STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short as the stock market falls apart. UTIL 983 is key and upon its failure this morning, the stock market is in a crash profile currently. The bears are cruising with the algo number 59 huge points below the signal line. Traders are selling first and asking questions later.

Bulls need UTIL 983 pronto, otherwise, they will be slaughtered going forward. Bears need NYA below 19225 and/or SPX below 5671 to likely usher in a major crash. This is fun.

Keybot prints the pre-scheduled number tomorrow before the opening bell but there is still a lot of trading remaining in today's session. Stocks are sliding down the rabbit hole. Slide.

3/9/25; 7:00 PM EST =
3/7/25; 9:00 AM EST =
3/6/25; 9:36 AM EST = -48; signal line is +11
3/5/25; 12:03 PM EST = -32; signal line is +12
3/5/25; 11:31 AM EST = -48; signal line is +14
3/4/25; 9:48 AM EST = -32; signal line is +17
3/3/25; 1:16 PM EST = -16; signal line is +19

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short as the stock market takes the pipe today. It's Beautiful. The stock market was stabbed in the back today by commodities. Volatility ran higher running over the bulls chance of a comeback rally. The bears are in charge with the algo number 35 points below the signal line.

Commodities are in the bear camp but the bulls will try to claw them back tomorrow. Bulls need GTX above 3717 to stop the stock market selling. Bulls need VIX below 16.82 to regain control of the stock market but price is up at 22.78.

Thus, the bears look pretty good but they need to keep pressing if they want to create carnage. The utility trap-door remains closed. Bears need UTIL below 983 to open the trap-door and hang the market. Stocks will crash worse than today and remain sick a long time. Bears need XLF below 50.70 about a -2% drop in banks. This will create market mayhem.

Thus, GTX 3717 is the current rudder for the stock market ship, with XLF 50.70 also in play. If banks and utes are trading positively, the stock market draw down will likely not be a biggie. If banks and utilities join the bear camp, Katy bar the door, the blood will flow on Wall and Broad, with big carnage occurring in the indexes.

Commodities, banks, utilities and volatility are all that matter currently.

3/9/25; 7:00 PM EST =
3/7/25; 9:00 AM EST =
3/3/25; 1:16 PM EST = -16; signal line is +19
3/3/25; 10:58 AM EST = -2; signal line is +19
3/3/25; 10:42 AM EST = -16; signal line is +20
3/2/25; 7:00 PM EST EOM = -2; signal line is +20

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short as the sloppy market action continues. The bears are in charge with the algo number 22 points below the signal line. The bears are comfortable but things can change fast.

Bears have succeeded after they slapped the retail stocks and chips in the face. Bears also create higher volatility so stocks sink.

Bulls are trying to keep commodities, copper and banks in the bull camp because if any of them fail, equities will be sliding down the rabbit hole.

Bears need GTX below 3717 with price beginning the week at 3726. If commodities are weak, the stock market is in bigtime trouble. This behavior would also surface in copper and Keybot is tracking CPER 27.63 as a line in the sand. XLF 50.55 is also a key bull/bear line in the sand. Bears will create carnage if UTIL loses 981. Any one of these four metrics turning bearish will guarantee more stock market pain to the downside ahead.

Bulls need lower volatility plain and simple. Bulls need VIX below 16.59 if they want to stop the selling and try and stabilize the stock market. There is no hope if you are bullish and long stocks if the VIX remains above 16.59, and you will feel more pain the higher the VIX moves.

To whittle it down to something simple, bears will create another leg lower for the stock market if GTX loses 3717 (weaker commodities) but bulls can stall the selling and try to stabilize stocks if VIX moves below 16.59 (lower volatility). It is a cage match. Commodities and volatility enter but only one will exit and be victorious and the stock market will move in that direction.

Keybot the Quant prints one prescheduled number this week on Friday morning. 

3/9/25; 7:00 PM EST =
3/7/25; 9:00 AM EST =
3/2/25; 7:00 PM EST EOM = -2; signal line is +20
2/25/25; 10:00 AM EST = -2; signal line is +21
2/24/25; 10:02 AM EST = +0; signal line is +21
2/23/25; 7:00 PM EST = +16; signal line is +22