Wednesday, October 10, 2018

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant flips back to the long side on Tuesday at SPX 2892. It was a wild day with stocks down at the opening bell then recovering then fading again late-day. Markets remain a coin-flip. Keybot may whipsaw back to the short side. The algo number is 4 points below the signal line wanting the model to flip to the bear camp especially if the SPX drops under 2874.

Banks, copper and retail stocks run the show currently. Copper and retail stocks created the upside in the stock market yesterday, and bank buoyancy, but retail gave up the ghost after lunchtime. The bulls need RTH aobve 108.32 to prove that up is the direction forward for stocks.

The bears need XLF below 27.97 and/or CPER (copper) under 17.34 to send the stock market lower. These two parameters are causing the stock market to lift and remain buoyant. S&P futures are down -3 about three hours before the opening bell for the regular session.

On the last trade, the algo program gains +0.6% and the actual trading gains +1.3%. The benchmark S&P 500 is up +8.2% this year. The Keybot algo computer program is up +4% this year and the actual trading triggered by the algo is up +15%. Keybot exits DXD and enters DDM. Markets remain erratic and unstable.

10/14/18; 7:00 PM EST =
10/12/18; 10:00 AM EST =
10/9/18; 12:36 PM EST = +54; signal line is +58 but algorithm remains long
10/9/18; 10:31 AM EST = +70; signal line is +59; go long 2892; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 = +8.2%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = +0.6%; Keybot algo for 2018 = +3.8%)(Actual results this trade = +1.3%; Actual trading results for 2018 = +14.6%)
10/9/18; 9:59 AM EST = +70; signal line is +59 but algorithm remains short
10/9/18; 9:53 AM EST = +54; signal line is +59
10/9/18; 9:47 AM EST = +38; signal line is +60
10/9/18; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +61
10/8/18; 12:16 PM EST = +38; signal line is +61
10/8/18; 11:50 AM EST = +22; signal line is +62
10/8/18; 11:00 AM EST = +38; signal line is +62
10/8/18; 10:39 AM EST = +54; signal line is +63
10/8/18; 9:36 AM EST = +38; signal line is +63
10/7/18; 7:00 PM EST = +54; signal line is +65
10/5/18; 9:00 AM EST = +54; signal line is +66
10/4/18; 2:34 PM EST = +54; signal line is +65
10/4/18; 2:21 PM EST = +38; signal line is +65
10/4/18; 1:47 PM EST = +54; signal line is +66
10/4/18; 1:36 PM EST = +38; signal line is +68
10/4/18; 12:44 PM EST = +54; signal line is +69
10/4/18; 12:37 PM EST = +70; signal line is +70 but algorithm remains short
10/4/18; 12:06 PM EST = +54; signal line is +71
10/4/18; 11:50 AM EST = +70; signal line is +72
10/4/18; 11:37 AM EST = +54; signal line is +73
10/4/18; 10:11 AM EST = +70; signal line is +75; go short 2910; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 = +8.8%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = -0.7%; Keybot algo for 2018 = +3.2%)(Actual results this trade = +0.2%; Actual trading results for 2018 = +13.3%)

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