Thursday, January 1, 2026

Keybot the Quant Logs Another Banner Year Gaining +35% Outperforming the Corrupt Hedge Funds

Keybot the Quant logs another banner year gaining +35% outperforming all the corrupt hedge funds on Wall Street. It's fun. Put that in your pipe and smoke it. The benchmark SPX, the S&P 500 Index, the US stock market, gains +16% in 2025, a great return, and the robot outperforms the benchmark by more than 2x. The Keybot the Quant algorithm program gains +27% in 2025 and those commands execute the actual trading that yields +35% for the year.

Stocks collapsed into April but then stage a historic 9-month recovery rally fueled by the AI hype, rate-cut joy, QE light, rich people continuing to spend money, and other happy talk that typically occurs at a major top a la 1999-2000 and 2008-2009. It will be interesting to see if trouble materializes or if the bigtime upside party continues.

The algorithm is re-zeroed to keep the statistics in line. Nothing's changed. The robot did not print any numbers this week except for today with the EOM, EOQ4, EOH2 and EOY2025.

Keybot the Quant remains long in SSO starting at 57.92 and the 2026 year of trading begins at SPX 6846.

There were only 24 stock market turns (long to short or short to long) in 2025 a very low number compared to the last few years. There are usually about 35 turns in a given year and two years ago there were 40 turns. There was not as much sideways chop in 2025 until the last few months of the year. Instead, generally, it was a down year to start the first 4 months and then the last 8 months were up.

Trading is all about 'what have you done for me lately'. The past is over and it is time to move on with a new year where everything starts from scratch again. Utilities, commodities and retail stocks are controlling stock market direction as the new year begins. Welcome 2026. Guy Lombardo and Auld Lang Syne.

1/11/26; 7:00 PM EST =
1/9/26; 9:00 AM EST =
1/4/26; 7:00 PM EST =
1/1/26; Begin 2026 Data = +40; signal line is +25; go long 6846; (Benchmark SPX for 2026 = +0.0%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.0%; Keybot algo for 2026 = +0.0%)(Actual results this trade = +0.0%; Actual results for 2026 = +0.0%)

Keybot the Quant Begins 2026 on the Long Side from SPX 6846

All Data 0%. Begin 2026

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START 2026 PROGRAM

Begin Printing

Mark and Set

Date Stamp 1/1/26; 4:10 AM EST

START 2026 PROGRAM

Copyright Enforced. 2008. 2009. 2010. 2011. 2012. 2013. 2014. 2015. 2016. 2017. 2018. 2019. 2020. 2021. 2022. 2023. 2024. 2025. 2026. Keybot the Quant. The Keystone Speculator. K E Stone. All Rights Reserved.

End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End

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END OF 2025 RESULTS:

The SPX (S&P 500) Benchmark Index Gains an Above-Average +16.4% in 2025

(SPX Started 2025 at 5882 and Ended at 6846 Catapulting 964 Points Higher Repeating the Same Big Outperformances to the Upside as 2023 and 2024; Bull Market 3 Years)

Keybot the Quant Algorithm (Computer Program Only) During 2025: +26.9%

KEYBOT THE QUANT ACTUAL TRADING RETURN FOR 2025 INCLUDING ALL COMMISSIONS, COSTS AND FEES: +34.6%

Keybot the Quant has never printed a losing year

Keybot the Quant is a long-short algorithm that oscillates between a bullish (long) position and a bearish (short) position seeking the smoothest path through the trading year using the S&P 500 (SPX; the US stock market) as the benchmark comparison index

Number of Position Changes (Long to Short or Short to Long) During 2025: 24


1/1/2025

5882

Go Short

4:20 AM

PSQ

37.40

1/2/2025

5928

Cover Short

10:07 AM

PSQ

37.08

1/2/2025

5928

Go Long

10:07 AM

DIA

427.69

1/2/2025

5899

Sell Long

11:00 AM

DIA

426.29

1/2/2025

5899

Go Short

11:00 AM

DOG

26.50

1/6/2025

5988

Cover Short

9:36 AM

DOG

26.40

1/6/2025

5988

Go Long

9:36 AM

QQQ

524.60

1/7/2025

5955

Sell Long

10:20 AM

QQQ

520.66

1/7/2025

5955

Go Short

10:20 AM

RWM

18.53

1/15/2025

5920

Cover Short

9:36 AM

RWM

18.47

1/15/2025

5920

Go Long

9:36 AM

IVV

592.76

2/21/2025

6050

Sell Long

1:02 PM

IVV

606.52

2/21/2025

6050

Go Short

1:02 PM

SDS

18.74

3/17/2025

5667

Cover Short

1:35 PM

SDS

21.28

3/17/2025

5667

Go Long

1:35 PM

SSO

84.79

3/28/2025

5643

Sell Long

10:11 AM

SSO

83.68

3/28/2025

5643

Go Short

10:11 AM

SDS

21.25

4/2/2025

5656

Cover Short

11:27 AM

SDS

21.16

4/2/2025

5656

Go Long

11:27 AM

DDM

92.15

4/3/2025

5488

Sell Long

9:36 AM

DDM

87.50

4/3/2025

5488

Go Short

9:36 AM

SH

45.52

4/22/2025

5254

Cover Short

10.41 AM

SH

46.93

4/22/2025

5254

Go Long

10:41 AM

SPY

524.32

5/30/2025

5859

Sell Long

12:31 PM

SPY

584.83

5/30/2025

5859

Go Short

12:31 PM

SDS

18.75

6/2/2025

5925

Cover Short

2:23 PM

SDS

18.34

6/2/2025

5925

Go Long

2:23 PM

SPY

591.32

7/30/2025

6348

Sell Long

3:00 PM

SPY

632.85

7/30/2025

6348

Go Short

3:00 PM

SDS

15.99

8/22/2025

6448

Cover Short

10:02 AM

SDS

15.60

8/22/2025

6448

Go Long

10:02 AM

SSO

104.86

10/10/2025

6692

Sell Long

11:04 AM

SSO

112.20

10/10/2025

6692

Go Short

11:04 AM

SDS

14.47

10/20/2025

6711

Cover Short

9:37 AM

SDS

14.38

10/20/2025

6711

Go Long

9:37 AM

SSO

112.20

10/29/2025

6856

Sell Long

2:41 PM

SSO

117.25

10/29/2025

6856

Go Short

2:41 PM

QID

19.51

11/10/2025

6805

Cover Short

9:36 AM

QID

20.18

11/10/2025

6805

Go Long

9:36 AM

SSO

115.31

11/18/2025

6637

Sell Long

9:47 AM

SSO

109.69

11/18/2025

6637

Go Short

9:47 AM

QID

21.65

11/24/2025

6672

Cover Short

10:33 AM

QID

21.48

11/24/2025

6672

Go Long

10:33 AM

QLD

67.64

12/16/2025

6788

Sell Long

9:46 AM

QLD

69.05

12/16/2025

6788

Go Short

9:46 AM

SDS

70.68

12/18/2025

6797

Cover Short

10:29 AM

SDS

70.48

12/18/2025

6797

Go Long

10:29 AM

SSO

57.31

1/1/2026

6846

Sell Long

4:10 AM

SSO

57.92

 

Date – SPX – Position – Time Stamp – ETF – Price

Begin Printing Trade Data Entries Exits Reverse Order

FINAL 2025 RESULTS

Mark and Set

Date Stamp 1/1/26; 4:10 AM EST

End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End

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1/1/26; Algorithm Zeroed for 2026 Data EOM EOQ4 EOH2 EOY2025 = +40; signal line is +25; go long 6846; (Benchmark SPX for 2025 Final = +16.4%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.7%; Keybot algo for 2025 Final = +26.9%)(Actual results this trade = +1.1%; Actual results for 2025 Final = +34.6%)
12/28/25; 7:00 PM EST = +40; signal line is +25
12/23/25; 10:00 AM EST = +40; signal line is +25
12/22/25; 11:06 AM EST = +39; signal line is +24
12/22/25; 9:36 AM EST = +23; signal line is +24 but algorithm remains long
12/21/25; 7:00 PM EST = +25; signal line is +24
12/19/25; 10:16 AM EST = +25; signal line is +24
12/19/25; 10:02 AM EST = +41; signal line is +24
12/19/25; 10:00 AM EST = +25; signal line is +24
12/18/25; 12:39 PM EST = +25; signal line is +24
12/18/25; 12:20 AM EST = +11; signal line is +24 but algorithm remains long
12/18/25; 11:22 AM EST = +25; signal line is +25 but algorithm remains long
12/18/25; 10:29 AM EST = +41; signal line is +25; go long 6797 (Benchmark SPX for 2025 = +15.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.1%; Keybot algo for 2025 = +26.2%)(Actual results this trade = -0.3%; Actual results for 2025 = +33.5%)

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