President Trump's Final 80 Days: The Real-Time 80-Day Chronology of the Historic 2020 US Presidential Election, Biden Win, Trump Loss, Georgia Runoffs, Capitol Hill Riot, Impeachment & Inauguration 11-2-20 through 1-20-21

President Trump's Final 80 Days

The 80-day period between the US 2020 presidential election and the inauguration is the most extraordinary period in American history in decades. Relive the drama in real-time from Election Eve through Inauguration Day 11/2/20 through 1/20/21. What a crazy ride. Feel the wind in your hair. Experience the daily zeitgeist.

This is not boring revisionist history telling; it is the real-time daily raw political action unfolding in front of your face. After four days of vote counting drama, President Biden wins the election on 11/7/20 and is named 46th POTUS. Ballots are in suitcases. President Trump refuses to concede. The pandemic rages on. It is pandemonium.

Trump continues the election fraud saga after the Electoral College Certification on 12/14/20. The Georgia runoff elections on 1/5/21 create a twist in the saga. Then the fateful day occurs; 1/6/21.

Relive the Trump Rally and Capitol Hill Riot in real-time; the QAnon Shaman, Zip Tie Man and tragically, five dead bodies. The riot, and republicans contesting the electoral college votes from several states, pushes the Congressional certification of the Biden win from 1/6/21 into the wee hours of the morning on 1/7/21.

The Trump impeachment follows on 1/13/21 and then the Trump departure and Biden inauguration on 1/20/21. It is a remarkable 80 days of American history chronicled in detail in real-time including Lady Gaga’s gold microphone. The book is an easy read and you will not be disappointed.

This book is for armchair political groupies, historians, teachers, students, journalists, reporters, writers, speakers, researchers, politicians, public officials, political hacks, television pundits, non-fiction enthusiasts and anyone that wants to relive the 80 crazy days of drama from the 2020 US election in early November 2020 through the Biden inauguration in mid-January 2021.

https://www.amazon.com/dp/B08VGNBSP1/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&keywords=president+trump%27s+final+80+days+k+e+stone&qid=1612034455&sr=8-1#detailBullets_feature_div

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short. Market participants are Riders on the Storm. The quant prints three numbers thus far today including the pre-scheduled number. Retail stocks and banks are thwacked which creates the stock market weakness. Bears are trying to pound copper to create a mini-crash before the bell.

Bulls need either XLF above 29.10 or RTH above 157.77 pronto. Either one will stop the market selling and at least stabilize stocks sideways into the weekend. Bulls can turn the tables if they pull both retail stocks and banks back into their camp before the closing bell. Bulls must not let copper fail, if they do, they will need a medic.

Bears need CPER (copper) below 21.72, and its only pennies away, and stocks will be flushed hard into the closing bell. 

1/31/21; 7:00 PM EST EOM =
1/29/21; 12:21 PM EST = +6; signal line is +45
1/29/21; 12:19 PM EST = +22; signal line is +47
1/29/21; 10:00 AM EST = +38; signal line is +48
1/28/21; 9:36 AM EST = +38; signal line is +49

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short. Hump day was an active day for the algo printing out six numbers. The broad stock market direction is currently controlled by volatility, utilities, banks, retail stocks and copper so there are many moving parts. Price action remains erratic and unstable.

The bears are in charge of market direction with the algo number 11 points below the signal line. S&P futures are down -36 and the VIX is at 33.98 about 3-1/2 hours before the opening bell on Wall Street for Friday.

Bears win going forward with weaker banks and retail stocks. Bears need XLF under 29.11 and/or RTH below 158.00. One of the two turning bearish will cause a noticeable leg lower in the stock market and if both fail, stocks will flush lower. Bears need weaker copper and CPER below 21.74 will create trouble and that reflects about a -1.4% drop in copper futures that are down -0.3% now. So watch copper.

Futures are down so if they hold the negative scenario is on tap for stocks at the start. As equities drop watch XLF and RTH. If one of the two turns bearish, the downside is sustainable going forward. If stocks drop but these two remain in the bull camp, the stock market will recover and rally.

Bulls win with stronger utilities and lower volatility. Bulls need UTIL above 885 pronto to salvage the bull path forward. This is for today; It gets tougher, bulls. For all of next week, the 885 is meaningless and replaced by 893.68, call it 894. Thus, by 4 PM EST today, UTIL must be above 894, a formidable task, otherwise, utes will continue to contribute negatively to the stock market next week.

If utilities begin dropping like a rock, watch UTIL 822.50 which is a trap-door in the stock market. If UTIL collapses and drops below 822-823, look-out. The stock market would be in position to crash big. At the least, if the trap-door opens, the SPX will likely drop from 20 to 40 handles within an hour. The crash scenario would obviously be a few hundred points of carnage that occurs from there forward.

Bulls win with lower volatility and desperately need the VIX below 24.80 to signal the all-clear for stocks. The Fed lost control of volatility and is trying to wrestle it back.

Summing up all that windbag stuff, bulls will stop the carnage with VIX below 24.80 or UTIL above 885-894. If either occurs, consider the imminent turn to the long side to be in play perhaps around SPX 3830.

Bears need XLF below 29.11 and/or RTH below 158.00 and/or CPER below 21.74 to create carnage on Wall Street. The degree of stock market selling is directly correlated to how banks, retail stocks (AMZN) and copper perform today.

Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number this morning shortly after the opening bell.

1/31/21; 7:00 PM EST EOM =
1/29/21; 10:00 AM EST =
1/28/21; 9:36 AM EST = +38; signal line is +49
1/27/21; 3:45 PM EST = +22; signal line is +50
1/27/21; 3:30 PM EST = +6; signal line is +51
1/27/21; 3:28 PM EST = +22; signal line is +53
1/27/21; 3:19 PM EST = +38; signal line is +55
1/27/21; 2:22 PM EST = +22; signal line is +55
1/27/21; 5:37 AM EST = +38; signal line is +57
1/26/21; 10:00 AM EST = +52; signal line is +57
1/25/21; 12:40 PM EST = +51; signal line is +57

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short as the bulls and bears fight over utilities and volatility dictating the path ahead for the stock market. The bears are in charge with the algo number only 6 points below the signal line.

Bears need VIX above 24.60 to wreak havoc in markets and volatility will begin trading shortly from VIX 23.19. Weaker banks and copper will also create market carnage. Bears need XLF below 29.23 and CPER below 21.75. Both of these parameters reflect about a -3% drop. Copper futures are down more than -1% currently so another couple percent lower in copper is going to cause trouble for the US stock market.

Bulls are hanging their hat on utes. Bulls must push UTIL above 884.52. UTIL jumped strongly higher yesterday and sits at 872 within striking distance. Utilities typically move higher as yields move lower. Bulls will throw confetti if UTIL moves above 884 since stocks will begin rallying again. Consider the imminent turn to the long side to be in play for the quant if you see UTIL pop above 884.

Bears win big and stock market ugliness will appear if VIX moves above 24.60. Bulls win big and stocks will stabilize and begin moving higher if UTIL moves above 884. Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number this morning shortly after the opening bell.

1/29/21; 10:00 AM EST =
1/26/21; 10:00 AM EST =
1/25/21; 12:40 PM EST = +51; signal line is +57
1/25/21; 12:28 PM EST = +37; signal line is +57
1/25/21; 11:49 AM EST = +51; signal line is +58

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side this morning at SPX 3812. Utilities remain weak which cast a pall upon the markets. The VIX poking up through 24.64 caused the flush lower in equities. Stocks recover and the bulls just pull volatility lower back into their camp. Bears need VIX 24.64 and higher to create market carnage. Weaker copper and banks would also help, say a couple percent loss in either will create a down leg in the broad stock market. First thing is first, however, so the bears have to move VIX above 24.64.

The Fed meeting is this week and presser on Wednesday and stocks usually rally into the Fed decision since they always decide to print more money. 

On the last trade, the algo program gains a couple percent and the actual trading gains nearly four percent. The benchmark S&P 500 Index is up +1.5% this year thus far. The algo program is up a couple percent this year thus far and the actual trading is up over +4% thus far. Keybot exits SSO and enters SDS remaining in the double-leveraged ETF's. Watch VIX 24.64; it is all that matters today and early this week. VIX is at 24.11. The Fed's jackboots are on Uncle VIX's neck right now holding him down so the wealthy can enjoy higher stock prices.

1/31/21; 7:00 PM EST EOM =
1/29/21; 10:00 AM EST =
1/26/21; 10:00 AM EST =
1/25/21; 11:49 AM EST = +51; signal line is +58
1/25/21; 11:08 AM EST = +37; signal line is +58
1/25/21; 11:07 AM EST = +51; signal line is +60; go short 3812; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +1.5%)(Keybot algo this trade = +1.8%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +2.1%)(Actual results this trade = +3.7%; Actual results for 2021 = +4.3%)
1/24/21; 7:00 PM EST = +51; signal line is +60 but algorithm remains long
1/21/21; 9:00 AM EST = +51; signal line is +61 but algorithm remains long
1/19/21; 9:36 AM EST = +51; signal line is +61 but algorithm remains long
1/17/21; 7:00 PM EST = +67; signal line is +62
1/15/21; 10:00 AM EST = +67; signal line is +62
1/12/21; 1:17 PM EST = +67; signal line is +61
1/12/21; 12:56 PM EST = +51; signal line is +61 but algorithm remains long
1/12/21; 12:48 PM EST = +67; signal line is +62
1/12/21; 12:12 PM EST = +51; signal line is +62 but algorithm remains long
1/10/21; 7:00 PM EST = +67; signal line is +63
1/8/21; 9:00 AM EST = +67; signal line is +63
1/6/21; 3:59 PM EST = +67; signal line is +63
1/6/21; 2:53 PM EST = +53; signal line is +64 but algorithm remains long
1/6/21; 10:10 AM EST = +67; signal line is +64; go long 3745; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +0.3%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.3%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +0.3%)(Actual results this trade = +0.6%; Actual results for 2021 = +0.6%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long. The crazy price action continues. It's a Wild Wild Life. These are epic times. The robot has remained long for four days despite wanting to flip short with the algo number 9 points below the signal line. The internal parameters will not fully latch as yet to permit the move. This activity has only happened once, maybe twice, in the entire history of the quant (going four days wanting to flip but it does not). The price action remains erratic and unstable and probably historic.

The bears have it on a silver platter if they want it. If the SPX drops below 3830 trending lower, Keybot the Quant will likely flip short. It does not get simpler than that. The S&P 500 begins at 3841 so bears only need 11 points. They better eat their Wheaties tomorrow morning.

The bulls must push UTIL above 885 starting at the 858 palindrome. This is a formidable task and each minute it does not occur is another nail in the bull coffin.

Bears need VIX above 24.78 to begin market carnage. VIX starts at 3 AM EST at 21.91. The wheels will fall off the stock market at 24.78 but if bulls keep volatility under this level, they will not be too worried. Weaker copper would also help the bears.

Bears win big if SPX falls below 3830 since the quant will likely flip short. Bulls need UTIL above 885 to prove that they can take the stock market higher this year. Bears need VIX above 24.78 where stocks will be selling off in earnest.

Keybot prints two pre-scheduled numbers this week one on Tuesday morning and the other on Friday morning. The month of January trading ends on Friday with the calendar ending on Sunday. February trading begins on Monday, 2/1/21, 2121, one week from tomorrow.

SPX 3830 and VIX 24.78 will tell the market story on Monday. If stocks sell off early and it looks like it has downside legs, make sure VIX is above 24.78, otherwise, stocks will recover and become buoyant again.

1/31/21; 7:00 PM EST EOM =
1/29/21; 10:00 AM EST =
1/26/21; 10:00 AM EST =
1/24/21; 7:00 PM EST = +51; signal line is +60 but algorithm remains long
1/21/21; 9:00 AM EST = +51; signal line is +61 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long as the bears try to flex their muscles but they need to eat more Wheaties. The quant is champing at the bit to go short but it is same-o, same-o today, Friday, at 11 AM EST-ish, at least so far. The day is young. If the SPX falls through 3830 trending lower, Keybot will likely flip short. The SPX is at 3841. VIX 21.84. VIX HOD 23.73. UTIL 856. The wild action continues.

1/24/21; 7:00 PM EST =
1/21/21; 9:00 AM EST = +51; signal line is +61 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long but continues champing at the bit to go short all week long. The internal parameters will not fully latch to permit the move as yet. Sometimes it is like herding kittens. Several parameters will be latched but by the time the last few fall into place, one of the others has unlatched and wandered off. The bears remain in charge of stock market direction with the algo number 10 points below the signal line, despite the rise in equities the last couple days back to the record highs.

If the SPX drops below 3845, Keybot the Quant will likely flip short, hence the imminent turn notation in the title line. The SPX begins at 3853. S&P futures are down -25 with the VIX at 23.00. The bears would be better off with a slow down move. The gap-down move will likely trigger a timer that will not allow the quant to flip short for about 90 minutes. There are several moving parts so Keybot will do what it does; it may be an interesting morning ahead.

If VIX moves above 24.76, stocks will fall apart. Bears will also benefit from weaker copper.

Bulls are unable to move UTIL above 876 this week which leads into the sogginess as the week ends. It does not get easier for the bulls. Next week the 876 number is meaningless and replaced by 884.52 call it 885. Bulls must push UTIL above 885 by 4 PM EST today or more weakness will enter into the stock market next week. UTIL begins Friday at the 858 palindrome. If UTIL drops in earnest and falls through 825, the stock market will probably crash. Today may be a very interesting day.

1/24/21; 7:00 PM EST =
1/21/21; 9:00 AM EST = +51; signal line is +61 but algorithm remains long
1/19/21; 9:36 AM EST = +51; signal line is +61 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long but the algo is champing at the bit to go short for the last two days. The holiday-shortened week begins on Tuesday and the bears came to play. Their chests are puffed-out and they are ready to push stocks lower. Utilities fail out of the gate this week as expected but markets rise instead of fall. Whazzat all about?

Former Fed Chair Yellen, Queen of the Doves, who never met a printing press she never loved, is now running Treasury and promises loads of fiscal dough forever. The Yellen Rally occurs. Then President Biden steps into the ring, tagging Yellen, this week is a tag-team event, promising free money for as far as the eye can see. The Biden Orgy occurs yesterday. This morning, ECB President Lagarde is on tap in three hours, and her words will impact the euro, which will send the dollar the other way, which will send stocks and gold the other way (moving with the euro). And don't forget the Fed keeps printing money like mad in the basement of the Eccles Building.

So the bears came to play with their ute negativity but the bulls have rich Aunt Janet, rich Uncle Joe, rich Uncle Jerome and rich Aunt Christine stepping in to slap the bears around and tell them to go home. Git! Go home!

The quant wants to go short but the internal parameters in the model will not yet fully latch to permit the move. If the SPX falls through that 3804-3817 zone today trending lower, Keybot will likely flip short. The SPX begins up at 3852 so that would be a 35-point drop just for the bears to get in the game today. S&P futures are higher +5 so that would be about a 40-point drop needed.

Despite the upside euphoric joy and never-ending optimism that stocks will never go down again, bulls cannot get the UTIL above 876. UTIL is at 865. Up is the wrong direction for stocks unless UTIL moves above 876 pronto and trending higher for next week. Watch utilities closely today and tomorrow since they will tell you a lot. If UTIL moves above 876, the bulls are going to maintain elevated markets for a few days. If UTIL remains below 876, it is only a matter of time, perhaps today, before stocks start selling off and sinking lower.

If VIX pops above 24.76, that will tell you it is lights-out time for stocks. Weaker copper will also help bears but copper futures are higher this morning. Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number this morning before the opening bell.

The quant number is 10 points below the signal line placing the bears in charge of stock market direction but stocks go parabolic on a buying frenzy and short-covering rally. Understand that this is highly unique, erratic and unstable price behavior in markets. It is historic.

1/24/21; 7:00 PM EST =
1/21/21; 9:00 AM EST =
1/19/21; 9:36 AM EST = +51; signal line is +61 but algorithm remains long
1/17/21; 7:00 PM EST = +67; signal line is +62

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long. Happy MLK Day. Trading resumes in the States tomorrow. The bulls are in charge of stock market direction with the algo number 5 points above the signal line. Volatility spiked on Friday morning so it looked like the bulls were finally cooked, but the Federal Reserve jumped on Uncle Vix, wrestling him to the ground, so stocks could remain buoyant.

The VIX is at 24.34 in the bull camp. Bears need the VIX above 25 22 to create market mayhem. Bears will also benefit from weaker copper. Bears need CPER below 21.45 which represents about a -3% drop in copper futures. That will create stock market weakness.

Utes are key. UTIL 875.81 is the key bull/bear line in the sand this week. UTIL begins at 851 which is an immediate failure out of the gate which will usher in stock market weakness. If UTIL remains below 876 after the opening bell, and the SPX drops below 3750 heading lower, Keybot the Quant will likely flip short, hence the imminent turn notation is in the title line. The bulls need UTIL above 876 as fast as possible and the stock market party can begin again.

If utes rally, that will hint that the bears probably do not have a lot of strength and it may be enough to at least keep the stock market chopping sideways. The wheels will fall off if the VIX pops above 25.22. If UTIL falls through 825, the stock market may go into free fall.

That's a bunch of confusing stuff. Simplifying, bulls need UTIL above 876 pronto otherwise they are in trouble. Bears need to keep UTIL below 876 and push SPX below 3750 which should trigger the robot to flip short. If VIX pops above 25.22, you know the market is in serious trouble and stocks will be falling like rocks. If CPER then fails, stocks may assume a crash profile and then the story will be written by UTIL 825.

If UTIL 876, VIX 25.22 and CPER 21.45 occur in quick order, turning the market extremely bearish, the quant would likely flip short immediately. Is that clear as mud?

The opening minutes tomorrow are important. Watch the utilities and volatility; they dictate stock market direction and whether the model flips short on Tuesday, or not. Keybot prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Thursday morning. Is it time for a market heartache?

1/24/21; 7:00 PM EST =
1/21/21; 9:00 AM EST =
1/17/21; 7:00 PM EST = +67; signal line is +62
1/15/21; 10:00 AM EST = +67; signal line is +62
1/12/21; 1:17 PM EST = +67; signal line is +61

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long and the algo is quiet as the week moves along. The bulls are in charge of stock market direction but the algo number is only 6 points above the signal line. Volatility and utes continue running the show.

Bears need VIX above 25.16 and/or UTIL below 832.49. VIX is trading at 23.66 right now, 5-1/2 hours before the opening bell in the US so the bears need another buck-fifty, or buck-fitty for the younger crowd.

UTIL begins the Friday session at 851. The UTIL 832.49 number may be a lot to ask of the bears today but for next week (Monday trading is closed for Martin Luther King Day), 875.81 is the key level and the 832.49 is meaningless. Thus, by 4 PM EST today, UTIL must be above 876, otherwise, the stock market will be soft next week. If UTIL 832.49 fails today, stocks will fall apart and if the 825 fails, stocks may go into free fall. For next week, if UTIL is below 876, the stock market will be weak, and if 825 fails, stocks may to into free fall.

If VIX pops above 25.16 and the SPX slips below 3793 trending lower, Keybot the Quant will likely flip short, hence the imminent turn notation is in the title line. The SPX begins at 3796 so the bears have it on a silver platter if they want it. Bears must pull the Federal Reserve's jackboots off the throat of volatility and let it explode higher if they want to growl and create mayhem. S&P futures are off -15. Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number at 10 AM EST. The beat goes on.

1/17/21; 7:00 PM EST =
1/15/21; 10:00 AM EST =
1/12/21; 1:17 PM EST = +67; signal line is +61
1/12/21; 12:56 PM EST = +51; signal line is +61 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long printing four numbers in the Monday session. The bears flex their muscles and attack the bulls but are slapped back. Utilities ruptured causing the softness in stocks yesterday but the bulls pull utes back into their camp to end the day.

Thus, same-o thing is on tap only now you know that utilities are definitely the stock market direction driver right now. Also volatility. Bears need UTIL below 832.49 to create trouble. If UTIL fails at 832.49, and the SPX falls below 3777 trending lower, Keybot the Quant will likely flip short. If stocks fall but the utilities do not, stocks will recover. If stocks rally and utes fail, stocks will turn around and selloff.

If UTIL loses 832.49, consider that to be red lights flashing. If UTIL 825 fails, the stock market could go into free fall. At the least, there will probably be a 20 to 40 point drop in the SPX within an hour after the 825 failure occurs, should it occur.

Bears need VIX above 25.17 to create market mayhem. Bulls are fine as long as the VIX remains below 25.17. Above 25.17, and the wheels will fall off the stock market. If VIX moves above 25.17, and the SPX falls below 3777 trending lower, Keybot the Quant will likely flip short. If utes have failed too, stocks will be dropping like rocks.

Bulls simply have to keep VIX sub 25.17 and UTIL above 832.49; bears are battling otherwise. The VIX is at 23.66 with S&P futures slipping negative. Futures turn sour over the last few minutes about 4 hours before the opening bell on Wall Street.

1/15/21; 10:00 AM EST =
1/12/21; 1:17 PM EST = +67; signal line is +61
1/12/21; 12:56 PM EST = +51; signal line is +61 but algorithm remains long
1/12/21; 12:48 PM EST = +67; signal line is +62
1/12/21; 12:12 PM EST = +51; signal line is +62 but algorithm remains long
1/10/21; 7:00 PM EST = +67; signal line is +63

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long as stocks chop along. The quant did not print any numbers in the Monday session. The bulls are in charge with the algo number only 4 points above the signal line. Equities were weak on Monday but the VIX and UTIL remain in the bull camp so the downside was no biggie. S&P futures are up +10 early Tuesday morning.

The quant is identifying volatility, utilities and copper as the three key drivers of stock market direction currently. All three are in the bull camp which maintains buoyancy in the stock market. Bears need VIX above 25.20, UTIL below 832.49 and CPER below 21.47. The ute bull/bear line in the sand is -1.2% below the current price so the bears are in striking distance to make a statement if they want. The copper line in the sand is -2.3% below current levels but copper futures are up +2% this morning so bears will need about a -4% drop in the red metal's futures from current prices to create stock market negativity.

If UTIL loses 832.49, the stock market is in big trouble. If UTIL 825 then fails (note this is lower than the previous 827), it is lights out. Stocks could go into free fall. Bulls must push UTIL above 876 by the end of the week since this number is key for all of next week. If UTIL fails to finish the week above 876, that tells you the stock market will take a leg lower next week.

Volatility and utilities are key; watch VIX 25.20 and UTIL 832.49 closely. VIX is trading at 23.57 down this morning consistent with the lift in the S&P futures. Bulls are okay as long as the three parameters remain bullish. If any one turns bearish, and it probably would be volatility first, and if the SPX moves below 3789 trending lower, Keybot the Quant will likely flip short, hence the imminent turn notation in the title line.

The bulls are getting a better bid now with S&P futures up +14 and the VIX at 23.25. Bears need a two-stick move in vol if they want to growl.

1/17/21; 7:00 PM EST =
1/15/21; 10:00 AM EST =
1/10/21; 7:00 PM EST = +67; signal line is +63

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long as the stock market goes parabolic. Traders are bulled-up on a perpetual money-printing heaven coming from the incoming Biden administration. The massive liquidity will pump stocks to the moon, or that is at least what traders think. The SPX prints a new all-time record high at 3826.69 and all-time record closing high at 3824.68 both on 1/8/21 the highest numbers ever printed in the history of the US stock market (despite the Capitol Hill Riot).

The bulls are in their glory days but interestingly, the algo number is only 4 points above the signal line. Therefore, view the stock market as more of a coin-flip. The Fed crushed volatility so stocks pop. Bears need the VIX above 25.14 (now at 21.56) to create market negativity.

The quant's parameters are very strong. Watch utilities. Bears need UTIL below 832.49 (now at 851.28). Stocks will take a noticeable dip if this happen. Interestingly, despite the record highs and euphoric bullishness, if UTIL would then fail at 827, a trap-door would open in the stock market that could go into a flash crash event. There is likely a very interesting week and month ahead. If UTIL moves higher and away from 832, that would signal that the bulls should be able to keep stocks elevated for a few days forward.

The bulls are cruising along but if UTIL loses 832.49, and the SPX drops below 3784 heading lower, Keybot would likely flip into the bear camp. The SPX begins the week at the record high 3825 so the bears would need a 41 point drop on Monday. Markets remain erratic and highly unstable. Watch the utilities.

1/17/21; 7:00 PM EST =
1/15/21; 10:00 AM EST =
1/10/21; 7:00 PM EST = +67; signal line is +63
1/8/21; 9:00 AM EST = +67; signal line is +63
1/6/21; 3:59 PM EST = +67; signal line is +63

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant is on the long side with the algo number only 4 points above the signal line. The stock market is a coin toss especially considering the Capitol Hill violence. The natives are getting restless. Volatility is all that matters. VIX is trading at 23.52 right now with S&P futures up +22.

Bears need the VIX above 25.31 to create stock market trouble. The bulls will keep stocks elevated if the VIX remains below 25.31. Bulls may not be able to make much headway higher with stocks but they would be able to sustain current prices.

If VIX moves above 25.31, and the SPX drops below 3705 trending lower, Keybot the Quant would probably flip short. The SPX begins at 3748 so the bears have their work cut out for them. The historic times continue. Watch VIX 25.31; it tells you everything you need to know.

1/8/21; 9:00 AM EST =
1/6/21; 3:59 PM EST = +67; signal line is +63
1/6/21; 2:53 PM EST = +53; signal line is +64 but algorithm remains long
1/6/21; 10:10 AM EST = +67; signal line is +64; go long 3745; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +0.3%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.3%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +0.3%)(Actual results this trade = +0.6%; Actual results for 2021 = +0.6%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the long side this morning shortly after the opening bell at SPX 3745. As seen this morning, the Fed came to the rescue jumping on top of Uncle Vix, wrestling him to the ground and making sure he stays down. The VIX drops to a 22-handle so equities leap higher. The algo number is only 3 measly points above the signal line but it was enough to coax the robot to flip long.

The bulls knew what they needed to do, and they did it. Bears need VIX above 25.29 or they got nothing. It is a surprise to see the bulls take over. Bulls must keep the VIX low and heading lower.

On the last trade, which is the first trade of the year, only lasting a couple days, the S&P 500 benchmark and Keybot's program are each up +0.3% while the actual trading is up +0.6% to start the year. Keybot exits SDS and enters SSO remaining in the 2x leveraged ETF's. On a side note, that last trade was entered on 12/21/20 if you recall but the quant had to be rezeroed because of the new year. Just looking at that last trade itself from 12/21/20 to now, the program would have lost -2.8% and the actual trading would have lost -3.4%. The new year actually helped the robot begin the year on an upbeat.

Stay alert for a whipsaw back to the short side at any time. Watch VIX 25.29 for the market answer. You don't even have to watch the stock market itself, simply watch VIX 25.29 and you know how the stock market moves. The price action remains erratic and unstable.

1/10/21; 7:00 PM EST =
1/8/21; 9:00 AM EST =
1/6/21; 10:10 AM EST = +67; signal line is +64; go long 3745; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +0.3%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.3%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +0.3%)(Actual results this trade = +0.6%; Actual results for 2021 = +0.6%)
1/6/21; 4:45 AM EST = +67; signal line is +64
1/5/21; 3:59 PM EST = +53; signal line is +65
1/5/21; 3:55 PM EST = +67; signal line is +65 but algorithm remains short
1/5/21; 3:22 PM EST = +53; signal line is +66
1/5/21; 3:10 PM EST = +67; signal line is +66 but algorithm remains short
1/5/21; 2:59 PM EST = +53; signal line is +67
1/5/21; 2:06 PM EST = +67; signal line is +67 but algorithm remains short
1/4/21; 1:16 PM EST = +53; signal line is +67
1/4/21; 11:56 AM EST = +37; signal line is +68
1/4/21; 10:51 AM EST = +53; signal line is +68
1/1/21; Begin 2021 Data Set = +67; signal line is +69; go short 3756; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = 0%)(Keybot algo this trade = 0%; Keybot algo for 2021 = 0%)(Actual trading results this trade = 0%; Actual trading results for 2021 = 0%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short. The quant prints six numbers yesterday. The battle was with volatility. The VIX comes down and fails at the 25.37 which causes the rally yesterday afternoon but as the day ended, the VIX fails into the bear camp again closing at 25.34 at Keybot's bull/bear line in the sand called out yesterday morning. Have you ever seen numbers called out in the stock market before they occur? No, you haven't, only here. Keybot is a smart robot.

The algo is tracking VIX 25.30 as the key bull/bear line in the sand this morning and the VIX is trading currently at 26 favoring the bears. S&P futures are down -25. Bears are fine as long as the VIX remains above 25.30. If the VIX drops below 25.30, the bulls are staging a big comeback and stocks will be rallying.

Bears need RTH below 155.51 and UTIL below 827 to create market mayhem. If either fail, you will see a downdraft in equities. If both fail, it will be a healthy flush lower for the stock market, especially if utilities fail. If UTIL loses 827, markets will likely take on a very negative posture going forward. The beat goes on.

1/10/21; 7:00 PM EST =
1/8/21; 9:00 AM EST =
1/5/21; 3:59 PM EST = +53; signal line is +65
1/5/21; 3:55 PM EST = +67; signal line is +65 but algorithm remains short
1/5/21; 3:22 PM EST = +53; signal line is +66
1/5/21; 3:10 PM EST = +67; signal line is +66 but algorithm remains short
1/5/21; 2:59 PM EST = +53; signal line is +67
1/5/21; 2:06 PM EST = +67; signal line is +67 but algorithm remains short
1/4/21; 1:16 PM EST = +53; signal line is +67

Note Added 4:24 AM EST: VIX comes down to 25.35. The bulls are fighting back. The Fed places its jackboots on the throat of volatility, as usual, to keep the stock market elevated and protect the privileged class that own large stock portfolios. VIX 25.30 is for all the marbles. It tells you stock market direction today.

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short as the first day of trading in 2021 results in a down day. The SPX actually prints a new all-time record high at 3769.99 but the all-time closing high remains at 3756.07 from 12/31/20. The quant prints three numbers on Monday and the bears remain in control of stock market direction with the algo number 14 points below the signal line. The caution flag remains out but if the algo number drops further, the caution may be removed from the title line.

Volatility and retail stocks fail yesterday creating the broad stock market weakness. The VIX pops above the key bull/bear line in the sand at 25.37. The VIX is trading now at 26.54. Bears are fine as long as the VIX remains above 25.37. If the VIX drops below 25.37, the bulls will be pushing stocks higher. If there is a rally in stocks, but the VIX does not drop below 25.37, the rally is phony, and stocks will roll back over and die.

RTH failed at the key bull/bear line in the sand at 155.25 but then recovered after munch time Monday to end at 156.43 back in the bull camp. Thus, RTH tells the story today. Bears win, and stocks will crumble, if RTH fails at 155.25. The bulls must keep RTH elevated while at the same time push vol lower.

Note the drop in utes which signals potential serious trouble for the stock market ahead. A couple weeks will have to play out to see if there will be long-term damage. UTIL is at 843 coming down to potentially test the key bull/bear line in the sand at 827. There will be Hell to pay if 827 fails. Next week, 832.49 is key. Thus, by Friday at 4 PM EST, UTIL needs to be above 832 which is only 11 points below the current price. Keep an eye on it. Bears would also receive more downside juice if copper futures fall about -3%. Copper is rallying +1.2% this morning so the bears will need about a -4.2% drop intraday in copper from current levels to create stock market mayhem.

Bears need weaker RTH, UTIL and CPER to pave the way lower for equities. Bulls need a lower VIX to stop and prevent any selling in the stock market.

1/8/21; 9:00 AM EST =
1/4/21; 1:16 PM EST = +53; signal line is +67
1/4/21; 11:56 AM EST = +37; signal line is +68
1/4/21; 10:51 AM EST = +53; signal line is +68
1/1/21; Begin 2021 Data Set = +67; signal line is +69; go short 3756; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = 0%)(Keybot algo this trade = 0%; Keybot algo for 2021 = 0%)(Actual trading results this trade = 0%; Actual trading results for 2021 = 0%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot theQuant remains on the short side through the end of the year and to begin the first day of trading in 2021. The bears are in control of the stock market direction but the algo number is only 2 measly points below the signal line. The SPX prints a new all-time record high at 3760.20 and all-time closing high at 3756.07 both on Thursday, 12/31/20, the last day of trading for the year. The House is a Rockin'.

It is interesting that the quant is short as the stock market prints a new record high; that may have never happened before in the history of the algorithm. This price behavior verifies uber euphoric bullishness in the stock market.

The bears need weaker retail stocks, higher volatility, and weaker utilities to create market mayhem. Bears need RTH below 155.25 and/or VIX above 25.19. Stocks will immediately begin falling apart if either of these parameters occur. If both occur, that would be Double Trouble and Stevie Ray would begin to play. If both remain bullish, the bears got nothing. If stocks rally but one of the two parameters turns bearish, the stock market will turn around and drop. If stocks sell off but neither of the two parameters turn bearish, stocks will turn around and rally again. RTH is heavily impacted by AMZN so keep an eye on Scamazon and King Bezos.

Utilities. This is exciting stuff. The stock market is likely placing an epic top in Q1. Keybot, however, only sees 1's and 0's so it will be doing its own thing. Once the market sells off, utes will tell you if it truly is a significant multi-month top, or, if it is a run-of-the-mill garden-variety pullback followed by a sharp recovery. UTIL 829 is the bull-bear line in the sand for the week ahead with price starting at 865. If 829 fails this week, stocks are in big trouble. Next week, UTIL 832.49 is the key bull-bear line in the sand. For the week of 1/18/20, UTIL 876 is key.

Within the next 10 trading days, UTIL must be above 876 and remain above heading higher, otherwise stocks are in trouble. If stocks are tumbling lower for a few weeks, and if UTIL drops below 829-ish anytime ahead, that tells you there is likely long-term damage ahead. If UTL drops below 8 hundo, there is definitely stock market damage occurring and it will be long-term sustainable. If UTIL loses that 780-790 area, the stock market would be highly susceptible to a major crash. Thus, watch the utes closely.

Keybot prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Friday morning. The algo has been very quiet over the last month but you know how that goes. Out of nowhere it can explode into craziness spitting out numbers left and right. The Georgia runoff elections are Tuesday and Congressional ratification meeting affirming Biden as the 46th POTUS is on hump day. There will likely be theatrics on both days and the whole week for that matter into the critical US Monthly Jobs Report on Friday morning.

1/10/21; 7:00 PM EST =
1/8/21; 9:00 AM EST =
1/1/21; Begin 2021 Data Set = +67; signal line is +69; go short 3756; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = 0%)(Keybot algo this trade = 0%; Keybot algo for 2021 = 0%)(Actual trading results this trade = 0%; Actual trading results for 2021 = 0%)

SPXS&P 500 Index Daily Chart Displays Keybot the Quant Algorithm Turns in 2020

2020 was a wild ride with the February-March waterfall crash as the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic took hold. The S&P 500 Index (SPX; the US stock market) gains +16% in 2020 a lot of that during the last two months and all of it on Federal Reserve monetary stimulus and Congressional fiscal stimulus. The SPX prints an all-time record high at 3760.20 and all-time record closing high at 3756.07 both on 12/31/20 the last trading day of 2020.

Keybot the Quant logs another phenomenal year the actual trading triggered by the quant gains a huge +58% easily outperforming every quant on Wall Street bar a handful. That will make you smile. The quant program, which triggers the buy and sell signals, gains +29% in 2020. Keybot cycles in and out of both 1x and 2x leveraged ETF's which accounts for the differences in percentages as well as mechanical inefficiencies. The 2x ETF's can chew up a portfolio in market conditions like the messy clusters in late April and May and September. The choppy sideways action chews up bulls and bears alike and it does not matter what side you are playing because everyone turns into chop suey. Some of the investment houses pulled the plug on their quants during the year since their programs could not handle the price action. Keybot yawns. It eats this price action for breakfast like no other quant.

There were a few healthy rallies where the bread and butter was made on the long side at the start of the year, the pop off the March bottom if you timed it correctly (Keybot is not designed to catch exact tops or bottoms) only into early April, then the late May early June pop, then the early July pop, then the August pop, then the rally at the end of the year. On the short side, catching the February-March downdraft was a money-maker (The Keystone Speculator called that top on a technical basis with the charts at the same time Keybot flipped short). Also the early September top and flush lower was a bear money-maker and again, Keystone called that top technically at the same time Keybot the Quant was flipping to the short side.

It is great satisfaction to call a top with the charts and then for Keybot to flip short to verify the top. The one method is skilled technical analysis in reading charts correctly (reference The Keystone Speculator site) and the other method is Keybot the Quant that only see's 1's and 0's (this site). As 2021 begins, we shall see if Keybot flips long to embrace the frothy rally, or, if the quant simply remains short waiting for the stock market to fall apart. Usually, new money comes into the market during the first few days of the year creating lift. Also, the Santa Claus rally runs from Christmas Eve through the first two days of the new year which would be through Tuesday, 1/5/21, so that may provide the bulls a further reason to hang on, or not.

This year (2021) is starting the same way as last year (2020). Traders euphorically bullish believing that stocks can only move higher. Younger folks thinking they are Jesse Livermore are sending stimulus checks to their brokers and betting on stocks. That same party was in full swing one year ago, until it wasn't.

Keybot the Quant Algorithm Provides Stunning +58% Return in 2020 Beating the Top-Performing Quants on Wall Street

Keybot the Quant logs another phenomenal year the actual trading gains +58% in 2020. The quant program which creates the triggers that cause the robot to flip short or long gains +29% in 2020. The S&P 500 Index (SPX), which is the US stock market, and the benchmark, is up +16% in 2020 in the middle of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic.

The power of Federal Reserve money-printing (monetary stimulus) and Congressional easy-money programs (fiscal stimulus) gooses the stock market into the stratosphere. The wealthy that are America's elite class, that own large stock portfolios, dance with glee.

The quant program is rezeroed on January 1 each year to keep the monthly and yearly data in sync. The ongoing trade has not changed. Keybot begins the year on the short side in SDS at 12.39 with the SPX at 3756 the all-time record closing high.

1/10/21; 7:00 PM EST =
1/8/21; 9:00 AM EST =
1/1/21; Begin 2021 Data Set = +67; signal line is +69; go short 3756; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = 0%)(Keybot algo this trade = 0%; Keybot algo for 2021 = 0%)(Actual trading results this trade = 0%; Actual trading results for 2021 = 0%)

Keybot the Quant Begins 2021 on the Short Side from SPX 3756 (All-Time Record Closing High). All Data 0%. Begin 2021.

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

START 2021 PROGRAM

 

Begin Printing

 

Mark and Set

 

Date Stamp 1/1/21; 5:19 AM EST

 

START 2021 PROGRAM

 

Copyright Enforced. 2008. 2009. 2010. 2011. 2012. 2013. 2014. 2015. 2016. 2017. 2018. 2019. 2020. 2021. Keybot the Quant. The Keystone Speculator. K E Stone. All Rights Reserved.

 

End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End

 

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

END OF 2020 RESULTS:

 

The SPX (S&P 500) Benchmark Index Gains a Healthy +16.3% in 2020

(SPX Started at 3231 and Ended at 3756 Rallying an Unbelievable 525 Points During the Coronavirus (COVID-19) Pandemic)

 

Keybot the Quant Algorithm (Computer Program Only) During 2020: +29.4%

 

KEYBOT THE QUANT ACTUAL TRADING RETURN FOR 2020 INCLUDING ALL COMMISSIONS, COSTS AND FEES: +57.8%

 

Keybot the Quant has never printed a losing year

 

Keybot the Quant is a long-short algorithm that oscillates between a bullish (long) position and a bearish (short) position seeking the smoothest path through the trading year using the S&P 500 (SPX; the US stock market) as the benchmark comparison index

 

Number of Position Changes (Long to Short or Short to Long) During 2020: 35

 

1/1/2020	3231	Go Long	3:13 AM	QLD	121.89
1/23/2020	3304	Sell Long	9:36 AM	QLD	133.63
1/23/2020	3304	Go Short	9:36 AM	QID	21.37
1/28/2020	3283	Cover Short	2:14 PM	QID	21.55
1/28/2020	3283	Go Long	2:14 PM	QLD	132.12
1/30/2020	3250	Sell Long	10:40 AM	QLD	130.34
1/30/2020	3250	Go Short	10:40 AM	SH	23.85
2/4/2020	3288	Cover Short	9:36 AM	SH	23.57
2/4/2020	3288	Go Long	9:36 AM	SPY	328.00
2/24/2020	3229	Sell Long	12:10 PM	SPY	322.85
2/24/2020	3229	Go Short	12:10 PM	PSQ	23.56
3/10/2020	2875	Cover Short	3:54 PM	PSQ	25.34
3/10/2020	2875	Go Long	3:54 PM	SSO	116.54
3/11/2000	2815	Sell Long	9:36 AM	SSO	112.27
3/11/2020	2815	Go Short	9:36 AM	SH	27.02
4/14/2020	2845	Cover Short	1:53 PM	SH	24.85
4/14/2020	2845	Go Long	1:53 PM	SPY	283.88
4/21/2020	2753	Sell Long	10:56 AM	SPY	274.92
4/21/2020	2753	Go Short	10:56 AM	SDS	25.73
4/22/2020	2798	Cover Short	12:42 PM	SDS	24.90
4/22/2020	2798	Go Long	12:42 PM	QQQ	210.41
5/1/2020	2855	Sell Long	9:41 AM	QQQ	215.07
5/1/2020	2855	Go Short	9:41 AM	PSQ	22.13
5/7/2020	2887	Cover Short	9:30 AM	PSQ	21.46
5/7/2020	2887	Go Long	9:30 AM	DIA	238.93
5/13/2020	2870	Sell Long	3:59 PM	DIA	237.99
5/13/2020	2870	Go Short	3:59 PM	RWM	41.97
5/15/2020	2858	Cover Short	2:02 PM	RWM	42.50
5/15/2020	2858	Go Long	2:02 PM	IWM	125.14
6/9/2020	3200	Sell Long	9:58 AM	IWM	150.48
6/9/2020	3200	Go Short	9:58 AM	SDS	18.53
6/15/2020	3041	Cover Short	12:59 PM	SDS	20.30
6/15/2020	3041	Go Long	12:59 PM	SSO	120.83
6/24/2020	3069	Sell Long	11:28 AM	SSO	122.43
6/24/2020	3069	Go Short	11:28 AM	SDS	19.94
6/30/2020	3059	Cover Short	9:37 AM	SDS	19.89
6/30/2020	3059	Go Long	9:37 AM	SSO	122.16
7/24/2020	3213	Sell Long	12:08 PM	SSO	134.79
7/24/2020	3213	Go Short	12:08 PM	QID	11.75
7/28/2020	3242	Cover Short	11:42 AM	QID	11.36
7/28/2020	3242	Go Long	11:42 AM	SSO	137.11
7/30/2020	3222	Sell Long	9:43 AM	SSO	135.54
7/30/2020	3222	Go Short	9:43 AM	SDS	17.76
8/5/2020	3322	Cover Short	9:37 AM	SDS	16.70
8/5/2020	3322	Go Long	9:37 AM	QLD	87.57
9/3/2020	3511	Sell Long	10:50 AM	QLD	101.52
9/3/2020	3511	Go Short	10:50 AM	QID	8.80
9/16/2020	3429	Cover Short	2:40 PM	QID	9.52
9/16/2020	3429	Go Long	2:40 PM	SSO	76.62
9/21/2020	3255	Sell Long	9:36 AM	SSO	69.32
9/21/2020	3255	Go Short	9:36 AM	SDS	16.99
9/21/2020	3282	Cover Short	3:59 PM	SDS	16.79
9/21/2020	3282	Go Long	3:59 PM	SPY	326.54
9/23/2020	3254	Sell Long	2:49 PM	SPY	324.30
9/23/2020	3254	Go Short	2:49 PM	SH	21.02
9/24/2020	3258	Cover Short	12:13 PM	SH	20.97
9/24/2020	3258	Go Long	12:13 PM	DIA	268.66
9/24/2020	3233	Sell Long	3:26 PM	DIA	267.12
9/24/2020	3233	Go Short	3:26 PM	DOG	45.55
9/24/2020	3248	Cover Short	3:52 PM	DOG	45.43
9/24/2020	3248	Go Long	3:52 PM	IWM	143.93
10/2/2020	3331	Sell Long	9:30 AM	IWM	149.23
10/2/2020	3331	Go Short	9:30 AM	PSQ	16.62
10/5/2020	3399	Cover Short	2:59 PM	PSQ	16.45
10/5/2020	3399	Go Long	2:59 PM	QQQ	279.50
10/26/2020	3421	Sell Long	10:32 AM	QQQ	283.33
10/26/2020	3421	Go Short	10:32 AM	SDS	15.51
11/3/2020	3360	Cover Short	9:56 AM	SDS	15.72
11/3/2020	3360	Go Long	9:56 AM	SSO	73.25
12/21/2020	3644	Sell Long	10:06 AM	SSO	86.30
12/21/2020	3644	Go Short	10:06 AM	SDS	12.91
1/1/2021	3756	Cover Short	5:19 AM	SDS	12.39

 

 

Date – SPX – Position – Date Stamp – ETF – Price

 

Begin Printing Trade Data Entries Exits Reverse Order

 

FINAL 2020 RESULTS

 

Mark and Set

 

Date Stamp 1/1/21; 5:19 AM EST

 

End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End

 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1/1/21; Algorithm Zeroed for 2021 Data = +67; signal line is +69; go short 3756; (Benchmark SPX for 2020 Final = +16.3%)(Keybot algo this trade = -3.1%; Keybot algo for 2020 Final = +29.4%)(Actual results this trade = -4.0%; Actual results for 2020 Final = +57.8%)
12/31/20; 5:19 AM EST EOM EOQ4 EOH2 EOY2020 = +67; signal line is +69
12/27/20; 7:00 PM EST = +67; signal line is +69
12/23/20; 10:00 AM EST = +67; signal line is +69
12/22/20; 10:00 AM EST = +67; signal line is +68
12/22/20; 3:22 AM EST = +72; signal line is +68 but algorithm remains short
12/22/20; 3:06 AM EST = +58; signal line is +67
12/21/20; 12:33 PM EST = +72; signal line is +68 but algorithm remains short
12/21/20; 10:06 AM EST = +58; signal line is +67; go short 3644; (Benchmark SPX for 2020 = +12.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = +8.5%; Keybot algo for 2020 = +32.5%)(Actual trading results this trade = +17.8%; Actual trading results for 2020 = +61.8%)