STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the bull side today at SPX 5667 following through after the Friday stutter steps. Commodities, GTX 3719, and NYA 19295 and SPX 5666 all jump into the bull camp punching the bears in the face. The bulls are now in charge of the stock market with the algo number 35 points above the signal line.

It is a big stick-save by the bulls to push NYA above 19295 and SPX above 5666. The bears need to reverse these gains if they want the ball back. Today's move gives street cred to the relief rally but VIX 16.89 is the major test.

If stocks continue rallying, and the VIX drops below 16.89, equities will catapult to the moon as bulls throw confetti. If stocks rally, however, and the VIX drops but cannot move below 16.89, the relief rally means nothing, and it will likely roll over and die going forward. The VIX 16.89 bull/bear line in the sand is a big deal so watch it and the other metrics this week.

Pope Powell brings the tablets down from On High on hump day. Stocks rally 80% of the time on the Tuesday and Wednesday into the Fed meetings so traders are front-running the move starting last Friday. Powell holds the power. Patty Smith and others want the People to Have the Power. 

Bulls ride to glory with lower volatility while bears can wrestle back control of the stock market with weaker commodities, and lower NYA and SPX indexes.

Keybot the Quant prints a pre-scheduled number tomorrow morning before the opening bell.

On the last trade that ran about 3 weeks, the quant program gains about +6% and the actual trading gains about +14%. Put that in your pipe and smoke it. Yinz can take the rest of the year off. For the year thus far, the benchmark S&P 500 is down almost -4% puking its guts out from the top less than a month ago. The quant program is up about +5% this year and the actual trading generated by the quant is up +13% on the year outperforming the benchmark by 17 percentage-points. No one can complain about that. Keybot exited SDS and entered SSO remaining in the 2x ETF's.

3/23/25; 7:00 PM EST =
3/18/25; 9:00 AM EST =
3/17/25; 1:39 PM EST = -18; signal line is -53
3/17/25; 1:35 PM EST = -32; signal line is -53; go long 5667; (Benchmark SPX for 2025 = -3.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = +6.3%; Keybot algo for 2025 = +4.5%)(Actual results this trade = +13.6%; Actual results for 2025 = +13.2%)
3/17/25; 9:37 AM EST = -32; signal line is -53 but algorithm remains short
3/17/25; 9:36 AM EST = -46; signal line is -53 but algorithm remains short
3/16/25; 7:00 PM EST = -60; signal line is -52
3/14/25; 3:59 PM EST = -60; signal line is -52
3/14/25; 3:11 PM EST = -46; signal line is -51
3/14/25; 2:59 PM EST = -60; signal line is -50
3/14/25; 2:06 PM EST = -46; signal line is -49 but algorithm remains short
3/14/25; 1:59 PM EST = -60; signal line is -49
3/14/25; 1:08 PM EST = -46; signal line is -49 but algorithm remains short
3/14/25; 10:00 AM EST = -60; signal line is -48
3/13/25; 2:38 PM EST = -60; signal line is -48
3/13/25; 2:21 PM EST = -76; signal line is -47
3/13/25; 12:52 PM EST = -60; signal line is -45
3/13/25; 10:28 AM EST = -46; signal line is -42
3/13/25; 9:36 AM EST = -46; signal line is -41
3/12/25; 12:12 PM EST = -46; signal line is -39
3/12/25; 11:26 AM EST = -62; signal line is -38
3/12/25; 11:10 AM EST = -76; signal line is -36
3/12/25; 11:00 AM EST = -62; signal line is -32
3/12/25; 10:23 AM EST = -46; signal line is -30
3/12/25; 10:03 AM EST = -60; signal line is -27
3/12/25; 9:37 AM EST = -46; signal line is -24
3/11/25; 10:33 AM EST = -60; signal line is -21
3/11/25; 9:36 AM EST = -46; signal line is -17
3/10/25; 1:36 PM EST = -60; signal line is -14
3/10/25; 10:38 AM EST = -46; signal line is -11
3/10/25; 9:57 AM EST = -32; signal line is -8
3/10/25; 9:36 AM EST = -18; signal line is -6
3/9/25; 7:00 PM EST = -32; signal line is -5
3/7/25; 11:56 AM EST = -32; signal line is -3
3/7/25; 11:06 AM EST = -48; signal line is -1
3/7/25; 10:57 AM EST = -34; signal line is +2
3/7/25; 10:23 AM EST = -18; signal line is +4
3/7/25; 9:46 AM EST = -34; signal line is +6
3/7/25; 9:00 AM EST = -48; signal line is +8
3/6/25; 9:36 AM EST = -48; signal line is +11
3/5/25; 12:03 PM EST = -32; signal line is +12
3/5/25; 11:31 AM EST = -48; signal line is +14
3/4/25; 9:48 AM EST = -32; signal line is +17
3/3/25; 1:16 PM EST = -16; signal line is +19
3/3/25; 10:58 AM EST = -2; signal line is +19
3/3/25; 10:42 AM EST = -16; signal line is +20
3/2/25; 7:00 PM EST EOM = -2; signal line is +20
2/25/25; 10:00 AM EST = -2; signal line is +21
2/24/25; 10:02 AM EST = +0; signal line is +21
2/23/25; 7:00 PM EST = +16; signal line is +22
2/21/25; 1:02 PM EST = +16; signal line is +21; go short 6050; (Benchmark SPX for 2025 = +2.9%)(Keybot algo this trade = +2.2%; Keybot algo for 2025 = -1.8%)(Actual results this trade = +2.3%; Actual results for 2025 = -0.4%)