Keybot the Quant whipsaws back to the long side yesterday at SPX 5925. Copper and commodities jump higher to begin the week carrying the stock market higher. Today, sogginess reenters. Copper and commodities are weak.
CPER 29.42 and GTX 3640 are key bull/bear lines in the sand. GTX gave up the ghost late-day yesterday so the focus is on copper. Copper futures need to drop about -3.2% to help the bears but is down -2.6% right now.
If CPER loses 29.42, and the SPX drops below 5861, Keybot the Quant will likely want to flip short but that is a tall ask for today (SPX likely needs to drop about -75 points to flip the model short).
On the last trade that lasted about 8-1/2 hours, a whipsaw, the quant program loses about a percent and the actual trading generated by the quant loses a couple percent. For the year, with only 20 trading days remaining in H1, the benchmark S&P 500 is dead flat. The Keybot the Quant algo program is up about +16% and the actual trading is up about +19%. Due to the whipsaw, the quant drops into the 1x ETF's again for 30 days because it senses that there is choppy slop ahead and it wants to reduce risk. Keybot the Quant exited SDS and entered SPY. Stay alert for another potential Whipsaw back to the short side this week.
6/8/25;
7:00 PM EST =
6/6/25;
9:00 AM EST =
6/2/25; 3:06 PM EST = +46; signal line is +36
6/2/25; 2:51 PM EST = +60; signal line is +35
6/2/25; 2:23 PM EST = +46; signal line is +35; go long 5925
(Benchmark SPX for 2025 = +0.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.1%; Keybot algo
for 2025 = +15.6%)(Actual results this trade = -2.2%; Actual results for 2025 =
+18.8%)
6/2/25;
2:09 PM EST = +46; signal line
is +35 but algorithm remains short
6/2/25; 9:36 AM EST = +60; signal line is +35 but algorithm remains short
6/1/25; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +30; signal line is
+35
5/30/25; 12:31 PM EST = +30;
signal line is +35; go short 5859 (Benchmark SPX for 2025 = -0.4%)(Keybot
algo this trade = +11.5%; Keybot algo for 2025 = +16.7%)(Actual results this
trade = +11.5%; Actual results for 2025 = +21.0%)
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