Keybot the Quant remains long as the market drama heats-up. Commodities are strong that will likely lead to goods inflation. The robot is champing at the bit to go short and fixated on retail stocks, volatility and banks. The bears want control of the stock market with the algo number 9 points below the signal line but the internal parameters will not fully latch yet to permit the move.
If the SPX drops below 6718 trending lower, Keybot the Quant will likely flip short, hence, the imminent turn notation is in the title line.
Retail stocks are holding down the bear camp with the XRT 84.74 line in the sand. Price is at 84.51 creating bearishness in the stock market.
Volatility and banks are helping the bulls maintain stock market buoyancy and create the new all-time record high at 6755.64 and new all-time closing high at 6753.72 yesterday, 10/8/25.
VIX 16.57 is the bull/bear line in the sand and it is trading in real-time at 16.50 only 7 pennies on the bull side. XLF 53.20 is the bull/bear line for the banksters with price at 53.51 only 31 cents away from disaster. The banks fell yesterday and no one noticed. XLF fell to 53.29 only 9 pennies away from creating market mayhem before recovering.
What does all this mumbo-jumbo mean? Bears win and the quant will likely flip short if the SPX loses 6718. If VIX pops back above 16.57 heading higher, stocks will deteriorate. If XLF loses 53.20, it is lights-out for the stock market that will tumbling lower. If stocks drop but the VIX and XLF remain bullish, the bears got nothing.
If stocks rally, but the VIX moves above 16.57 and remains above, stocks will reverse and move lower. Bulls need XRT above 84.74 to prove that they got game. If stocks rally, but XRT remains below 84.74, the bulls got nothing and stocks will reverse and start dropping.
VIX is at 16.48 (bullish). XRT sits at 84.51 (bearish). XLF is 53.51 unchanged in early trading (bullish). Let the festivities begin. One of these three will flinch. Have a nice day. Doris Day. Que Sera Sera.
10/12/25;
7:00 PM EST =
10/10/25;
10:00 AM EST =
10/8/25;
1:02 PM EST = +43; signal line is +52 but algorithm remains long
10/8/25;
11:34 AM EST = +29; signal line is +52 but algorithm remains long
10/8/25;
11:24 AM EST = +43; signal line is +53 but algorithm remains long
10/7/25;
11:12 AM EST = +29; signal line is +53 but algorithm remains long
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