. Perhaps traders will be screaming "May Day; May Day" in a few weeks time.

For now, the bulls are joyously celebrating each day with the algo number 27 points above the signal line. Stocks will continue higher unless the bears can send the NYA under 10202 which will stop the rally in its tracks. Monday can be set up after the Sunday pre-scheduled number prints tomorrow.

3/20/16; 7:00 PM EST =

3/18/16; 1:48 PM EST = +92; signal line is +65

3/18/16; 1:40 PM EST = +78; signal line is +64

3/18/16; 10:00 AM EST = +92; signal line is +63

3/18/16; 9:36 AM EST = +93; signal line is +62

3/17/16; 3:51 PM EST = +79; signal line is +61

3/17/16; 3:27 PM EST = +93; signal line is +60

3/17/16; 3:17 PM EST = +79; signal line is +58

3/17/16; 2:13 PM EST = +93; signal line is +57

3/17/16; 10:55 AM EST = +79; signal line is +55

3/16/16; 3:51 PM EST = +65; signal line is +54

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long. The algo prints four numbers today including the pre-scheduled number. The bulls remain in control. Thursday will be a fight between the S&P 500 and commodities. If the SPX moves above 2030, the bulls will begin sending stocks strongly higher. If the GTX drops under 2152, the bears win and stocks will be selling off. If the SPX remains under 2030 and the GTX above 2152, stocks will move sideways with an upward bias. If the GTX falls under 2152, and the SPX under 2010, boom, Keybot will likely flip short, hence the imminent turn notation is placed in the title line above.

For the SPX starting at 2027, the bulls need to push above 2030-2032, a three to five-point gain, and bingo, stocks will accelerate higher. The bears need to push under 2010 to accelerate the downside and if this occurs the algo will probably flip short. A move through SPX 2011-2031 is sideways action. Watch SPX 2030 and GTX 2152 to determine market direction.

3/20/16; 7:00 PM EST =

3/18/16; 10:00 AM EST =

3/16/16; 3:51 PM EST = +65; signal line is +54

3/16/16; 3:43 PM EST = +79; signal line is +52

3/16/16; 11:14 AM EST = +65; signal line is +50

3/16/16; 9:00 AM EST = +51; signal line is +49

3/14/16; 9:36 AM EST = +51; signal line is +48

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long this week and does not print any numbers in the Tuesday session. The algo prints one number on Monday and the algo number is only three points from the signal line indicating a knock-down drag-out bull-bear battle ongoing into the FOMC decision on Wednesday.

The bears need to push the VIX (volatility) above 19.79 to prove they have the beans to take stocks lower. The bulls need to push GTX (commodities) above 2150 to prove they have the beans to take stocks higher. If GTX remains under 2150 and the VIX under 19.79, stocks stagger sideways with a slight upward bias. So bears need higher volatility while bulls need higher commodities. The imminent turn notation is not listed in the title line above but if the VIX moves above 19.79, Keybot will likely flip short.

For the SPX starting at 2016, any smidge of green in the overnight S&P futures and the SPX is going to accelerate several handles higher after the opening bell up to 2022-2023 in a flash. The bears will fight all night long to keep the S&P futures negative and then need to push the SPX under 2005 after the opening bell to get their mojo back and create a downside acceleration that will be sub 2000 in very quick order. A move through 2006-2015 is sideways action for Wednesday.

3/18/16; 10:00 AM EST =

3/16/16; 9:00 AM EST =

3/14/16; 9:36 AM EST = +51; signal line is +48

3/13/16; 7:00 PM EST = +65; signal line is +47

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant is on the long side after last week's late-week whipsaw and markets will likely remain choppy and erratic. Monday is a fight between commodities and the SPX. The bulls win if the SPX moves above 2029 since lots more upside would be guaranteed going forward (as explained in the prior post). The bears need GTX under 2150 to stop the rally and start to roll stocks over to the downside. If SPX remains under 2029 and GTX above 2150, the stock market will stagger sideways with a slight upward bias. One of these two parameters will flinch and tell you the market direction forward. If the bears win with GTX under 2150, then watch volatility; the bears will growl strongly with stocks dropping like a stone if the VIX moves above 19.79.

For the SPX starting at 2022, the bulls need any tiny smidge of green in the overnight S&P futures and bingo, the SPX will run several handles higher after the opening bell and likely move higher to test the critical 2029. The bears need to push under 1995 to regain their downside mojo. A move through 1996-2021 is sideways action to begin the week. Keybot prints two pre-scheduled numbers this week one on Wednesday morning and the other Friday morning. The bulls are in charge with the algo number 18 points above the signal line.

3/20/16; 7:00 PM EST =

3/18/16; 10:00 AM EST =

3/16/16; 9:00 AM EST =

3/13/16; 7:00 PM EST = +65; signal line is +47

3/11/16; 9:36 AM EST = +65; signal line is +46; go long 2008; (Benchmark SPX for 2016 = -1.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.8%; Keybot algo for 2016 = +8.1%)(Actual results this trade = -3.4%; Actual results for 2016 = +14.1%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant whipsaws back into the bull camp at SPX 2008 after Friday's opening bell as was somewhat anticipated. Stocks gapped-up which triggers a timer to delay the move to the long side, however, commodities turned bullish and the algo flipped long immediately. GTX gapped higher way above 2150 at the opening bell so you knew the fix was in for the bulls immediately. In addition, banks catapult higher verifying the bullish joy.

Stay alert for a potential whipsaw back to the short side again. Markets are very erratic. The SPX is up to 2022 only 7 points from the critical 2029 level (which is the 12-month MA a critical cyclical market signal). It is a game-changer if the SPX moves above 2029 since stocks are back in a cyclical bull market and should remain buoyant for weeks and months ahead. Market bears must prevent 2029 from occurring; it is for all the marbles.

GTX 2150 and SPX 2029 are currently the key focus of the model and indicate that these two parameters have the greatest impact on market direction currently. The exact numbers can be identified once  the Sunday pre-scheduled number prints tomorrow.

In a matter of hours, the last trade wiped out the prior three-week gain. The SPX benchmark remains negative on the year by a couple percent. The SPX began the year at 2044 (currently -1.1% lower on the year using the 2022 Friday close). Keybot exited DXD with the loss and entered SPY. The algo drops down into single ETF mode since the stock market has become too erratic to use leveraged ETF's; this lowers risk. The model will stay in single ETF mode for 35 days then revert back to double ETF's unless the algo whipsaws again. The algorithm program lost two percent on the last trade and the actual trading gave back -3.4% in the whipsaw. The beat goes on.

3/13/16; 7:00 PM EST =

3/11/16; 9:36 AM EST = +65; signal line is +46; go long 2008; (Benchmark SPX for 2016 = -1.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.8%; Keybot algo for 2016 = +8.1%)(Actual results this trade = -3.4%; Actual results for 2016 = +14.1%)

3/10/16; 3:54 PM EST = +51; signal line is +44 but algorithm remains short

3/10/16; 2:46 PM EST = +65; signal line is +43 but algorithm remains short

3/10/16; 2:45 PM EST = +49; signal line is +42 but algorithm remains short

3/10/16; 2:15 PM EST = +35; signal line is +41

3/10/16; 1:27 PM EST = +49; signal line is +41 but algorithm remains short

3/10/16; 12:39 PM EST = +35; signal line is +40; go short 1973; (Benchmark SPX for 2016 = -3.5%)(Keybot algo this trade = +1.8%; Keybot algo for 2016 = +9.9%)(Actual results this trade = +3.8%; Actual results for 2016 = +17.5%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant flips short today at SPX 1973. The bulls, however, do not give up and boost stocks into the closing bell. Keybot remains short but already wants to whipsaw back to the long side but the parameters are not latching so the model remains short. The algo number is only 7 points from the signal line so the bulls and bears are battling for control. If the SPX moves above 1993, Keybot will likely flip long with a whipsaw move. If there is a large gap-up move on Friday morning, the algorithm will likely not flip long until about 90 minutes pass. If bullish, you would prefer to see a slow, small and steady creep higher tomorrow morning after the opening bell and not a gap-up.

Bears will win with lower financials while bulls will win with higher commodities. Bears need XLF under 21.80 as soon as possible. Bulls need GTX above 2150 as soon as possible.One of these will flinch and indicate broad market direction tomorrow. Flip a coin.

Bulls need GTX over 2150 and SPX over 1993 and they will be celebrating singing songs and drinking liquor into the weekend. Bears need XLF under 21.80 and the SPX to remain under 1993 and heading lower if they want to celebrate. Listen for news on the banks overnight.

For the SPX starting Friday at 1990, the bulls need to push above 2005 to quickly accelerate price above 2010. The bears need to push under 1969 to accelerate the downside to end the week. A move through 1970-2004 is sideways action for Friday.

For the last trade, the algo gains almost +2% and the actual trading gains almost +4%. The SPX benchmark is down -3.5% thus far this year. The algorithm program is up +10% thus far this year and the actual trading is up +18% a robust start to the year.  Keybot exited SSO and entered DXD. If a whipsaw move occurs tomorrow back to the long side, the algo would drop into a single ETF mode and shun the leveraged ETF's for 35 days due to the erratic volatility. 

The bears are driving the bus but the bulls already have their hands on the steering wheel. Watch banks and commodities.

3/13/16; 7:00 PM EST =

3/10/16; 3:54 PM EST = +51; signal line is +44 but algorithm remains short

3/10/16; 2:46 PM EST = +65; signal line is +43 but algorithm remains short

3/10/16; 2:45 PM EST = +49; signal line is +42 but algorithm remains short

3/10/16; 2:15 PM EST = +35; signal line is +41

3/10/16; 1:27 PM EST = +49; signal line is +41 but algorithm remains short

3/10/16; 12:39 PM EST = +35; signal line is +40; go short 1973; (Benchmark SPX for 2016 = -3.5%)(Keybot algo this trade = +1.8%; Keybot algo for 2016 = +9.9%)(Actual results this trade = +3.8%; Actual results for 2016 = +17.5%)

3/10/16; 12:27 PM EST = +35; signal line is +40 but algorithm remains long

3/10/16; 9:36 AM EST = +51; signal line is +40

3/9/16; 1:37 PM EST = +65; signal line is +38

3/9/16; 1:28 PM EST = +51; signal line is +37

3/9/16; 11:27 AM EST = +65; signal line is +35

3/9/16; 10:57 AM EST = +51; signal line is +33

3/9/16; 10:42 AM EST = +65; signal line is +32

3/7/16; 1:19 PM EST = +51; signal line is +30

3/7/16; 12:43 PM EST = +65; signal line is +28

3/6/16; 7:00 PM EST = +51; signal line is +26

3/4/16; 9:00 AM EST = +51; signal line is +24

3/1/16; 2:49 PM EST = +51; signal line is +23

3/1/16; 2:23 PM EST = +35; signal line is +22

3/1/16; 1:11 PM EST = +51; signal line is +22

3/1/16; 10:07 AM EST = +35; signal line is +21

2/29/16; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +21; signal line is +20

2/29/16; 1:35 PM EST = +21; signal line is +20

2/29/16; 11:15 AM EST = +35; signal line is +20

2/28/16; 7:00 PM EST = +21; signal line is +20

2/26/16; 1:23 PM EST = +21; signal line is +21 but algorithm remains long

2/26/16; 1:03 PM EST = +35; signal line is +21

2/26/16; 12:07 PM EST = +21; signal line is +20

2/26/16; 11:54 AM EST = +35; signal line is +19

2/26/16; 11:35 AM EST = +21; signal line is +17

2/26/16; 10:39 AM EST = +35; signal line is +16

2/26/16; 10:14 AM EST = +21; signal line is +14

2/26/16; 10:00 AM EST = +35; signal line is +12

2/25/16; 3:59 PM EST = +35; signal line is +11

2/25/16; 1:27 PM EST = +21; signal line is +9

2/25/16; 11:21 AM EST = +5; signal line is +8 but algorithm remains long

2/25/16; 10:23 AM EST = +21; signal line is +7

2/25/16; 10:12 AM EST = +5; signal line is +5 but algorithm remains long

2/25/16; 9:34 AM EST = +21; signal line is +4; go long 1938; (Benchmark SPX for 2016  = -5.2%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.4%; Keybot algo for 2016 = +8.1%)(Actual results this trade = -0.8%; Actual results for 2016 = +13.7%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long but a turn to the short side may be imminent. If XLF drops under 21.80 and SPX under 1976, Keybot will likely flip short. The bulls need to push GTX above 2050 to signal the all-clear for upside in stocks. So it is a battle between financials and commodities. If XLF loses 21.80, stocks should drop like a stone. If VIX then moves above 19.79, stocks will accelerate lower. One of these three parameters, XLF, GTX or VIX, will flinch and tell you the market direction.

3/13/16; 7:00 PM EST =

3/10/16; 9:36 AM EST = +51; signal line is +40

3/9/16; 1:37 PM EST = +65; signal line is +38

3/9/16; 1:28 PM EST = +51; signal line is +37

3/9/16; 11:27 AM EST = +65; signal line is +35

3/9/16; 10:57 AM EST = +51; signal line is +33

3/9/16; 10:42 AM EST = +65; signal line is +32

3/7/16; 1:19 PM EST = +51; signal line is +30

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long. The algo did not print any numbers on Tuesday as the stock market sold off. Status quo remains, however. Bulls need GTX above 2150 to prove they have the beans to move markets higher. Bears need to either push XLF under 21.80 and/or VIX above 19.79 to send stocks lower. One of these three parameters will flinch and tell you the stock market direction ahead.

For the SPX starting at 1979, the bulls need to touch the 1997 handle to create an immediate upside acceleration above 2000. The bears need to push under 1977, only two points lower, to accelerate the downside. S&P futures are up +8 less than one hour before Wednesday's opening bell. A move through 1978-1996 is sideways action. The bulls are driving the bus. Either commodities, financials or volatility (GTX, XLF, VIX, respectively)  is going to switch camps and take stocks in that direction.

3/13/16; 7:00 PM EST =

3/7/16; 1:19 PM EST = +51; signal line is +30

3/7/16; 12:43 PM EST = +65; signal line is +28

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long and the algorithm prints two numbers to begin the week. The bulls are driving the bus without a worry. Commodities ran higher keeping the stock market buoyant. GTX 2149.52 is the key bull-bear line in the sand. Price is at 2146 a few points under in the bear camp. If the stock market rallies higher, it will only have legs if GTX moves above 2150.

If GTX stays below 2150, the bears can maintain a lid on the stock market rally and if either XLF drops under 21.83 and/or VIX moves above 19.73, down will be the direction for stocks. If GTX stays below 2150, and XLF above 21.83, and VIX under 19.73, stocks will stagger along sideways. Watch to see which one of these three flinch which will likely tell you market direction.

For the SPX starting at 2002 on Tuesday, the bulls need to push above 2006 and bingo, the upside will immediately accelerate to 2011. The bears need to push under 1990 to accelerate the downside. A move through 1991-2001 is sideways action for Tuesday.

3/13/16; 7:00 PM EST =

3/7/16; 1:19 PM EST = +51; signal line is +30

3/7/16; 12:43 PM EST = +65; signal line is +28

3/6/16; 7:00 PM EST = +51; signal line is +26

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long cruising along without a care in the world. The algo number is 25 points above the signal line. The bulls will push the stock market sideways and sideways higher unless the bears can move the VIX above 19.70 and/or XLF under 21.73. If volatility and financials remain bullish, stocks will float higher. If GTX moves above 2151 and/or the SPX above 2027, the stock market will be moving strongly higher.

For the SPX starting at 2000, the bulls need to push above 2009 to quickly accelerate the upside towards 2020. The bears need to push under 1987 to unleash negativity and create a downside acceleration. A move through 1988-2008 is sideways action to begin the week. Keybot does not print any pre-scheduled numbers this week. The bulls are driving the bus; bears need higher volatility and lower banks.

3/13/16; 7:00 PM EST =

3/6/16; 7:00 PM EST = +51; signal line is +26

3/4/16; 9:00 AM EST = +51; signal line is +24

3/1/16; 2:49 PM EST = +51; signal line is +23

February Publication of the Daily Chronology of Global Markets and World Economics 2016-02 Available from Amazon; Stocks and Oil Recover; Presidential Politics Explained

The February publication of the Daily Chronology of Global Markets and World Economics 201-02 is available through Amazon (AMZN). The epic market action continues. The global stock markets begin the year by crashing and collapsing into 2/11/16. The chronology explains the huge crash from late December into mid-February. Then, as everyone was convinced that the stock market would go into free fall and sentiment was extremely negative, the bottom occurs and stocks rally from mid-February into March.

Italian banks are a major problem in January and February but the concerns temporary subside allowing for a recovery in global stocks. The chronology explains this action as it occurs in real-time. The chronology describes the reaction from the Monthly Jobs Report where wages turn negative. Inflation, that the Federal Reserve has tried to create for seven years with their obscene Keynesian programs, cannot exist without wage inflation occurring.

US presidential politics are beginning to impact markets as the primary elections are occurring and the general election for the new POTUS is less than eight months away. The chronology explains US presidential politics in an easy to read format like no other resource available. Supreme Court Justice Scalia passes away in February.

The chronology explains the reaction in stocks, bonds and currencies to key events and economic data releases. If you are trying to make sense of the markets this is the resource for you. No other publication exists in this format where the stock, bond and currency moves are provided and explained as world events take place in real-time.

The chronology records economic history preventing revisionist tampering in future years. Many of the same asset managers telling everyone to go long the market in 2007-2008 repeated the same mantra through 2015. The stock market topped in May 2015 placing anyone that listened to television pundits over the last couple years underwater on their long trades and losing money.

Analyst and strategist quotes and words are recorded in the chronology so credit or disdain can be handed out in the future. If a multi-year top has printed, the chronology serves as the most accurate accounting of the stock market topping process ever recorded. The chronology is the most reliable and easy to understand source for explaining global markets. The chronology is very easy to read and avoids using fancy ten-dollar college words.

As always, all monthly publications of the Daily Chronology of Global Markets and World Economics are available from the links in the margins or simply searching on Amazon or Google. The monthly publication contains updated information not posted on this web site as well as clarifications and refinements to the ongoing daily blog text.

We are living through historic stock market and economic times. The daily chronology is the most accurate accounting on how the stock market tops and bottoms in real-time. The monthly publications are compatible with any electronic device and include an extensive Business Acronym List and Ticker Symbol List. The Acronym List is the most comprehensive business-related acronym list available on the internet. The chronology is not available in hard copy and only distributed around the world electronically.

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STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long; the bulls are cruising with lower volatility and higher financials and copper. The algo did not print any numbers yesterday. Stocks will continue floating along sideways to sideways higher unless the VIX moves above 19.70 and/or the XLF under 21.73.

For the SPX on Thursday starting at 1986, the bulls only need one point higher, to touch the 1987 handle and bingo, the upside will accelerate several points into the 1990's. The bears need to push under 1969 to immediately accelerate the downside towards 1960. A move through 1970-1986 is sideways action. The market bears got nothing unless they can push volatility higher and banks lower.

3/6/16; 7:00 PM EST =

3/4/16; 9:00 AM EST =

3/1/16; 2:49 PM EST = +51; signal line is +23

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long. The bulls charge higher today fueled by lower volatility and higher financials. For Wednesday, watch XLF 21.71 as a bull-bear line in the sand. If price stays above, now at 21.80, the stock market will float higher. Bears need XLF under 21.71 to stop the upside rally. Bears would also benefit from pushing VIX above 19.70.

For the SPX starting at 1978, the bulls need any smidge of green in the overnight S&P futures and the SPX will run into the 1980's. The bears need to push SPX under 1937, a formidable task, so instead bears will likely focus on creating weakness in the banks to stop the upside rally. A move through 1938-1977 is sideways action for Wednesday. The bulls are driving the bus with the algo number 28 points above the signal line. Watch the banks; watch XLF 21.71 since it will tell you the direction of the broad stock market.

3/6/16; 7:00 PM EST =

3/4/16; 9:00 AM EST =

3/1/16; 2:49 PM EST = +51; signal line is +23

3/1/16; 2:23 PM EST = +35; signal line is +22

3/1/16; 1:11 PM EST = +51; signal line is +22

3/1/16; 10:07 AM EST = +35; signal line is +21

2/29/16; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +21; signal line is +20