STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains bullish. The VIX drops below the key bull-bear line in the sand, identified by the algo, at 13.40, so the bulls punch the bears in the face. In fact, minutes ago, the VIX slips below 13. The bulls are in control throwing confetti into the air and singing happy songs.

Watch VIX 13.40 closely today. Stock market bears got nothing unless volatility rises. If you see the VIX overtake 13.40 today, then retreat again for a few minutes or half-hour below 13.40, then pop above 13.40 again, then retreat again, and so forth, that behavior is likely telling you that Keybot is setting itself up for the short side, so the caution flag remains out for now.

If the VIX remains under 13 nowhere near the key 13.40 level, the bears got nothing and will be crying in their beer this holiday weekend. Bulls are cruising with the algo number 18 points above the signal line.

9/2/18; 7:00 PM EST EOM =

8/31/18; 10:00 AM EST = +84; signal line is +66

8/31/18; 9:47 AM EST = +84; signal line is +65

8/31/18; 7:28 AM EST = +70; signal line is +63

8/31/18; 4:37 AM EST = +84; signal line is +63

8/30/18; 3:01 PM EST = +70; signal line is +62

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long. The algorithm finally comes to life this week printing three numbers during Thursday afternoon. The bulls remain in control with the algo number 8 points above the signal line. Volatility moves into the bear camp which creates the downdraft in stocks.

Bears need either GTX under 2710 and/or XLF under 27.79 to create market mayhem. If either parameter flips bearish, consider the imminent turn to the short side to be in play for Keybot.

Bulls need the VIX below 13.39 and/or JJCTF above 30.94 to resume the upside rally in the stock market. Volatility is the key parameter. Bears win big if the VIX remains above 13.39 and heading higher. Bulls win big if VIX slips back below 13.39.

In general, bulls win with lower volatility and higher copper while bears win with weaker commodities and banks. Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number one-half hour after Friday's opening bell.

9/2/18; 7:00 PM EST EOM =

8/31/18; 10:00 AM EST =

8/30/18; 3:01 PM EST = +70; signal line is +62

8/30/18; 2:39 PM EST = +84; signal line is +61

8/30/18; 2:28 PM EST = +70; signal line is +60

8/28/18; 10:00 AM EST = +84; signal line is +59

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long. The algo idles along for another day without printing any numbers except for the pre-scheduled number. The bulls remain comfortable with the algo number 25 points above the signal line.

Bulls need JJCTF above 31 (now at 30.08). Bears need VIX above 13.40 (now at 12.50) and GTX below 2706 (now at 2719). Bulls win with higher copper while bears win with higher volatility and lower commodities. If either VIX or GTX flips bearish, the caution flag will be out. If both parameters flip bearish, consider the imminent turn to the downside to be in play. The beat goes on.

8/31/18; 10:00 AM EST =

8/28/18; 10:00 AM EST = +84; signal line is +59

8/26/18; 7:00 PM EST = +84; signal line is +58

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long idling through the Monday session without printing any numbers. Stock indexes print new all-time highs. Bulls need stronger copper to continue the upside fun.

Bears need VIX above 13.38 (now at 12.16) and GTX below 2707 (now at 2729) to force stocks lower. Either parameter flipping bearish will immediately stop the upside rally but bears need both if they want to begin sinking the stock market ship.

Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number tomorrow morning. The bulls are in control of the stock market.

8/31/18; 10:00 AM EST =

8/28/18; 10:00 AM EST =

8/26/18; 7:00 PM EST = +84; signal line is +58

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant is on the bull side as the new week of trading begins. Commodities and semiconductors create market joy on Friday. The bulls are on easy street with the algo number 26 points above the signal line.

Bulls need stronger copper to keep taking the stock market higher. Bears need higher volatility and lower commodities, banks and chips to stop the stock market rally and turn things south. Interestingly, a couple hours in front of Monday's opening bell, both futures and volatility are higher; thus, one of them is wrong. S&P +7. VIX 12.36.

Market bears will benefit from VIX above 13.65 and/or GTX under 2704.25 (now at 2722), otherwise, the bulls will continue cruising along with their feet up on the dash.

Keybot prints two pre-scheduled numbers this week one on Tuesday morning and the other Friday morning. The last day of August trading (EOM) is on Friday. September trading begins on Tuesday, 9/4/18. US markets will be closed for Labor Day next Monday, 9/3/18. Stocks tend to move higher into three-day holiday weekends.

9/2/18; 7:00 PM EST EOM =

8/31/18; 10:00 AM EST =

8/28/18; 10:00 AM EST =

8/26/18; 7:00 PM EST = +84; signal line is +58

8/24/18; 9:36 AM EST = +84; signal line is +58

8/23/18; 10:30 AM EST = +70; signal line is +57; go long 2868; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 = +7.3%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = -1.5%; Keybot algo for 2018 = +4.7%)(Actual results this trade = -2.9%; Actual trading results for 2018 = +11.5%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant flips to the long side at SPX 2868. The odd market action continues. Keybot avoided going long for many days and finally flips today when the internal parameters lined up for only a few seconds of time. The drama will likely continue. As always, stay alert for a whipsaw back to the short side. The bulls are pumping the chips higher to create the lift in the stock market.

The bears need to send the semiconductors lower which will create market selling. Bears need to push SOX below 1354.72 (now at 1356.13). It continues to be a game of pennies. Bears will also benefit from higher volatility and weaker banks. To keep things simple, if the SOX flips back into the bear camp, and the SPX drops below 2854, Keybot will likely flip short.

The bulls need to keep SOX above 1354.72 and focus on boosting copper and commodities. Bulls need GTX above 2702.78 (now at 2695) to prove that up is the correct stock market direction.

On the last trade, the algo program loses -1.5% and the actual trading gives back nearly -3%. The benchmark S&P 500 is up +7.3% this year, the Keybot algo is up nearly +5% and the actual trading executed by the robot is up +11.5% thus far this year. Keybot exited SDS and entered SSO. Watch the chips.

8/26/18; 7:00 PM EST =

8/23/18; 10:30 AM EST = +70; signal line is +57; go long 2868; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 = +7.3%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = -1.5%; Keybot algo for 2018 = +4.7%)(Actual results this trade = -2.9%; Actual trading results for 2018 = +11.5%)

8/23/18; 9:39 AM EST = +70; signal line is +56 but algorithm remains short

8/22/18; 3:59 PM EST = +54; signal line is +55

8/22/18; 3:20 PM EST = +70; signal line is +56 but algorithm remains short

8/22/18; 2:14 PM EST = +54; signal line is +57

8/22/18; 1:52 PM EST = +68; signal line is +57 but algorithm remains short

8/22/18; 1:36 PM EST = +84; signal line is +57 but algorithm remains short

8/22/18; 1:07 PM EST = +68; signal line is +57 but algorithm remains short

8/22/18; 12:55 PM EST = +54; signal line is +57

8/22/18; 12:21 PM EST = +68; signal line is +58 but algorithm remains short

8/22/18; 12:12 PM EST = +54; signal line is +58

8/22/18; 11:52 AM EST = +70; signal line is +59 but algorithm remains short
8/19/18; 7:00 PM EST = +54; signal line is +59

8/17/18; 10:00 AM EST = +54; signal line is +60

8/16/18; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +60

8/16/18; 9:00 AM EST = +40; signal line is +61

8/16/18; 5:02 AM EST = +40; signal line is +62

8/15/18; 9:48 AM EST = +26; signal line is +64

8/15/18; 6:45 AM EST = +40; signal line is +66

8/14/18; 9:55 AM EST = +54; signal line is +67

8/14/18; 9:36 AM EST = +70; signal line is +68 but algorithm remains short

8/14/18; 3:00 AM EST = +54; signal line is +68

8/13/18; 2:39 PM EST = +40; signal line is +69

8/13/18; 2:31 PM EST = +56; signal line is +70

8/13/18; 11:57 AM EST = +40; signal line is +71

8/13/18; 11:25 AM EST = +54; signal line is +72

8/13/18; 9:48 AM EST = +70; signal line is +72

8/12/18; 7:00 PM EST = +54; signal line is +72

8/10/18; 2:31 PM EST = +54; signal line is +72; go short 2827; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 = +5.7%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = +3.3%; Keybot algo for 2018 = +6.2%)(Actual results this trade = +6.6%; Actual trading results for 2018 = +14.4%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short after another erratic and unstable day in the stock market. Keybot will always surprise you quietly idling along Monday and Tuesday without printing any numbers but today the algo goes nutso spewing off 10 numbers like crazy.

Volatility remains subdued so the bears cannot gain downside traction. Chips and commodities are trying to break out higher but are having difficulty. Six different times Keybot wanted to flip long during the hump day session but the internal parameters would not fully latch so the move was prohibited. Note that the bears are in charge but the algo number is only 1 measly point below the signal line.

Bears need VIX above 13.56 (now at 12.25) as soon as possible to take the stock market lower.

Bulls need SOX above 1354.57 (now at 1354.53) and/or GTX above 2702.78 (now at 2700.88). It is amazing how the algo can identify these key parameters and their levels before they occur. Watch these two parameters closely since the bulls only need 4 pennies with the semiconductors and only two bucks for the commodities. One of the three parameters above will flinch and immediately tell you the stock market direction ahead.

If SOX or GTX turn bullish, either one will do, and the SPX moves above 2867.54, Keybot will likely flip long. The erratic price action continues.

8/26/18; 7:00 PM EST =

8/22/18; 3:59 PM EST = +54; signal line is +55

8/22/18; 3:20 PM EST = +70; signal line is +56 but algorithm remains short

8/22/18; 2:14 PM EST = +54; signal line is +57

8/22/18; 1:52 PM EST = +68; signal line is +57 but algorithm remains short

8/22/18; 1:36 PM EST = +84; signal line is +57 but algorithm remains short

8/22/18; 1:07 PM EST = +68; signal line is +57 but algorithm remains short

8/22/18; 12:55 PM EST = +54; signal line is +57

8/22/18; 12:21 PM EST = +68; signal line is +58 but algorithm remains short

8/22/18; 12:12 PM EST = +54; signal line is +58
8/22/18; 11:52 AM EST = +70; signal line is +59 but algorithm remains short
8/19/18; 7:00 PM EST = +54; signal line is +59

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short as the S&P 500 prints a new all-time record high at 2873.23. The algorithm continues to idle along this week without printing any numbers. The imminent turn notation is added in the title line after a robust rally in the semiconductors. However, there is bombshell political news that President Trump's former attorney, Michael Cohen, cops a plea and says a candidate (Trump) directed him to violate campaign finance laws. The S&P futures are down -8 on Tuesday evening.

Keybot is tracking chips and volatility as the two main drivers of stock market direction currently. The bulls need SOX above 1354 (now at 1348) to gain upside juice and launch the stock market higher. If the SOX overtakes 1354, and the SPX moves above 2873, Keybot will likely flip long, hence the imminent turn notation in the title line.

The bears need higher volatility and must push the VIX above 13.666 (now at 12.86) to create a down move in the stock market and maintain bear control. Markets remain very erratic and unstable.

8/26/18; 7:00 PM EST = 
8/19/18; 7:00 PM EST = +54; signal line is +59

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short as the bifurcated stock market action continues. Chips, copper and commodities remain steadfastly bearish while banks, volatility and the NYA Index remain strongly bullish. None of the parameters want to give up ground. Keybot idled along all day Monday without printing any numbers.

For Tuesday, bulls need higher semiconductors, copper and/or commodities to prove that they can take the major stock indexes to new record highs. The bears need lower banks, lower NYA Index and/or higher volatility to prove that down is the direction ahead for stocks.

The algo identifies the VIX as the parameter most likely to tip its hand and dictate the direction ahead for the stock market. Bears need VIX above 13.666 (now at 12.49) to send equities sharply lower and end the stock market rally. The bulls will continue to float stocks incrementally higher if they can keep the VIX below 13.666. If the bears win this near-term battle at 13.666, the stock market will then fall apart if the VIX moves above 14.54. The stock market is exhibiting odd price action very erratic and unstable. The beat goes on.

8/26/18; 7:00 PM EST = 
8/19/18; 7:00 PM EST = +54; signal line is +59

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short going into the new week of trading. The bears are in control but the algo number is only 5 points below the signal line. The bulls need higher chips, copper and commodities to take stocks higher. Bears need higher volatility and weaker banks and NYA Index.

8/26/18; 7:00 PM EST = 
8/19/18; 7:00 PM EST = +54; signal line is +59

8/17/18; 10:00 AM EST = +54; signal line is +60

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains bearish. In the Friday session, the bulls are unable to elevate the chips and the bears are unable to sink the NYA or push volatility higher, so the stock market staggers along with a slight upward bias.

The stock market is bifurcated with parameters such as utilities, banks and volatility uber bullish while chips, copper and commodities are uber bearish. Since semiconductors collapsed late last week, it is interesting, and difficult, for the bulls to continue the stock market rally. Chips, banks and volatility will probably dictate stock market direction next week.

8/19/18; 7:00 PM EST =

8/17/18; 10:00 AM EST = +54; signal line is +60

8/16/18; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +60

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains on the short side as the bulls and bears battle. The algo number is only 6 points below the signal line. Yesterday the bears were joyous but today, in the Thursday trade, the bulls slap the bears in the face. The bears remain in control of the stock market.

Bulls push stocks higher by stabbing volatility in the gut and pushing the NYA Index higher. The bulls, however, did not have enough juice to flip Keybot long since the chips are soft (and NVDA is down -4.4% in late US trading after reporting earnings this evening).

For Friday, the bulls need stronger semiconductors. Bulls need to push the SOX above 1361.50 (now at 1333 which is its 200-day MA support; it is bounce or die time at the 200) which would likely set up Keybot to go long.

The bears need to push volatility higher and/or the NYA Index lower. Either parameter turning bearish will immediately stop the upside stock market rally. Bears need to push the VIX above 14.15 (now at 13.45) and/or NYA below 12738.80 (now at 12841).

Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number tomorrow morning. If the SOX moves above 1361.50 and the SPX moves above 2850, Keybot will likely flip long thus, the imminent turn notation is in the title line. If VIX and NYA remain bullish, and SOX bearish, the stock market will likely stagger along sideways with a slight upward bias.

8/19/18; 7:00 PM EST =

8/17/18; 10:00 AM EST =

8/16/18; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +60

8/16/18; 9:00 AM EST = +40; signal line is +61

8/16/18; 5:02 AM EST = +40; signal line is +62

8/15/18; 9:48 AM EST = +26; signal line is +64

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short. The bears are growling taking the stock market lower by pushing volatility higher and the NYA Index lower. The algo number is 38 points below the signal line so the bears are cruising.

The bears next have their sights on the banks. The bears must push XLF under 27.62 (now at 27.74) to continue the stock market rout.

The bulls have to reverse today's mayhem if they expect to right the ship. The bulls need to push the VIX below 14.15 (now at 14.64) and/or NYA above 12738.80 (now at 12723) to stop the stock market selloff. Since the NYA Index is only 15 bucks on the bear side, watch this like a hawk at the Thursday opening bell. If the bulls cannot push the NYA back above 12739-ish, not only are they in for another long day of selling but on a weekly basis the stock market will remain weak.

Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number at 9 AM EST. The beat goes on.

8/17/18; 10:00 AM EST =

8/16/18; 9:00 AM EST =

8/15/18; 9:48 AM EST = +26; signal line is +64

8/15/18; 6:45 AM EST = +40; signal line is +66

8/14/18; 9:55 AM EST = +54; signal line is +67

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short as the stock market rallies today (Tuesday). The algo is active this week printing five numbers yesterday and three today. The algo number is 13 points below the signal line indicating that the bears are running the show.

The bulls were trying to push chips, SOX, above the important 1361.50 but did not have enough gusto. If SOX moves above 1361.50 (now at 1354.19), consider the imminent turn to be in play, and if the SPX then moves above 2843, Keybot will likely flip long.

The bears need to push the VIX above 14.15 (now at the 13.31 palindrome) and/or the NYA below 12740 (now at 12835) to send the stock market lower. Thus, for hump day, the bulls need stronger chips while the bears need higher volatility and/or a lower NYA index. These three parameters currently dictate the broad stock market direction. The beat goes on.

8/17/18; 10:00 AM EST =

8/16/18; 9:00 AM EST =

8/14/18; 9:55 AM EST = +54; signal line is +67

8/14/18; 9:36 AM EST = +70; signal line is +68 but algorithm remains short

8/14/18; 3:00 AM EST = +54; signal line is +68

8/13/18; 2:39 PM EST = +40; signal line is +69

8/13/18; 2:31 PM EST = +56; signal line is +70

8/13/18; 11:57 AM EST = +40; signal line is +71

8/13/18; 11:25 AM EST = +54; signal line is +72

8/13/18; 9:48 AM EST = +70; signal line is +72

8/12/18; 7:00 PM EST = +54; signal line is +72

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant is on the short side from Friday afternoon. As always, stay alert for a potential whipsaw. The stock market bulls need a recovery in the chips to nullify Friday's negativity. Bulls need SOX above 1362.05 (now at 1354.80). Watch this closely after the opening bell since it will tell you the market story for Monday. Bulls will also benefit if commodities rally with the GTX above 2710 (now at 2686.23).

Bears will benefit from weaker banks, weaker NYA Index and/or higher volatility, XLF below 27.58 (now at 27.97), NYA below 12728 (now at 12843) and/or VIX above 14.46 (now at 13.16), respectively. The five parameters above dictate the stock market direction going forward.

Keybot prints two pre-scheduled numbers this week one on Thursday morning and the other on Friday morning. The beat goes on.

8/19/18; 7:00 PM EST =

8/17/18; 10:00 AM EST =

8/16/18; 9:00 AM EST =

8/12/18; 7:00 PM EST = +54; signal line is +72

8/10/18; 2:31 PM EST = +54; signal line is +72; go short 2827; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 = +5.7%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = +3.3%; Keybot algo for 2018 = +6.2%)(Actual results this trade = +6.6%; Actual trading results for 2018 = +14.4%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side at SPX 2827 on Friday afternoon. The failure in the chip sector was the main driver of lower stock prices. The market bulls will need stronger semiconductors to resume the upside in the stock market. Chips, banks, commodities, the NYA Index and volatility are all important parameters to watch next week.

On the last trade, the Keybot algorithm program gains +3.3% and is up +6.2% on the year. The actual trading executed by the robot gains +6.6% on the last trade and is up +14.4% on the year. The benchmark S&P 500 is up +5.7% this year thus far. Keybot exited SSO and entered SDS remaining in the 2x ETF's.

8/12/18; 7:00 PM EST =

8/10/18; 2:31 PM EST = +54; signal line is +72; go short 2827; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 = +5.7%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = +3.3%; Keybot algo for 2018 = +6.2%)(Actual results this trade = +6.6%; Actual trading results for 2018 = +14.4%)

8/10/18; 9:57 AM EST = +54; signal line is +72 but algorithm remains long

8/8/18; 9:56 AM EST = +70; signal line is +72 but algorithm remains long

8/6/18; 9:36 AM EST = +84; signal line is +72

8/5/18; 7:00 PM EST = +70; signal line is +71 but algorithm remains long

8/3/18; 11:34 AM EST = +70; signal line is +70 but algorithm remains long

8/3/18; 10:31 AM EST = +84; signal line is +69

8/3/18; 10:19 AM EST = +70; signal line is +69

8/3/18; 10:09 AM EST = +84; signal line is +69

8/3/18; 9:00 AM EST = +70; signal line is +68

8/2/18; 1:05 PM EST = +70; signal line is +67

8/2/18; 12:51 PM EST = +84; signal line is +67

8/2/18; 10:06 AM EST = +70; signal line is +66

8/2/18; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +65 but algorithm remains long

8/1/18; 9:36 AM EST = +70; signal line is +65

7/31/18; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +84; signal line is +64

7/31/18; 10:00 AM EST = +84; signal line is +62

7/31/18; 9:36 AM EST = +84; signal line is +61

7/30/18; 3:59 PM EST = +68; signal line is +60

7/30/18; 1:11 PM EST = +84; signal line is +59

7/30/18; 11:41 AM EST = +68; signal line is +56

7/29/18; 7:00 PM EST = +84; signal line is +55

7/27/18; 10:00 AM EST = +84; signal line is +54

7/26/18; 9:36 AM EST = +84; signal line is +54

7/25/18; 11:29 AM EST = +68; signal line is +54

7/25/18; 10:51 AM EST = +54; signal line is +54 but algorithm remains long

7/25/18; 10:02 AM EST = +68; signal line is +54

7/24/18; 3:34 PM EST = +54; signal line is +54 but algorithm remains long

7/24/18; 12:49 PM EST = +38; signal line is +54 but algorithm remains long

7/24/18; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +53

7/23/18; 12:39 PM EST = +70; signal line is +53

7/23/18; 12:15 PM EST = +54; signal line is +52

7/23/18; 11:55 AM EST = +38; signal line is +52 but algorithm remains long

7/23/18; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +52

7/22/18; 7:00 PM EST = +70; signal line is +52

7/18/18; 9:00 AM EST = +70; signal line is +51

7/17/18; 3:28 PM EST = +70; signal line is +50

7/17/18; 3:02 PM EST = +54; signal line is +49
7/17/18; 2:15 PM EST = +70; signal line is +49
7/16/18; 11:12 AM EST = +54; signal line is +48
7/16/18; 10:54 AM EST = +38; signal line is +47 but algorithm remains long

7/16/18; 10:37 AM EST = +54; signal line is +47
7/15/18; 7:00 PM EST = +38; signal line is +47 but algorithm remains long

7/13/18; 2:21 PM EST = +38; signal line is +46 but algorithm remains long

7/13/18; 2:00 PM EST = +52; signal line is +46

7/13/18; 10:00 AM EST = +38; signal line is +45 but algorithm remains long

7/11/18; 2:27 PM EST = +38; signal line is +45 but algorithm remains long

7/11/18; 2:16 PM EST = +24; signal line is +45 but algorithm remains long

7/11/18; 1:02 PM EST = +38; signal line is +44 but algorithm remains long

7/11/18; 9:36 AM EST = +52; signal line is +44

7/10/18; 12:12 PM EST = +68; signal line is +42

7/10/18; 12:09 PM EST = +84; signal line is +41

7/10/18; 10:57 AM EST = +68; signal line is +38

7/10/18; 10:36 AM EST = +52; signal line is +36
7/10/18; 9:36 AM EST = +68; signal line is +35
7/9/18; 3:34 PM EST = +52; signal line is +33

7/9/18; 3:20 PM EST = +36; signal line is +32

7/9/18; 2:41 PM EST = +52; signal line is +31
7/9/18; 1:34 PM EST = +36; signal line is +30
7/9/18; 9:36 AM EST = +52; signal line is +29

7/8/18; 7:00 PM EST = +38; signal line is +28

7/6/18; 3:47 PM EST = +38; signal line is +27

7/6/18; 1:07 PM EST = +52; signal line is +26

7/6/18; 12:54 PM EST = +38; signal line is +25

7/6/18; 12:06 PM EST = +52; signal line is +24

7/6/18; 11:57 AM EST = +38; signal line is +23

7/6/18; 11:46 AM EST = +52; signal line is +22

7/6/18; 9:00 AM EST = +38; signal line is +21

7/5/18; 3:53 PM EST = +38; signal line is +19; go long 2738; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 = +2.4%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = +0.7%; Keybot algo for 2018 = +2.9%)(Actual results this trade = +1.3%; Actual trading results for 2018 = +7.8%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long but is champing at the bit to go short. Commodities failed yesterday setting-up the algo to flip to the bear side but the internal parameters are not fully latched to permit the move.

If the SPX falls below 2853, Keybot will likely flip to the short side. The SPX begins the Thursday trade at 2858. S&P futures are up 2 points as this message is typed 3-1/2 hours before the opening bell.

The bulls need higher copper and/or commodities to right the ship and maintain the upside trend in the stock market. Bulls need either JJCTF above 31.95 and/or GTX above 2712. Copper futures are trading strongly higher.

The bears have it on a silver platter if they want it only having to send the SPX below 2853 which will likely flip Keybot short. Bears would benefit from a slow and steady move lower in the S&P 500 and not a gap-down open. Thus, bears win with SPX 2853 while bulls win with JJCTF 31.95 and GTX 2712.

8/12/18; 7:00 PM EST =

8/8/18; 9:56 AM EST = +70; signal line is +72 but algorithm remains long

8/6/18; 9:36 AM EST = +84; signal line is +72

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long. Out of the gate on Monday, the bulls slap the bears in the face once again. Slap, slap. Commodities rally creating lift in the stock market to begin the week. Stocks also rise in the Tuesday session but Keybot does not print any numbers during the market joy. The algo number is 12 points above the signal line verifying that the bulls remain in charge of the stock market.

Copper and commodities are battling. Copper is the only major market parameter that creates negativity in the stock market. The bulls need JJCTF above 31.95 (now at 30.43) to create substantive new all-time record highs in the S&P 500.

The bears need to push commodities lower, GTX under 2714 (now at 2735), to create market negativity. If copper remains in the bear camp, and commodities in the bull camp, the stock market will chop sideways with a slight upward bias. The beat goes on.

8/12/18; 7:00 PM EST =

8/6/18; 9:36 AM EST = +84; signal line is +72

8/5/18; 7:00 PM EST = +70; signal line is +71 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long but interestingly, the algo number slips below the signal line setting-up the algorithm to go short. If the SPX drops below 2827 (beginning the week at 2840), Keybot will likely flip to the short side.

Bulls need stronger commodities, GTX above 2712.80, to take the stock market higher. Last Thursday, GTX teased a break-out higher but fell backwards. The same behavior occurred on Friday.

Bears need weaker chips and utilities, SOX under 1362.50 and UTIL under 712.05, respectively, to take the stock market lower. Utilities may play a key role in stock market direction for the week ahead. If UTIL falls below 712.05, and then drops under 708.68, stocks will be falling like rocks. Keybot does not print any pre-scheduled numbers this week.

8/12/18; 7:00 PM EST =

8/5/18; 7:00 PM EST = +70; signal line is +71 but algorithm remains long

8/3/18; 11:34 AM EST = +70; signal line is +70 but algorithm remains long

8/3/18; 10:31 AM EST = +84; signal line is +69

8/3/18; 10:19 AM EST = +70; signal line is +69

8/3/18; 10:09 AM EST = +84; signal line is +69

8/3/18; 9:00 AM EST = +70; signal line is +68

8/2/18; 1:05 PM EST = +70; signal line is +67

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long. The bulls sent commodities higher and cheered the GTX crossing above 2713 but then the GTX fell on its sword unable to maintain the joy. The algo number is only 3 points above the signal line.

Bulls need GTX above 2713 (now at 2706) to prove that the stock market rally will continue.

Bears need UTIL under 711.96 (now at 722) and/or SOX under 1361 (now at 1379). If either parameter slips bearish, and the SPX falls below 2796, Keybot will likely flip short. The bulls pumped utes and chips higher today. If either UTIL or SOX flips bearish, consider the imminent turn to the short side to be in play. Keybot prints the Friday pre-scheduled number before tomorrow's opening bell.

8/5/18; 7:00 PM EST =

8/3/18; 9:00 AM EST =

8/2/18; 1:05 PM EST = +70; signal line is +67

8/2/18; 12:51 PM EST = +84; signal line is +67

8/2/18; 10:06 AM EST = +70; signal line is +66

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long. The algo threatened to go short at the opening bell today but the bulls stepped in to pump the semiconductors higher and save the day maintaining the long posture for Keybot.

Market bears need either SOX under 1360 and/or UTIL under 712.22 to create negativity in the stock market. If either parameter turns bearish, and the SPX falls below 2796, Keybot will likely flip short, hence the imminent turn notation is in the title line.

Market bulls need GTX above 2711 to prove that up is the direction forward for equities. Thus, bears need weaker semiconductors and utilities while bulls need stronger commodities.

8/5/18; 7:00 PM EST =

8/3/18; 9:00 AM EST =

8/2/18; 10:06 AM EST = +70; signal line is +66

8/2/18; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +65 but algorithm remains long

8/1/18; 9:36 AM EST = +70; signal line is +65

7/31/18; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +84; signal line is +64

7/31/18; 10:00 AM EST = +84; signal line is +62