The Keybot the Quant algorithm is zeroed to begin 2017. The robot remains short from SPX 2239 to begin the new year. Keybot is in the SDS ETF. The Keybot the Quant algorithm smoked Wall Street in 2016. The actual trading returned a phenomenal +46 gain in 2016. The computer program logs a +19% gain. These two metrics can be judged against the benchmark S&P index that gained +9.5% in 2016.
Obviously, the central bankers continue pumping stocks higher with easy money year after year. The Fed saved the day last February as stocks wanted to roll over to start 2016. During the year, the Federal Reserve remained very accomodative not implementing any of the four promised rate hikes until the final days when one rate hike was announced with Chair Yellen's back and credibility against the wall. The ECB played a big role in pumping stocks higher in 2016 as President Draghi continues to promise to "do whatever it takers." Ditto the BOJ and of course the BOE stepped in with mountains of stimulus to save the day in late June after the Brexit vote. Governor Carney kicked off the global stock market rally in the second half of 2016. The central bankers are the market.
Interestingly, Keybot flipped positions (long to short or short to long) 26 times in 2016 so the algorithm flips sides about once every two weeks on average. In 2015, the algo flipped sides 46 times nearly double the 26 times indicating how 2015 was a far more choppy year. Last year, 2016, was very straight forward. Stocks dropped January into February, then the central bankers started printing money like madmen, so stocks rallied from February into year end.
The +46% return this year is the largest in the algo's history since it went live with actual trading on 1/1/11. Keybot benefited from the Russell ETF's at the end of the year where the small caps exploded vertically higher after the Trump election win on 11/8/16.
Robots are far smarter than humans. 1's and 0's trade without emotion. The Keybot the Quant algorithm has never printed a losing year since its official data track began on 11/23/08.
The algorithm is printing several +100 ticks to finish out the year. The importance of the +100 ticks is epic and historic. The stock market is in its euphoric glory with all parameters pegged to the ceiling as the New Year's celebrations continue. The thinking would be that the only way forward is lower for the stock market, however, Keybot is only beholding to the 1's and 0's. Good luck to all in 2017.
1/8/17;
7:00 PM EST =
1/6/17;
9:00 AM EST =
1/1/17;
Begin 2017 Data Set = +38; signal line is +77; go short 2239; (Benchmark
SPX for 2017 = 0%)(Keybot algo this trade = 0%; Keybot algo for 2017 =
0%)(Actual results this trade = 0%; Actual results for 2017 = 0%)
Keybot the
Quant Begins 2017 on the Short Side from SPX 2239. All Data 0%. Begin 2017.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
START 2017 PROGRAM
Begin Printing
Mark and Set
Date Stamp 1/1/16; 4:31
AM EST
START 2017 PROGRAM
End – End – End – End
– End – End – End – End – End – End – End
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
END OF
2016 RESULTS:
SPX
Benchmark Final 2016: +9.5% Gain (SPX
Started at 2044 and Ended at 2239)
Keybot
the Quant Actual Trading +45.8% Huge Return Big Beat Over the SPX Benchmark
Keybot
the Quant is a long-short algorithm that oscillates between a bullish position (long)
and a bearish (short) position.
Number
of Position Changes (Long to Short or Short to Long) During 2015: 26
Number
of Broker Commissions Required During 2015:
52
Benchmark
SPX During 2016: +9.5% Gain
Keybot
the Quant Algorithm (Computer Program Only) During 2016: +18.8%
Keybot
the Quant Actual Trading Return for 2016 Including All Commissions, Costs and
Fees: +45.8% Return
1/1/2016
|
2044
|
Go Short
|
3:00 PM
|
RWM
|
62.11
|
1/29/2016
|
1902
|
Cover short
|
9:34 AM
|
RWM
|
69.21
|
1/29/2016
|
1902
|
Go long
|
9:34 AM
|
SSO
|
54.41
|
2/23/2016
|
1930
|
Sell Long
|
10:20 AM
|
SSO
|
56.12
|
2/23/2016
|
1930
|
Go Short
|
10:20 AM
|
SDS
|
21.75
|
2/25/2016
|
1938
|
Cover short
|
9:34 AM
|
SDS
|
21.58
|
2/25/2016
|
1938
|
Go long
|
9:34 AM
|
SSO
|
56.55
|
3/10/2016
|
1973
|
Sell Long
|
12:39 PM
|
SSO
|
58.70
|
3/10/2016
|
1973
|
Go Short
|
12:39 PM
|
DXD
|
20.81
|
3/11/2016
|
2008
|
Cover short
|
9:36 AM
|
DXD
|
20.11
|
3/11/2016
|
2008
|
Go long
|
9:36 AM
|
SPY
|
201.34
|
3/24/2016
|
2026
|
Sell Long
|
9:31 AM
|
SPY
|
201.85
|
3/24/2016
|
2026
|
Go Short
|
9:31 AM
|
SH
|
20.80
|
3/29/2016
|
2050
|
Cover short
|
2:15 PM
|
SH
|
20.51
|
3/29/2016
|
2050
|
Go long
|
2:15 PM
|
SPY
|
204.61
|
4/1/2016
|
2046
|
Sell Long
|
9:36 AM
|
SPY
|
204.10
|
4/1/2016
|
2046
|
Go Short
|
9:36 AM
|
RWM
|
62.56
|
4/11/2016
|
2056
|
Cover short
|
9:42 AM
|
RWM
|
62.55
|
4/11/2016
|
2056
|
Go long
|
9:42 AM
|
IWM
|
109.61
|
5/4/2016
|
2053
|
Sell Long
|
9:36 AM
|
IWM
|
110.05
|
5/4/2016
|
2053
|
Go Short
|
9:36 AM
|
SDS
|
19.01
|
5/20/2016
|
2054
|
Cover short
|
9:52 AM
|
SDS
|
18.84
|
5/20/2016
|
2054
|
Go long
|
9:52 AM
|
SSO
|
63.68
|
6/13/2016
|
2084
|
Sell Long
|
3:11 PM
|
SSO
|
65.60
|
6/13/2016
|
2084
|
Go Short
|
3:11 PM
|
QID
|
30.08
|
6/20/2016
|
2098
|
Cover short
|
9;40 AM
|
QID
|
30.10
|
6/20/2016
|
2098
|
Go long
|
9:40 AM
|
SSO
|
66.33
|
6/24/2016
|
2054
|
Sell Long
|
11:26 AM
|
SSO
|
63.56
|
6/24/2016
|
2054
|
Go Short
|
11:26 AM
|
SDS
|
18.69
|
6/29/2016
|
2053
|
Cover short
|
9:36 AM
|
SDS
|
18.65
|
6/29/2016
|
2053
|
Go long
|
9:36 AM
|
DDM
|
65.26
|
7/5/2016
|
2091
|
Sell Long
|
9:40 AM
|
DDM
|
67.66
|
7/5/2016
|
2091
|
Go Short
|
9:40 AM
|
SDS
|
17.91
|
7/6/2016
|
2097
|
Cover short
|
1:01 PM
|
SDS
|
17.80
|
7/6/2016
|
2097
|
Go long
|
1:01 PM
|
SPY
|
209.40
|
8/26/2016
|
2166
|
Sell Long
|
12:10 PM
|
SPY
|
216.89
|
8/26/2016
|
2166
|
Go Short
|
12:10 PM
|
SDS
|
16.57
|
9/19/2016
|
2148
|
Cover short
|
9:36 AM
|
SDS
|
16.73
|
9/19/2016
|
2148
|
Go long
|
9:36 AM
|
SSO
|
69.79
|
10/5/2016
|
2154
|
Sell Long
|
9:36 AM
|
SSO
|
70.13
|
10/5/2016
|
2154
|
Go Short
|
9:36 AM
|
SDS
|
16.59
|
10/19/2016
|
2144
|
Cover short
|
10:44 AM
|
SDS
|
16.72
|
10/19/2016
|
2144
|
Go long
|
10:44 AM
|
SSO
|
69.52
|
11/1/2016
|
2123
|
Sell Long
|
10:14 AM
|
SSO
|
68.14
|
11/1/2016
|
2123
|
Go Short
|
10:14 AM
|
SDS
|
17.27
|
11/7/2016
|
2116
|
Cover short
|
9:36 AM
|
SDS
|
17.10
|
11/7/2016
|
2116
|
Go long
|
9:36 AM
|
UWM
|
85.50
|
12/1/2016
|
2193
|
Sell Long
|
12:58 PM
|
UWM
|
104.55
|
12/1/2016
|
2193
|
Go Short
|
12:58 PM
|
TWM
|
25.46
|
12/5/2016
|
2204
|
Cover short
|
9:47 AM
|
TWM
|
24.87
|
12/5/2016
|
2204
|
Go long
|
9:47 AM
|
UWM
|
107.00
|
12/28/2016
|
2265
|
Sell Long
|
9:50 AM
|
UWM
|
114.06
|
12/28/2016
|
2265
|
Go Short
|
9:50 AM
|
SDS
|
14.79
|
1/1/2017
|
2239
|
Cover short
|
3:59 AM
|
SDS
|
15.11
|
1/1/2017
|
2239
|
Go Short
|
3:59 AM
|
SDS
|
15.11
|
Date – SPX – Position
– Date Stamp – ETF – Price
Begin Printing Trade
Data Entries Exits Reverse Order
FINAL 2016
Mark and Set
Date Stamp 1/1/17; 4:18
AM EST
End – End – End – End
– End – End – End – End – End – End – End
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/1/17;
Algorithm Zeroed for 2017 Data = +38; signal line is +77; go short 2239;
(Benchmark SPX for 2016 Final = +9.5%)(Keybot algo this trade = +1.2%; Keybot
algo for 2016 Final = +18.8%)(Actual results this trade = +2.2%; Actual results
for 2016 Final = +45.8%)
1/1/17; 3:59 AM EST EOM;
EOQ4; EOH2; EOY = +38; signal line is +77
12/30/16;
3:47 PM EST = +38; signal line is +79
12/30/16;
12:56 AM EST = +54; signal line is +80
12/30/16;
10:51 AM EST = +68; signal line is +81
12/30/16;
10:29 AM EST = +54; signal line is +81
12/29/16;
11:50 AM EST = +68; signal line is +82
12/29/16;
11:50 AM EST = +68; signal line is +82
12/29/16;
11:27 AM EST = +84; signal line is +82 but algorithm remains short
12/29/16;
11:20 AM EST = +68; signal line is +82
12/29/16;
11:08 AM EST = +52; signal line is +82
12/28/16; 9:50 AM EST = +68; signal line is +82; go
short 2265; (Benchmark SPX for 2016 = +10.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = +2.8%;
Keybot algo for 2016 = +17.6%)(Actual results this trade = +6.6%; Actual
results for 2016 = +43.6%)