STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant flips to the long side at SPX 4017 yesterday but is already champing at the bit to whipsaw back to the short side this morning. The choppy slop continues. UTIL tries to regain 939 but fails which portends very bad things for the stock market going forward. Keep watching it.

The price action is a mess with different parameters flying-off in one direction only to reverse on a dime and run the other way. The quant prints 9 numbers to begin the week including the flip to the long side so the circus continues.

If the SPX simply trends lower and drops below 3974, Keybot the Quant will likely flip short. This is a -8 point drop but S&P futures are up +3 about 3 hours before the opening bell.

Out of the gate yesterday, utes failed but the bulls pumped the banks higher to counteract the negativity. Banks failed going into the closing bell and will tell you a lot about stock market direction. Bulls need XLF above 35.69 (now at 35.65 only pennies away). This would take the potential flip to the short side off the table. The SPX moving above 4011 will also embolden the bulls. XLF is at 35.70 in the pre-market.

Bears simply need the SPX to drift lower and drop below 3974 to flip the model short. Weaker copper will help as well as higher volatility. Bears need CPER below 24.33 and VIX above 21.65. Bears need a -0.5% drop in copper futures that are currently up +0.7%. VIX is at 20.90 so the bulls are comfortable with the way Tuesday is beginning with copper, volatility and banks going their way.

On the last trade that only lasted a couple days, the quant program and actual trading each lose a percent round-tripping from the previous trade between SPX 3977 and 4017. For the year thus far, the SPX is up about +5%. The quant program is up a percent and the actual trading generated by the algo is flat on the year. Two months of trading is already in the bag. Keybot exits SH and enters DIA. 

3/5/23; 7:00 PM EST =
2/28/23; 7:00 PM EST EOM =
2/28/23; 10:00 AM EST =
2/27/23; 3:08 PM EST = -17; signal line is -12 but algorithm remains long
2/27/23; 12:20 PM EST = -1; signal line is -10
2/27/23; 10:42 AM EST = -17; signal line is -10 but algorithm remains long
2/27/23; 10:41 AM EST = -3; signal line is -10
2/27/23; 10:39 AM EST = +13; signal line is -10
2/27/23; 10:18 AM EST = +29; signal line is -10
2/27/23; 10:10 AM EST = +13; signal line is -10
2/27/23; 10:09 AM EST = -3; signal line is -10; go long 4017; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +4.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.0%; Keybot algo for 2023 = +1.2%)(Actual results this trade = -1.0%; Actual results for 2023 = +0.5%)
2/27/23; 9:36 AM EST = -17; signal line is -10
2/26/23; 7:00 PM EST = -17; signal line is -10
2/24/23; 3:59 PM EST = -17; signal line is -10
2/24/23; 3:45 PM EST = -33; signal line is -8
2/24/23; 3:38 PM EST = -17; signal line is -6
2/24/23; 3:11 PM EST = -1; signal line is -5 but algorithm remains short
2/24/23; 2:09 PM EST = -17; signal line is -3
2/24/23; 1:27 PM EST = -33; signal line is -1
2/24/23; 12:58 PM EST = -47; signal line is +2
2/24/23; 11:36 AM EST = -33; signal line is +5
2/24/23; 10:00 AM EST = -47; signal line is +7
2/24/23; 9:36 AM EST = -47; signal line is +11
2/24/23; 8:36 AM EST = -1; signal line is +14
2/23/23; 3:07 PM EST = +13; signal line is +15
2/23/23; 2:26 PM EST = -1; signal line is +16
2/23/23; 2:05 PM EST = -17; signal line is +18
2/23/23; 12:29 PM EST = -1; signal line is +20
2/23/23; 11:53 AM EST = -15; signal line is +22
2/23/23; 11:43 AM EST = -1; signal line is +24; go short 3977; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +3.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.0%; Keybot algo for 2023 = +2.2%)(Actual results this trade = -1.0%; Actual results for 2023 = +1.5%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant is on the short side. Are you ready for drama and a crazy week or two ahead?

Utilities failed which opens a dark and ominous door to the future. Watch UTIL 939 like a hawk. UTIL begins at 928 and must overtake 939 as fast as possible to stop an Armageddon in the stock market. If utilities trail sideways or lower, that is like the stock market Titanic hitting the iceberg. So it will be of great interest to see what the utilities do after Monday's opening bell.

While the utes will tell you the fate forward for the stock market, there are other balls in the air. Bears need VIX above 22.20 (this trades overnight so you can get a feel on what will happen in the States) and SOX below 2871. Higher volatility and lower semiconductors, along with UTIL remaining below 939, will create stock market carnage and blood in the streets.

Bulls need to pump UTIL above 939, keep the VIX below 22.20, keep SOX above 2871, and at the same time pull XLF above 35.70. The bulls need the banks that gave up the stock market ship last week. Stronger copper will also help.

Bulls win big with UTIL above 939 and XLF above 35.70. Bears win big with VIX above 22.20 and/or SOX below 2871.

For the umpteenth time to emphasize the point, UTIL 939 is for all the marbles in the week ahead. Extremely bad things are going to happen to the US stock market if UTIL cannot regain 939.

Keybot prints two pre-scheduled numbers this week both on Tuesday. The month ends (EOM) on Tuesday.

3/5/23; 7:00 PM EST =
2/28/23; 7:00 PM EST EOM =
2/28/23; 10:00 AM EST =
2/26/23; 7:00 PM EST = -17; signal line is -10
2/24/23; 3:59 PM EST = -17; signal line is -10

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant is short as the stock market circus continues. It is a crazy carnival ride. On Thursday, Keybot the Quant flipped long at the opening bell with the euphoric upside only to receive its head on a platter a couple hours later as the quant whipsawed short again. If you got up to go to the can, you would have missed the move by the time you got back.

There was no point in posting it since it flipped back so quickly. In the 15 years of the quant's operation, the intraday whipsaws are rare perhaps only about a half-dozen over all those years. A couple or so whipsaws tend to occur per year but they are always the following day not on the same day. The stock market is ripping itself apart jumping back and forth from bull to bear.

After the Thursday whipsaw flip back to the short side, the Crazy Train continues with more non-stop choppy slop. The algo prints another 16 numbers on Thursday afternoon and Friday including the pre-scheduled number. The banks gave up the ghost. Copper failed. Most importantly, the utes failed.

UTIL lost 927 ushering-in market mayhem. This is serious business. Not a joke. Stocks recovered late Friday, or at least tried to right the ship, when UTIL regained 927. Alas, the 927 is meaningless next week replaced with 939. That means out of the gate Monday morning, stocks will already be on the backfoot with utes immediately creating negative stock market pressure. Smell that? A slight whiff of a Black Monday in the air. Nah, that won't happen?

Utilities, banks and volatility are running the stock market show right now. If you are long the stock market, you need to get down on your knees, put your hands together, and pray all weekend that UTIL jumps above 939 after Monday's opening bell. Otherwise, you are toast.

Anything can happen in these markets. Bulls need higher utes, banks and copper and lower volatility. Bears need lower utes and chips and higher volatility.

On the whipsaw trades, it was marginal gains and losses. The robot will remain in single ETF's into the back-half of March due to the ongoing chop suey. On the year thus far, the benchmark S&P 500 index is up about +4% while the quant program is up a couple percent and the actual trading generated by the quant is up +1% in 2023. On the flip long, Keybot exited SH and entered SPY and then on the whipsaw back to the short side SPY was exited and SH was reentered.

The utilities are a huge deal right now determining the fate of the US stock market going forward and comically, few understand it.

2/26/23; 7:00 PM EST =
2/24/23; 3:59 PM EST = -17; signal line is -10
2/24/23; 3:45 PM EST = -33; signal line is -8
2/24/23; 3:38 PM EST = -17; signal line is -6
2/24/23; 3:11 PM EST = -1; signal line is -5 but algorithm remains short
2/24/23; 2:09 PM EST = -17; signal line is -3
2/24/23; 1:27 PM EST = -33; signal line is -1
2/24/23; 12:58 PM EST = -47; signal line is +2
2/24/23; 11:36 AM EST = -33; signal line is +5
2/24/23; 10:00 AM EST = -47; signal line is +7
2/24/23; 9:36 AM EST = -47; signal line is +11
2/24/23; 8:36 AM EST = -1; signal line is +14
2/23/23; 3:07 PM EST = +13; signal line is +15
2/23/23; 2:26 PM EST = -1; signal line is +16
2/23/23; 2:05 PM EST = -17; signal line is +18
2/23/23; 12:29 PM EST = -1; signal line is +20
2/23/23; 11:53 AM EST = -15; signal line is +22
2/23/23; 11:43 AM EST = -1; signal line is +24; go short 3977; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +3.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.0%; Keybot algo for 2023 = +2.2%)(Actual results this trade = -1.0%; Actual results for 2023 = +1.5%)
2/23/23; 10:50 AM EST = -1; signal line is +26 but algorithm remains long
2/23/23; 9:36 AM EST = +29; signal line is +28; go long 4018; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +4.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.2%; Keybot algo for 2023 = +3.2%)(Actual results this trade = +0.3%; Actual results for 2023 = +2.5%)
2/23/23; 3:06 AM EST = -1; signal line is +28
2/22/23; 2:17 PM EST = -15; signal line is +29
2/22/23; 1:59 PM EST = +1; signal line is +31
2/22/23; 1:57 PM EST = +15; signal line is +32
2/22/23; 1:27 PM EST = +29; signal line is +33
2/22/23; 12:38 PM EST = +15; signal line is +34
2/22/23; 12:24 PM EST = +1; signal line is +35
2/21/23; 11:31 AM EST = -15; signal line is +37
2/21/23; 10:57 AM EST = -1; signal line is +39
2/21/23; 10:15 AM EST = +15; signal line is +42; go short 4024; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +4.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.9%; Keybot algo for 2023 = +3.0%)(Actual results this trade = -0.7%; Actual results for 2023 = +2.2%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short as the market circus continues. Bulls threaten a recovery rally but fold like a cheap suit after the Federal Reserve minutes yesterday afternoon. The bears remain in control of stock market direction with the algo number 29 points below the signal line.

The stock market remains a coin-flip with choppy slop each day. You saw the teasing around XLF 35.70, VIX 22.20 and SPX 4010-4013 yesterday creating the craziness.

Simplifying a complex game right now, the bulls desperately need XLF above 35.70 and SPX 4010-4013 that will put the markets back on track for higher prices. Bears need VIX above 22.20 and SOX below 2862. Bears will create carnage if UTIL loses 927.

NVDA posts strong earnings so the chips may rally today. VIX is trading at 21.99 in real-time so this is creating the buoyancy in the S&P futures up +19. This pop at the opening bell will once again place SPX at the critical 4010-4013 resistance level.

XLF is at ....... wait for it..... wait a bit longer for it...... 35.69 in the pre-market so the bulls know what they have to do to stop the selling; they are trying to push the banks higher.

UTIL is critically important today and tomorrow. If UTIL loses 927 this week, it is over for stocks, we will go down hard. Next week the magic number is 939 and price is now at 935. This is high drama. Very simply, if UTIL loses 427 this week, it is over for the US stock market. If UTIL ends the week below 939, it is over for stocks next week. If UTIL closes above 939 this week, the future does not look as bleak for next week.

That is a lot of mumbo jumbo. Who's listening to this guy? Further simplifying, bulls win big with VIX below 22.20, XLF above 35.70 and SPX above 4013. Bears win big with VIX above 22.20, XLF below 35.70, SPX below 4010, SOX below 2862 and UTIL below 927. Choose your poison.

There you go. XLF is sitting smack-dab on top of 35.70 in the pre-market ready for another day of drama.

2/26/23; 7:00 PM EST =
2/24/23; 10:00 AM EST =
2/23/23; 3:06 AM EST = -1; signal line is +28
2/22/23; 2:17 PM EST = -15; signal line is +29
2/22/23; 1:59 PM EST = +1; signal line is +31
2/22/23; 1:57 PM EST = +15; signal line is +32
2/22/23; 1:27 PM EST = +29; signal line is +33
2/22/23; 12:38 PM EST = +15; signal line is +34
2/22/23; 12:24 PM EST = +1; signal line is +35
2/21/23; 11:31 AM EST = -15; signal line is +37

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant finally flips short yesterday morning at SPX 4024 after teasing for the last week. Retail stocks and banks take the pipe. Volatility spikes. The SPX loses the critically-important 4010-4013 bull/bear line in the sand. The bears are cruising with the algo number 52 points below the signal line. It took a while for markets to decide and when they did it was a big move, however, stocks may remain choppy.

There are a lot of moving parts right now too difficult to explain quickly. Armageddon occurs if UTIL loses 927. It is now at 939. Interestingly, the 927 is meaningless next week replaced by...... wait for it..... wait a bit longer for it .... no, you really should wait a bit longer....... 939. This is big drama occurring in the background that few understand. If UTIL ends the week below 939, there will be carnage in stocks next week. A close for the week above 939 will create a more encouraging path for the bulls next week.

Here are 3 parameters you can watch that will tell you what is occurring. Bulls need XLF above 35.70 and/or SPX above 4010-4013 and/or VIX below 22.22. Choose your poison. If all three remain bearish, stocks will continue lower. XLF is up 2 pennies in the pre-market to 35.66 but the bulls need another nickel if they want to stop the selling. Banks are key today so watch them closely.

On the last trade, that ran for about 3 weeks, the quant program and the actual trading each lose about -1%. For the year thus far, the benchmark S&P 500 is up about +5%. The Keybot the Quant program is up +3% and the actual trading generated by the quant is up +2% so far in 2023. The quant remains in the single ETF's due to the erratic choppiness exiting SPY and entering SH.

The bears did some damage yesterday. Watch banks, volatility and the critical SPX 4010-4013 line in the sand going forward. 

2/26/23; 7:00 PM EST =
2/24/23; 10:00 AM EST =
2/21/23; 11:31 AM EST = -15; signal line is +37
2/21/23; 10:57 AM EST = -1; signal line is +39
2/21/23; 10:15 AM EST = +15; signal line is +42; go short 4024; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +4.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.9%; Keybot algo for 2023 = +3.0%)(Actual results this trade = -0.7%; Actual results for 2023 = +2.2%)
2/21/23; 9:41 AM EST = +15; signal line is +43 but algorithm remains long
2/21/23; 9:36 AM EST = +29; signal line is +44 but algorithm remains long
2/19/23; 7:00 PM EST = +45; signal line is +45 but algorithm remains long
2/16/23; 9:00 AM EST = +45; signal line is +45 but algorithm remains long
2/12/23; 7:00 PM EST = +45; signal line is +45 but algorithm remains long
2/10/23; 3:43 PM EST = +45; signal line is +45 but algorithm remains long
2/10/23; 3:16 PM EST = +29; signal line is +45 but algorithm remains long
2/10/23; 10:00 AM EST = +45; signal line is +45 but algorithm remains long
2/10/23; 9:52 AM EST = +45; signal line is +44
2/10/23; 9:36 AM EST = +29; signal line is +42 but algorithm remains long
2/5/23; 7:00 PM EST = +45; signal line is +42
2/3/23; 9:00 AM EST = +45; signal line is +41
2/2/23; 1:27 PM EST = +45; signal line is +40
2/2/23; 10:27 AM EST = +61; signal line is +40
1/31/23; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +45; signal line is +38
1/31/23; 2:52 PM EST = +45; signal line is +37; go long 4059; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +5.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.9%; Keybot algo for 2023 = +3.9%)(Actual results this trade = -1.8%; Actual results for 2023 = +2.9%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long. The sideways chop suey continues. The quant did not print any numbers last week except for the pre-scheduled number. The internal parameters will not yet fully latch so Keybot the Quant remains long. Something has to give in the days ahead.

Bulls need stronger utilities and commodities to push stocks higher. Bears need weaker utilities, retail stocks and copper, and higher volatility, to push stocks lower.

SPX 4016 is a bull/bear line in the sand that spells serious trouble ahead if it fails. The week begins on Tuesday at 4079.

Keybot the Quant is champing at the bit to go short and probably will if the SPX moves lower gradually and takes out 4048 on Tuesday.

US markets are closed Monday for Presidents Day. Keybot prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Friday morning, Flag Day.

2/26/23; 7:00 PM EST =
2/24/23; 10:00 AM EST =
2/19/23; 7:00 PM EST = +45; signal line is +45 but algorithm remains long
2/16/23; 9:00 AM EST = +45; signal line is +45 but algorithm remains long
2/12/23; 7:00 PM EST = +45; signal line is +45 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long as the bulls and bears continue battling on the tightrope. The status is quo with the algo number and signal line both at +45 neither one willing to budge. The quant idles along this week not printing any numbers so far. The  key parameters in play right now will not flinch so stocks are jumpy stumbling sideways.

Same dealio as the prior message. Bulls need stronger commodities to keep the upside party going but that appears weak overnight and in the pre-market. Bulls need GTX above 3474 (now at 3444) to signal the all-clear for more upside.

Bears need weaker retail stocks and copper but these two parameters remain bullish. Bears need RTH below 165.20 (now at 167.11) and/or CPER below 24.28 (now at 24.90). Retail stocks need to drop about -1.2% today to create stock market negativity. Scamazon (AMZN) is down -0.6% in the pre-market. AAPL -0.8%. Retail Sales data is on tap at 8:30 AM EST. Copper futures need to drop about -2.5% and are currently down -1.4% so the bears have more work to do.

If RTH or CPER turn bearish, either one will do, and the SPX drops below 4095 trending lower, Keybot the Quant will likely flip short. If GTX pops above 3474, stocks will take another leg higher.

S&P futures are down 17 points, -0.4%. Watch GTX, RTH and CPER since one of them will flinch. It looks like the best chance is RTH especially with Amazon and Apple soggy in the pre-market and Retail Sales on tap. Time will tell.

2/19/23; 7:00 PM EST =
2/16/23; 9:00 AM EST =
2/12/23; 7:00 PM EST = +45; signal line is +45 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long as the choppy slop continues. The algo number and signal line are the same number so the direction of the US stock market is a coin-flip. The algo wants to flip short but the internal parameters will not fully latch to permit the move, so the quant remains long.

The battle will likely be decided by retail stocks, copper and commodities. If copper is higher, and the other commodities, oil, grains, etc..., are higher, and if stocks such as AMZN, HD, WMT and TGT are higher in the pre-market, the bulls will win the game.

Bears need RTH below 164.97 and CPER below 24.20 to create sustainable market negativity. Watch copper futures overnight because a -0.9% drop will spell serious trouble for stocks. Any less of a drop in copper futures or if they are positive will point to a happy day for bulls. The retail stocks in the pre-market will also provide hints on which direction RTH will go. You can also watch XRT.

If RTH or CPER turn bearish, either one will do, and if the SPX falls below 4061 trending lower, Keybot the Quant will likely flip short.

Bulls need to keep copper and retail stocks on the positive side on Monday while at the same time pulling GTX above 3478. Stocks will run strongly higher if GTX moves above 3478.

Commodities, copper and retail stocks are running the show to begin the new week of trading. If none of the three parameters flinch (GTX remains bearish and RTH and CPER remain bullish), the stock market chop suey will continue. One of them will flinch.

Keybot prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Thursday morning.

2/19/23; 7:00 PM EST =
2/16/23; 9:00 AM EST =
2/12/23; 7:00 PM EST = +45; signal line is +45 but algorithm remains long
2/10/23; 3:43 PM EST = +45; signal line is +45 but algorithm remains long
2/10/23; 3:16 PM EST = +29; signal line is +45 but algorithm remains long
2/10/23; 10:00 AM EST = +45; signal line is +45 but algorithm remains long
2/10/23; 9:52 AM EST = +45; signal line is +44
2/10/23; 9:36 AM EST = +29; signal line is +42 but algorithm remains long
2/5/23; 7:00 PM EST = +45; signal line is +42

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long as the chop suey continues. The quant did not print any numbers during the whole week yet. The pre-scheduled number prints shortly after the opening bell today.  The markets remain a toss-up with algo number only 3 points above the signal line. Bulls need stronger commodities and utilities to maintain the rally.

Bears need weaker retail stocks, copper and/or utilities to turn the tables on the bulls. Bears need RTH below 165.00, CPER below 24.25 and/or UTIL below 921.17, respectively, to create a strong leg lower in stocks. If any 1 of the 3 flip bearish, consider the imminent turn to be in play, and then if the SPX is below 4070 trending lower, Keybot the Quant will likely flip short.

If stocks drop, and that may be on tap with the S&P futures down -27 about 2 hours before the opening bell, watch the 3 parameters. If stocks puke but none of the 3 turn bearish, that tells you that stocks will likely recover and begin a relief rally.

If stocks drop and 1 of the 3 fail, lookout since things can turn very negative. If UTIL 921 fails, there will likely be Hell to pay.

Today is a big day for the US stock market that will likely tip its hand on where it wants to go.

2/12/23; 7:00 PM EST =
2/10/23; 10:00 AM EST =
2/5/23; 7:00 PM EST = +45; signal line is +42

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long but the algo number is only 3 measly points above the signal line. Caution is warranted since the stock market remains a coin-flip.

Copper likely holds the key today. CPER 24.17 is a bull/bear line in the sand identified by the quant and price begins at 24.56. This represents a -1.6% loss to stop the rally and create sustainable weakness going forward. Copper futures are down -0.5% right now; they were positive about 2 hours ago. The bears may be puffing their chests out but they still need another percent of downside in the red metal to prove that they can take stocks lower.

Utilities remain key. UTIL begins the week at 953.58 call it 954. Bulls need 979 to create a huge upside rally in the US stock market. If UTIL instead stumbles lower, that forecasts bad things ahead for stocks as the weeks play out. A failure at UTIL 921.17 will cause doom and gloom for stocks. Any move lower towards the 913-927 range during the next 3 weeks should be viewed as extremely negative for the stock market going forward on a weekly basis.

If CPER loses 24.17 today, consider the imminent turn to the downside to be in play, and if the SPX loses 4123 trending lower, Keybot the Quant will likely flip short.

Keybot prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Friday morning.

2/12/23; 7:00 PM EST =
2/10/23; 10:00 AM EST =
2/5/23; 7:00 PM EST = +45; signal line is +42
2/3/23; 9:00 AM EST = +45; signal line is +41
2/2/23; 1:27 PM EST = +45; signal line is +40
2/2/23; 10:27 AM EST = +61; signal line is +40
1/31/23; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +45; signal line is +38

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant whipsaws back to the long side yesterday afternoon at SPX 4059. The stock market is choppy slop that will chew-up bulls and bears alike. Chop suey.

The SPX keeps playing above and below the critical 4038 bull/bear line in the sand that dictates the fate of the US stock market going forward.

There is likely more drama, even more whipsaws, ahead since Pope Powell brings the tablets down from On High today and will impact markets as well as the Monthly Jobs Report Friday morning and other economic data in between.

Note that both of the flips over the last couple days occur at 2:52 PM EST. Isn't that interesting? It is not too surprising. The US trading session is split into 65-minute segments. The pivot points for stock prices typically occur around these changes from one segment to the next since the robots are executing their buy and sell programs.

The last 65-minute trading segment is 2:55 PM through 4:00 PM EST. The robots are adjusting positions at this interface. Thus, pay attention to the 20-minute period between 2:45 PM and 3:05 PM as the robots are trading positions. The flips at 2:52 PM also hint that the robot-driven trading is dominating. Typically, over 90% of the trades occurring daily are robots but now it is likely far higher.

Also, as fate would have it, the Federal Reserve rate decision is today with a 25 bip hike expected. The announcement should not be a surprise but King Powell's press conference between 2:30 PM EST and 3:30 PM EST may move markets and lo and behold this is in that robot switchover timeframe. Will Jerome flub a question at 2:55 PM EST today to create market angst?

On the last trade, that only lasted one day, if you got up to go to the can you missed it, the quant program loses a percent and the actual trading generated by Keybot the Quant loses a couple percent. On the year thus far, separation is starting to occur with the benchmark S&P 500 up nearly +6%. The Wall Street analyst bozo's said stocks would crater to begin the year.

The Keybot the Quant algorithm program is up +4% this year and the actual trading generated by the quant is up +3%. Keybot exits SDS and enters SPY flipping from the leveraged 2x ETF's back to the single 1x ETF's due to the whipsaw. Keybot will remain in 1x ETF mode for 30 days. This reduces risk in a chop suey environment.

Markets are in Pope Powell's hands today. Watch SPX 4038 and also GTX 3502. The bears probably need about a 57-point drop in the SPX today to flip short so watch Powell to see if he stumbles.

2/5/23; 7:00 PM EST =
2/3/23; 9:00 AM EST =
1/31/23; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +45; signal line is +38
1/31/23; 2:52 PM EST = +45; signal line is +37; go long 4059; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +5.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.9%; Keybot algo for 2023 = +3.9%)(Actual results this trade = -1.8%; Actual results for 2023 = +2.9%)
1/31/23; 10:50 AM EST = +45; signal line is +37 but algorithm remains short
1/31/23; 10:00 AM EST = +31; signal line is +37
1/30/23; 2:52 PM EST = +32; signal line is +37; go short 4023; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +4.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = +4.8%; Keybot algo for 2023 = +4.8%)(Actual results this trade = +4.8%; Actual results for 2023 = +4.7%)