Keybot the Quant flips to the long side before the session ended yesterday at SPX 6526. The whipsaw choppy slop is relentless. It is market craziness to see the SPX down a couple hundred points then recover it all in a matter of three days. The Easter Bunny laid a brown egg in the bull's basket last week and then hopped onto the bear's basket yesterday and laid a bigger brown egg. Gene Autry made the Peter Cottontail song famous. Kids enjoy it this time of year.
The bulls are in charge with the algo number 7 points above the signal line. The bulls win with the SPX regaining 6503-6504 and NYA regaining 21740 but this battle will likely continue. Stronger chips will bolster the bull case. Bears need the SPX and NYA to drop back below those key levels.
March trading and Q1 are in the bag with April trading beginning today. Watch out for the April Fool's Day pranks. There are only two trading days remaining in the week and Easter weekend begins.
On the last trade that ran less than a week, the quant program and actual trading each lose a half percent. It is death by a thousand cuts. O Death by Ralph Stanley. For the year thus far, the benchmark S&P 500 and the quant program are both down about -5% and the actual trading generated by the quant is down -4%. No one is happy this year with the never-ending sideways pig slop. Keybot exited SH and entered DIA. Will this direction last more than 10 minutes?
4/5/26;
7:00 PM EST =
4/3/26;
9:00 AM EST =
3/31/26;
7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ1 = -10; signal line is -17
3/31/26; 3:37 PM EST = -10; signal line is -16; go long 6526 (Benchmark
SPX for 2026 = -4.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.5%; Keybot algo for 2026 = -4.6%)(Actual
results this trade = -0.5%; Actual results for 2026 = -4.1%)
3/31/26;
2:50 PM EST = -10; signal line is -16 but algorithm remains short
3/31/26;
10:00 AM EST = -24; signal line is -16
3/31/26;
9:36 AM EST = -24; signal line is -14
3/30/26;
12:28 PM EST = -38; signal line is -13
3/30/26;
11:02 AM EST = -24; signal line is -11
3/30/26;
9:48 AM EST = -38; signal line is -10
3/30/26;
9:36 AM EST = -24; signal line is -9
3/29/26;
7:00 PM EST = -38; signal line is -8
3/27/26;
1:56 PM EST = -38; signal line is -7
3/27/26;
10:00 AM EST = -24; signal line is -6
3/26/26;
1:55 PM EST = -24; signal line is -4
3/26/26; 1:54 PM EST = -10; signal line is -3; go short 6497 (Benchmark
SPX for 2026 = -5.1%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.9%; Keybot algo for 2026 = -4.1%)(Actual
results this trade = -1.9%; Actual results for 2026 = -3.6%)
