STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short through the weekend. The bears push lower with the sideways choppy action in 2015 continuing. The bulls need lower volatility and higher financials to stop the bleeding. Bears need lower retail stocks and the SPX to drop under 1962 to unleash stronger downside. Areas and levels of interest can be identified once the Sunday pre-scheduled number prints tomorrow. January finishes as a negative month beginning at SPX 2059 and ending at 1995.

2/1/15; 7:00 PM EST EOM =

1/30/15; 10:00 AM EST = +10; signal line is +24

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short as markets trade weak in the early going. The pre-scheduled number results in no changes. Stocks are simply staggering sideways through the 2002-2011 S/R range. Bulls will receive an advantage above 2011. Bears receive an advantage under 2002.

2/1/15; 7:00 PM EST EOM =

1/30/15; 10:00 AM EST = +10; signal line is +24

1/28/15; 2:26 PM EST = +10; signal line is +24

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short. The algo idled along all day without printing any numbers. Watch SOX 673.82 and VIX 16.10 since either of these would indicate that the upside market move is real and has legs. If both remain in the bear camp, stocks should roll back over to the downside. If one of the two turn bullish, and the SPX moves above 2025, and the SPX and the parameter remain bullish, Keybot will likely flip to the long side. Hence, the imminent turn notation is in the title line. The markets are very indecisive.

For the SPX starting at 2021, the bulls need to touch the 2025 handle and boom, the upside will accelerate quickly above 2030. The bears need to push under 1989 to regain their mojo, a formidable task, so instead bears will push chips lower and volatility higher with all their might. The erratic, unstable, choppy sideways behavior persists. Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number tomorrow one-half hour after the market opens. 

2/1/15; 7:00 PM EST EOM =

1/30/15; 10:00 AM EST =

1/28/15; 2:26 PM EST = +10; signal line is +24

1/28/15; 11:34 AM EST = +26; signal line is +24 but algorithm remains short

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short. The wild and erratic market action continues. The algo printed four numbers yesterday as the bull-bear sideways struggle continues. Semiconductors were in charge yesterday and the SOX 673.82 bull-bear level remains key. Bulls need to push SOX above 673.82 to stop the broad market selling; SOX begins at 666. The bears will create further downside fuel with RTH under 70.50 but price remains at a lofty 72. So bulls need higher chips and bears need lower retail stocks.

For the SPX starting at 2002, the bears need less than one point lower, under 2001.50, and the downside will accelerate. S&P futures are +1 about five hours before the opening bell jumping to +4 as this message is typed. The bulls need to push the SPX above 2042, a formidable task, so instead bulls will focus on pushing SOX above 673.82 to signal an end to the broad market selling. The bears are driving the bus but each day is a coin-flip.

1/30/15; 10:00 AM EST =

1/28/15; 2:26 PM EST = +10; signal line is +24

1/28/15; 11:34 AM EST = +26; signal line is +24 but algorithm remains short

1/28/15; 11:21 AM EST = +10; signal line is +23

1/28/15; 9:36 AM EST = +26; signal line is +23 but algorithm remains short

1/27/15; 3:02 PM EST = +10; signal line is +23

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant is on the short side but markets are a coin-flip each day continuing the erratic choppy sideways action. The bulls push semiconductors and the NYA Index higher in the afternoon but then both roll over and fall on their sword. For Wednesday, watch NYA 10812, SOX 673.82 and VIX 16.04. All three are in the bear camp so if any one of the parameters turn bullish, stocks will be running strongly higher and the upside fuel will be proportional to how many of the  three parameters turn bullish.

If the stock market rallies strongly and only one of the three parameters turn bullish and the SPX prints above 2048, Keybot will likely flip long. Thus, the imminent turn notation is shown in the title line. If stocks rally and one or more of the parameters turn bullish but the SPX remains under 2048, stocks will probably lose the gains and the parameters should revert back to the bear camp. Above SPX 2048 and the bulls are probably in clover.

For the SPX starting at 2030, the bulls need to touch the 2048 handle and bingo, the upside will accelerate well into the 2050's. The bears need to push under 2020 to accelerate the downside to 2010-2011. A move through 2021-2047 is sideways action. Markets are very unstable. The bears are in control, barely, with the stock market staggering sideways unable to choose up or down. Perhaps in the afternoon after the FOMC announcement, stocks may commit to a direction forward. The three parameters above will tell you the strength of any upside move.

1/30/15; 10:00 AM EST =

1/27/15; 3:02 PM EST = +10; signal line is +23

1/27/15; 3:01 PM EST = +24; signal line is +23 but algorithm remains short

1/27/15; 2:27 PM EST = +40; signal line is +22 but algorithm remains short

1/27/15; 2:25 PM EST = +24; signal line is +21 but algorithm remains short

1/27/15; 10:00 AM EST = +10; signal line is +21

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips back to the short side again in these erratic markets. The NYA fails under 10812 creating weakness. The VIX leaps above 16.02 creating selling pressure. The SOX collapses under 673.90 creating stock market negativity. The XLF remains under 24.05 moving lower creating selling pressure. Watch these four parameters since a recovery move will not occur with stocks until one of these parameters turn bullish.

The algo logs another losing trade on the year with the program down -3% thus far in 2015 and the actual trading now choking -7% so far. That means an interesting year is ahead. Keybot exits DDM and enters SH. The algorithm is now in a single ETF mode due to the whipsaws and will trade single ETF's for at least a duration of one month forward.

NYA 10812, VIX 16.02, SOX 673.90 and XLF 24.05 are dictating the stock market weakness. The semiconductors are likely the best chance for bulls to recover. SOX is printing at 668.37 so watch it today to see if it can recover.

2/1/15; 7:00 PM EST EOM = 
1/30/15; 10:00 AM EST = 
1/27/15; 10:00 AM EST = +10; signal line is +21
1/27/15; 9:30 AM EST = +6; signal line is +22; go short 2047; (Benchmark SPX for 2015 = -0.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.3%; Keybot algo for 2015 = -3.3%)(Actual results this trade = -1.0%; Actual results for 2015 = -6.8%) [E: 201501260931A]
1/26/15; 3:43 PM EST = +50; signal line is +23
1/26/15; 3:22 PM EST = +36; signal line is +23
1/26/15; 1:53 PM EST = +50; signal line is +23
1/26/15; 12:40 PM EST = +36; signal line is +23
1/26/15; 12:15 PM EST = +50; signal line is +23
1/26/15; 10:54 AM EST = +36; signal line is +23
1/25/15; 7:00 PM EST = +22; signal line is +23 but algorithm remains long
1/23/15; 3:42 PM EST = +22; signal line is +24 but algorithm remains long
1/22/15; 2:32 PM EST = +36; signal line is +25; go long 2054; (Benchmark SPX for 2015 = -0.2%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.8%; Keybot algo for 2015 = -3.0%)(Actual results this trade = -0.8%; Actual results for 2015 = -5.8%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long after an eventful day of the algo printing six numbers. The gap-down opening turned into a drop and pop. The algo did not get sucked in since a gap-down timer triggered and the algo had to allow time to pass before committing. SOX recovered strongly providing bull fuel. The NYA runs above the 10812 bull-bear line in the sand (use this instead of 10805) adding bull fuel. The VIX drops under the 16.02 bull-bear line in the sand creating more bull fuel. The bulls were off and running but they did not get that far.

Watch VIX 16.02, NYA 10812 and XLF 24.05. The bears will fight back with VIX above 16.02 and/or NYA under 10812. If both VIX and NYA turn bearish, Keybot will likely flip short. The bulls need XLF above 24.05 which will verify that the stock market has more upside ahead and stocks will ratchet quickly higher. If the XLF stalls and cannot achieve 24.05 you know the bulls do not have any remaining upside juice.

For the SPX starting at 2057, the bulls only need one point, to touch the 2058 handle and boiinng, price will bounce towards 2067. The bears need to push under 2041 to regain their mojo, a formidable task, so instead bears will focus on keeping financials in the bear camp while wrestling volatility and the NYA back into the bear camp as well. Markets are extremely erratic and unstable moving in a sideways choppy pattern. This may continue until the FOMC decision occurs Wednesday afternoon. Watch the VIX very closely starting at 15.52 with bulls in charge under 16.02 and bears in charge above 16.02. Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number tomorrow one-half hour after the opening bell.

1/27/15; 10:00 AM EST =

1/26/15; 3:43 PM EST = +50; signal line is +23

1/26/15; 3:22 PM EST = +36; signal line is +23

1/26/15; 1:53 PM EST = +50; signal line is +23

1/26/15; 12:40 PM EST = +36; signal line is +23

1/26/15; 12:15 PM EST = +50; signal line is +23

1/26/15; 10:54 AM EST = +36; signal line is +23

1/25/15; 7:00 PM EST = +22; signal line is +23 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant begins the new week of trading on the long side but the algorithm wants to flip to the short side. If the SPX drops under 2051, and remains under, Keybot will likely flip short so watch to see if any weakness appears in overnight futures. If a gap down occurs, about 90 minutes of trading may be required before the algo will commit.There is only one point difference between the algo number and signal line and the model wants to flip short as soon as all the necessary parameters latch; the SPX under 2051 is key.

The algo is tracking NYA 10805, VIX 15.85 and SOX 672.43. The bulls need either NYA above 10805 or VIX under 15.85 and it is all systems go for the upside rally in stocks. Either one would do and both will double the upside fuel. The bears need to push SOX (semiconductors) under 672.43 to create further downside selling pressure. If status quo remains, SOX bullish above 672.43 and NYA bearish under 10805 and VIX bearish above 15.85, then markets will float along sideways with a slight upward bias. One of those three parameters will flinch and expose the market direction ahead. Watch the NYA 10805 level closely.

For the SPX starting at 2052, the bears only need a point and one-half, to push under 2050.50 and the downside will accelerate. The bulls need to touch the 2063 handle to create an upside acceleration. A move through 2051-2062 is sideways action for Monday. Keybot prints two pre-scheduled numbers this week one on Tuesday morning and one on Friday morning. Friday is the last day of trading for January; EOM (end-of-month). The month and year started at SPX 2059.

2/1/15; 7:00 PM EST EOM =

1/30/15; 10:00 AM EST =

1/27/15; 10:00 AM EST =

1/25/15; 7:00 PM EST = +22; signal line is +23 but algorithm remains long

1/23/15; 3:42 PM EST = +22; signal line is +24 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long through the weekend but is already champing at the bit to reverse to the short side again. The aglo number drops under the signal line late day to flip Keybot short but internal programming rules would not fully latch so the algo remains long. Monday morning should be interesting. The NYA fell through 10805 late day causing the market weakness. Bears are celebrating this failure which is a key market signal (NYA 40-week MA cross).

Also of interest is the VIX that came down to the 15.85 that Keybot identified ahead of time and bounced. This was the bull's chance to catapult stocks wildly higher but instead the VIX would not fail at 15.85 and started to climb again which flushed the stock market lower into the closing bell (VIX moves inverse to he SPX). The market momentum swung back in the bear's favor after the VIX would not fail and then accelerated more negative with the NYA failure.

1/25/15; 7:00 PM EST =

1/23/15; 3:42 PM EST = +22; signal line is +24 but algorithm remains long

1/22/15; 2:32 PM EST = +36; signal line is +25; go long 2054; (Benchmark SPX for 2014 = -0.2%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.8%; Keybot algo for 2014 = -3.0%)(Actual results this trade = -0.8%; Actual results for 2014 = -5.8%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant is long after the wild upside day yesterday. Bulls need XLF above 24.11 or VIX under 15.85 for more juice. Bears need NYA under 10805 or they got nothing.

For the SPX starting at 2063, the bulls need only two points, to touch the 2065 handle and an upside acceleration will continue. The bears are focused on keeping XLF and VIX in the bear camp while pushing NYA lower. The SPX began January and the year at 2059.

1/25/15; 7:00 PM EST =

1/22/15; 2:32 PM EST = +36; signal line is +25; go long 2054; (Benchmark SPX for 2015 = -0.2%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.8%; Keybot algo for 2015 = -3.0%)(Actual results this trade = -0.8%; Actual results for 2015 = -5.8%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips into the bull camp this afternoon at 2:32 PM EST at SPX 2054. The NYA Index launches up through 10805 providing bull fuel; this number remains important. Watch VIX 15.85 and XLF 24.11; volatility and financials, respectively. Bulls will receive more fuel if XLF rises above 24.11 and/or VIX drops below 15.85. If neither occurs then you will know that the market upside will stall. If either one joins the bull camp, the upside party will strengthen. Bears need NYA under 10805 or they got nothing.

The algo takes another loss on the year due to the sideways choppy markets with both the algo program and the actual trading losing -0.8%. The SPX benchmark remains negative on the year. The SPX started the year at 2059. Keybot exited DXD and entered DDM. Even though a double ETF was employed on the last trade, the loss was not large since the Dow Industrials are moving in a tighter pattern than the other major indexes. As always stay alert for a whipsaw. The markets remain extremely erratic and unstable.

XLF is at 24.04 only seven pennies from the bull-bear line in the sand at 24.11. You can use this as a market proxy. From here, stocks will move with the XLF. Bears need to push XLF under 24 and lower to stop the huge upside market rally today.

1/25/15; 7:00 PM EST =

1/22/15; 2:32 PM EST = +36; signal line is +25; go long 2054; (Benchmark SPX for 2015 = -0.2%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.8%; Keybot algo for 2015 = -3.0%)(Actual results this trade = -0.8%; Actual results for 2015 = -5.8%)

1/22/15; 2:20 PM EST = +36 signal line is +24 but algorithm remains short

1/22/15; 10:43 AM EST = +22 signal line is +23

1/22/15; 9:42 AM EST = +6 signal line is +23

1/21/15; 10:19 AM EST = +22 signal line is +25

1/21/15; 9:00 AM EST = +6; signal line is +26

1/20/15; 3:37 PM EST = +6; signal line is +27

1/20/15; 3:10 PM EST = +22; signal line is +28

1/18/15; 7:00 PM EST = +6; signal line is +29

1/16/15; 10:00 AM EST = +6; signal line is +31

1/13/15; 1:25 PM EST = +3; signal line is +33

1/13/15; 9:36 AM EST = +19; signal line is +35

1/12/15; 12:54 PM EST = +3; signal line is +36

1/12/15; 10:51 AM EST = +19; signal line is +38

1/12/15; 9:46 AM EST = +3; signal line is +39

1/12/15; 9:36 AM EST = +19; signal line is +41; go short 2038; (Benchmark SPX for 2015 = -1.0%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.0%; Keybot algo for 2015 = -2.2%)(Actual results this trade = -2.0%; Actual results for 2015 = -5.0%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short as the markets deal with the ECB QE announcement and aftermath. The SOX fell under the critical 672.32 bull-bear line in the sand so it looked good for bears but the SOX recovered and is now above creating market lift. As stocks ran higher, the bulls tried to push the NYA above 10805 but the NYA hit its head on the ceiling and staggered lower now at 10777 unable to yet confirm sustainable upside. Isn't it amazing how Keybot can identify the key number before it occurs? Thus, SOX remains above 672.32 and NYA remains under 10805 so stocks stumble sideways with an upward bias.

Bull will be victorious with NYA above 10805 and Keybot will likely flip long. Bears will be victorious with SOX under 672.32, now at 674.31. If status quo remains, markets stagger sideways with the slight upward bias. One of those two parameters will flinch and that will confirm the directional path ahead.

1/25/15; 7:00 PM EST =

1/22/15; 10:43 AM EST = +22 signal line is +23

1/22/15; 9:42 AM EST = +6 signal line is +23

1/21/15; 10:19 AM EST = +22 signal line is +25

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short but the bulls keep battling. Stocks sold off in the afternoon but you knew the bears had nothing since the SOX would not drop under 672.36. The algo is tracking semiconductors and the NYA Index. If the NYA moves above 10805, Keybot will likely flip long. If the SOX drops under 672.36, the bears are going to start selling the market hard. If the SOX remains above 672.36 and the NYA under 10800, stocks will trade sideways choppy with  a slight upward bias.

For the SPX for Thursday starting at 2032, the bulls need to push above 2038 and boom, the upside will accelerate to 2046. The bears need to push under 2012 to accelerate the downside to 2002-2003. A move through 2013-2031 is sideways action. ECB President Draghi will explain the new QE program tomorrow at the press conference at 8:30 AM EST (one hour before the opening bell) so monitor the S&P futures at that time to note the market reaction.

1/25/15; 7:00 PM EST =

1/21/15; 10:19 AM EST = +22 signal line is +25

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short as the bulls launch an upside rally using the semiconductors as fuel. SOX 672.36 is an important level and price has blown up through to 679. If the NYA moves above 10805, Keybot will likely flip long. NYA is at 10724 and climbing. Note that the algo number is now only three ticks from the signal line. The caution flag is out as the bulls are trying to retake control. So bulls win big if NYA moves above 10800. Bears win big if SOX drops under 672.36. Status quo sends the stock market choppy sideways. The much-awaited ECB decision is on tap tomorrow morning.

1/25/15; 7:00 PM EST =

1/21/15; 10:19 AM EST = +22 signal line is +25

1/21/15; 9:00 AM EST = +6; signal line is +26

1/20/15; 3:37 PM EST = +6; signal line is +27

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short moving into Wednesday trading. The bulls and bears are fighting over semiconductors so pay close attention to the SOX 672.38 bull-bear line in the sand. The stock market will catch a bid with the SPX moving up into the 2030's if SOX moves above 672.38. Bears must prevent SOX 672.38. The SOX begins at 670.57 in the bear camp creating market negativity but is less than two points away from the 672.38.

If SOX turns bullish and markets move higher, bulls will likely still need either XLF 24.10 or NYA 10800 to regain full control of the markets but the banks are in a sour mood. Thus, the best bet for the bulls is SOX 672.38 followed by NYA 10800 and the bulls will be sending the stock market far higher and Keybot will likely flip long. These levels will roughly hold in place through the ECB decision on Thursday.

For the SPX starting at 2023, the bulls need to touch the 2029 handle and bingo, an upside acceleration into the 2030's will quickly occur. The bears need to push under 2005 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2006-2028 is sideways action for Wednesday.

1/25/15; 7:00 PM EST =

1/21/15; 9:00 AM EST =

1/20/15; 3:37 PM EST = +6; signal line is +27

1/20/15; 3:10 PM EST = +22; signal line is +28

1/18/15; 7:00 PM EST = +6; signal line is +29

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant is on the short side as a new week of trading will begin on Tuesday morning. The bulls need either SOX 673.50 or NYA 10800 to confirm a strong move higher for stocks. The bears have to keep the semiconductors and NYA Index in their camp under the levels shown.

For the SPX starting at 2019, the bulls only need a point, to move above 2020, and boom, the upside will accelerate a few more handles to the middle 2020's. The bears need to push under 1988 to get their mojo back, a formidable task so instead bears will focus on preventing SOX 673.50 and NYA 10800 from occurring.  A move through SPX 1989-2019 is sideways action for Tuesday. Keybot prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Wednesday morning.

1/25/15; 7:00 PM EST =

1/21/15; 9:00 AM EST =

1/18/15; 7:00 PM EST = +6; signal line is +29

1/16/15; 10:00 AM EST = +6; signal line is +31

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short through the 3-day holiday weekend. US trading does not resume until Tuesday morning. The algo is idling along during the back half of last week only printing the pre-scheduled number on Friday. The bulls run stocks higher into Friday's closing bell. The NYA Index and semiconductors will be important next week. The areas and levels of interest can be identified once the Sunday pre-scheduled number prints.

1/18/15; 7:00 PM EST =

1/16/15; 10:00 AM EST = +6; signal line is +31

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short. The pre-scheduled number closes the gap between the algo number and the signal line to 25 points. Financial and semiconductor sectors leak lower so the bulls are having difficulty mounting a comeback. Bears are pushing RTH lower down to 69.75 but still need 40 more cents to tag the RTH 69.35 bull-bear line in the sand that the algo is now tracking. The SPX poked under the 1991 low limit for today but could not hold it for more than a few minutes. Markets are staggering sideways. The beat goes on.

1/18/15; 7:00 PM EST =

1/16/15; 10:00 AM EST = +6; signal line is +31

1/13/15; 1:25 PM EST = +3; signal line is +33

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant idles along on Thursday without printing any numbers. The bears need weaker retail stocks to create another leg lower while the bulls need stronger semiconductors to stop the broad market selling. Watch RTH 69.43 and SOX 673, respectively. RTH is at 70.14 creating broad market upside. SOX is 657 creating broad market downside. One or the other should flinch. If both remain status quo, stocks will likely float along sideways with an upward bias into the holiday weekend. After tomorrow's trading, markets will be closed until Tuesday morning.

For the SPX starting at 1993, the bulls need to push above 2021 to regain their mojo. The bears need to push under 1991 to accelerate the downside, only two points lower so keep an eye on the overnight S&P futures to see if the bears have two points in them. A move through SPX 1992-2020 on Friday is sideways action. The bears are in control. If the SPX loses the 1962 handle stocks are in serious trouble and may drop into a free fall collapse. The bulls need to push financials and semiconductors higher on Friday and they can at least stop the bleeding in the near-term. Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number tomorrow morning shortly after the opening bell.

1/18/15; 7:00 PM EST =

1/16/15; 10:00 AM EST =

1/13/15; 1:25 PM EST = +3; signal line is +33

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short. The bears came to play today and whacked financials and semiconductors lower sending stocks lower. The algo idled along all day without printing any numbers. The bulls need either SOX 674.00 or XLF 24.23 to stop the downside selling. The bears need RTH 69.50 to create another down leg in stocks. If XLF and SOX turn bullish, and the SPX moves above 2018, Keybot will likely flip to the long side. If at least one of the two remain in the bear camp then the algo will probably remain on the bear side. 

For the SPX starting at 2011, the bulls need to touch 2018.50 and bingo, the upside will accelerate with a snap-back rally. The bears need to push below 1988.50 to accelerate the downside. A move through 1989-2018 is sideways action on Thursday. Watch semi's, financials and retail stocks. The VIX is up to 21.48 so the large intraday and day to day point swings will continue. If either XLF or SOX turn bullish, the caution flag will return if both turn bullish the imminent turn notation will return.

1/16/15; 10:00 AM EST =

1/13/15; 1:25 PM EST = +3; signal line is +33

1/13/15; 9:36 AM EST = +19; signal line is +35

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short after another wild day. The Dow reversed 425 points from the high to the low intraday. The bulls flinched with the semiconductors collapsing in the afternoon; the SOX drops under 674.20 creating market negativity.

For Wednesday, the bulls need either SOX above 674.20 or XLF above 24.24 to stop the market selling. If both SOX and XLF turn bullish, Keybot may flip back to the bull side. To add to the drama for Wednesday, JPM and WFC report earnings at 7 AM and 8 AM, respectively, and the results will directly impact XLF either exalting it higher to test the critical XLF 24.24 level, or, send financials lower with stocks selling off in earnest. Check how the XLF is trading pre-market since it will tell you the broad market direction.

For the SPX starting at 2023, the bulls need to touch the 2057 handle to regain their mojo, a feat that appears unlikely but in this market who knows? The bears need to push the SPX under 2008 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2009-2056 is sideways action for Wednesday. If either SOX or XLF turn bullish consider the imminent turn notation to be back in the title line. The bears are driving the bus but both bulls and bears have their hands on the steering wheel wrestling for control. SOX 674.20 and XLF 24.24 will tell the story.

1/16/15; 10:00 AM EST =

1/13/15; 1:25 PM EST = +3; signal line is +33

1/13/15; 9:36 AM EST = +19; signal line is +35

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short. The market drama and theatrics in 2015 continues. Equities continue to print huge point swings in choppy sideways trading. The SOX regains 674.20 so the bulls receive upside fuel. Watch the financials; XLF 24.24. XLF is at 24.03 in the bear camp right now creating market drag but actually came up to tap the critical 24.24 bull-bear number this morning threatening to break out. If XLF moves above the 24.24 the bulls will be running stocks strongly higher. Financial earnings results begin reporting tomorrow so the market whipsaw behavior should resolve over the next couple days. If banks report happy earnings and trade higher so will stocks. Disappointing bank earnings will send the stock market lower.

Watch the important NYA 10800 level (40-week MA). NYA was up to 10765 or so and threatening to move higher but has since retreated. Very simply, bulls need XLF 24.24 and bears need SOX 674.20. One or the other will flinch and bulls win with higher financials and bears win with lower semiconductors. If the XLF moves above 24.24 and the SPX moves to 2057 and higher, Keybot will likely flip long, hence the imminent turn status is in the title line. Markets are very erratic and unstable. Watch financials and semi's.

1/16/15; 10:00 AM EST =

1/13/15; 9:36 AM EST = +19; signal line is +35

1/12/15; 12:54 PM EST = +3; signal line is +36

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant is short moving into the Tuesday session. Will the erratic turmoil continue? The algo is tracking SOX 674.20 as the most important parameter effecting market direction. SOX is at 671.82 in the bear camp creating market negativity. The weak chips are creating the overall stock market weakness. At the opening bell for Tuesday, if SOX stays under 674.20 and moves lower under 671, 670 and lower, the broad indexes will be selling off in earnest. If stocks rally but the SOX does not move above 674.20 then stocks will reverse and sell off. If stocks rally and the SOX moves above 674.20 then a mini recovery rally is underway again and stocks will continue higher.

For the SPX starting at 2028, the bulls need to push the SPX above 2049 to accelerate the upside. The bears need to push under 2023 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2024-2048 is sideways action. The bears are driving the bus. SOX 674.20 will tell the market story in the morning. For now, the caution flag is removed but if the SOX moves above 674.20 consider the caution flag to be back in play.

1/18/15; 7:00 PM EST =

1/16/15; 10:00 AM EST =

1/12/15; 12:54 PM EST = +3; signal line is +36

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side at SPX 2038 after the opening bell. The SPX fell under the 2038-2039 level so the algo latched and flipped to the bear side. The downside pressure today is due to semi's. Watch SOX 674.20 like a hawk since it will tell you if stocks are going up or down. SOX is currently printing 673.20 one buck on the bear side causing negativity. Stocks will only recover if SOX moves above 674.20. If SOX moves lower so do stocks.

The algo flips sides again with a roller coaster start to the year the indexes covering huge point swings intraday and day to day due to the elevated volatility. Keybot exited UWM and entered DXD. The double leveraged ETF's are causing larger trading losses but the algo has not yet dropped down into the single ETF's to reduce risk. The algo program is down -2.2% this year thus far with the SPX benchmark down -1% and the actual trading by Keybot down -5% to begin the year. Watch SOX 674.20.

1/16/15; 10:00 AM EST =

1/12/15; 12:54 PM EST = +3; signal line is +36

1/12/15; 10:51 AM EST = +19; signal line is +38

1/12/15; 9:46 AM EST = +3; signal line is +39

1/12/15; 9:36 AM EST = +19; signal line is +41; go short 2038; (Benchmark SPX for 2014 = -1.0%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.0%; Keybot algo for 2014 = -2.2%)(Actual results this trade = -2.0%; Actual results for 2014 = -5.0%)

1/11/15; 7:00 PM EST = +19; signal line is +42 but algorithm remains long

1/9/15; 10:35 AM EST = +19; signal line is +43 but algorithm remains long

1/9/15; 9:52 AM EST = +33; signal line is +44 but algorithm remains long

1/9/15; 9:00 AM EST = +49; signal line is +45

1/8/15; 3:59 PM EST = +49; signal line is +45

1/8/15; 3:49 PM EST = +35; signal line is +44 but algorithm remains long

1/8/15; 2:34 PM EST = +49; signal line is +44

1/8/15; 2:01 PM EST = +35; signal line is +44 but algorithm remains long

1/8/15; 1:13 PM EST = +49; signal line is +44

1/8/15; 11:44 AM EST = +35; signal line is +44 but algorithm remains long

1/8/15; 11:05 AM EST = +49; signal line is +44; go long 2059; (Benchmark SPX for 2014 = +0.0%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.6%; Keybot algo for 2014 = -1.2%)(Actual results this trade = -1.7%; Actual results for 2014 = -3.0%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant is long but champing at the bit to flip back to the short side to begin the new week of trading. The algo wanted to see the SPX 2038-2039 level to confirm the downside but price bounced from here intraday Friday. If the SPX drops under 2038, it is likely that Keybot will flip to the bear side. If the SPX remains above 2038, Keybot will likely remain long. The SPX begins the new week of trading at 2045 so the bears need about -7 in the S&P futures to show they are making a run lower. The bulls need to push the SPX above 2064 to accelerate the upside, a formidable task, so instead bulls will focus on keeping SPX above 2038 while pushing financials and the NYA Index higher.

The bears retake the critical NYA 10790 level (40-week MA) to the downside so the stock market is in trouble in 2015 if the NYA remains below. If the NYA moves above 10790 stocks will rally again. Ditto XLF 24.26. XLF begins the week in the bear camp at 24.12 only 14 cents under. So bulls need the SPX to stay above 2038 and the NYA to move above 10790 and XLF above 24.26. The bears simply need weak overnight S&P futures and for the SPX to lose 2038 after the opening bell to prove that down is the direction ahead. If the SPX drops under 2038 the NYA and XLF will remain bearish and heading lower. If the stock market rallies but the NYA or XLF do not turn bullish above the levels listed, equities will reverse and sell off.

Keybot prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Friday morning. The bulls are driving the bus but the stock market is a coin-flip. Markets are erratic and unstable and can go either way. The SPX 2038, NYA 10790 and XLF 24.26 tells you who wins.

1/18/15; 7:00 PM EST =

1/16/15; 10:00 AM EST =

1/11/15; 7:00 PM EST = +19; signal line is +42 but algorithm remains long

1/9/15; 10:35 AM EST = +19; signal line is +43 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long through the weekend after a wild roller coaster ride of a week. Monday and Tuesday are down big, Wednesday and Thursday up big, and Friday down big. The XLF could not move above 24.26 so the bulls got nothing. The SPX could not move under 2039 so the bears got nothing. One or the other will flinch on Monday. These and other levels of interest can be identified after Sunday's pre-scheduled number prints.

1/11/15; 7:00 PM EST =

1/9/15; 10:35 AM EST = +19; signal line is +43 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant is on the long side but the algo is champing at the bit to whipsaw back to the short side. The algo number is under the signal line again but the algo is not yet lined up to commit back to the bear side. NYA fails 10790 creating negativity. Most importantly, watch financials; XLF 24.26. The XLF is currently 24.15 in the bear camp and creating market negativity. Market bulls got nothing unless XLF moves above 24.26.

If the SPX drops under the 2038-2039 level, Keybot will likely flip to the short side, hence, the imminent turn notation is shown. Markets are very erratic and unstable. The SPX is at 2046 staggering sideways the last couple hours. Bulls will be happy with XLF above 24.26 and bears will be happy with SPX under 2039.

1/11/15; 7:00 PM EST =

1/9/15; 10:35 AM EST = +19; signal line is +43 but algorithm remains long

1/9/15; 9:52 AM EST = +33; signal line is +44 but algorithm remains long

1/9/15; 9:00 AM EST = +49; signal line is +45

1/8/15; 3:59 PM EST = +49; signal line is +45

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the long side today at SPX 2059. NYA is above 10790 in the bull camp creating market positivity and the drama will likely continue tomorrow. The algo was very active today printing eight numbers. NYA begins at 10801 on Friday 11 points above the 10790 bull-bear line in the sand. If NYA stays above 10790 the bulls will be running stocks higher. Bears will growl again if NYA drops under 10790.

For the SPX starting at 2062, the bulls need two points, to push up through 2064, and the upside will accelerate towards 2070. The bears need to retrace today's upside orgy, a formidable task, so instead bears will focus on pulling NYA back into the bear camp. Bears got nothing unless they push NYA under 10790.

The benchmark SPX is dead flat on year. The Keybot program is down -1.2% and the actual trading is off to a -3% start in the choppy new year. Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number before the opening bell tomorrow. The bulls took the steering wheel with a historic 70 SPX handle upside move in only two days time. Markets remain erratic and unstable. 

1/11/15; 7:00 PM EST =

1/9/15; 9:00 AM EST =

1/8/15; 3:59 PM EST = +49; signal line is +45

1/8/15; 3:49 PM EST = +35; signal line is +44 but algorithm remains long

1/8/15; 2:34 PM EST = +49; signal line is +44

1/8/15; 2:01 PM EST = +35; signal line is +44 but algorithm remains long

1/8/15; 1:13 PM EST = +49; signal line is +44

1/8/15; 11:44 AM EST = +35; signal line is +44 but algorithm remains long

1/8/15; 11:05 AM EST = +49; signal line is +44; go long 2059; (Benchmark SPX for 2015 = +0.0%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.6%; Keybot algo for 2015 = -1.2%)(Actual results this trade = -1.7%; Actual results for 2015 = -3.0%)

1/8/15; 9:36 AM EST = +35; signal line is +43

1/6/15; 9:42 AM EST = +3; signal line is +43

1/5/15; 12:36 PM EST = +19; signal line is +43

1/5/15; 9:36 AM EST = +35; signal line is +44; go short 2046; (Benchmark SPX for 2015 = -0.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.6%; Keybot algo for 2015 = -0.6%)(Actual results this trade = -1.3%; Actual results for 2015 = -1.3%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short as the bulls launch a rocket to begin the Thursday session. XLF moves above 24.26 and SOX above 671.80 which creates the bull fuel. Note that the SOX opened exactly at the 671.80 that the algo called out ahead of time. The SPX is up to 2053 up over 45 handles in only two days.

Since financials and semiconductors are back in the bull camp, the algo is now tracking the NYA Index again. Watch NYA 10790 which would confirm a sustainable and strong rally ahead with new stock market highs likely. NYA is at 10761 less than 30 points away. This is for all the marbles so watch it closely. Bears must prevent NYA 10790 with all their might. The imminent turn is in play and Keybot will likely flip to the long side if the NYA prints above 10790.

1/9/15; 9:00 AM EST =

1/8/15; 9:36 AM EST = +35; signal line is +43

1/6/15; 9:42 AM EST = +3; signal line is +43

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short moving into the Thursday session. The algo idled along during Wednesday without printing any numbers. XLF remains under 24.26 and SOX under 671.80 so the stock market rally is a dead-cat bounce. However, the bulls want to keep pushing higher with S&P futures +14 so the same scenario is on tap today. As stocks rally after the opening bell, watch the two parameters above to gauge the strength. If neither turn bullish then stocks will reverse and sell off. If one parameter turns bullish the upside move in stocks has additional room to run. If both turn bullish, the rally will strengthen significantly to the upside.

For the SPX starting at 2026, the bulls need to touch the 2030 handle to create an upside acceleration and the futures are indicating this is a done deal. The SPX 50-day MA is at 2042. The bears need to retrace yesterday's rally, a formidable task especially with the futures running higher, so instead the bears will try to keep XLF and SOX in the bear camp with all their might. The bears are driving the bus.

1/11/15; 7:00 PM EST =

1/9/15; 9:00 AM EST =

1/6/15; 9:42 AM EST = +3; signal line is +43

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short as the bears are slapping the bulls silly each day. Financials collapsed yesterday creating a leg lower for stocks. Semiconductors collapse today creating another leg lower. The algo is focused on XLF 24.26, SOX 671.80 and RTH 68.90, financials, semiconductors and retail, respectively. The bulls are on the ropes and need either XLF above 24.26 or SOX above 671.80, otherwise, the beatings will continue. If stocks rally but these two parameters do not reach the levels indicated stocks will reverse and sell off.

The bears need RTH  under 68.90 to create another down leg for stocks so listen for any news on retail stocks overnight. MU drops in afterhours trading which may create negativity for SOX tomorrow. So bulls need either stronger chips or financials to stop the market selling while the bears need weaker retail stocks to continue the downside party.

For the SPX starting at 2003, the bulls need to move above 2030 to regain their mojo and create an upside acceleration to 2040, a formidable task, so bulls will instead focus on pushing financials and semi's higher. The bears need to push the SPX under 1992.50 to accelerate the downside into the 1980's. A move through 1993-2029 is sideways action for Wednesday. The bears are cruising. Pay attention to XLF 24.26 and SOX 671.80 to gauge the strength of any rally.

1/9/15; 9:00 AM EST =

1/6/15; 9:42 AM EST = +3; signal line is +43

1/5/15; 12:36 PM EST = +19; signal line is +43

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant is on the short side as the Tuesday opening bell approaches. The XLF remains under 24.27 creating market mayhem. If XLF regains 24.27 the stock market will recover. If stocks rally but the XLF remains under 24.27 the bulls got nothing and the indexes will reverse and sell off again. The bears will receive further fuel with semiconductors. Watch SOX 671.80. SOX is now at 673.59 a couple points above in the bull camp creating market positivity. Stocks are in mucho trouble if SOX 671.80 fails. If the bulls ride the upside sending the XLF higher above 24.27, watch the critical NYA 10790. Bulls have no sustainable upside ahead without NYA 10790. Bears control the markets as long as NYA remains weak.

For the SPX starting at 2021, the bears need to push four points lower under 2017 to accelerate the downside which will print 2011 quickly. The bulls need to push the SPX higher to recover yesterday's drop, a formidable task, so instead bulls will focus on boosting financials (XLF), semi's (SOX) and the NYSE Composite Index (NYA) higher to stop the downside and stabilize equities. The bears are driving the bus. Watch XLF 24.27 as the main rudder steering the market ship.

1/11/15; 7:00 PM EST =

1/9/15; 9:00 AM EST =

1/5/15; 12:36 PM EST = +19; signal line is +43

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains bearish as XLF fails the 24.27 level and markets weaken further. Bears are in full control with the algo number now 24 points under the signal line. Bulls got nothing until they move XLF above 24.27 which will tell you that the markets have stabilized and want to recover. XLF is at 24.23 only four pennies on the bear side. Market mayhem continues until the XLF moves above 24.27. The bears next need weaker semiconductors to create more downside stock market damage. Watch SOX 671.80.

1/9/15; 9:00 AM EST =

1/5/15; 12:36 PM EST = +19; signal line is +43

1/5/15; 9:36 AM EST = +35; signal line is +44; go short 2046; (Benchmark SPX for 2014 = -0.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.6%; Keybot algo for 2014 = -0.6%)(Actual results this trade = -1.3%; Actual results for 2014 = -1.3%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side after the opening bell at SPX 2046. NYA failed the 40-week MA at 10790, a critical market level, and as mentioned in the prior post, things got ugly. The SPX is currently at 2033. The Keybot the Quant algorithm is tracking financials which just bounced off a critical bull-bear level at XLF 24.27. If XLF 24.27 fails, stocks will accelerate lower from these levels. The market bulls can stabilize markets by keeping XLF above 24.27 and moving NYA higher. Bulls cannot recover their full mojo unless NYA moves above 10790. The bears are driving the bus and the turmoil from 2014 continues into 2015. Watch XLF 24.27 and NYA 10790 since these two parameters are steering the market directional ship to begin the week.

The algorithm flipped to the short side exactly where it went long in mid-December at SPX 2046-2047. The year starts off with losses in the SPX benchmark inidex and the algo program and actual trading since the stats are always zeroed to begin the new year. The trade was flat from mid-December but gains had to be credited in the 2014 numbers and now 2015 begins with some downside. Keybot exited SSO and entered QID. Watch XLF 24.27 like a hawk it will tell you a lot today.

1/11/15; 7:00 PM EST =

1/9/15; 9:00 AM EST =

1/5/15; 9:36 AM EST = +35; signal line is +44; go short 2046; (Benchmark SPX for 2014 = -0.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.6%; Keybot algo for 2014 = -0.6%)(Actual results this trade = -1.3%; Actual results for 2014 = -1.3%)

1/4/15; 7:00 PM EST = +49; signal line is +43

1/2/15; 1:58 PM EST = +49; signal line is +42

1/2/15; 1:36 PM EST = +35; signal line is +41 but algorithm remains long

1/1/15; Begin 2015 Data Set = +49; signal line is +40; go long 2059; (Benchmark SPX for 2015  = 0%)(Keybot algo this trade = 0%; Keybot algo for 2015 = 0%)(Actual results this trade = 0%; Actual results for 2015 = 0%)

Keybot the Quant Begins 2015 on the Long Side from SPX 2059. All Data 0%. Begin 2015.

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant is long moving into the new trading week ahead and the first full week of the new year. The battle over the NYA 10782 bull-bear line in the sand continues. Bulls will stage a recovery rally by moving the NYA, now at 10831, higher along with lower volatility. Bears will growl if the NYA loses the 10782 level and markets will get ugly quickly. Watch volatility the VIX 14.86 level (now at 17.79 creating negativity).

For the SPX starting at 2058, the bulls need to push above 2072 to accelerate price towards 2080. The bears need to push under 2046 to accelerate the downside to 2040. A move through 2047-2071 is sideways action for Monday. Watch NYA since as NYA goes so goes the markets. If the NYA loses 10780 and the SPX loses the 2046 level, and both remain under, Keybot will likely flip short. If NYA fails consider the 'imminent turn' notation to be in the title line. Keybot prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Friday morning. The bulls are driving the bus.

1/11/15; 7:00 PM EST =

1/9/15; 9:00 AM EST =

1/4/15; 7:00 PM EST = +49; signal line is +43

1/2/15; 1:58 PM EST = +49; signal line is +42

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long through the weekend. The bears had it on a silver platter yesterday but could not sustain the negativity. The NYA recovers to 10831 well above the critical 10782 bull-bear level. The NYA and volatility will remain important next week. Areas and levels of interest to the algo can be highlighted after the Sunday pre-scheduled number prints tomorrow.

1/4/15; 7:00 PM EST =

1/2/15; 1:58 PM EST = +49; signal line is +42

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long as the new year of trading is underway. NYA drops to 10780 on the dot at 11 AM EST and bounces. It is astounding that the algo can predict these events before they occur. NYA lost the 10782.20 level (fine-tuning of the bull-bear line in the sand; the 40-week MA), which places Keybot in position to go short but the internal programming rules would not latch to allow the move.

The bulls fight back and breathe a sigh of relief as the NYA regains the 10782 level. Keep an eye on it. Bulls will recover and be fine if NYA remains above 10782. Bears will create market mayhem if NYA loses 10782. If NYA loses 10782 consider the imminent turn status to be in play. If NYA loses 10782 and the SPX drops under and remains under 2046, and remains under for about 5 minutes, Keybot will likely flip short. The year starts off with drama.

1/4/15; 7:00 PM EST =

1/2/15; 1:58 PM EST = +49; signal line is +42

1/2/15; 1:36 PM EST = +35; signal line is +41 but algorithm remains long

1/1/15; Begin 2015 Data Set = +49; signal line is +40; go long 2059; (Benchmark SPX for 2015  = 0%)(Keybot algo this trade = 0%; Keybot algo for 2015 = 0%)(Actual results this trade = 0%; Actual results for 2015 = 0%)

SPX Daily Chart Shows Keybot the Quant Algorithm Turns in 2014

The SPX daily chart shows the Keybot the Quant algorithm turns during 2014. The algo flipped sides 32 times last year about once every week and one-half. This is slightly more than would be expected; typically a move about once every two weeks, or about 26 turns would be expected. The market had a few bouts with sideways action that created whipsaws in late February, late April and early October. Note the long periods where the algo remained committed to the direction such as the bear side in January, the bull side from late May into July, a bull run in August, a bear move from late September into October and the bull move from October into early December.

The algo currently remains long to begin the new year of trading and is tracking NYA 10780. Market bulls are fine if NYA stays above 10780. If NYA loses 10780, Keybot will likely flip to the short side and extended selling would be underway.

2014 RESULTS SUMMARY -- STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long to begin the new 2015 year of trading. The year begins with the caution flag out after two days of market selling to end the 2014 year. Watch NYA 10780. Price is currently at 10839 causing market bullishness. If NYA drops under 10780, equities will begin selling off in earnest and Keybot will likely flip to the short side. If NYA remains above 10780, bulls are fine.

For the SPX starting at 2059 in Friday trading, the first trading day of the year, the bulls need to push above 2085 to accelerate the upside. The bears need to push under 2058, only one point lower, to accelerate the downside. Watch the S&P futures to see if a point of negativity appears, or not. A move through 2059-2084 on Friday is sideways action. The bulls will fortify positions at NYA 10780 and defend that level with all their might.

The Keybot the Quant algorithm prints another successful year with the computer program gaining +16.4% beating the SPX benchmark that is up +11.4% in 2014. The actual trading results are a gain of +17.6%, nearly +18%, handily beating the benchmark. The actual trading allows for commissions and other mechanical inefficiencies that reduce performance, but the use of double-leveraged ETF's typically boosts the actual trading performance. Keybot flipped sides 32 times during 2014 either long to short or short to long resulting in 64 broker commissions. The algorithm has printed ongoing consistent and consecutive winning years ever since going live in late 2008.

The algorithm is re-zeroed on New Year's Day to keep the performance data in sync. Nothing has changed with the trade started on 12/18/14 which is long from SPX 2047 with the algo in the SSO ETF. Happy New Year!

Keybot is updated daily throughout the year and will only continue with the support of the loyal viewers and followers. If consistent improvements in support do not continue, the site will go dark. If Keybot is a useful service, use the button at the right to support the KE Stone Blog Series of Web Sites, otherwise the information will disappear at any time and remain proprietary.

1/11/15; 7:00 PM EST =

1/9/15; 9:00 AM EST =

1/4/15; 7:00 PM EST =

1/1/15; Begin 2015 Data Set = +49; signal line is +40; go long 2059; (Benchmark SPX for 2015  = 0%)(Keybot algo this trade = 0%; Keybot algo for 2015 = 0%)(Actual results this trade = 0%; Actual results for 2015 = 0%)

Keybot the Quant Begins 2015 on the Long Side from SPX 2059. All Data 0%. Begin 2015.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

START 2015 PROGRAM

Begin Printing

Mark and Set

Date Stamp 1/1/14; 6:07 AM EST

START 2015 PROGRAM

End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

END OF 2014 RESULTS:

SPX Benchmark Final 2014:  +11.4% Return (SPX Started at 1848 and Ended at 2059)

Keybot the Quant Actual Trading +17.6% Return Beat the SPX Benchmark

Keybot the Quant is a long-short algorithm that oscillates between a bullish position (long) and a bearish (short) position.

Number of Position Changes (Long to Short or Short to Long) During 2014:  32

Number of Broker Commissions Required During 2014:  64

Benchmark SPX During 2014:  +11.4% Return

Keybot the Quant Algorithm (Computer Program Only) During 2014: +16.4% Return

Keybot the Quant Actual Trading by the Quant Using ETF’s During 2014:  +17.6% Return

12/18/2013	1797	Go long	2:36 PM	SSO	96.73
12/31/2013	1848	Sell Long	4:00 PM	SSO	102.56
12/31/2013	1848	Go Long	4:00 PM	SSO	102.56
1/1/2014	1841	Sell Long	9:36 AM	SSO	102.60
1/1/2014	1841	Go Short	9:36 AM	SDS	29.93
1/7/2014	1837	Cover short	10:00 AM	SDS	30.03
1/7/2014	1837	Go long	10:00 AM	SSO	101.18
1/13/2014	1827	Sell Long	2:28 PM	SSO	100.03
1/13/2014	1827	Go Short	2:28 PM	SDS	30.33
1/30/2014	1791	Cover short	11:23 AM	SDS	31.44
1/30/2014	1791	Go long	11:23 AM	DDM	105.02
2/3/2014	1768	Sell Long	10:16 AM	DDM	101.68
2/3/2014	1768	Go Short	10:16 AM	SDS	32.25
2/6/2014	1767	Cover short	10:32 AM	SDS	32.21
2/6/2014	1767	Go long	10:32 AM	QLD	94.14
2/19/2014	1828	Sell Long	3:52 PM	QLD	102.68
2/19/2014	1828	Go Short	3:52 PM	TWM	48.48
2/24/2014	1846	Cover short	9:45 AM	TWM	48.61
2/24/2014	1846	Go long	9:45 AM	QLD	104.43
3/7/2014	1873	Sell Long	11:03 AM	QLD	105.17
3/7/2014	1873	Go Short	11:03 AM	SDS	28.44
4/1/2014	1877	Cover short	9:30 AM	SDS	28.14
4/1/2014	1877	Go long	9:30 AM	SSO	105.91
4/4/2014	1875	Sell Long	12:53 PM	SSO	105.64
4/4/2014	1875	Go Short	12:53 PM	TWM	47.21
4/9/2014	1859	Cover short	12:22 PM	TWM	47.50
4/9/2014	1859	Go long	12:22 PM	QLD	97.68
4/11/2014	1848	Sell Long	12:54 PM	QLD	95.17
4/11/2014	1848	Go Short	12:54 PM	SH	24.96
4/16/2014	1859	Cover short	2:54 PM	SH	24.81
4/16/2014	1859	Go long	2:54 PM	SPY	185.75
4/28/2014	1859	Sell Long	1:05 PM	SPY	185.85
4/28/2014	1859	Go Short	1:05 PM	DOG	26.06
4/29/2014	1874	Cover short	9:31 AM	DOG	25.89
4/29/2014	1874	Go long	9:31 AM	SPY	187.43
5/15/2014	1880	Sell Long	9:41 AM	SPY	188.16
5/15/2014	1880	Go Short	9:41 AM	SDS	27.85
5/22/2014	1889	Cover short	9:44 AM	SDS	27.54
5/22/2014	1889	Go long	9:44 AM	SSO	107.39
7/17/2014	1963	Sell Long	3:20 PM	SSO	116.23
7/17/2014	1963	Go Short	3:20 PM	SDS	25.29
7/22/2014	1982	Cover short	9:35 AM	SDS	24.81
7/22/2014	1982	Go long	9:35 AM	SSO	118.36
7/25/2014	1975	Sell Long	11:25 AM	SSO	117.68
7/25/2014	1975	Go Short	11:25 AM	QID	46.79
8/14/2014	1952	Cover short	10:32 AM	QID	46.87
8/14/2014	1952	Go long	10:32 AM	UWM	81.67
9/4/2014	1997	Sell Long	3:03 PM	UWM	85.49
9/4/2014	1997	Go Short	3:03 PM	SDS	24.18
9/17/2014	2005	Cover short	2:24 PM	SDS	23.95
9/17/2014	2005	Go long	2:24 PM	SSO	121.70
9/22/2014	2004	Sell Long	9:36 AM	SSO	121.68
9/22/2014	2004	Go Short	9:36 AM	QID	43.74
10/6/2014	1974	Cover short	9:31 AM	QID	44.63
10/6/2014	1974	Go long	9:31 AM	SSO	117.99
10/7/2014	1951	Sell Long	9:36 AM	SSO	115.19
10/7/2014	1951	Go Short	9:36 AM	SH	23.26
10/8/2014	1962	Cover short	3:22 PM	SH	23.12
10/8/2014	1962	Go long	3:22 PM	SPY	195.98
10/9/2014	1943	Sell Long	11:54 AM	SPY	194.28
10/9/2014	1943	Go Short	11:54 AM	DOG	25.02
10/20/2014	1900	Cover short	2:12 PM	DOG	25.59
10/20/2014	1900	Go long	2:12 PM	DIA	163.46
12/9/2014	2038	Sell Long	9:36 AM	DIA	176.76
12/9/2014	2038	Go Short	9:36 AM	SDS	22.66
12/18/2014	2047	Cover short	12:50 PM	SDS	22.36
12/18/2014	2047	Go long	12:50 PM	SSO	126.96
12/31/2014	2059	Sell Long	4:00 PM	SSO	128.31
12/31/2014	2059	Go Long	4:00 PM	SSO	128.31

Date – SPX – Position – Date Stamp – ETF – Price

Begin Printing Trade Data Entries Exits Reverse Order

FINAL 2014

Mark and Set

Date Stamp 1/1/15; 5:46 AM EST

End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End

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1/1/15; Algorithm Zeroed for 2015 Data = +49; signal line is +40; go long 2059; (Benchmark SPX for 2014 Final = +11.4%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.6%; Keybot algo for 2014 Final = +16.4%)(Actual results this trade = +1.1%; Actual results for 2014 Final = +17.6%)

12/31/14; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ4 EOH2 EOY 2014 = +49; signal line is +40

12/30/14; 10:00 AM EST = +49; signal line is +40

12/29/14; 9:36 AM EST = +46; signal line is +39

12/28/14; 7:00 PM EST = +60; signal line is +38

12/26/14; 3:59 PM EST = +60; signal line is +37

12/26/14; 3:24 PM EST = +46; signal line is +36

12/24/14; 9:36 AM EST = +60; signal line is +35

12/23/14; 3:30 PM EST = +46; signal line is +34

12/23/14; 2:25 PM EST = +60; signal line is +34

12/23/14; 10:17 AM EST = +46; signal line is +33

12/23/14; 10:00 AM EST = +46; signal line is +33

12/23/14; 9:36 AM EST = +60; signal line is +32

12/21/14; 7:00 PM EST = +46; signal line is +32

12/18/14; 3:01 PM EST = +46; signal line is +31

12/18/14; 2:31 PM EST = +32; signal line is +31

12/18/14; 12:50 PM EST = +46; signal line is +32; go long 2047; (Benchmark SPX for 2014 = +10.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.4%; Keybot algo for 2014 = +15.8%)(Actual results this trade = -1.3%; Actual results for 2014 = +16.5%)