STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short and printed one number and the pre-scheduled number on Tuesday. For Wednesday, the bulls must push either RTH above 79.52 and/or GTX above 2273 to stop the market selling. The bears need higher volatility, to push the VIX above 14.45, to send the stock market strongly south. If retail stocks and commodities remain in the bear camp, and volatility in the bull camp, stocks will stagger along sideways.

For the SPX starting at 2176 on Wednesday, the bulls need to push above 2182 and the upside will accelerate towards 2190 quickly. The bears need to push under 2170 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2171-2181 is sideways action for hump day. Wednesday is the EOM and August began at 2173.80; this level determines if the month of August ends positive or negative. The bears are in control with the algo number 24 points below the signal line.

9/2/16; 9:00 AM EST =

8/31/16; 7:00 PM EST EOM =

8/30/16; 10:00 AM EST = +50; signal line is +74

8/30/16; 9:46 AM EST = +48; signal line is +75

8/29/16; 11:24 AM EST = +64; signal line is +75

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short as stocks rally to begin the new week. The algo prints three numbers today and prints a pre-scheduled number tomorrow morning shortly after trading begins. If the GTX moves above 2272 and SPX above 2183, Keybot will likely flip long. If GTX turns bullish, consider the imminent turn to the long side to be in play. If RTH slips under 79.53, stocks will begin selling off. If VIX moves above 14.47, stocks will be falling like a rock.

For the SPX on Tuesday starting at 2180, the bulls need three points higher, to move above 2183 and stocks will accelerate higher towards 2190. The bears need to push below 2170 to get their mojo back. A move through 2171-2182 on Tuesday is sideways action. The beat goes on.

8/31/16; 7:00 PM EST EOM =

8/30/16; 10:00 AM EST =

8/29/16; 11:24 AM EST = +64; signal line is +75

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant is short as the market roller coaster ride continues. The battle for market direction control is between retail stocks and commodities. Bulls win with GTX above 2272. Bears win with RTH under 79.53. If commodities remain in the bear camp and retail stocks in the bull camp, the stock market will stagger sideways with a slight upward bias. If GTX moves above 2272 and SPX above 2188, Keybot will likely flip long. If commodities turn bullish, consider the imminent turn, a potential whipsaw move back to the long side, to be in play.

8/30/16; 10:00 AM EST = 
8/29/16; 11:24 AM EST = +64; signal line is +75
8/29/16; 10:54 AM EST = +48; signal line is +75
8/29/16; 9:36 AM EST = +64; signal line is +76
8/28/16; 7:00 PM EST = +62; signal line is +76

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant is on the short side as of last Friday. Markets remain erratic and unstable so a whipsaw back to the long side may occur. Retail stocks are the key focus to begin the week. If RTH remains below 79.53 (now at 79.46) stocks will continue drifting lower. Market bulls need RTH above 79.53 which will signal that market selling is over and stocks will move higher. Keybot probably wants to see RTH above 79.53 and SPX above 2188 to whipsaw back to the long side.

For the bears to gain further downside traction, VIX needs to move above 14.47 (now at 13.65) and GTX needs to move below 2271 (now at 2288). So retail, volatility and commodities are the three parameters currently most influencing market direction.

For the SPX starting at 2169, the bulls need to push above 2188 to accelerate the upside. The bears need to push under 2160 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2161-2187 is sideways action to begin the week.

Keybot prints three pre-scheduled numbers this week. The month ends on Wednesday. The SPX began August at 2173.60 so there may be a fight at this level heading into mid-week. The US Monthly Jobs Report is Friday. The Labor Day holiday is Monday, 9/5/16, so stocks may be buoyant at the tail end of this week into the three-day holiday weekend.

9/4/16; 7:00 PM EST =

9/2/16; 9:00 AM EST =

8/31/16; 7:00 PM EST EOM =

8/30/16; 10:00 AM EST =

8/28/16; 7:00 PM EST = +62; signal line is +76

8/26/16; 3:20 PM EST = +62; signal line is +77

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the bear side during the Friday trade at noon time at SPX 2166. Retail stocks, volatility and commodities are the three key parameters most impacting broad stock market direction currently. Retail is in the bear camp crating market weakness while volatility and commodities are in the bull camp creating lift in stocks. The tickers and key levels for next week can be called out after Sunday's pre-scheduled number prints tomorrow.

After two weeks of threatening to go short, the algorithm finally makes the move. A whipsaw is in play due to the erratic choppiness of the stock market. If retail stocks rally, the bulls will regain their footing. If volatility spikes, stocks will begin falling in earnest.

On the last trade, which was a long one for Keybot, about seven weeks duration, the algo program gains +3.6% and the actual trading gains +3.6%. The benchmark SPX is up +6.0% this year. Keybot's actual trading gains this year are nearly +18%. The algo exits SPY and enters SDS going back into the double ETF plays. The beat goes on.

8/28/16; 7:00 PM EST =

8/26/16; 3:20 PM EST = +62; signal line is +77

8/26/16; 2:22 PM EST = +48; signal line is +77

8/26/16; 12:10 PM EST = +62; signal line is +77; go short 2166; (Benchmark SPX for 2016 = +6.0%)(Keybot algo this trade = +3.6%; Keybot algo for 2016 = +10.8%)(Actual results this trade = +3.6%; Actual results for 2016 = +17.7%)

8/26/16; 12:00 PM EST = +62; signal line is +77 but algorithm remains long

8/26/16; 10:00 AM EST = +78; signal line is +78 but algorithm remains long

8/22/16; 9:36 AM EST = +78; signal line is +77

8/21/16; 7:00 PM EST = +94; signal line is +77

8/19/16; 1:31 PM EST = +94; signal line is +77

8/19/16; 1:02 PM EST = +78; signal line is +76

8/19/16; 11:09 AM EST = +94; signal line is +77

8/19/16; 9:36 AM EST = +78; signal line is +76

8/18/16; 11:19 AM EST = +94; signal line is +76

8/18/16; 11:09 AM EST = +78; signal line is +76

8/18/16; 10:55 AM EST = +94; signal line is +77

8/18/16; 10:43 AM EST = +78; signal line is +77

8/18/16; 9:36 AM EST = +94; signal line is +77

8/17/16; 9:36 AM EST = +78; signal line is +77

8/16/16; 11:36 AM EST = +94; signal line is +77

8/16/16; 10:47 AM EST = +78; signal line is +77

8/16/16; 10:35 AM EST = +64; signal line is +78 but algorithm remains long

8/16/16; 9:00 AM EST = +78; signal line is +78 but algorithm remains long

8/15/16; 2:21 PM EST = +78; signal line is +77

8/14/16; 7:00 PM EST = +64; signal line is +76 but algorithm remains long

8/12/16; 10:00 AM EST = +64; signal line is +76 but algorithm remains long

8/12/16; 9:36 AM EST = +63; signal line is +77 but algorithm remains long

8/11/16; 9:48 AM EST = +79; signal line is +77

8/10/16; 12:37 PM EST = +63; signal line is +76 but algorithm remains long

8/10/16; 9:36 AM EST = +79; signal line is +77

8/7/16; 7:00 PM EST = +63; signal line is +77 but algorithm remains long

8/5/16; 9:00 AM EST = +63; signal line is +77 but algorithm remains long

8/4/16; 12:25 PM EST = +63; signal line is +76 but algorithm remains long

8/4/16; 12:01 PM EST = +79; signal line is +75

8/4/16; 9:36 AM EST = +63; signal line is +75 but algorithm remains long

7/31/16; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +79; signal line is +75

7/29/16; 10:00 AM EST = +79; signal line is +74

7/26/16; 10:00 AM EST = +81; signal line is +74

7/24/16; 7:00 PM EST = +82; signal line is +74

7/19/16; 9:00 AM EST = +82; signal line is +75

7/17/16; 7:00 PM EST = +82; signal line is +75

7/15/16; 11:07 AM EST = +82; signal line is +75

7/15/16; 10:00 AM EST = +96; signal line is +75

7/15/16; 9:53 AM EST = +98; signal line is +75

7/14/16; 11:52 AM EST = +84; signal line is +74

7/14/16; 11:31 AM EST = +98; signal line is +74

7/13/16; 10:36 AM EST = +84; signal line is +72

7/12/16; 11:42 AM EST = +98; signal line is +72

7/12/16; 9:36 AM EST = +84; signal line is +70

7/10/16; 7:00 PM EST = +68; signal line is +68 but algorithm remains long

7/8/16; 9:36 AM EST = +68; signal line is +67

7/8/16; 9:00 AM EST = +52; signal line is +65 but algorithm remains long

7/7/16; 11:26 AM EST = +52; signal line is +63 but algorithm remains long

7/7/16; 10:54 AM EST = +66; signal line is +62

7/7/16; 10:39 AM EST = +82; signal line is +61

7/7/16; 9:56 AM EST = +66; signal line is +59

7/7/16; 9:36 AM EST = +82; signal line is +58

7/6/16; 1:01 PM EST = +66; signal line is +57; go long 2097; (Benchmark SPX for 2016 = +2.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.3%; Keybot algo for 2016 = +7.2%)(Actual results this trade = -0.6%; Actual results for 2016 = +14.1%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long moving into the Friday session. Fed Chair Yellen will begin speaking in Jackson Hole in 90 minutes one-half hour after the opening bell. That is also when Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number for this week.

Retail stocks collapsed yesterday. The dollar stores were beaten like a rented mule. Amazingly, RTH drops to 79.53 exactly at the 79.53 line in the sand that the quant identifies. As retail stocks go, so goes the markets. If RTH drops below 79.53, and the SPX drops under 2170, Keybot will likely flip short. GTX under 2271 (note how GTX came down to test this level yesterday and bounced telling you that the bears did not have enough juice; Keybot is a smart robot) and VIX above 14.50 will also benefit the market bears. If RTH remains above 79.53, bulls are fine and stocks should float sideways to sideways higher.

For the SPX starting at 2172, the bulls need to push above 2179 and bingo, stocks will accelerate well into the 2180's. The bears need only 2 points lower, to push under 2170, and the downside will accelerate to the low to mid 2160's in a flash. A move through 2171-2178 is sideways action.

All eyes are watching Fed Chair Yellen. Watch RTH 79.53 and SPX 2170 to assess stock market direction.

8/28/16; 7:00 PM EST =

8/26/16; 10:00 AM EST =

8/22/16; 9:36 AM EST = +78; signal line is +77

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long. The algo has not printed a number since Monday. Note how commodities, GTX, fell to the 2270-2272 line in the sand identified by Keybot and bounced refusing to fail. It is amazing that the algo can call these specific parameters and the actual levels out before they occur. If you are not impressed, you should be.

Bears need to either push GTX under 2271 (now at 2278) and/or VIX above 14.45 (now at 13.45) to create stock market selling. If both turn bearish, stocks will be falling like a rock. If one of the two turn bearish, and the SPX drops under 2171, Keybot will likely flip short, hence the imminent turn to the bears side is back in play.

For the SPX starting at 2175, the bulls need to push above 2187 to accelerate the upside. The bears need to push below 2171 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2172-2186 is sideways action for Thursday.

Watch GTX 2271, VIX 14.45 and SPX 2171; these three numbers will likely tell the market story on Thursday.

8/28/16; 7:00 PM EST =

8/26/16; 10:00 AM EST =

8/22/16; 9:36 AM EST = +78; signal line is +77

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long. The beat goes on. The algo prints one number after yesterday's opening bell. Copper is in the bear camp and commodities are in the bull camp. These two parameters remain key to broad stock market direction currently. If GTX loses 2272 (now at 2297) and SPX drops under 2176, Keybot will likely flip short and stocks may begin falling in earnest. If GTX loses 2272 consider the imminent turn to the short side to be in play. If JJC moves above 24.78 (now at 24.46), the bulls will ride stocks higher with the SPX back on track towards 2200.

For the SPX starting at 2183, the bulls need to push above 2185 to accelerate the upside while the bears need to push under 2176 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2177-2184 is sideways action for Tuesday. The bulls remain in control but only by a  single hair with the algo number only one tick above the signal line.

Watch JJC, 24.78, GTX 2272 and SPX 2176. S&P futures are indicating a +5 gain at the opening bell about three hours away. If stocks rally today, but the JJC does not move above 24.78, bulls got nothing and stocks will roll back over to the downside. If stocks and copper rally with JJC above 24.78, the bulls will be throwing confetti. Copper is marginally negative in overnight trading.

8/28/16; 7:00 PM EST =

8/26/16; 10:00 AM EST =

8/22/16; 9:36 AM EST = +78; signal line is +77

8/21/16; 7:00 PM EST = +94; signal line is +77

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long. The algo is active on Friday printing four numbers. The bulls remain in control and the model remains in nosebleed territory at overbot levels at +94 (+100 is the maximum possible reading). Copper remains key to broad stock market direction. Watch JJC 24.80; now at 24.86 in the bull camp creating uplift in stocks.

Bears will benefit from JJC under 24.80, GTX under 2268 and/or UTIL under 665.34.

For the SPX starting the week at 2184, the bulls need to push above 2185 and bingo, 2190+ will occur quickly. The bears need to push below 2175 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2176-2184 is sideways action to begin the week. Keybot prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Friday.

8/28/16; 7:00 PM EST =

8/26/16; 10:00 AM EST =

8/21/16; 7:00 PM EST = +94; signal line is +77

8/19/16; 1:31 PM EST = +94; signal line is +77

8/19/16; 1:02 PM EST = +78; signal line is +76

8/19/16; 11:09 AM EST = +94; signal line is +77

8/19/16; 9:36 AM EST = +78; signal line is +76

8/18/16; 11:19 AM EST = +94; signal line is +76

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long as the algo prints five numbers in the Thursday session the most active day for the model in two weeks or more. Isn't it amazing that the algorithm can call out the most important parameter that impacts the direction of the stock market including the key level for that parameter? JJC ends the session at 24.80 exactly at the bull-bear line in the sand called out ahead of time at 24.79-24.80. This is astounding. Enjoy the information while it is presented since if the Keystone family of web sites are not supported properly, the ongoing information can end at anytime.

The copper pivot will send stocks in the same direction. Copper futures are trading lower overnight so JJC should slip into the bear camp after the opening bell for the regular session and create sogginess in stocks. S&P futures are down -5 three hours before the opening bell. The market bears likely need more than weak copper, however, to flip the algo short. Bears need GTX to drop under 2268. Weak utilities and higher volatility will also help bears.

The collapse in utilities in recent days is very important. A roll over in utes is a negative signal for the stock market. UTIL 665.34 is a key bull-bear level identified by Keybot and it comes into play at 4 PM EST today and all of next week. UTIL is at 691.52 but has printed as low as 667.43 this week. If UTIL loses 665.34 over the coming days, the stock market will be in serious trouble.

For the SPX starting at 2187 for the Friday session, the bulls need any smidge of green in the S&P futures and the SPX will run several handles higher into the 2190's. S&P futures point to a lower open. The bears need to push under 2180 to accelerate the downside.

The bulls continue to drive the bus. Lower copper will help the bears move towards flipping the model short but the algo will likely want to see more such as GTX under 2268, UTIL under 665 and/or VIX above 14.58 (now at 12.04 in early trading) to commit to the short side.

8/21/16; 7:00 PM EST =

8/18/16; 11:19 AM EST = +94; signal line is +76

8/18/16; 11:09 AM EST = +78; signal line is +76

8/18/16; 10:55 AM EST = +94; signal line is +77

8/18/16; 10:43 AM EST = +78; signal line is +77

8/18/16; 9:36 AM EST = +94; signal line is +77

8/17/16; 9:36 AM EST = +78; signal line is +77

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long. The algo prints one number in the Wednesday trade. The bulls maintain control of markets with the algo number one tick above the signal line. Bulls need higher copper, JJC above 24.79 (now at 24.66), to guarantee more upside in the stock market. Copper is trading up about +1.5% overnight which is about 37 cents to the JJC which will place copper in the bull camp and make for happy bulls. JJC 24.79 is key today.

Bears need to keep copper under 24.79 and pull GTX under 2263 to send the stock market lower. The weakness in the US dollar index causes lift in commodities and copper and a punch to the bear's face. A higher dollar will likely reward the bears.

For the SPX starting at 2182, the bulls need only one point, to push above 2183, and bingo, price will run towards 2190. The bears need to push below 2169 to accelerate lower. A move through 2170-2182 is sideways action for Thursday.

The bulls continue to steer the bus. If copper remains weak, and GTX drops under 2263, consider the imminent turn to be in play, and if the SPX drops under 2169, Keybot may flip short, but this scenario does not appear on the table with copper rising in the pre-market. Copper and commodities are dictating stock market direction currently.

8/21/16; 7:00 PM EST =

8/17/16; 9:36 AM EST = +78; signal line is +77

8/16/16; 11:36 AM EST = +94; signal line is +77

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long. The pre-scheduled number prints before the opening bell and three more numbers print today. One day is stranger than the next. You would think the model would have flipped short today but it did not and in fact, the algo is at the uber lofty overbot +94 level which is nose bleed territory. Commodities, GTX briefly weakened under the key 2264 level in the morning but the internal program parameters would not permit Keybot to move to the short side. Commodities then quickly recovered.

Commodities and copper are both in the bull camp now which will create lift in the stock market. Watch GTX 2264 and JJC 24.78 as the two key parameters controlling market direction. Pay attention to copper with JJC at 24.83 only five points above the key line in the sand that would create negativity in markets. The bulls are cruising. Bears need GTX under 2264 and JJC 24.78, if this occurs consider the imminent turn signal to be in play, and if the SPX falls under 2178, Keybot will likely flip short.

For the SPX starting Wednesday at 2178, the bears need any smidge of negativity in the futures and the stock market will accelerate lower after the opening bell. The bulls need to push above 2186 to accelerate the upside in stocks. A move through 2179-2185 is sideways action. Watch the dollar since a higher dollar will send commodities and copper lower helping the bear case. If the dollar weakens, bend over bears, and receive additional whippings.

8/21/16; 7:00 PM EST =

8/16/16; 11:36 AM EST = +94; signal line is +77

8/16/16; 10:47 AM EST = +78; signal line is +77

8/16/16; 10:35 AM EST = +64; signal line is +78 but algorithm remains long

8/16/16; 9:00 AM EST = +78; signal line is +78 but algorithm remains long

8/15/16; 2:21 PM EST = +78; signal line is +77

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long. The algo prints one number to start the new week of trading. The bulls win the day pumping commodities higher which sends the stock market higher. GTX crosses above the key level of 2263 (now at 2266) joining the bull camp and creating market positivity. Copper remains bearish with JJC under 24.80. The bulls need to push JJC above 24.80 to confirm more upside in equities. Bears need to push GTX under 2263 to stop the upside and prove that a near-term top is in play. If GTX loses 2263, and the SPX drops under 2186, Keybot will likely flip short hence the imminent turn notation remains in the title line and the daily drama in these erratic and unstable markets continues.

For the SPX starting at 2190 on Tuesday, the bulls need to touch the 2194 handle and bingo, 2200 will print in quick order. The bears need to push below 2186 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2187-2193 is sideways action. This is a tight range so one side or the other will likely win on Tuesday. If the overnight S&P futures are up +3 the bulls will be joyous. If the S&P futures are down -3, the bears will rule on Tuesday.

Note the algo number is only one point above the signal line. The odd market behavior continues. The model has threatened to go short every day for over one week. Will Tuesday be the day? GTX 2263 and SPX 2186 tells the market story tomorrow. Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number before Tuesday's opening bell.

8/21/16; 7:00 PM EST =

8/16/16; 9:00 AM EST =

8/15/16; 2:21 PM EST = +78; signal line is +77

8/14/16; 7:00 PM EST = +64; signal line is +76 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant is long heading into the new week of trading but, as shown by the algo number below the signal line, is champing at the bit to go short. Internal programming parameters will not yet fully latch to permit the move and this drama continued all of last week. Stocks float higher.

The  new week continues with the same theme. If SPX drops under 2179 after the opening bell, Keybot will likely flip short. If a gap down move occurs, that is not good for market bears since it may trigger a timer where the algo will not flip short for about 90 minutes to provide time for stocks to stabilize. Market bears would benefit the most from a steady move lower in the stock market.

If markets rally but JJC remains under 24.89 and GTX remains under 2265, the bulls got nothing. Stocks would be expected to roll over to the downside. If stocks rally and one of these two parameters turn bullish, equities will accelerate higher and the SPX will target 2200+. 

For the SPX starting at 2184, the bulls need 2 points of upside, to move above 2186 and the upside will accelerate into the 2190's. The bears need to push below 2179 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2180-2185 is sideways to begin the week but since this is such a tight range, a winner and loser will likely be crowned in Monday's trade. Keybot prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Tuesday morning.

8/21/16; 7:00 PM EST =

8/16/16; 9:00 AM EST =

8/14/16; 7:00 PM EST = +64; signal line is +76 but algorithm remains long

8/12/16; 10:00 AM EST = +64; signal line is +76 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long through the weekend. Copper turns negative but the bears did not have enough juice to flip the algo short. The algorithm wants to flip short but the internal parameters will not fully latch to permit the move. The SPX drops to 2179 intraday Friday but the bears needed to see 2178 and lower. The party will continue next week with copper and commodities dictating broad stock market movement currently. The levels of interest can be identified after the Sunday pre-scheduled number prints tomorrow.

8/14/16; 7:00 PM EST =

8/12/16; 10:00 AM EST = +64; signal line is +76 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long but is champing at the bit to go short. The algo prints a number after the opening bell and then the pre-scheduled number. JJC drops under 24.89 creating stock market weakness. The bears need to push the SPX under 2178 which will likely flip the model short. The SPX is at 2183. Watch JJC 24.89 and SPX 2178. Bulls are okay as long as the SPX stays above 2178.

8/14/16; 7:00 PM EST =

8/12/16; 10:00 AM EST = +64; signal line is +76 but algorithm remains long

8/12/16; 9:36 AM EST = +63; signal line is +77 but algorithm remains long

8/11/16; 9:48 AM EST = +79; signal line is +77

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long as the market theatrics and drama continues. Copper popped yesterday so you knew the bulls were in charge. JJC is at 25.05 above the critical 24.89 line in the sand identified by Keybot so the bulls move stocks higher. Bears need JJC under 24.89 and if this occurs, and the SPX drops under 2178, Keybot will likely flip short. The bulls need to push GTX, commodities, above 2263 to signal more upside and the SPX heading above 2200. So it is a battle between copper and the broader commodity complex. Copper is dropping overnight.

For the SPX beginning Friday at 2186, the bulls need to push above 2188, only 2 points higher, and price will accelerate into the mid 2190's. The bears need to push under 2178 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2179-2187 is sideways action. The bulls keep slapping the bears around like a kitten batting around a ball of string, however, the bears can take the throne with JJC under 24.89 and SPX under 2178. Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number one-half hour after the opening bell.

8/14/16; 7:00 PM EST =

8/12/16; 10:00 AM EST =

8/11/16; 9:48 AM EST = +79; signal line is +77

8/10/16; 12:37 PM EST = +63; signal line is +76 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION - TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long but wants to flip short (algo number is under the signal line). The internal parameters will not yet latch completely to allow the  move to the bear side. The SPX dropped under 2174 but the price behavior was not acceptable to trigger the move to the short side. So the beat goes on and Thursday begins where Wednesday left off.

Watch SPX 2172 and JJC 24.89. Bears win big if the SPX drops under 2172. Keybot the Quant will likely flip short if the SPX drops under 2172 and stays under. A gap down move may not help the bears; they would probably benefit more from a slow and steady move lower in stocks instead. The bulls win if the JJC moves above 24.89. Stocks will rally strongly. As copper goes, so goes the markets.

For the SPX, starting at 2175 on Thursday, the bulls need to push above 2183, and the upside will accelerate. The bears need to push below 2172 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2173-2182 is sideways action. The bulls are in control but the bears have it on a silver platter if they want it; all they have to do is push the SPX under 2172.

8/12/16; 10:00 AM EST =

8/10/16; 12:37 PM EST = +63; signal line is +76 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long but is a hair away from flipping short. If the SPX drops under 2174, Keybot will likely flip short. Copper rallied this morning so the bull's were joyous but then copper fell on it sword with JJC dropping under the key bull-bear line in the sand at 24.88. Stocks will sell off if JJC remains under 24.88 heading lower. Bulls will celebrate with the stock market rallying if the JJC moves above 24.88.

Watch SPX 2174.00. Price is at 2175.66 only 1-1/2 point above. The bears have it on a silver platter; all they have to do is grab it. The bears are so close to flipping the algo short they can taste it.

8/14/16; 7:00 PM EST =

8/12/16; 10:00 AM EST =

8/10/16; 12:37 PM EST = +63; signal line is +76 but algorithm remains long

8/10/16; 9:36 AM EST = +79; signal line is +77

8/7/16; 7:00 PM EST = +63; signal line is +77 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CUATION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long but continues to champ at the bit wanting to flip short. The algo did not print any numbers in the Monday session. JJC shot higher to the 24.90-24.92 called out by the algorithm but could not move above. Isn't is amazing and astounding the algo can call out these key parameters and their levels before they occur? You knew the intraday rally in stocks would roll over since copper did not cooperate, and it did. Copper remains key and futures are trading lower. Watch JJC 24.90 as the bull-bear line in the sand. If bulls push above, then SPX 2200 will be on the table. If copper remains bearish, stocks should roll over to the downside.

The algorithm is in uncharted territory. Keybot has wanted to flip short since last Thursday but the necessary internal parameters will not completely latch to allow the move as yet. Three days is a very long and rare time period for this situation to remain. By now, the algorithm would have typically recommitted to the long side or already flipped short. Markets are very erratic and unstable. If the SPX drops under 2178, Keybot will likely flip short.

For the SPX starting at 2181, the bulls need to push above 2185 to accelerate the upside. The bears need to push below 2178 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2179-2184 is sideways action but is such a tight range that price will likely commit to a breakout or breakdown. Watch copper.

8/14/16; 7:00 PM EST =

8/12/16; 10:00 AM EST =

8/7/16; 7:00 PM EST = +63; signal line is +77 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant is long going into the new week of trading but has wanted to flip short since Thursday. The algorithm is focused on copper as the main parameter influencing broad stock market direction currently. The stock market was reacting to the BOE decision and US Jobs Report at the tail end of last week. The behavior of equities remains very odd and atypical. The tight two-week sideways range behavior has not been seen in decades.

If JJC remains below 24.92, the stock market will roll over to the downside. If the SPX drops under 2162, Keybot will likely flip short hence the imminent turn notation remains in the title line. The market bulls need JJC above 24.92 and they will be on easy street again rallying stocks higher. Pay attention to copper trading overnight Sunday into Monday.

For the SPX starting at 2183, closing at the high on Friday, at the new all-time highs, the bulls need any smidge of green in the S&P futures and bingo, stocks will continue accelerating higher targeting 2190. The bears need to push under 2169 to accelerate the downside. If 2169 fails, the important 2162 mentioned above will be tested quickly. A move through 2170-2182 is sideways action to begin the week.

Overnight tonight, the bears need negative copper and S&P index futures to point the way lower for stocks. The bulls need higher copper and S&P futures and the stock market party will continue. If the futures are split with one up and one down, the sideways behavior continues.

8/14/16; 7:00 PM EST =

8/12/16; 10:00 AM EST =

8/7/16; 7:00 PM EST = +63; signal line is +77 but algorithm remains long

8/5/16; 9:00 AM EST = +63; signal line is +77 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long but wants to flip short as soon as the internal parameters latch. Copper remains weak. The stock market launches higher in the Friday trade after the jobs report. The algo only printed the pre-scheduled number and then idled along all day after that.

JJC 24.92 is the key. Stocks will roll over to the downside if copper remains weak. You can also monitor the copper price at the 2.17 to 2.19 level, now at 2.15. JJC above 24.92 and copper above the 2.17-2.19 level will prove that the market bulls will take the stock market higher, otherwise, stocks will likely roll over to the downside. The imminent turn remains in play with the algo number 14 points below the signal line. Keybot prints the Sunday pre-scheduled number tomorrow and a look at the week ahead can be provided.

8/7/16; 7:00 PM EST =

8/5/16; 9:00 AM EST = +63; signal line is +77 but algorithm remains long

8/4/16; 12:25 PM EST = +63; signal line is +76 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant is long going into the Friday session. The algo wnts to flip short with the algo number under the signal line but cannot yet latch all parameters to allow the move. If the SPX drops under 2159 on Friday, Keybot will likely flip short, hence the imminent turn notation in the title line. If copper, JJC, moves above 24.92, all bets are off for bears and the bulls will begin rallying the stock market higher again. Watch copper trading overnight since stocks will likely move in the same direction.

For the SPX starting at 2164, the bulls need to push above 2168 to accelerate stocks higher. The bears need to push below 2159 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2160-2167 is sideways action. Bears win big if SPX drops under 2159. Bulls win big if JJC moves above 24.92. Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number before the opening bell in the morning.

8/5/16; 9:00 AM EST =

8/4/16; 12:25 PM EST = +63; signal line is +76 but algorithm remains long

8/4/16; 12:01 PM EST = +79; signal line is +75

8/4/16; 9:36 AM EST = +63; signal line is +75 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long but is champing at the bit to go short. The algo number is 12 points below the signal line so Keybot wants to flip short. However, all the internal parameters are not yet fully latched to permit the move to the short side. If the SPX falls under 2153, Keybot will likely flip short. Watch copper since it creates the market weakness. If JJC stays under 24.92, the market bears will keep applying pressure to the stock market to create a selloff. The bulls need to push JJC above 24.92 and if successful, they can relax again as stocks rally.

Bears win big with SPX under 2153. Bulls win big with JJC above 24.92. One or the other will flinch. The beat goes on.

8/7/16; 7:00 PM EST =

8/5/16; 9:00 AM EST =

8/4/16; 9:36 AM EST = +63; signal line is +75 but algorithm remains long

7/31/16; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +79; signal line is +75

Note Added at 11:48 AM EST: As the message was posted, the JJC sits at..... wait for it......24.92. This is the battle today and dictates broad market direction. As copper goes, so goes the markets.

Note Added at 11:59 AM EST: JJC is at 24.89 the bears are holding the line at 24.92, so far.

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long and has not printed any numbers this week as yet. Bulls need higher commodities but GTX keeps dropping. The bears can signal that they mean business to the downside for the stock market if any one of three things occur; XLF under 23.18, JJC under 24.94 and/or VIX above 14.90. If any one of the three occurs, consider the imminent turn to be in play and if the SPX then drops under 2148, Keybot will likely flip short.

For the SPX starting at 2157, the bulls need to touch the 2170 handle and bingo, the upside will accelerate towards 2180. The bears need to push under 2148 and stocks will accelerate lower. A move through 2149-2169 is sideways action for hump day. The bulls remain in control but any further weakness in the banks or copper or hike in volatility will place the bears in the driver's seat.

8/5/16; 9:00 AM EST =

7/31/16; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +79; signal line is +75