Keybot the Quant On Hiatus

The Keybot the Quant and The Keystone Speculator sites are not supported by the 100's of thousands of international readers. There is no better stock market timing model than Keybot the Quant. It is surprising that the robot is not supported to a greater extent over the years considering the huge international audience.

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant flips short this morning at the opening bell at SPX 4454 but is already champing at the bit to whipsaw back to the long side. The internal parameters will not fully latch so for now at least, the bears are in charge. The SPX is up 6.66 points to 4475 the HOD with about a half hour left in the Monday trade.

On the last trade, that ran a little over a week, the quant program and actual trading each gain about a percent. On the year, the SPX is up +19%. The bulls cheer the generous Federal Reserve. The algo program is up +17% on the year thus far and the actual trading generated by Keybot the Quant is up +24%. Keybot exits SH and enters SDS returning to the 2x ETF's because the whipsaw timer expired.

VIX 17.17 is the rudder that is steering the stock market ship. VIX is at 16.17 so the SPX is buoyant. Trouble occurs if VIX moves above 17.17. If VIX remains below 17.17, stocks will float higher and Keybot will probably whipsaw long tomorrow.

8/22/21; 7:00 PM EST =
8/18/21; 9:00 AM EST =
8/16/21; 11:19 AM EST = +72; signal line is +64 but algorithm remains short
8/16/21; 9:30 AM EST = +58; signal line is +63; go short 4454; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +18.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.8%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +16.5%)(Actual results this trade = +0.9%; Actual results for 2021 = +24.1%)
8/16/21; 8:07 AM EST = +58; signal line is +62 but algorithm remains long
8/16/21; 6:35 AM EST = +72; signal line is +61
8/16/21; 6:05 AM EST = +58; signal line is +61 but algorithm remains long
8/15/21; 7:00 PM EST = +72; signal line is +61
8/13/21; 2:08 PM EST = +72; signal line is +60
8/13/21; 10:00 AM EST = +88; signal line is +59
8/13/21; 9:36 AM EST = +88; signal line is +58
8/10/21; 9:36 AM EST = +72; signal line is +58
8/9/21; 9:36 AM EST = +58; signal line is +57
8/8/21; 7:00 PM EST = +72; signal line is +58
8/6/21; 9:00 AM EST = +72; signal line is +57
8/5/21; 3:54 PM EST = +72; signal line is +57
8/5/21; 3:19 PM EST = +58; signal line is +57
8/5/21; 3:07 PM EST = +72; signal line is +56
8/5/21; 2:49 PM EST = +58; signal line is +56
8/5/21; 1:33 PM EST = +72; signal line is +55
8/5/21; 11:48 AM EST = +58; signal line is +55
8/5/21; 10:51 AM EST = +72; signal line is +55
8/5/21; 10:01 AM EST = +58; signal line is +53; go long 4419; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +17.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.6%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +15.7%)(Actual results this trade = -0.5%; Actual results for 2021 = +23.2%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long as the new week is off and stumbling. The bulls control stock market direction with the algo number 14 points above the signal line. The bears can turn the stock market negative with weaker utilities, retail stocks and higher volatility(any 1 of the 3). Bulls need higher copper to prove that they can take stocks higher.

Bears need UTIL below 919.25, RTH below 175.55 and/or VIX above 17.29 to cause market mayhem. The amount of mayhem is proportional to the number of parameters flipping short. UTIL has come down to 919.90 today and VIX up to 17.39 (but could not hold above). Since utilities and volatility are teasing they are the two to watch which would change the stock market trend to the downside.

Bulls need CPER above 26.78. 

8/15/21; 7:00 PM EST =
8/13/21; 10:00 AM EST =
8/8/21; 7:00 PM EST = +72; signal line is +58
8/6/21; 9:00 AM EST = +72; signal line is +57
8/5/21; 3:54 PM EST = +72; signal line is +57

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the long side yesterday at SPX 4419 but with the US Monthly Jobs Report imminent, do not be surprised if a whipsaw occurs. Copper and volatility are all that matter currently. Bulls win and more all-time highs occur if copper gains about +1%. Bears win if the VIX moves above 17.42. The bull-bear struggle and battle is obvious in the data below.

Interestingly, copper futures are up near +1% right now a hair away from what the bulls need. VIX is at 17.15 so the bulls are happy but the Jobs Report will set the tone.

On the last trade, that ran for about a week, the quant program and actual trading each lose about a half percent. For 2021 thus far, the benchmark S&P 500 Index, SPX, the United States stock market, is up nearly +18% at all-time record highs this week. The quant program is up +16% and the actual trading generated by Keybot the Quant is up +24% on the year so far.

8/8/21; 7:00 PM EST =
8/6/21; 9:00 AM EST =
8/5/21; 3:54 PM EST = +72; signal line is +57
8/5/21; 3:19 PM EST = +58; signal line is +57
8/5/21; 3:07 PM EST = +72; signal line is +56
8/5/21; 2:49 PM EST = +58; signal line is +56
8/5/21; 1:33 PM EST = +72; signal line is +55
8/5/21; 11:48 AM EST = +58; signal line is +55
8/5/21; 10:51 AM EST = +72; signal line is +55
8/5/21; 10:01 AM EST = +58; signal line is +53; go long 4419; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +17.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.6%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +15.7%)(Actual results this trade = -0.5%; Actual results for 2021 = +23.2%)
8/4/21; 3:24 PM EST = +58; signal line is +52 but algorithm remains short
8/4/21; 9:36 AM EST = +42; signal line is +53
8/3/21; 2:06 PM EST = +58; signal line is +53 but algorithm remains short
8/3/21; 1:40 PM EST = +42; signal line is +52
8/3/21; 1:14 PM EST = +58; signal line is +52 but algorithm remains short
8/3/21; 12:38 PM EST = +42; signal line is +52
8/3/21; 10:41 AM EST = +58; signal line is +53 but algorithm remains short
8/3/21; 9:42 AM EST = +42; signal line is +54
8/3/21; 9:41 AM EST = +26; signal line is +55
8/3/21; 9:36 AM EST = +42; signal line is +56
8/1/21; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +58; signal line is +57 but algorithm remains short
7/30/21; 2:52 PM EST = +58; signal line is +56 but algorithm remains short
7/30/21; 2:34 PM EST = +42; signal line is +56
7/30/21; 10:00 AM EST = +58; signal line is +56 but algorithm remains short
7/30/21; 9:36 AM EST = +60; signal line is +56 but algorithm remains short
7/29/21; 3:42 PM EST = +74; signal line is +56 but algorithm remains short
7/29/21; 3:07 PM EST = +60; signal line is +55 but algorithm remains short
7/29/21; 1:07 PM EST = +74; signal line is +56 but algorithm remains short
7/29/21; 12:47 PM EST = +60; signal line is +55 but algorithm remains short
7/29/21; 9:36 AM EST = +74; signal line is +55 but algorithm remains short
7/29/21; 9:08 AM EST = +58; signal line is +54 but algorithm remains short
7/28/21; 3:54 PM EST = +44; signal line is +54
7/28/21; 2:40 PM EST = +60; signal line is +54 but algorithm remains short
7/28/21; 9:56 AM EST = +44; signal line is +54
7/28/21; 9:37 AM EST = +60; signal line is +53 but algorithm remains short
7/27/21; 3:59 PM EST = +44; signal line is +53
7/27/21; 12:10 PM EST = +28; signal line is +52
7/27/21; 10:38 AM EST = +44; signal line is +53
7/27/21; 10:29 AM EST = +60; signal line is +52 but algorithm remains short
7/27/21; 10:17 AM EST = +44; signal line is +50; go short 4395; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +17.0%)(Keybot algo this trade = +1.2%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +16.3%)(Actual results this trade = +1.3%; Actual results for 2021 = +23.7%)