Keybot the Quant remains long as volatility plays more games. VIX went above the 16.87 bull/bear line in the sand so stocks started falling apart. In comes the Fed, wrestling Uncle Vix to the ground and then maintaining their jackboot on his neck allowing stocks to recover. Alas, like a beachball that you try to hold underwater, the VIX pops higher again during the last 15 minutes of Friday trading but remains pennies below the key 16.87 at 16.65 in the bull camp. The Beach Boys down in Kokomo; no, they did not sing that 'Vermont's a rotten state' (like many people think they hear) they are actually singing Martinique, 'that Montserrat mystique'.
Banks and commodities are also only small amounts away from their bull/bear lines in the sand. Watch XLF 53.12 and GTX 3815, respectively. On Thursday, the bears pushed the banks down to XLF 53.06 but could not hold it.
The path forward depends upon VIX 16.87, XLF 53.12 and GTX 3815. All three are bullish creating buoyancy in the stock market. If any 1 of the 3 turn bearish, and the SPX falls below 6706 trending lower, Keybot the Quant will likely flip short. If 2 or all 3 turn bearish, it will likely be the start of stocks falling a long ways. Bulls only need to keep all 3 metrics in their camp and they remain on easy street swigging down Fed wine each day and buying any stock with a heartbeat.
The algo number is only 7 measly points above the signal line not exactly a ringing endorsement of the record-setting rally. On Friday, 10/3/25, the SPX prints a new all-time high at 6750.87, wowza, and a new all-time closing high at 6715.79. Stocks are a Runaway as Del sings.
Keybot prints one prescheduled number this week on Friday morning shortly after the opening bell.
10/12/25;
7:00 PM EST =
10/10/25;
10:00 AM EST =
10/5/25;
7:00 PM EST = +59; signal line is +52
10/3/25;
2:17 PM EST = +59; signal line is +52
10/3/25;
2:10 PM EST = +45; signal line is +51 but algorithm remains long
10/3/25;
9:00 AM EST = +59; signal line is +51
10/1/25;
5:18 AM EST = +59; signal line is +51
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