STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short the stock market with the algo number 17 points below the signal line. That is not much considering that key parameters such as retail stocks, banks and commodities, are all teetering on the edge of their bull/bear lines in the sand.

The cage match between retail stocks and commodities had both sides switching camps to the other side, a draw, but as the Friday session played out, the negativity prevailed with retail stocks.

Retail stocks, banks and commodities are all that matter to the stock market right now. XRT 84.04 is the line in the sand and price is at 84.02. Do you think Keybot is a smart robot to call out these numbers before they occur? The bulls only need two cents higher to pull the retail stocks back into their camp and create lift in the broad stock market. The bears must move XRT lower if they want to growl.

XLF 52.92 is the banksters line in the sand with price at 52.18. Watch it in the premarket to see the story forward. Bulls win big if XLF moves above 52.92; the upside stock market rally will continue. The bears need to keep XLF in their camp and heading lower to bring more negativity into the stock market.

GTX 3814.40 is the line in the sand, er grain, for the commodities. Price is at 3804 another metric sitting on the line in the bear camp. The bulls need GTX above 3814 heading higher to pave the road to more stock market gains. The bears need to keep GTX in their camp and heading lower to maintain and increase stock market selling pressure.

If any 2 of the 3 turn bullish, consider the imminent turn to the long side to be in play. Also, if only one metric turns bullish, and then jogs back to bearish, then bullish again, the quant is likely only focused on this metric and it will decide the path forward. Of course, if all 3 flip bullish, stocks will be leaping higher in a euphoric confetti atmosphere.

Copper remains in the bull camp supporting the stock market. Bears need a -3.2% drop in the red metal to create carnage in stocks.

Keybot the Quant prints one prescheduled number this week on Friday shortly after the opening bell. Write a note to yourself to watch the retail stocks such as AMZN, WMT, banksters such as JPM, BAC and C, and regionals that are on shaky ground, KRE, and commodities, GTX and CRB, also DBA, that reflect goods inflation. Take a Letter, Maria.

10/26/25; 7:00 PM EST =
10/24/25; 10:00 AM EST =
10/19/25; 7:00 PM EST = -1; signal line is +16
10/17/25; 3:38 PM EST = -1; signal line is +18
10/17/25; 2:25 PM EST = +15; signal line is +19
10/17/25; 12:44 PM EST = -1; signal line is +20
10/17/25; 11:52 AM EST = +15; signal line is +21
10/17/25; 11:18 AM EST = -1; signal line is +22
10/17/25; 9:58 AM EST = +15; signal line is +23
10/17/25; 9:36 AM EST = -1; signal line is +24
10/17/25; 9:00 AM EST = +13; signal line is +25
10/16/25; 2:33 PM EST = +13; signal line is +26