STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long. Bulls need JJC above 24.60 and bears need RTH under 75.78 but both sides are in a stalemate. Bears would benefit from higher volatility if the VIX moves above 16.90. US stocks are trading for the first time since last Friday.

Keybot prints the first pre-scheduled number this week resulting in a one-point drop in the algo number. The algo number is 22 points above the signal line so the bulls remain relaxed about the path ahead. Bears need lower retail stocks and bulls need higher copper. SPX prints a HOD at 2103.48.

5/31/16; 7:00 PM EST EOM =

5/31/16; 10:00 AM EST = +80; signal line is +58

5/29/16; 7:00 PM EST = +81; signal line is +58

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant is long moving into the new week of trading on Tuesday morning.  US markets are closed on Monday for Memorial Day. The bulls need to push copper higher and send JJC above 24.63 (now at 24.18) to prove that new all-time record highs for stocks are definitely on the table.

The bears need to push retail stocks lower and RTH under 75.71 (now at 76.42) to stop the upside stock market rally. If copper remains bearish and retail stocks bullish, the broad indexes will float along sideways with an upward bias.

For the SPX on Tuesday starting at 2099, the bulls need any smidge of green in the overnight S&P futures and stocks will accelerate higher. The bears need to push under 2090 to regain their mojo. A move through 2091-2098 is sideways action to begin the week. The bulls are in charge.

Keybot prints three pre-scheduled numbers this week; the first on Tuesday morning shortly after the opening bell, the second on Tuesday evening for EOM and the third on Friday morning before the opening bell. Watch copper since it dictates if the market bulls can send stocks to new all-time highs, or not.

6/5/16; 7:00 PM EST =

6/3/16; 9:00 AM EST =

5/31/16; 7:00 PM EST EOM =

5/31/16; 10:00 AM EST =

5/29/16; 7:00 PM EST = +81; signal line is +58

5/27/16; 10:00 AM EST = +81; signal line is +57

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long through the holiday weekend. The bulls keep slapping the bears around. Bulls need higher copper to guarantee the path to new all-time highs for stocks while the bears need lower retail stocks. Next week can be set up once the Sunday pre-scheduled number prints.

5/29/16; 7:00 PM EST =

5/27/16; 10:00 AM EST = +81; signal line is +57

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long. The pre-scheduled number prints a short time ago and the bulls remain in charge with the algo number 24 points above the signal line. The algo number is above +80 and, since Keybot is an oscillator at its heart, this level reflects an overbot condition.

The bulls will confirm more upside juice for stocks with strength in copper. Bulls need JJC above 24.63 and new all-time record stock market highs are likely. Bears need weaker retail stocks to stop the stock market rally by pushing RTH under 75.71. If copper remains in the bear camp and retail in the bull camp, stocks will stagger along sideways with a slight upward bias.

After today's trading, US markets will not reopen until Tuesday. Markets are closed on Monday for the Memorial Day holiday. The bulls are steering the bus. EOM is Tuesday.

5/29/16; 7:00 PM EST =

5/27/16; 10:00 AM EST = +81; signal line is +57

5/25/16; 10:02 AM EST = +79; signal line is +57

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long the market as the bulls slap the bears in the face for another day. Retail stocks turn bullish today and end the day exactly at the number called out by the Keybot algorithm ahead of time at RTH 75.70. This is astounding. Have you ever witnessed such a feat where predictions prove true down to the penny? Robots are smarter than humans.

The pivot from RTH 75.69-75.70 dictates the broad stock market direction for Thursday. The bulls need stronger retail stocks and copper to prove they can take the indexes to new all-time highs. Bears need RTH under 75.69 asap or they are in big trouble. If RTH remains above 75.69, the bulls are on easy street sending stocks higher. JJC above 24.58 will also help the bulls.

For the SPX starting at 2091, the bulls need to touch 2095 to accelerate price above 2100 in a heartbeat. The bears need to push under 2079 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2080-2094 is sideways action. The bulls are driving the bus. Watch RTH 75.69 to determine broad market direction.

5/29/16; 7:00 PM EST =

5/27/16; 10:00 AM EST =

5/25/16; 10:02 AM EST = +79; signal line is +57

5/22/16; 7:00 PM EST = +63; signal line is +57

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long and has been idling along thus far this week without printing any numbers. The stock market rallies strongly but not enough to push retail stocks into bull territory. The market bulls need RTH above 75.70 (now at 75.45) to prove they can take the stock market higher. If the retail stocks do not cooperate, the upside in equities will stall and peter out. Higher copper will also help bulls.

Bears need to keep retail stocks and copper weak and at the same time push commodities lower and volatility higher. The US dollar will be important since its direction will send copper and commodities in the opposite direction.

For Wednesday with the SPX starting at 2076, the bulls need to touch the 2080 handle and bingo, the stock market will accelerate higher. The bears need to push under 2053 a formidable task so bears will focus on dealing with the parameters explained above. A move through 2054-2079 is sideways action. The bulls are in charge with the algo number 6 points above the signal line. Watch RTH 75.70. The beat goes on.

5/29/16; 7:00 PM EST =

5/27/16; 10:00 AM EST =

5/22/16; 7:00 PM EST = +63; signal line is +57

SPX S&P 500 Daily Chart Showing Keybot the Quant Algorithm Turns

Here are the turns thus far this year for the Keybot the Quant algorithm. The red line is where the algo went short and the green line is where Keybot goes long. The year was off to a wild start. As you will recall, Keybot flipped short on the very last trading day of 2015 during the last one minute of trading. That was interesting. The algo benefited from the losses in stocks early in the year. The choppy sideways activity, that chews up bulls and bears alike, continues. Last December was a mess; look at all that back and forth choppy slop that ultimately resolved to the down side. The bulls are in charge as the week of 5/23/16 begins.

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant is long going into the new week of trading. The market bulls need RTH above 75.73 to prove they can rally the stock market higher so listen for news on retail stocks. The bears need to push either SOX under 650 and/or XLF under 22.80 to regain control of the stock market. If retail stocks remain bearish, and chips and banks bullish, then stocks will stagger sideways with a slight upward bias.

For the SPX starting at 2052, the bulls need to push above 2058 to accelerate the upside well into the 2060's. The bears need to push under 2042 to regain their downside mojo. A move through 2043-2057 is sideways action to begin the week. Keybot prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Friday morning shortly after the opening bell. The bulls have the ball; retail stocks will determine if they can run down the field. Watch copper as well since a boost in copper would signal that the bulls have further oomph.

5/29/16; 7:00 PM EST =

5/27/16; 10:00 AM EST =

5/22/16; 7:00 PM EST = +63; signal line is +57

5/20/16; 9:52 AM EST = +63; signal line is +57; go long 2054; (Benchmark SPX for 2016 = +0.5%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.0%; Keybot algo for 2016 = +6.9%)(Actual results this trade = -0.9%; Actual results for 2016 = +12.3%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the long side after Friday's opening bell at SPX 2054. Semiconductors catapulted higher so you knew the fix was in for the bulls. The choppy sideways behavior continues. Next week will start out with retail stocks, financials and semiconductors key. As always, remain alert for a potential whipsaw move back to the short side early next week. Bulls will need higher retail stocks to send the stock market higher. Bears need weaker chips and financials.

On the last trade, the algorithm program is dead flat entering and exiting at SPX 2053-2054. For the actual trading dictated by the program, Keybot exited SDS and entered SSO remaining in the 2x ETF's. The actual trading takes a -1% loss for the last trade. The SPX benchmark index is up one-half percent this year. Keybot's acrtual return remains robust thus far this year up +12% in 4-1/2 months. A look at next week's key parameters and levels can be determined after tomorrow's pre-scheduled Sunday print occurs.

5/22/16; 7:00 PM EST =

5/20/16; 9:52 AM EST = +63; signal line is +57; go long 2054; (Benchmark SPX for 2016 = +0.5%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.0%; Keybot algo for 2016 = +6.9%)(Actual results this trade = -0.9%; Actual results for 2016 = +12.3%)

5/20/16; 9:36 AM EST = +63; signal line is +57 but algorithm remains short

5/19/16; 9:52 AM EST = +47; signal line is +57

5/19/16; 9:44 AM EST = +63; signal line is +58 but algorithm remains short

5/19/16; 9:36 AM EST = +47; signal line is +58

5/18/16; 3:59 PM EST = +63; signal line is +60 but algorithm remains short

5/18/16; 3:18 PM EST = +47; signal line is +61

5/18/16; 3:07 PM EST = +63; signal line is +62 but algorithm remains short

5/18/16; 2:32 PM EST = +47; signal line is +63

5/18/16; 10:16 AM EST = +63; signal line is +65

5/17/16; 9:49 AM EST = +47; signal line is +66

5/17/16; 9:00 AM EST = +63; signal line is +67

5/16/16; 1:03 PM EST = +63; signal line is +67

5/15/16; 7:00 PM EST = +47; signal line is +68

5/13/16; 10:00 AM EST = +47; signal line is +69

5/12/16; 3:02 PM EST = +44; signal line is +70

5/12/16; 2:52 PM EST = +60; signal line is +72

5/11/16; 2:49 PM EST = +44; signal line is +72

5/11/16; 12:00 PM EST = +60; signal line is +73

5/11/16; 11:42 AM EST = +44; signal line is +74

5/8/16; 7:00 PM EST = +60; signal line is +74

5/6/16; 2:04 PM EST = +60; signal line is +74

5/6/16; 9:36 AM EST = +44; signal line is +73

5/6/16; 9:00 AM EST = +60; signal line is +73

5/4/16; 9:36 AM EST = +60; signal line is +72; go short 2053; (Benchmark SPX for 2016 = +0.4%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.2%; Keybot algo for 2016 = +6.9%)(Actual results this trade = +0.4%; Actual results for 2016 = +13.2%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Qaunt remains short as the market roller coaster ride continues. Semiconductors failed after the opening bell so you knew down was the direction for stocks. The algo prints three numbers today and the bears remain in control with the algo number 10 points under the signal line.

Friday is a fight between semi's and the financials/SPX. The bulls need SOX above 649.27 or they got nothing. The bears need XLF under 22.79 and/or SPX under 2025 to create market mayhem. If SOX remains bearish and XLF bullish, and the SPX above 2025, stocks will stagger sideways with an upward bias into the weekend. If SOX moves above 649.27 and the SPX moves above 2044, Keybot will likely flip long so consider an imminent turn in play if the chips rally.

For the SPX starting Friday at 2040, the bulls need to push 4 points higher, above 2044, and the upside will accelerate. The bears need to push under 2026 to accelerate the downside. The SPX 2025-2026 level takes on extreme importance for Friday; if this level fails, there will likely be serious market carnage ahead. The beat goes on.

5/22/16; 7:00 PM EST =

5/19/16; 9:52 AM EST = +47; signal line is +57

5/19/16; 9:44 AM EST = +63; signal line is +58 but algorithm remains short

5/19/16; 9:36 AM EST = +47; signal line is +58

5/18/16; 3:59 PM EST = +63; signal line is +60 but algorithm remains short

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short after the Wednesday drama. The algo prints five numbers yesterday and is champing at the bit to go long. The internal program requirements are not yet latching to allow the move. Keybot wants to go long right now and if the SPX touches the 2061 handle the algo will likely flip long. The main driver of stocks yesterday were the chips and financials. Banks took off to the upside creating support under the stock market.

Semiconductors are the main parameter controlling market direction right now. Keybot identifies the SOX 649.30 level as the key bull-bear line. Price is at 649.35 only pennies above in the bull camp which creates stock market buoyancy. It is always amazing to see markets move and end the day at a parameter and price level that Keybot identifies ahead of time. Robots are smarter than humans. The bears need SOX under 649.30 or they got nothing. This level will determine the direction of stocks Thursday morning.

For the SPX starting at 2048, the bulls need to push above 2061 to accelerate the upside while the bears need to push under 2035 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2036-2060 is sideways action for Thursday. The algorithm remains short but wants to go long. Watch SOX 649.30 and SPX 2061 to see who wins.

5/22/16; 7:00 PM EST =

5/18/16; 3:59 PM EST = +63; signal line is +60 but algorithm remains short

5/18/16; 3:18 PM EST = +47; signal line is +61

5/18/16; 3:07 PM EST = +63; signal line is +62 but algorithm remains short

5/18/16; 2:32 PM EST = +47; signal line is +63

5/18/16; 10:16 AM EST = +63; signal line is +65

5/17/16; 9:49 AM EST = +47; signal line is +66

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short and prints a number to begin the day. Retail stocks weaken creating broad market weakness. Watch RTH 75.77 now at 75.53 in the bear camp; bulls got nothing unless they can push RTH above 75.77. Watch SOX 649 now at 645. Bulls got nothing unless they can push SOX above 649. The longer that price remains under these two targets the more likely that the stock market will roll over to the downside.

Watch the retail stocks and semi's; bulls need both if they want to begin a new rally higher for the stock market. Bears win if both remain bearish. The LOD for SPX thus far is 2056. The beat goes on.

5/22/16; 7:00 PM EST =

5/17/16; 9:49 AM EST = +47; signal line is +66

5/17/16; 9:00 AM EST = +63; signal line is +67

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short as the roller coaster ride continues. Choppy markets chew up and spit out bulls and bears alike. The Tuesday pre-scheduled number prints and one number printed in the Monday session yesterday. The algo number remains 4 points under the signal line. The bulls are trying to mount a charge higher but S&P futures are negative moving into the Tuesday trade.

The algo is identifying semi's and retail stocks as the key drivers of market direction currently. Bulls win if SOX moves above 649.50. Bears win if RTH drops under 75.77. If chips remain bearish and retail stocks remain bullish, the stock market will stagger sideways with an upward bias.

For the SPX starting at 2067, the bulls need to touch the 2072 handle and bingo, the S&P 500 will run strongly higher towards 2080. The bears need to push under 2047 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2048-2071 is sideways action for Tuesday.

The bears are driving the bus but if SOX moves above 649.50 consider an imminent turn to be in play and if the chips turn bullish and the SPX moves above 2067, Keybot will likely flip long.

5/22/16; 7:00 PM EST =

5/17/16; 9:00 AM EST = +63; signal line is +67

5/16/16; 1:03 PM EST = +63; signal line is +67

5/15/16; 7:00 PM EST = +47; signal line is +68

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short moving into the new week of trading. The market bulls keep XLF above 22.74 so stocks did not flush lower late Friday. This drama continues for Monday. As financials go, so go the markets. Bears need XLF under 22.74 (now at 22.88) to create market carnage. If XLF stays above 22.74, the bears got nothing and stocks will float along sideways to sideways higher. The bulls need to boost the banks, chips and retail stocks to stop the downward slide in stocks so watch XLF, SOX and RTH.

For the SPX beginning the week at 2047, the bulls need to touch the 2067 handle to create an upside acceleration well into the 2070's. The bears need to push under 2043 to accelerate the downside. If XLF drops under 22.74 and the SPX loses 2043, the SPX may dump from 15 to 30 handles. A move through 2044-2066 is sideways action to begin the week.

Keybot prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Tuesday morning before the bell. The bears are in control with the algo number 21 points under the signal line but the stock market remains a crap shoot. Watch the banks. XLF 22.74 will dictate broad stock market direction.

5/22/16; 7:00 PM EST =

5/17/16; 9:00 AM EST =

5/15/16; 7:00 PM EST = +47; signal line is +68

5/13/16; 10:00 AM EST = +47; signal line is +69

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant  remains short as the choppy sloppiness in the stock market continues. Watch financials and chips. Bulls need SOX above 652 to stop the market selling. Bears need XLF under 22.73 (now at 22.86) to create a strong leg lower in the stock market. The SPX slipped under 2044 which is negative for this year. Watch the financials as trading closes out during the last hour on Friday. All Hades will break loose if XLF fails at 22.73; if price remains above, then bulls will limp into the weekend.

5/15/16; 7:00 PM EST =

5/13/16; 10:00 AM EST = +47; signal line is +69

5/12/16; 3:02 PM EST = +44; signal line is +70

5/12/16; 2:52 PM EST = +60; signal line is +72

5/11/16; 2:49 PM EST = +44; signal line is +72

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains bearish as stocks take a roller coaster ride this week; sideways choppy slop. The algo prints three numbers during the Wednesday session. The bears have the upper hand but stocks remain elevated; which is odd. Retail stocks took the pipe with RTH collapsing under 76.00 to 75.78. Market bears will send the stock market lower unless RTH rises above 76.00. Retail earnings will likely set the tone before the opening bell.

For the SPX starting at 2064 on Thursday, any smidge of negativity in the S&P futures and the SPX will accelerate lower into the 2050's. The bulls need to push above 2083 to accelerate the upside. A move through 2065-2082 is sideways action for Thursday. The bears are in the driver's seat even though stock prices remain elevated. Watch the retail stocks the RTH 76.00 will dictate broad market direction.

5/13/16; 10:00 AM EST =

5/11/16; 2:49 PM EST = +44; signal line is +72

5/11/16; 12:00 PM EST = +60; signal line is +73

5/11/16; 11:42 AM EST = +44; signal line is +74

5/8/16; 7:00 PM EST = +60; signal line is +74

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short. The algo has not printed any numbers thus far this week. The bulls need either higher copper or higher semiconductors to prove they have the beans to take the stock market higher. Watch JJC 25.18 (now at 24.03) and SOX 653 (now at 644). Copper is very weak so the SOX 653 number may be very important over the coming day or two.

The bears need weaker retail stocks and commodities. Watch RTH 76.15 (now at 77.24) and GTX 2195 (now at 2266). If JJC and SOX remain bearish, and RTH and GTX bullish, the stock market will float along sideways with an upward bias. If SOX moves above 653, Keybot will likely flip long. The levels for the above four parameters can be watched the remainder of the week (they will continue to change slightly but will remain a good guide for a few days).

For the SPX starting Wednesday at 2084, the bulls need any smidge of positivity in the overnight S&P futures and price will accelerate higher to 2090 and more after the opening bell. The bears need the SPX to retrace Tuesday's big upside move to regain their mojo, a formidable task, so instead bears will focus on pushing retail stocks and chips lower. One of the above four parameters will flinch and that will dictate the stock market direction ahead.

5/15/16; 7:00 PM EST =

5/13/16; 10:00 AM EST =

5/8/16; 7:00 PM EST = +60; signal line is +74

5/6/16; 2:04 PM EST = +60; signal line is +74

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant is on the short side flipping back on Wednesday at SPX 2053 with the copper failure. Over the last few days, copper and semiconductors have created the majority of the broad stock market weakness. Watch JJC 25.27 and SOX 656. The algorithm indicates that copper and retail stocks are the two parameters affecting market direction currently and this is the battle to begin the new week of trading. Watch RTH 75.94.

If JJC moves above 25.27, and semi's are floating higher, the fix is in for the bulls and markets will rally higher. If RTH drops under 75.94, stocks will take a sharp drop lower. If copper remains bearish, and retail stocks remain bullish, the broad stock market will continue chopping sideways. If JJC moves above 25.27, and SPX above 2058, Keybot will likely flip back to the long side.

The stock market is moving in a sloppy and choppy sideways direction. The S&P 500 moves sideways through 2040-2100 for the last two months. As of the last trade, the Benchmark SPX is up a touch on the year. The Keybot algorithm program drops -0.2% on the last trade but the actual trading gains +0.4%. Keybot was in IWM, the small caps, which outperformed the broad stock market during the last trade. Keybot exits IWM and enters SDS. A 35-day timer has expired (triggered by whipsaw action) so the robot is using 2x ETF's again.

Keybot prints a prescheduled number this week on Friday the 13th. The bears are in charge with the algo number 14 points under the signal line. The S&P 500 will begin the new week at 2056. Watch copper trading overnight and listen for any news on retail stocks. JJC 25.27 or RTH 75.94 will determine the direction ahead for stocks.

5/15/16; 7:00 PM EST =

5/13/16; 10:00 AM EST =

5/8/16; 7:00 PM EST = +60; signal line is +74

5/6/16; 2:04 PM EST = +60; signal line is +74

5/6/16; 9:36 AM EST = +44; signal line is +73

5/6/16; 9:00 AM EST = +60; signal line is +73

5/4/16; 9:36 AM EST = +60; signal line is +72; go short 2053; (Benchmark SPX for 2016 = +0.4%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.2%; Keybot algo for 2016 = +6.9%)(Actual results this trade = +0.4%; Actual results for 2016 = +13.2%)

5/1/16; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +76; signal line is +71

4/29/16; 3:21 PM EST = +76; signal line is +70

4/29/16; 1:45 PM EST = +60; signal line is +70 but algorithm remains long

4/29/16; 12:53 PM EST = +76; signal line is +69

4/29/16; 11:41 AM EST = +60; signal line is +68 but algorithm remains long

4/29/16; 10:00 AM EST = +76; signal line is +68

4/29/16; 9:37 AM EST = +77; signal line is +67

4/29/16; 9:36 AM EST = +93; signal line is +66

4/28/16; 3:29 PM EST = +77; signal line is +65

4/26/16; 10:00 AM EST = +93; signal line is +64

4/24/16; 7:00 PM EST = +94; signal line is +63

4/19/16; 9:00 AM EST = +94; signal line is +62

4/18/16; 9:54 AM EST = +94; signal line is +60

4/18/16; 9:46 AM EST = +80; signal line is +60

4/18/16; 9:36 AM EST = +64; signal line is +60

4/17/16; 7:00 PM EST = +78; signal line is +60

4/15/16; 10:00 AM EST = +78; signal line is +61

4/15/16; 9:36 AM EST = +78; signal line is +61

4/13/16; 9:36 AM EST = +94; signal line is +61

4/12/16; 9:36 AM EST = +78; signal line is +59

4/11/16; 3:57 PM EST = +64; signal line is +59

4/11/16; 9:42 AM EST = +78; signal line is +58; go long 2056; (Benchmark SPX for 2016 = +0.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.5%; Keybot algo for 2016 = +7.1%)(Actual results this trade = -0.0%; Actual results for 2016 = +12.8%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long and has not yet printed any numbers this week. The fight for market direction is between semi's and copper. The bulls need to push SOX above 656 to guarantee a rally higher for stocks. The bears need to push JJC under 25.37 to create a leg lower for stocks. If JJC loses 25.37, and the SPX drops under 2055, Keybot will likely flip short hence the imminent turn notation remains in play. If SOX remains bearish and JJC bullish, stocks will float along sideways with a slight upward bias.

For the SPX starting at 2063, the bulls need to push above 2077 to accelerate the upside. The bears need to push under 2055 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2056-2076 is sideways action for Wednesday. Pay attention to copper; bears will be happy if copper sinks.

5/8/16; 7:00 PM EST =

5/6/16; 9:00 AM EST =

5/1/16; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +76; signal line is +71

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long after an active Friday session that printed 7 numbers. Chips collapsed at the opening bell last Friday but retail stocks soared higher. The algo was itching to go short two different times but the internal programming rules would not completely latch to permit the flip to the short side. The imminent turn notation remains and the battle between chips and retail stocks continues.

Bears need RTH under 75.88 to create a leg lower in stocks. If RTH fails and the SPX moves under 2052, Keybot will likely flip short. The bulls need to move semiconductors higher to create buoyancy in stocks and if SOX regains the 658 level the bulls will be celebrating by moving the stock market higher. If RTH remains above 75.88 and SOX below 658, the stock market will stumble along sideways with an upward bias.

For the SPX starting at 2065, the bulls need to touch the 2074 handle and bingo, stocks will accelerate higher into the 2080's. The bears need to push under 2052 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2053-2073 is sideways action to begin the week. Keybot prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Friday morning. The bulls are in charge but the bears are trying to make a move. The algo number is only 5 points above the signal line. Semiconductors and retail stocks will dictate stock market direction.

5/8/16; 7:00 PM EST =

5/6/16; 9:00 AM EST =

5/1/16; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +76; signal line is +71

4/29/16; 3:21 PM EST = +76; signal line is +70

4/29/16; 1:45 PM EST = +60; signal line is +70 but algorithm remains long

4/29/16; 12:53 PM EST = +76; signal line is +69

4/29/16; 11:41 AM EST = +60; signal line is +68 but algorithm remains long

4/29/16; 10:00 AM EST = +76; signal line is +68

4/29/16; 9:37 AM EST = +77; signal line is +67

4/29/16; 9:36 AM EST = +93; signal line is +66

4/28/16; 3:29 PM EST = +77; signal line is +65

April Monthly Publication of the Daily Chronology of Global Markets and World Economics 2016-04 Available from Amazon; The "Panama Papers"; Central Bankers Active; Brexit Drama; Exxon Credit Downgrade; Dollar/Yen 106-Handle

The April publication of the Daily Chronology of Global Markets and World Economics 2016-04 is available through Amazon (AMZN). The epic market action continues. The global stock markets begin the year by crashing and collapsing into 2/11/16. The prior monthly chronologies explain the huge crash from late December into mid-February. Then, as everyone was convinced that the stock market would go into free fall and sentiment was extremely negative, the bottom occurs and stocks rally from mid-February through April.

Italian, Spanish and Portuguese banks are a major problem in 2016 but the concerns temporary subside allowing for a recovery in global stocks. The US POTUS primary elections continue with Clinton the likely democrat nominee. Clinton may be undone by the ongoing email scandal. On the republican side, Trump and Cruz are battling for the nomination and the media is already awarding Trump the victory but they have been wrong every step of the way. The general election for the next US president is 11/8/16.

Central bankers such as the Fed, ECB, BOJ and PBOC keep pumping stocks higher. The chronology explains how the central bankers are the market. The oil rally continues in April as the US dollar index drops like a stone now at the bottom of a key long-term range. The "Panama Papers" are released exposing secret accounts of governments, corporations and the wealthy elite class. The Panama Papers information and developing scandals will continue for weeks and months.

The Brexit drama continues with President Obama stepping into the fray with unwelcome comments. The Brexit referendum vote is 6/23/16. Japan is in turmoil. The BOJ has taken rates negative and they print record negative lows. The dollar/yen pair drops to a 106-handle which reflects a stronger yen that hurts exports. Exxon loses its AAA credit rating and epic event.

The chronology describes the reactions to economic data such as the Monthly Jobs Reports in real-time. There is no other document available on the world wide web that records the action in such detail. Inflation, that the Federal Reserve has tried to create for seven years with their obscene Keynesian programs, cannot exist without wage inflation occurring so each jobs report is very important.

The chronology explains the reaction in stocks, bonds and currencies to key events and economic data releases. If you are trying to make sense of the markets this is the resource for you. No other publication exists in this format where the stock, bond and currency moves are provided and explained as world events take place in real-time.

The chronology records economic history preventing revisionist tampering in future years. Many of the same asset managers telling everyone to go long the market in 2007-2008 repeated the same mantra through 2015. The stock market topped in May 2015 placing anyone that listened to television pundits over the last couple years underwater on their long trades and losing money.

Analyst and strategist quotes and words are recorded in the chronology so credit or disdain can be handed out in the future. If a multi-year top has printed, the chronology serves as the most accurate accounting of the stock market topping process ever recorded in history. The chronology is the most reliable and easy to understand source for explaining global markets. The chronology is very easy to read and avoids using fancy ten-dollar college words.

As always, all monthly publications of the Daily Chronology of Global Markets and World Economics are available from the links in the margins or simply searching on Amazon or Google. The monthly publication contains updated information not posted on this web site as well as clarifications and refinements to the ongoing daily blog text.

We are living through historic stock market and economic times. The daily chronology is the most accurate accounting on how the stock market tops and bottoms occur in real-time. The monthly publications are compatible with any electronic device and include an extensive Business Acronym List and Ticker Symbol List. The Acronym List is the most comprehensive business-related acronym list available on the internet. The chronology is not available in hard copy and only distributed around the world electronically.

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