STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long. Yesterday you watched how the SPX dropped to 2095 but could not make it under 2094, while the VIX remained low, so you knew stocks would recover, and they did. The bears are punched in the face today with higher utilities. UTIL moves above its critical 50-week MA at 586.51. Pay close attention to this over the coming days. UTIL also moves above 583.28 a critical level for this week but this expires at the closing bell and is replaces with 597.81 for all of next week. Thus, by Monday morning, the bears will receive points in their favor as UTIL should have a difficult time moving above 597.

For the remainder of Friday, bears need UTIL under 586.51, and 583.28, and equities will turn over to the downside. The bears continue to need higher volatility but the VIX remains subdued so the bears got nothing. The bulls need to move the NYA Index above 10940 (now at 10906) and this will signal further upside for the stock market. The algo prints the pre-scheduled number this morning as well as two other numbers as utilities launch to the upside. The bulls are cruising with the algo number 41 points above the signal line.

8/2/15; 7:00 PM EST EOM =

7/31/15; 10:29 AM EST = +35; signal line is -6

7/31/15; 10:00 AM EST = +19; signal line is -8

7/31/15; 9:37 AM EST = +19; signal line is -10

7/28/15; 1:08 PM EST = +3; signal line is -12

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long and did not print any numbers on Wednesday. Volatility remains low slapping the bears around each day. Bears got nothing unless they can push the VIX above 13.76 (now at 12.50). If the VIX remains under 13.76, stocks float higher.

For the SPX starting at 2109, the bulls need two points, to touch the 2111 handle and bingo, an acceleration will occur to 2118 in a heartbeat. S&P futures are flat about 2-1/2 hours before the opening bell. The bears need to push under 2094 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2095-2110 is sideways action for Thursday. Interestingly, if the VIX moves above 13.76 and the SPX under 2094, Keybot will likely flip short. For now, the bulls remain in party mode.

8/2/15; 7:00 PM EST EOM =

7/31/15; 10:00 AM EST =

7/28/15; 1:08 PM EST = +3; signal line is -12

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long as the market roller coaster ride continues. After lunch time on Tuesday, the VIX fell under 13.76 creating the happy finish to the session. The bulls are back in rally mode with the lower volatility. Interestingly, financials are flat. Bulls are set to send stocks higher unless the bears can push either VIX above 13.76 (now at 13.44 creating market bullishness) and/or XLF below 24.82 (now at 25.04 creating market bullishness). If either parameter turns bearish consider the 'imminent turn' notation to be in the title line as stocks drop.

For the SPX starting at 2093, the bulls need to touch the 2096 handle and bingo, price will move above 2100 in quick order. S&P futures are +5 about four hours in front of the opening bell so the bulls are gunning for victory. The bears need to push under 2070 to accelerate the downside, a formidable task, so instead bears will focus on pushing volatility higher and financials lower. A move through SPX 2071-2095 is sideways action. Markets may trade erratically this afternoon after the FOMC decision at 2 PM EST (7 PM London; 3 AM Thursday morning Tokyo).

7/31/15; 10:00 AM EST =

7/28/15; 1:08 PM EST = +3; signal line is -12

7/28/15; 10:00 AM EST = -11; signal line is -14

7/27/15; 9:36 AM EST = -6; signal line is -15

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long but the bears came to play to begin the week. The VIX jumps above 13.85 creating the selling pressure today. This warrants the caution flag. If the financials are weak on Tuesday, with the XLF dropping under 24.82 (now at 24.94) and the SPX under 2064, Keybot will likely flip short. The bulls need to push volatility, the VIX, under 13.85 to stage a rally in stocks. Thus, bears win with XLF under 24.82 and bulls win if VIX drops under 13.85. If XLF remains bullish and VIX bearish, stocks will stumble sideways with a slight upward bias.

For the SPX starting at 2068, the bulls need to push above 2078 and an upside acceleration will occur. Bears need to push under 2064 to create a downside acceleration. The year began at 2059. July began at 2063. A move through 2065-2077 is sideways action for Tuesday. If the XLF loses 24.82, consider the 'imminent turn' notation to be in the title line.

7/28/15; 10:00 AM EST =

7/27/15; 9:36 AM EST = -6; signal line is -15

7/26/15; 7:00 PM EST = +8; signal line is -15

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant is long moving into the new week of trading. Very simply, the market bears will growl and send stocks lower if VIX moves above 13.85. Bears got nothing and stocks will float higher if VIX remains under 13.85.

For the SPX for Monday starting at 2080, the bulls need to push above 2106 to accelerate the upside above 2110, a formidable task, so bulls will instead focus on keeping volatility low. The bears need to push under 2077 to accelerate the downside. Watch to see if the bears can muster up three negative points in the overnight S&P futures, or not. A move through 2078-2105 is sideways action to begin the week. The bulls remain comfortably in control with the algo number 23 points above the signal line. Keybot prints two pre-scheduled numbers this week one on Tuesday morning and one on Friday morning.

8/2/15; 7:00 PM EST EOM =

7/31/15; 10:00 AM EST =

7/28/15; 10:00 AM EST =

7/26/15; 7:00 PM EST = +8; signal line is -15

7/24/15; 3:59 PM EST = +8; signal line is -16

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long through the weekend. The algo prints two numbers on Friday afternoon as the market bears started to flex their muscles with higher volatility but it was bluster. VIX 13.85 remains key for Monday. Bears got nothing until they send the VIX above 13.85.

7/26/15; 7:00 PM EST =

7/24/15; 3:59 PM EST = +8; signal line is -16

7/24/15; 1:21 PM EST = -6; signal line is -18

7/21/15; 11:05 AM EST = +8; signal line is -19

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long. Same dealio as yesterday. Bears need VIX above 13.82 if they want to growl. Bulls need NYA above 10937 if they want to send stocks higher. If volatility remains subdued and the NYA remains weak, stocks will stagger sideways with a slight upward bias.

For the SPX for Friday beginning at 2102, the bulls need to  touch the 2117 handle to accelerate the upside. The bears need to push under 2099 which will accelerate the downside to 2091 in very quick order. S&P futures are up +4 a couple hours before the opening bell. A move through 2100-2116 is sideways action. The bulls remain in control.

7/26/15; 7:00 PM EST =

7/21/15; 11:05 AM EST = +8; signal line is -19

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long and did not print any numbers in the Wednesday session. Volatility did not move higher so the fix was in and the bears had nothing. The VIX stayed under 12.50 all day long so you knew stocks would not move substantively lower, and they didn't. Bears need higher volatility, the VIX above 13.80, while the bulls need a higher NYA Index, the NYA above 10937. This is the battle. If volatility remains bullish, and the NYA bearish, then stocks will float sideways with a slight upward bias.

For the SPX for Thursday starting at 2114, the bulls need to touch the 2119 handle and bingo, the upside will accelerate into the mid 2120's. The bears need to push under 2110 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2111-2118 is sideways action. The bulls remain in control.

7/26/15; 7:00 PM EST =

7/21/15; 11:05 AM EST = +8; signal line is -19

7/19/15; 7:00 PM EST = +22; signal line is -20

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long heading into the Wednesday trade. The NYA drops below the 10937 level, identified by the algo, which stops the upside rally. Continue to watch NYA 10937 and also watch VIX 13.80. VIX is at 12.22 creating market bullishness. Bears will receive downside market juice if VIX moves above 13.80 and a caution signal will be warranted in the title line. Overall, the bulls remain comfortable with the algo number 27 points above the signal line.

For Wednesday with the SPX starting at 2119, the bulls need to move above the 2128 level to accelerate the upside to new all-time record highs. S&P futures, however, are -8, about three hours before the opening bell. The bears need to push under 2115 to accelerate the downside which appears on tap. The bears need higher volatility as explained above to make headway to the downside with stocks; a trend change lower for the stock market will then occur if either retail stocks and/or financial stocks weaken.

7/26/15; 7:00 PM EST =

7/21/15; 11:05 AM EST = +8; signal line is -19

7/19/15; 7:00 PM EST = +22; signal line is -20

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long heading into the new week of trading. The market is bifurcated with copper, commodities and semiconductors in the bear camp and most other sectors bullish creating upside lift in stocks. The upside equity rally will continue unless the bears can push VIX above 14 and/or NYA under 10918.

For the SPX starting the week at 2127, the bulls need to touch the 2129 handle and bingo, the stock market will accelerate higher and the SPX should print new all-time record highs above 2135. Thus, watch the overnight S&P futures to see if two points of upside are on tap. The bears need to push under 2120 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2121-2128 is sideways action for Monday. Keybot does not print any pre-scheduled numbers this week. Bulls are cruising with the algo number 42 points above the signal line.

7/26/15; 7:00 PM EST =

7/19/15; 7:00 PM EST = +22; signal line is -20

7/17/15; 10:00 AM EST = +22; signal line is -22

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long as the bulls motor along without a care in the world. The two pre-scheduled numbers print this week and the algo number is 44 points above the signal line showing bulls in full control. Bears need VIX above 14 and/or NYA under 10918 (now at 10977) to stop the rally. Bulls will receive further upside fuel with stronger semiconductors.

7/19/15; 7:00 PM EST =

7/17/15; 10:00 AM EST = +22; signal line is -22

7/17/15; 9:00 AM EST = +22; signal line is -23

7/13/15; 3:01 PM EST = +22; signal line is -25

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long. Volatility ran higher yesterday but the VIX could not overcome the 14 level so the bears got nothing. Bears need either VIX above 14 and/or NYA under 10918 to stop the upside stock market rally. The bulls will receive upside juice from stronger semiconductors and the INTC positive earnings will boost the chip sector.

For the SPX starting at 2107, the bulls need to push above 2114 to accelerate higher above 2120 in a flash. The bears need to push under 2102 to accelerate the downside that will target the low 2090's in quick order. A move through 2103-2113 is sideways action. S&P futures are +7 four hours before the opening bell which would target the SPX 2114 resistance. The algo has not printed any numbers since Monday.

7/19/15; 7:00 PM EST =

7/17/15; 10:00 AM EST =

7/17/15; 9:00 AM EST =

7/13/15; 3:01 PM EST = +22; signal line is -25

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long and did not print any numbers in the Tuesday trade. For Wednesday simply watch volatility; VIX now in the bull camp at 13.37 under the important 14.02 level identified by the algo. Stocks will float higher as long as the VIX is under 14. Bears will create market selling pressure if VIX moves above 14.

For the SPX for Wednesday starting at 2109, the bulls need to touch the 2112 handle and bingo, the upside will accelerate to 2120. The bears need to push under 2098 to accelerate the downside that will tag 2091 in quick order. The bulls are running the show. Bears need to push volatility higher.

7/19/15; 7:00 PM EST =

7/17/15; 10:00 AM EST =

7/17/15; 9:00 AM EST =

7/13/15; 3:01 PM EST = +22; signal line is -25

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long. The VIX fell under 14 during the final minute of trading yesterday locking in the bullish joy. Market bears need either VIX above 14.02 and/or XLF under 24.63 and/or NYA under 10918 to stop the upside equity rally; any one of the three would do. If all three remain in the bull camp, the stock market will continue floating higher. The bulls are cruising with the algo number 47 points above the signal line.

7/17/15; 9:00 AM EST =

7/13/15; 3:01 PM EST = +22; signal line is -25

7/13/15; 9:36 AM EST = +8; signal line is -27

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant is long with the algo number now 35 points above the signal line. The NYA moves above the critical 10918 bull-bear line in the sand (now at 10930). It is very important for bears to push the NYA back under or they are in serious trouble. The bulls will receive more upside fuel if the VIX drops under 14 (now at 14.64). So bears can stop the stock rally with NYA under 10918 and bulls can send stocks above SPX 2100 if VIX loses the 14 level. If both levels remain status quo stocks will stumble sideways at current levels. The bulls are cruising to begin the week. The battle continues between the NYA Index and volatility.

7/17/15; 9:00 AM EST =

7/13/15; 9:36 AM EST = +8; signal line is -27

7/12/15; 7:00 PM EST = -6; signal line is -28

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant begins the new week of trading on the long side. The pivot of financials from XLF 24.62 dictates market direction. S&P futures are up +15 about three hours before the opening bell so the presumption is that financials will be running higher. Bears need either XLF under 24.62 or RTH under 75.90 to stop the stock market rally. The bulls will receive further upside fuel if the NYA moves above 10918. Sideways behavior will likely occur until one of the parameters are breached.

For the SPX starting at 2077, the bulls need to push above 2081 to accelerate higher which appears on tap. Price may target the 2091 level. The bears will simply try to stop the equity rally by pushing financial and retail stocks, and the NYA Index, lower, as discussed above. The algo begins the week with the algo number 22 points above the signal line. Keybot prints two pre-scheduled numbers this week both on Friday morning.

7/19/15; 7:00 PM EST =

7/17/15; 10:00 AM EST =

7/17/15; 9:00 AM EST =

7/12/15; 7:00 PM EST = -6; signal line is -28

7/10/15; 2:20 PM EST = -6; signal line is -30

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the bull side at SPX 2075 after the opening bell this morning. Retail stocks shot higher, ditto financials, although the banks are battling at the critical XLF 24.62 level. The pivot from this level on Monday will dictate broad market direction. Retail stocks and the NYA Index will also be important on Monday. Levels can be identified after the Sunday pre-scheduled number prints.

It took the whole first half of the year, but the actual trading finally turns positive for 2015. The benchmark SPX Index is up less than one percent this year. The year began at SPX 2059 and price is only 18 points above at 2077. Markets remain choppy sideways all year long. The Keybot algorithm program is up +2.2% this year and the actual trading is up +2.4% gaining +2.6% on the last trade. Keybot exits SDS and enters SSO.

The stock market is a coin flip with the Greece saga pushing equities to and fro. A whipsaw back to the short side early next week would not be surprising. For now, the bulls are in control. The algo number is 24 points above the signal line.

7/12/15; 7:00 PM EST =

7/10/15; 2:20 PM EST = -6; signal line is -30

7/10/15; 12:36 PM EST = -22; signal line is -30

7/10/15; 11:47 AM EST = -6; signal line is -30

7/10/15; 10:01 AM EST = -22; signal line is -29

7/10/15; 9:36 AM EST = -6; signal line is -29; go long 2075; (Benchmark SPX for 2015 = +0.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = +1.5%; Keybot algo for 2015 = +2.2%)(Actual results this trade = +2.6%; Actual results for 2015 = +2.4%)

7/9/15; 12:06 PM EST = -38; signal line is -28

7/9/15; 10:57 AM EST = -22; signal line is -26 but algorithm remains short

7/9/15; 10:25 AM EST = -38; signal line is -24

7/9/15; 9:36 AM EST = -22; signal line is -22 but algorithm remains short

7/8/15; 3:58 PM EST = -52; signal line is -21

7/8/15; 3:12 PM EST = -38; signal line is -19

7/8/15; 2:54 PM EST = -52; signal line is -16

7/8/15; 10:02 AM EST = -38; signal line is -13

7/7/15; 2:45 PM EST = -22; signal line is -10

7/7/15; 11:47 AM EST = -38; signal line is -9

7/7/15; 10:42 AM EST = -52; signal line is -7

7/6/15; 9:36 AM EST = -38; signal line is -4

7/5/15; 7:00 PM EST = -22; signal line is -1

7/2/15; 3:51 PM EST = -22; signal line is +1

7/2/15; 3:42 PM EST = -38; signal line is +3

7/2/15; 3:28 PM EST = -22; signal line is +4

7/2/15; 12:22 PM EST = -38; signal line is +5

7/2/15; 9:00 AM EST = -22; signal line is +6

7/1/15; 9:36 AM EST = -22; signal line is +6

6/30/15; 7:00 PM EST; EOM; EOQ2; EOH1 = -24; signal line is +7

6/30/15; 2:02 PM EST = -24; signal line is +8

6/30/15; 10:00 AM EST = -38; signal line is +9

6/29/15; 11:07 AM EST = -41; signal line is +10

6/29/15; 10:22 AM EST = -27; signal line is +11

6/29/15; 9:36 AM EST = -11; signal line is +12

6/28/15; 7:00 PM EST = +5; signal line is +12

6/26/15; 10:00 AM EST = +5; signal line is +12

6/25/15; 3:44 PM EST = +3; signal line is +12

6/25/15; 3:41 PM EST = +17; signal line is +13 but algorithm remains short

6/25/15; 3:11 PM EST = +33; signal line is +12 but algorithm remains short

6/25/15; 3:10 PM EST = +17; signal line is +12 but algorithm remains short

6/25/15; 2:18 PM EST = +3; signal line is +12; go short 2106; (Benchmark SPX for 2015 = +2.3%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.6%; Keybot algo for 2015 = +0.7%)(Actual results this trade = +1.1%; Actual results for 2015 = -0.2%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short but the bulls may have something different in mind today. The S&P futures are up 25 handles. The market bears need SPX under 2049 to create additional selling pressure in the broad indexes, however, the futures are jumping the other way. For the bulls, the upside rally will be confirmed with RTH above 75.89 and XLF above 24.62. If either of these parameters occur, and the SPX is above 2074, and remains above, Keybot will likely flip long. If stocks rally but RTH stays under 75.89 and XLF under 24.62, then the bulls got nothing and stocks will reverse and sell off.

The imminent turn notation is in the title line since it looks like the bulls are going to make a charge to gain control after the opening bell and try to flip the algorithm long. The SPX 2074-2075 level is key.

7/12/15; 7:00 PM EST =

7/9/15; 12:06 PM EST = -38; signal line is -28

7/9/15; 10:57 AM EST = -22; signal line is -26 but algorithm remains short

7/9/15; 10:25 AM EST = -38; signal line is -24

7/9/15; 9:36 AM EST = -22; signal line is -22 but algorithm remains short

7/8/15; 3:58 PM EST = -52; signal line is -21

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short. The SPX came down to 2044 but the line held. Watch SPX 2049 and UTIL 580.91. If either of these two parameters flip to the bull camp (both are currently under the levels in the bear camp causing market weakness), stocks will stabilize and begin a relief rally. If both parameters turn bullish, and the SPX runs to 2078 and stay above, Keybot will likely flip long. The caution flag is out and if the two parameters turn bullish consider the imminent turn to the long side to be on the table.

At the opening bell you will immediately know the story with the SPX pivot from the critical 2049 level; bulls win above; bears win below. The importance of the 2049 level cannot be understated.

7/12/15; 7:00 PM EST =

7/8/15; 3:58 PM EST = -52; signal line is -21

7/8/15; 3:12 PM EST = -38; signal line is -19

7/8/15; 2:54 PM EST = -52; signal line is -16

7/8/15; 10:02 AM EST = -38; signal line is -13

7/7/15; 2:45 PM EST = -22; signal line is -10

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short though the dramatic market roller coaster ride. Note how financials, XLF, came up to the 24.62 level called out by the algo ahead of time, and fail. The sneaky bulls, however, instead boosted the retail sector to keep stocks buoyant. The SPX 2051-2052 level failed which signaled curtains for the stock market but after a dip to 2044 stocks recovered so death was cheated.

The bulls need financials and utilities to move higher. If XLF moves above 24.62 and/or UTIL above 580.91, either would do, and the SPX moves above 2084, Keybot will likely flip long, hence the imminent turn status in the title line. The bears need to push RTH under 75.90 to re-accelerate the downside selling action in stocks. If stocks sell off at the open, S&P futures are -12 about one hour in front of the bell, watch RTH. If RTH does not dip under 75.90 then the bears got nothing and stocks will recover. If RTH falls under 75.90 the stock market action will remain weak.

For the SPX on Wednesday starting at 2081, the bulls need to touch the 2084 handle, only three points higher, and bingo, the upside will accelerate to 2091 in a heartbeat. The bulls need to push the SPX under 2044 to regain their mojo a formidable task. Instead the bears will focus on keeping banks and utes weak while trying to send retail stocks lower.

7/12/15; 7:00 PM EST =

7/7/15; 2:45 PM EST = -22; signal line is -10

7/7/15; 11:47 AM EST = -38; signal line is -9

7/7/15; 10:42 AM EST = -52; signal line is -7

7/6/15; 9:36 AM EST = -38; signal line is -4

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short. Parameters are very negative but the major stock indexes remain buoyant. This is testimony to the power of central bankers. Financials remain key. Watch XLF 24.62 (now at 24.54 in the bear camp). Stocks will rally if XLF moves above 24.62 and weaken if XLF stays under 24.62. Watch SPX 2050 which will provide market bears with strong downside fuel if it fails. If SPX stays above 2050 and XLF under 24.62, stocks will stagger sideways.

For the SPX starting at 2069 on Tuesday, the bulls need to touch the 2079 handle and bingo, an upside acceleration will occur. S&P futures are +10 with the open about five hours away which would test the key upside target. The bears need to push under 2058 to create a downside acceleration that will immediately test the critical 2050 level highlighted above. The bears are cruising. Bulls can begin to stage a recovery if XLF moves above 24.62.

7/12/15; 7:00 PM EST =

7/6/15; 9:36 AM EST = -38; signal line is -4

7/5/15; 7:00 PM EST = -22; signal line is -1

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant is short going into the new week of trading. Financials are the top influence on market direction currently. XLF 24.62 is the bull-bear line in the sand; price is at 24.64 two pennies on the bull side. Whichever way XLF pivots at the opening bell, the broad market will follow. If XLF drops under 24.62, the market bears will receive downside fuel and stocks will drop.

Market bulls need NYA above 10897 (now at 10865) to prove they can take equities higher with a sustainable rally. For the bears, if XLF fails as described above, and the SPX drops under 2050, stocks can go into free fall.

For the SPX starting at 2077, the bulls need to push above 2085 and bingo, the upside will accelerate to 2091 in a flash. The bears need to push under 2071 to accelerate the downside quickly into the low to mid 2060's. A move through 2072-2084 is sideways to begin the new week of trading. Keybot does not print any pre-scheduled numbers this week. Bulls need good news on banks while bears are cheering for bad news on banks.

7/12/15; 7:00 PM EST =

7/5/15; 7:00 PM EST = -22; signal line is -1

7/2/15; 3:51 PM EST = -22; signal line is +1

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short through the holiday weekend. XLF plays around at the 24.60-ish level as called out by the algorithm ahead of time. This is key on Monday morning since the stock market will pivot the same way as the financials. As XLF goes, so goes the markets. The bears are cruising. Areas and levels of interest for next week can be identified after the Sunday pre-scheduled number prints.

7/5/15; 7:00 PM EST =

7/2/15; 3:51 PM EST = -22; signal line is +1

7/2/15; 3:42 PM EST = -38; signal line is +3

7/2/15; 3:28 PM EST = -22; signal line is +4

7/2/15; 12:22 PM EST = -38; signal line is +5

7/2/15; 9:00 AM EST = -22; signal line is +6

7/1/15; 9:36 AM EST = -22; signal line is +6