STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side at SPX 6856 at 2:41 PM EST this afternoon as Pope Powell was tap-dancing in front of reporters. Banks, volatility and retail stocks all failed today sending equities down the rabbit hole. The Fed tried to push volatility lower into the close accounting for the recovery in the stock indexes but the VIX beach ball would not stay underwater.

Traders hit the sell button when Chairman Powell said a 12/10/25 rate cut is not a foregone conclusion. The quant is active today spitting out 7 numbers and flipping short. The bears are in control of the stock market with the algo number 13 points below the signal line. Stay alert for a potential whipsaw tomorrow although the tech earnings this evening are sh*tting the bed and will likely create soggy futures into tomorrow.

VIX 16.70, XRT 84.17 and XLF 52.83, volatility, retail stocks and banks, respectively, are driving the stock market to and fro. All 3 are bearish creating todays gloom. Bears need to keep all 3 bearish and deteriorating further while also trying to weaken commodities and pull GTX below 3835 to cause real trouble.

The bulls need any 1 of the 3 bearish metrics above to turn bullish and that will stabilize the stock market and prevent anymore downside in equities. Bulls need VIX below 16.70, you can check this overnight, XRT above 84.17 and/or XLF above 52.83. Any 1 of the 3 would do. These three parameters will tell you the story on the stock market.

On the last trade that ran for only 9 days, the quant program gains a couple percent and the actual trading gains about +4%. For the year, the benchmark SPX is up nearly +17% a bigtime year if it holds. The Keybot the Quant program is up +27% on the year and the actual trading generated by the quant is up a humungous +34% thus far this year. Put that in your pipe, or bong, and smoke it. Can't Believe We're Here. Keybot exited SSO and entered QID remaining in 2x leveraged ETF's.

11/2/25; 7:00 PM EST EOM =
10/29/25; 3:19 PM EST = +13; signal line is +26
10/29/25; 3:00 PM EST = +27; signal line is +26 but algorithm remains short
10/29/25; 2:41 PM EST = +13; signal line is +25; go short 6856 (Benchmark SPX for 2025 = +16.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = +2.2%; Keybot algo for 2025 = +26.8%)(Actual results this trade = +4.2%; Actual results for 2025 = +34.0%)
10/29/25; 1:12 PM EST = +29; signal line is +26
10/29/25; 11:27 AM EST = +43; signal line is +26
10/29/25; 9:52 AM EST = +29; signal line is +26
10/29/25; 9:36 AM EST = +43; signal line is +27
10/28/25; 10:00 AM EST = +59; signal line is +26
10/26/25; 7:00 PM EST = +59; signal line is +25
10/24/25; 10:00 AM EST = +59; signal line is +22
10/24/25; 9:37 AM EST = +59; signal line is +21
10/24/25; 8:36 AM EST = +43; signal line is +19
10/21/25; 1:26 PM EST = +29; signal line is +17
10/21/25; 11:22 AM EST = +45; signal line is +17
10/21/25; 9:51 AM EST = +31; signal line is +15
10/21/25; 9:42 AM EST = +45; signal line is +15
10/20/25; 9:37 AM EST = +29; signal line is +15; go long 6711 (Benchmark SPX for 2025 = +14.1%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.3%; Keybot algo for 2025 = +24.6%)(Actual results this trade = -0.6%; Actual results for 2025 = +29.8%)