STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short as the stock market opens higher, then drops, then recovers now printing the highs of the day, punching up through SPX 1981 and price making a run towards the 1985-1988 resistance. The pre-scheduled number surprisingly drops the algo number four points to +23. Note how utilities are the outperforming sector today. The bulls know they must push UTIL above 566.46 this week to regain their mojo. UTIL is now printing 557. VIX drops to 15.31 so lower volatility sends stocks higher. The bears need lower utes, higher volatility and XLF to move under 23.06 to create a strong leg lower. Bulls will recover and create an extended relief rally if UTIL moves above 566.46 or if VIX drops under 12.45.

9/30/14; 7:00 PM EST EOM =

9/30/14; 10:00 AM EST = +23; signal line is +37

9/29/14; 9:36 AM EST = +27; signal line is +38

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short moving into the Tuesday session. The bears have a strong hold on the markets despite the S&P futures +7 about 3-1/2 hours before the opening bell. Higher utilities and lower volatility will float markets higher. The bears need lower financials, XLF under the 23.05 bull-bear line in the sand, to create more selling pressure. Lower semiconductors, retail stocks and NYA index will also help the bears.

For the SPX starting at 1978, the bulls need to push above 1981, only three points higher, to create an upside acceleration that will attack the strong 1985-1988 overhead resistance area. The +7 in the S&P futures hint that the SPX will immediately attack the 1985-1988 resistance gauntlet after the opening bell. The bears need to push under 1964 to accelerate the downside, a formidable task, so instead bears will concentrate on sending utes and financials lower and keeping volatility elevated. A move through 1965-1980 is sideways action but it looks like the bulls are going to run today. Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number this morning and another this evening for the EOM and EOQ3.

10/3/14; 9:00 AM EST =

9/30/14; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ3 =

9/30/14; 10:00 AM EST =

9/29/14; 9:36 AM EST = +27; signal line is +38

9/28/14; 7:00 PM EST = +43; signal line is +38 but algorithm remains short

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short as equities begin the weak on a sour tone mainly due to the Hong Kong unrest and Brazil tumbling lower. UTIL is well under the 566.46 bull-bear line in the sand that is applicable for the entire week so the bulls have their work cut out for them to bring utes higher. Volatility moves higher creating bear fuel.

Watch the financials; XLF 23.05. XLF is at 23.12 only pennies away and a failure at 23.05 will create significant downside. Markets are recovering as the Fed POMO pump sends stocks higher mid-morning. Bulls will focus on pushing financials and utilities higher while sending volatility lower to try and stop the downside selling.

9/30/14; 10:00 AM EST =

9/29/14; 9:36 AM EST = +27; signal line is +38

9/28/14; 7:00 PM EST = +43; signal line is +38 but algorithm remains short

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant is short moving into the new week of trading. The bulls and bears are fighting it out sideways as the algo number is above the signal line wanting to go long but the internal parameters will not yet allow the move. In general, if the SPX moves above 1986 and remains above, Keybot will likely flip long. However, if the algo number slips back under the signal line, which it probably will since UTIL will be under the critical 566.46 number that is important for the entire week, then the bears will remain in control.

Watch UTIL 566.46 and lower which will create market negativity. Watch VIX 12.38. VIX begins the week at 14.85 in the bear camp causing negativity. So utilities and volatility are important to begin the new week. Keybot is also showing interest in financials and tracking XLF 23.03. XLF begins at 23.29 in the bull camp causing market upside. The Hong Kong protests may create negativity in banks overnight.

For the SPX starting at 1983, the bulls need to push above 1986, only three points higher, to accelerate the upside to 1991 and Keybot will likely flip long. The bears need to push under 1966 retracing the Friday move to regain their mojo. This is a formidable task so instead bears will focus on keeping utes weak and volatility high. A move through 1967-1985 is sideways action for Monday. S&P futures are negative on Sunday evening. The bears are driving the bus. Keybot prints three pre-scheduled numbers this week. The EOM is Tuesday. The expectation is for the algo number (+43) to probably drop under the signal line (+38) shortly after trading begins but anything is game in these markets. 

10/5/14; 7:00 PM EST =

10/3/14; 9:00 AM EST =

9/30/14; 7:00 PM EST EOM =

9/30/14; 10:00 AM EST =

9/28/14; 7:00 PM EST = +43; signal line is +38 but algorithm remains short

9/26/14; 10:00 AM EST = +43; signal line is +38 but algorithm remains short

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short through the weekend. The wild roller coaster ride continues all week long with a big down on Monday and Tuesday, followed by a big up on Wednesday, then a very big down on Thursday and then a very big up on Friday. Semi's and financials recover late in the week, and volatility drops, which helps the bulls recover. As mentioned previously, UTIL 566.46 is an important bull-bear line in the sand for all of next week and at 548 is in bear territory the minute the opening bell rings on Monday morning. The bearish utes will create market negativity.

On the bull side, the algo is champing at the bit to go long but the internal programming rules are not yet satisfied so the model will not latch to allow the move to the bull side. If the SPX moves above 1986, Keybot will likely flip long, however, with the utilities set to turn bearish, the move to the long side will probably be thwarted. Monday morning should be interesting. The parameters and levels of interest for next week can be identified once the Sunday pre-scheduled number prints tomorrow.

9/28/14; 7:00 PM EST =

9/26/14; 10:00 AM EST = +43; signal line is +38 but algorithm remains short

Note: The site continues to receive strong interest and requests by followers concerning providing more details on how the Keybot the Quant algorithm works and if the signal calls can be announced faster. Typically, the flips from the bull to bear side or bear to bull are announced in a timely manner. There are logistics required where anywhere from a few minutes to one-half hour or one hour are needed to post the change in all the areas that need to be updated. If the author is unavailable sometimes the announcement of the flip is delayed a few hours, however, remember that the algo is not a very short term timing model but instead Keybot plots the smoothest course possible for the stock market through the entire year. Thus, the algo can easily miss from zero to 10 even 20 SPX handles sometimes before the turn occurs. That is fine since the algo provides lower risk and safety as well as consistent returns rather than high-risk returns that could go bust at any time. Also, Keybot may flip direction but many times the stock market will reverse only to go against the direction of the algo; this is normal price action. Sometimes if the announcement that Keybot flips sides is delayed, it is to the advantage of anyone following the model since you may enter at a better spot than Keybot entered for the ongoing trade. The algo status is described each day so if you follow the guidelines for that given day you can usually infer that a flip has occurred in the model even if it is not posted to the site for an hour or so. The algo uses a two-tier approach where the algo number and signal line listed above provide the big picture status of markets and the initial signal to flip sides (currently the model is short but wants to go long). The algo has several subroutines constantly running that must latch into place to permit the move (currently the flip to the long side is not permitted by the internal subroutines). These subroutines and methods are proprietary having taken 10 years to properly develop although one key focus you must always maintain is on the prior day and current day's SPX price highs and lows. Happy trading.

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short printing one number and the pre-scheduled number to begin the Friday session. The algo wants to flip to the long side but the internal parameters will not latch to allow the move. Equities may stumble sideways today into the weekend to take a rest and assess the path ahead.

Semiconductors recover strongly fed by MU earnings last evening sticking a thumb in the bear's eye with SOX moving higher. Keep watching the XLF 23.03 bull-bear line in the sand. XLF is at 23.19 on the bull side creating market lift. Equities will take a strong leg lower if XLF 23.03 fails. Watch the UTIL 566.46 level as the day draws to a close as described previously. If UTIL finishes under 566 today this will create market weakness come Monday. The UTIL 566.46 bull-bear line in the sand is in play for all of next week. The bulls are currently enjoying a relief bounce after yesterday's drubbing.

9/28/14; 7:00 PM EST =

9/26/14; 10:00 AM EST = +43; signal line is +38 but algorithm remains short

9/26/14; 9:36 AM EST = +42; signal line is +39 but algorithm remains short

9/25/14; 3:59 PM EST = +26; signal line is +39

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short. The algo is very active in the Thursday session printing seven numbers. Semiconductors, financials and utilities are controlling market direction. Watch SOX 635.93 (now at 635.42 causing bearishness), XLF 23.03 (now at 23.07 causing bullishness) and UTIL 566.46. UTIL is at 546 well under the 566.46 which will be in play every day next week but it does not become important until the closing bell Friday at 4 PM. If UTIL finishes under 566, this will create further market negativity come Monday morning. The movement in SOX and XLF at the opening bell in respect to the levels identified by the algo and listed above will dictate market direction for Friday.

For the SPX starting at 1966 closing at the lows, the bears only need to see a smidge of red in the S&P futures overnight and the downside will accelerate further. The bulls will focus on keeping the overnight futures positive and pushing semiconductors and financials higher after the opening bell to stop the market bleeding. A move through 1967-1996 is sideways action to end the week. The bears are driving the bus. Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number tomorrow one-half hour after the opening bell.

9/28/14; 7:00 PM EST =

9/26/14; 10:00 AM EST =

9/25/14; 3:59 PM EST = +26; signal line is +39

9/25/14; 3:41 PM EST = +42; signal line is +40 but algorithm remains short

9/25/14; 3:28 PM EST = +26; signal line is +40

9/25/14; 2:42 PM EST = +42; signal line is +41 but algorithm remains short

9/25/14; 1:47 PM EST = +26; signal line is +41

9/25/14; 1:17 PM EST = +42; signal line is +42 but algorithm remains short

9/25/14; 12:02 PM EST = +26; signal line is +41

9/22/14; 9:36 AM EST = +42; signal line is +42; go short 2004; (Benchmark SPX for 2014 = +8.4%)(Keybot this trade = -0.1%; Keybot for 2014 = +8.0%)(Actual this trade = +0.0%; Actual for 2014 = +9.3%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short as the market push and pull continues. The bulls stage a 22-handle intraday turnaround for the SPX yesterday. The algo has not printed any numbers since the flip to the bear side on Monday. The key parameter currently impacting market direction remains volatility. Watch VIX 12.36. The VIX is at 13.27 in bear territory causing market negativity. Bears are fine as long as the VIX does not drop under 12.36. Bulls win the day if volatility drops. If the VIX falls under 12.36 and the SPX is printing above 2000, Keybot will likely flip long. If the stock market rallies but the VIX stays above 12.36, equities will run out of gas and reverse and move lower.

For the SPX starting at 1998, the bulls only need a couple points, to touch the 2000 handle, and bingo, price will immediately tag the 2002-2003 resistance and likely punch up through. The bears need to retrace yesterday's move and push below 1979 to regain their mojo so instead will focus on pushing volatility higher. A move through 1980-1999 is sideways action. The bears are driving the bus but the markets remain in this ongoing choppy sideways bull-bear fight for control.

9/26/14; 10:00 AM EST =

9/22/14; 9:36 AM EST = +42; signal line is +42; go short 2004; (Benchmark SPX for 2014 = +8.4%)(Keybot this trade = -0.1%; Keybot for 2014 = +8.0%)(Actual this trade = +0.0%; Actual for 2014 = +9.3%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short and the algo motors along without printing any numbers since the model flipped short on Monday. The algo number and signal line are both at +42 indicating the ongoing bull-bear fight for control. The bulls need lower volatility to stop the market selling. The bears need lower semi's and/or utilities to create more selling. The bulls need VIX under 12.39. The bears need either UTIL under 542.42 and/or SOX under 636.20. If the three parameters remain status quo, in their respective bear and bull camps, then equities float along sideways.

For the SPX starting at 1983, closing at the lows, the bears only need a smidge of negativity in the futures and price will seek the low to mid 1970's quickly. S&P futures point to a flat to higher start about four hours before the opening bell. The bulls need to push the SPX above 1995 to signal the all-clear for upside again. A move through 1984-1994 is sideways action. Keep a close eye on semiconductors.

9/26/14; 10:00 AM EST =

9/22/14; 9:36 AM EST = +42; signal line is +42; go short 2004; (Benchmark SPX for 2014 = +8.4%)(Keybot this trade = -0.1%; Keybot for 2014 = +8.0%)(Actual this trade = +0.0%; Actual for 2014 = +9.3%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant is on the short side and volatility will continue playing the key role in market direction. Watch VIX 12.38. Bears win with VIX above 12.38. Bulls win below. The algo begins tracking semiconductors identifying SOX 636.00 as a bull-bear line in the sand. SOX is 641.35 comfortably in bull territory causing stock market lift. Bears can create strong downside if semiconductors fail.

For the SPX starting at 1994, the bears need three points, to push under 1991 and the downside will accelerate to 1888 quickly and then test 1985-1986 support. The bulls need to retrace yesterday's loss, a formidable task, so instead will concentrate on dragging volatility lower and pushing semi's higher to try and stop or stall the market selling. A move through 1992-2008 is sideways action. The bears are driving the bus. Note: The pre-scheduled number listed previously for today is actually for next Tuesday so this Friday morning is the only pre-scheduled number that will print this week.

9/28/14; 7:00 PM EST =

9/26/14; 10:00 AM EST =

9/22/14; 9:36 AM EST = +42; signal line is +42; go short 2004; (Benchmark SPX for 2014 = +8.4%)(Keybot this trade = -0.1%; Keybot for 2014 = +8.0%)(Actual this trade = +0.0%; Actual for 2014 = +9.3%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side as volatility leaps higher and equities stumble lower. The seesaw market action continues. VIX is well above the 12.38 danger line so stocks are selling off. The bulls need VIX under 12.38 to stop the downward slide in equities. The bears need weaker utilities and/or semiconductors to create more downside fuel. Watch UTIL 542.42 and SOX 636.00. Either one would create a strong down leg in the broad indexes. If the parameters above remains status quo, equities will stagger along sideways to sideways lower.

Both the algorithm computer program and the actual trading end up dead flat for the last trade as the bulls and bears fight for control. Keybot exited SSO and entered QID. As always, stay alert for a whipsaw move especially in these sideways choppy markets. For now, the bears are driving the bus again. If the VIX drops under 12.38 consider the imminent turn notation to be back in the title line since the bulls will be pushing the stock market higher. Bears are fine going forward as long as they keep VIX above 12.38.

9/26/14; 10:00 AM EST =

9/22/14; 9:36 AM EST = +42; signal line is +42; go short 2004; (Benchmark SPX for 2014 = +8.4%)(Keybot this trade = -0.1%; Keybot for 2014 = +8.0%)(Actual this trade = +0.0%; Actual for 2014 = +9.3%)

9/21/14; 7:00 PM EST = +56; signal line is +42

9/19/14; 1:57 PM EST = +56; signal line is +42

9/19/14; 1:00 PM EST = +42; signal line is +42 but algorithm remains long

9/18/14; 9:59 AM EST = +56; signal line is +42

9/18/14; 9:00 AM EST = +42; signal line is +42 but algorithm remains long

9/17/14; 3:50 PM EST = +42; signal line is +43 but algorithm remains long

9/17/14; 2:24 PM EST = +56; signal line is +42; go long 2005; (Benchmark SPX for 2014 = +8.5%)(Keybot this trade = -0.4%; Keybot for 2014 = +8.1%)(Actual this trade = -1.0%; Actual for 2014 = +9.3%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long moving into the new week of trading. As mentioned in the previous post, volatility is the main market driver currently with VIX 12.38 the bull-bear line in the sand. Equities will continue higher if VIX remains under 12.38. Bears will growl if VIX moves above 12.38. If the VIX stays above 12.38, and the SPX drops under 2007, and remains under, Keybot will likely flip to the short side, hence the imminent turn notation remains in the title line. Bulls and bears are fighting for control.

For the SPX starting at 2010, the bulls need to push above 2019, the all-time high, to accelerate higher to 2022 in a heartbeat. The bears need to push under 2007 to accelerate the downside which will tag 2002-2003 support very fast. A move through 2008-2018 is sideways action to begin the week. Watch the VIX 12.38 level like a hawk at the opening bell; it will tell you the market directional answer. Keybot prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Friday morning.

9/28/14; 7:00 PM EST =

9/26/14; 10:00 AM EST =

9/21/14; 7:00 PM EST = +56; signal line is +42

9/19/14; 1:57 PM EST = +56; signal line is +42

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long as the bulls and bears fight for market control. Volatility is the key market driver currently and VIX 12.38 rules the roost come Monday. VIX begins at 12.11 creating market bullishness. Bears need VIX above 12.38 or they got nothing. Other parameters and levels of interest can be identified once the algo prints the Sunday pre-scheduled number tomorrow.

9/21/14; 7:00 PM EST =

9/19/14; 1:57 PM EST = +56; signal line is +42

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long. Utilities are elevated all day long so bears do not receive help from this sector. VIX moves above the 12.37 bull-bear level creating market weakness but the bulls recover and push VIX back below 12.37. If the VIX moves above 12.37 and the SPX prints under 2003, Keybot will likely flip short. Since the SPX came within a few handles of falling under 2003 a short time ago, the imminent turn notation returns in the title line. Markets remain a coin flip with lots of sideways drama ongoing. The SPX prints a new all-time record high at 2019.26. Bulls need lower volatility and bears need higher volatility. VIX is at 12.17 and SPX is at 2012.

9/21/14; 7:00 PM EST =

9/19/14; 1:57 PM EST = +56; signal line is +42

9/19/14; 1:00 PM EST = +42; signal line is +42 but algorithm remains long

9/18/14; 9:59 AM EST = +56; signal line is +42

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant is long with volatility and utilities remaining in the bull camp. If UTIL falls under 550, equities will weaken, however, at the closing bell for the week, the UTIL 542.42 level is key for all of next week. Bulls should stay above that which would alleviate any market negativity that may occur on Friday. If UTIL falls under 542.42 in the days ahead, the stock market will be in serious trouble going forward. Volatility remains the key. Bears need VIX above 12.38 or they got nothing (now at 12.03 causing market bullishness).

For Friday with the SPX starting at 2011, the bulls only need one point higher to punch up through the all-time high at 2012.34, and several more handles of upside will print quickly with a smooth ride to 2018. The bears must keep the overnight S&P futures negative to stop the relentless bull rally. After the opening bell, the bears must push the SPX under the 2002-2003 support area and that will create a ceiling in equities and provide breathing room for bears. A move through 2004-2011 is sideways action to end the week. 

9/21/14; 7:00 PM EST =

9/18/14; 9:59 AM EST = +56; signal line is +42

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains on the long side after the wild ride yesterday. The bulls continue to slap the bears in the face today. Commodities and copper are the only bear-friendly sectors. The VIX collapses under 12.37 after the opening bell moving into the bull camp sending the stock market higher. The VIX is now at 11.98 losing the 12 handle so equities are printing at the highs. Watch VIX 12.37. Bears got nothing without volatility increasing above VIX 12.37.

[Utilities had a bad data feed earlier.] The algo is tracking utilities again the UTIL 550 number for all of this week. Markets will weaken if UTIL loses the 550 level. The UTIL bull-bear level for next week is 542.42 a much easier target for bulls to remain above. The following week, however, the week of 9/29/14, UTIL must remain above 566.46 or the markets will weaken. So the bulls may have an easier road next week with utilities but price must start marching far higher over the coming days otherwise the utes will usher in market weakness as September comes to a close. This concept is very important; utes must rise through late next week up to the UTIL 566 level and higher, otherwise, the stock market will likely weaken considerably. If utilities climb steadily higher now through next week, through 555, 560, 565, and higher, that is a signal that the bulls remain in great shape.

The SPX prints a new all-time record high at 2011.79 and gunning for another as this is typed with price above 2010. Everything is going the bulls way. Equities will continue sideways to sideways higher until the VIX moves above 12.37 or UTIL moves under 550.

9/21/14; 7:00 PM EST =

9/18/14; 9:59 AM EST = +56; signal line is +42

9/18/14; 9:00 AM EST = +42; signal line is +42 but algorithm remains long

9/17/14; 3:50 PM EST = +42; signal line is +43 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant is on the long side but the algo is already having second thoughts about the move with the algo dipping back below the signal line. The internal parameters are not latching in place to allow the whipsaw back to the short side as yet. So the bulls keep riding the Yellen rally wave into the closing bell only a couple minutes away. VIX is 12.61 above the bull-bear line identified by the algo at 12.37 back in bear territory and causing the market leakage into the bell. If the bears could have prevented the VIX from falling under 12.37 a short time ago, the algo may have not flipped long. The bulls are driving the bus but a bull-bear struggle continues.

9/18/14; 9:00 AM EST =

9/17/14; 3:50 PM EST = +42; signal line is +43 but algorithm remains long

9/17/14; 2:24 PM EST = +56; signal line is +42; go long 2005; (Benchmark SPX for 2014 = +8.5%)(Keybot this trade = -0.4%; Keybot for 2014 = +8.1%)(Actual this trade = -1.0%; Actual for 2014 = +9.3%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant flips to the long side just before Fed Chair Yellen begins speaking today at SPX 2005. Equities continue to react wildly, down, up, sideways, down, big up, down, like a ping-pong ball. Volatility is key. Watch VIX 12.37. Copper is weak today remaining in the bear camp. The VIX turns bullish and the market is in Fed rally mode although leaking lower as this message is typed.

The broad indexes are printing at new all-time highs. The algo takes a -0.4% loss with the computer program on the last trade and a -1.0% loss with the actual trade. Keybot switches out of SDS and into SSO.

The markets keep dropping off the highs and VIX is coming back up to the bull-bear line at 12.37. It is very rare for the algo to whipsaw on the same day; it may have happened only a two times in the last five years. If the VIX moves above 12.37 and it holds, the SPX likely has to print down at 1985-1994 to create a whipsaw back to the short side so the bulls may be okay into the closing bell. Bulls and bears continue fighting it out. Stay alert for a whipsaw move probably not in the final minutes today but perhaps for tomorrow.

9/21/14; 7:00 PM EST =

9/18/14; 9:00 AM EST =

9/17/14; 2:24 PM EST = +56; signal line is +42; go long 2005; (Benchmark SPX for 2014 = +8.5%)(Keybot this trade = -0.4%; Keybot for 2014 = +8.1%)(Actual this trade = -1.0%; Actual for 2014 = +9.3%)

9/16/14; 9:52 AM EST = +42; signal line is +42 but algorithm remains short

9/15/14; 3:48 PM EST = +26; signal line is +43

9/15/14; 2:32 PM EST = +42; signal line is +44

9/15/14; 2:11 PM EST = +26; signal line is +45

9/15/14; 12:55 PM EST = +42; signal line is +47

9/15/14; 12:54 PM EST = +26; signal line is +48

9/15/14; 12:09 PM EST = +10; signal line is +49

9/15/14; 11:23 AM EST = +26; signal line is +51

9/14/14; 7:00 PM EST = +42; signal line is +52

9/12/14; 10:00 AM EST = +42; signal line is +53

9/8/14; 11:57 AM EST = +40; signal line is +53

9/8/14; 9:36 AM EST = +56; signal line is +54 but algorithm remains short

9/7/14; 7:00 PM EST = +54; signal line is +53 but algorithm remains short

9/5/14; 12:36 PM EST = +54; signal line is +53 but algorithm remains short

9/5/14; 9:00 AM EST = +40; signal line is +52

9/4/14; 3:03 PM EST = +40; signal line is +51; go short 1997; (Benchmark SPX for 2014 = +8.1%)(Keybot this trade = +2.3%; Keybot for 2014 = +8.5%)(Actual this trade = +4.7%; Actual for 2014 = +10.3%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short through the wild circus-type behavior today. The algo is on the verge of going long. Watch JJC 38.48 (now 38.34 causing market negativity) and VIX 12.37 (now at 12.73 causing market negativity). If either the JJC or VIX turns bullish, only one is necessary, and the SPX moves above 2002, Keybot will likely flip to the long side. The bears are on the ropes and need to maintain bearish copper and higher volatility while at the same time forcing semiconductors and utilities lower.

For the SPX starting at 1999, the bull only need three points, to poke up through the strong 2002-2003 resistance and an upside acceleration will occur with the algo probably flipping to the long side. The bears must push under 1980, a formidable task, to regain their mojo, so instead they will focus on lower copper, semi's and utes and higher volatility. A move through 1981-2001 is sideways action for Wednesday.

The Fed announcements and drama begin at 2 PM (7 PM London time). Since copper (JJC) is so close to turning bullish, watch the copper trade overnight. If copper is up strongly, the fix is likely in and the bulls should run tomorrow. Negative copper will keep the bears in the hunt. Markets are at an important inflection point and Fed Chair Yellen will decide the markets' fate.

9/18/14; 9:00 AM EST =

9/16/14; 9:52 AM EST = +42; signal line is +42 but algorithm remains short

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant is bearish but the wild move in copper up +2.6% has the algo on the verge of going long. The move came out of left field. Watch JJC 38.48 as the bull-bear line in the sand. JJC has remained under creating negativity but price is at 38.36 only pennies away threatening a positive cross which will send equities even higher. If JJC moves above 38.48, and the SPX moves above 1999, Keybot will likely flip long. The SPX has staged a 20-point turnaround intraday. 

9/18/14; 9:00 AM EST =

9/16/14; 9:52 AM EST = +42; signal line is +42 but algorithm remains short

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short but note that the algo wants to flip long with the algo number and signal line on top of each other at +42. There is an internal latch that will not close under these conditions so the algo remains bearish. UTIL explodes higher well above the 550 danger line in place for all of this week bolstering the bull case. The bulls also send semiconductors higher with SOX above the critical 682.81 level back  in the bull camp creating the market upside. The bears are content since VIX remains above 12.39.

Despite the run higher, the algo will likely not flip long today. If the VIX falls under 12.39, however, the upside path is guaranteed and Keybot will likely flip long in a heartbeat. For now, the beat goes on.

9/18/14; 9:00 AM EST =

9/16/14; 9:52 AM EST = +42; signal line is +42 but algorithm remains short

9/15/14; 3:48 PM EST = +26; signal line is +43

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains bearish after an active day for the algo. The semiconductors are dancing to and fro so SOX 632.81 will identify the winner on Tuesday. Note the algo number was within two points of the signal line after 2 PM. The best thing for the bulls is to jog the semiconductors higher in other words move SOX above and below 632.81 to move the algo number above the signal line and set the model up to move to the bullish side. The bulls also need VIX under 12.39 to receive more upside juice. The bears need to keep semi's bearish and also move UTIL under 550 to receive more downside juice.

For the SPX starting at 1984, the bulls need three points of upside, to move above 1987 and 1991 will come very fast. The bears need to push about 5 points lower, under 1978.50, to accelerate the downside to 1973 in quick order. A move through 1979-1986 is sideways action.

9/18/14; 9:00 AM EST =

9/15/14; 3:48 PM EST = +26; signal line is +43

9/15/14; 2:32 PM EST = +42; signal line is +44

9/15/14; 2:11 PM EST = +26; signal line is +45

9/15/14; 12:55 PM EST = +42; signal line is +47

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short as the bulls launch a quick comeback smashing the bear hopes for a sharp collapse. UTIL regains 550 and SOX is running strongly higher above 632.85 so equities recover. Watch these two parameters and VIX 12.37. If the VIX drops under 12.37 and SPX moves above 1997, Keybot will likely flip long. The bears need to weaken utes and semi's to send equities lower.

9/18/14; 9:00 AM EST =

9/15/14; 12:55 PM EST = +42; signal line is +47

9/15/14; 12:54 PM EST = +26; signal line is +48

9/15/14; 12:09 PM EST = +10; signal line is +49

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short with some intense market action occurring. Both utilities and semiconductors fail this morning so it is surprising to not see the broad indexes tumbling lower in earnest. As this message is typed UTIL is trying to regain the critical 550 level and SOX is trying to regain the critical 632.85 bull-bear line in the sand. Pay close attention to these two parameters as they control market direction. Volatility is higher with VIX above 14 creating sustainable market negativity. If the UTIL and SOX cannot print on the bull side in the minutes ahead, the markets will fall down the rabbit hole in a downside acceleration. The broad indexes will recover today if either UTIL moves above 550 or if SOX moves above 632.85. The bears are cruising. The market action will become very ugly unless the bulls push utes or socks higher.

9/18/14; 9:00 AM EST =

9/15/14; 12:09 PM EST = +10; signal line is +49

9/15/14; 11:23 AM EST = +26; signal line is +51

9/14/14; 7:00 PM EST = +42; signal line is +52

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant is short to begin the new week of trading. As explained in the previous message, UTIL 550 is a key bull-bear line in the sand for all of this week. If UTIL remains under 550 (now at 549.64), equities leak lower. If UTIL moves above 550, equities move higher. VIX 12.36 is important. The broad indexes will remains weak as long as VIX stays above 12.36. The algo is next tracking semiconductors as a key market driver and identifying SOX 631.50 as a key bull-bear line in the sand. SOX is near 640 well above the danger line.

For the SPX starting at 1986, the bulls need to touch the 1997 handle to regain their mojo. This may prove difficult so instead bulls will focus on pushing utilities and semi's higher and volatility lower. The bears need to push the SPX under 1980 to accelerate the downside which will print at the 1973 support in quick order. A move through 1981-1996 is sideways action for Monday. The bears are driving the bus. Watch UTIL 550 in the opening minutes. Keybot prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Thursday morning.

9/21/14; 7:00 PM EST =

9/18/14; 9:00 AM EST =

9/14/14; 7:00 PM EST = +42; signal line is +52

9/12/14; 10:00 AM EST = +42; signal line is +53

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains bearish. The bears ride the higher volatility into the weekend sending markets lower. The bulls maintain a bid in financials preventing a market collapse.

UTIL closes at 549.64 under the 550 level that the algorithm is targeting for all of next week and called out one week ago. Isn't it astounding how Keybot can identify these key numbers before they occur? Since UTIL closes under 550 it will begin the new week in bear territory (as dictated by the algorithm) creating market negativity and another leg lower for stocks. If UTIL recovers above 550 at the opening bell that will tell you that stocks will recover. Utilities and volatility are key on Monday and semi's are moving up in the algo's current hierarchy. The imminent turn notation is removed since UTIL is on the bear side come Monday morning but if utes bounce at the opening bell the imminent turn notation will return since the bulls will be pushing the SPX higher.

Other areas and levels of interest important for Monday can be identified once the Sunday pre-scheduled number prints tomorrow.

9/14/14; 7:00 PM EST =

9/12/14; 10:00 AM EST = +42; signal line is +53

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short as the Friday session is underway and Keybot prints this weeks pre-scheduled number a short time ago. The bulls have the market on a silver platter but the bears show up to play pushing volatility higher and the SPX lower. Watch VIX 12.35 as the market rudder. Above and bears will be happy into the weekend. If the VIX drops under 12.35, the bulls will mount a huge upside rally and Keybot will likely flip long.

Financials are upbeat which keeps the bulls in the game. Semi's are weak helping bears. UTIL is 555 and remember the 550 is a critical bull-bear line for all of next week. If UTIL closes today under 550, the bears will be in great shape come Monday morning. The SPX is staggering sideways along the 1990-1991 support area.

9/14/14; 7:00 PM EST =

9/12/14; 10:00 AM EST = +42; signal line is +53

9/8/14; 11:57 AM EST = +40; signal line is +53

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short motoring along through the week without printing any numbers since Monday. VIX 12.35 remains the key market driver currently. VIX is above at 12.80 creating market negativity. Bulls need VIX under 12.35 and the upside orgy for equities will begin again. If the VIX drops under 12.35 and the SPX prints above 1998 and higher, Keybot will likely flip long so the imminent turn notation is in the title line. The bears need to send volatility higher immediately at the opening bell for Friday as well as send financials, semiconductor and retail stocks lower. The positivity or negativity in these three sectors will tell a lot about the path ahead.

For Friday with the SPX starting at 1997, the bulls need to touch the 1998 handle and bingo, a quick upside acceleration will occur sending price easily above 2000 to the 2002-2003 resistance. Therefore, watch the S&P futures overnight since any smidge of green will place the bulls in a festive party mood going into the weekend. The bears must push under 1986 to accelerate the downside a difficult task so the bears will instead focus on pushing volatility higher and financials, semi's and retail stocks lower. A move through 1987-1997 is sideways action. The bulls are in position to retake control; all they need is lower volatility to light the way. The bears need some bad news overnight to set a sour mood for Friday. Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number at 10 AM tomorrow.

9/12/14; 10:00 AM EST =

9/8/14; 11:57 AM EST = +40; signal line is +53

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short riding out the ongoing market drama without printing any numbers since Monday. Same-o story. Market direction is determined by the battle between financials and volatility. Today VIX runs higher to 14 and the bears were in clover, however, as the day played out VIX drops to 12.88 fueling the market recovery intraday. Financials are buoyant today which helped the bulls.

Bears need XLF under 22.93. Bulls need VIX below 12.35. One of the two will flinch. If the VIX turns bullish, and the SPX moves above 1997 and remains above, Keybot will likely flip long. For the SPX starting at 1996 on Thursday, the bulls only need one point to push above 1997 to mount an upside acceleration. The bears need to push under 1983 to accelerate the downside. A move through 1984-1996 is sideways action. The imminent turn status returns since the bulls only need some weaker volatility and a point or two higher in the SPX to begin a bull rally and potentially flip Keybot back to the long side. Interestingly, 1997 is the same level that the algo flipped short at last Thursday.

9/14/14; 7:00 PM EST =

9/12/14; 10:00 AM EST =

9/8/14; 11:57 AM EST = +40; signal line is +53

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short. The algo idled along without printing any numbers but the fix was in for the bear side when copper collapsed. Copper took the pipe and is now firmly entrenched in the bear camp wanting to see lower equities going forward. The algo is now tracking volatility and financials as the key market movers and is also showing developing attention with utilities. Watch XLF 22.92 (now at 23.23 causing market upside) and VIX 12.34 (now at 12.91 causing market downside). Bears need XLF under 22.92 to create a firm flush lower for stocks. The bulls need VIX under 12.34 to stop the market selling and begin a recovery move. If VIX drops under 12.34 and the SPX moves above 2001, Keybot will likely flip long, easily doable in these erratic markets, but difficult, so the imminent turn notation is removed. If volatility drops, consider the imminent turn notation to be back in place since the bulls will be pushing equities higher.

For utilities, watch UTIL 545 for the remaining three days this week and starting 4 PM EST on Friday afternoon, watch UTIL 550 all through next week. UTIL drops to 557 today. Utilities are causing market bullishness but that changes if UTIL 545 fails this week, which is somewhat unlikely, but big trouble occurs for markets next week if UTIL 550 fails, so write this number down and monitor it all next week.

For the SPX starting at 1988 support on Wednesday, the bulls need to touch the 2001 handle to accelerate the upside. The bears need to push under 1985 to accelerate the downside. A move through 1986-2000 is sideways action. Bulls need lower volatility to stop the bleeding. Bears need lower financials to create more selling.

9/12/14; 10:00 AM EST =

9/8/14; 11:57 AM EST = +40; signal line is +53

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short. Copper flinched with JJC dropping under 38.67 ushering in market weakness. At the closing bell, copper recovers and closes smack-dab on top of the 38.67 identified as the bull-bear line in the sand by the algo. Since price is exactly on JJC 38.67, whichever way copper trades overnight the equity markets will go in the same direction tomorrow. Volatility remains important; VIX 12.34. So bears need to keep VIX above 12.34 and send JJC immediately lower under 38.67. The bulls need to send the VIX under 12.34 and the JJC above 38.67 to proclaim victory ahead. If JJC moves above 38.67 or VIX under 12.34, either one will do, and the SPX moves above 2007, Keybot will likely flip long.

For the SPX starting at 2002, the bulls need to move above 2007 and price will run to 2011 immediately. The bears need to push under 1996 to accelerate the downside to an immediate test of the strong 1990-1991 support. A move through 1997-2006 is sideways action. Copper is extremely important; as copper goes so goes the markets.

9/12/14; 10:00 AM EST =

9/8/14; 11:57 AM EST = +40; signal line is +53

9/8/14; 9:36 AM EST = +56; signal line is +54 but algorithm remains short

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short. The bulls appeared ready to retake control but are struggling early in the new week of trading. Watch VIX 12.34 as the bull-bear line and volatility launches far above which causes today's weakness. Note, however, that the sneaky bulls are pushing copper strongly higher since they lost volatility. Watch JJC 38.70 as the bull-bear line in the sand and price is at 38.86 handily above. This strength in copper prevents the stock market from falling any significant amount.

Interestingly, the two key parameters driving market direction currently flip camps at the opening bell; the VIX is now causing bearishness while JJC is causing bullishness. One market day is stranger than the next. One of these two will flinch and identify the correct market direction ahead. Bulls need VIX under 12.34 (lower vol). Bears need JJC under 38.70 (lower copper).

The SPX is not yet able to touch the 2008 handle to ignite an upside acceleration. The HOD is 2007.17 which printed in the first seconds of the session. The beat goes on. Markets stagger sideways.

9/12/14; 10:00 AM EST =

9/8/14; 9:36 AM EST = +56; signal line is +54 but algorithm remains short

9/7/14; 7:00 PM EST = +54; signal line is +53 but algorithm remains short

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short moving into the new week of trading. Friday was an erratic over 17-handle intraday recovery move from SPX 1990 to 2008. Tomorrow morning we find out if the bulls continue the party, or not. The algo is champing at the bit to go long, albeit by one thin point difference between the algo number and signal line, and waiting for all the necessary parameters to latch. If the SPX moves any amount higher at the opening bell and holds the highs for several minutes, Keybot will likely flip long and take a loss on the current trade. The bulls need to see a slow move higher in the SPX to claim victory since a gap-up at the opening bell may trigger a timer that will delay the flip to the long side for about 90 minutes.

Volatility and copper continue to dictate market direction. Watch VIX 12.46 (now at 12.09 and created the bull juice on Friday) and JJC 38.71 (now at 38.47 creating market negativity). If VIX moves above 12.46, the bears are back on easy street and the stock market will track lower. If JJC moves above 38.71, this is the go-signal for the bulls and verifies lots more market upside ahead and the SPX will target the 2020's.

For the SPX starting at 2008, the bulls need any smidge of green in the Sunday overnight futures and the upside market orgy will continue full speed ahead with the SPX running to 2015 and higher. The bears need to push the SPX under the strong 1990-1991 support to regain their mojo, a formidable task, so instead bears will focus on keeping copper negative and pushing volatility higher. A move through 1992-2007 is sideways action to begin the new week. Keybot prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Friday morning. The bulls appear ready to take control again. The first hour of trading on Monday will be key. Watch the S&P futures overnight and copper trading since they will tell you the answer forward.

9/14/14; 7:00 PM EST =

9/12/14; 10:00 AM EST =

9/7/14; 7:00 PM EST = +54; signal line is +53 but algorithm remains short

9/5/14; 12:36 PM EST = +54; signal line is +53 but algorithm remains short

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short through the weekend with important action on tap for Monday's opening bell. The bull's slap the bear's in the face again sending VIX down through the 12.46 bull-bear line after lunch time. The lower volatility sends stocks strongly higher into the closing bell. The algo is champing at the bit to go long but the necessary internal programming patterns did not yet fully latch to permit the move. Note that there is only one point difference between the algo number and signal line representing a knock-down drag-out bull-bear battle and inflection point.

Keybot will flip long on Monday with any smidge of positivity in the Sunday overnight S&P futures. The areas and levels of interest for Monday can be highlighted after the Sunday pre-scheduled number prints. Volatility and copper remain the market leaders. Monday will be an important market day.

9/7/14; 7:00 PM EST =

9/5/14; 12:36 PM EST = +54; signal line is +53 but algorithm remains short

9/5/14; 9:00 AM EST = +40; signal line is +52

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant is short as the last trading day of the holiday-shortened week is underway. Volatility drops from the start but recovers now dropping again with VIX teasing near the 12.46 bull-bear line. Copper is subdued at 38.25 remaining under the 38.68 level continuing to create negativity. So use the VIX 12.46 as the market directional rudder today. Bulls win under 12.46. Bears win above 12.46. Keybot may whipsaw back to the long side but probably only if the SPX moves above 2011. Anything can happen in these erratic markets.

As fate would have it, the VIX is exactly at 12.46 as this message is typed. Isn't it amazing how Keybot can identify these levels before the occur? Volatility will either bounce or die from this level and send the broad indexes in the opposite direction.

9/7/14; 7:00 PM EST =

9/5/14; 9:00 AM EST = +40; signal line is +52

9/4/14; 3:03 PM EST = +40; signal line is +51; go short 1997; (Benchmark SPX for 2014 = +8.1%)(Keybot this trade = +2.3%; Keybot for 2014 = +8.5%)(Actual this trade = +4.7%; Actual for 2014 = +10.3%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side this afternoon as volatility climbs and the SPX drops. The algo has been threatening a move to the short side for the last week. The Monthly Jobs Report occurs in the morning and may catapult markets wildly one way or the other so a whipsaw may occur. The algo prints a pre-scheduled number before the opening bell.

For the last trade, the algorithm computer program gains +2.3% and the actual trading gains +4.7%. Keybot exits UWM and enters SDS. The algo continues using double leveraged ETF's since whipsaw moves have not occurred in recent weeks. The benchmark SPX index is up +8% on the year. Adding in last year's +30% and the SPX is up nearly +40% in only about one and one-half year's time. The central bankers are throwing one heck of a party.

For Friday, the same two key parameters are effecting market direction the most; VIX 12.45 and JJC 38.68. Bears need volatility to keep moving higher to prove they got game. Bulls need to push the VIX back under 12.45 which will ruin the bear's day and at the same time push copper higher. The bulls may be able to flip Keybot back to the long side on Friday if the SPX prints above 2011. Due to the erratic nature of the stock market currently and considering the Jobs Report is on tap in the morning, anything is game for Friday.

For the SPX starting at 1998, the bulls need to print above 2011 to launch an upside acceleration. The bears need to push below 1993 to accelerate the downside which will likely cause a failure at the strong 1991 support and send price to 1988. A move through 1994-2010 is sideways action to end the week. The bears are driving the bus. How far will they travel?

9/7/14; 7:00 PM EST =

9/5/14; 9:00 AM EST =

9/4/14; 3:03 PM EST = +40; signal line is +51; go short 1997; (Benchmark SPX for 2014 = +8.1%)(Keybot this trade = +2.3%; Keybot for 2014 = +8.5%)(Actual this trade = +4.7%; Actual for 2014 = +10.3%)

9/4/14; 2:55 PM EST = +40; signal line is +51 but algorithm remains long

9/3/14; 12:15 PM EST = +54; signal line is +51

9/3/14; 11:57 AM EST = +40; signal line is +51 but algorithm remains long

9/2/14; 2:52 PM EST = +54; signal line is +51

9/2/14; 11:52 AM EST = +40; signal line is +51 but algorithm remains long

9/2/14; 11:03 AM EST = +54; signal line is +51

9/2/14; 9:42 AM EST = +40; signal line is +51 but algorithm remains long

8/31/14; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +54; signal line is +51

8/29/14; 10:00 AM EST = +54; signal line is +51

8/28/14; 10:00 AM EST = +54; signal line is +50

8/28/14; 9:45 AM EST = +40; signal line is +49 but algorithm remains long

8/28/14; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +48

8/27/14; 3:47 PM EST = +70; signal line is +47

8/27/14; 9:39 AM EST = +54; signal line is +45

8/26/14; 10:00 AM EST = +70; signal line is +42

8/24/14; 7:00 PM EST = +69; signal line is +40

8/21/14; 10:02 AM EST = +69; signal line is +37

8/20/14; 3:57 PM EST = +53; signal line is +34

8/20/14; 1:53 PM EST = +69; signal line is +32

8/20/14; 1:26 PM EST = +53; signal line is +29

8/20/14; 12:17 PM EST = +69; signal line is +27

8/19/14; 9:00 AM EST = +53; signal line is +24

8/18/14; 9:36 AM EST = +53; signal line is +22

8/17/14; 7:00 PM EST = +39; signal line is +20

8/15/14; 2:31 PM EST = +39; signal line is +18

8/15/14; 1:05 PM EST = +23; signal line is +17

8/15/14; 12:43 PM EST = +39; signal line is +16

8/15/14; 11:58 AM EST = +23; signal line is +15

8/15/14; 10:57 AM EST = +39; signal line is +16

8/15/14; 10:00 AM EST = +53; signal line is +15

8/14/14; 12:01 PM EST = +53; signal line is +15

8/14/14; 11:46 AM EST = +37; signal line is +15

8/14/14; 11:17 AM EST = +53; signal line is +15

8/14/14; 10:31 AM EST = +37; signal line is +15

8/14/14; 10:32 AM EST = +53; signal line is +15; go long 1952; (Benchmark SPX for 2014 = +5.6%)(Keybot this trade = +1.2%; Keybot for 2014 = +6.2%)(Actual this trade = +0.2%; Actual for 2014 = +5.6%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long as volatility dances to and fro along the VIX 12.46 bull-bear line in the sand. Copper collapses and bulls continue to need JJC above 38.68 to move equities higher. Bears need VIX above 12.46 to move equities lower. The ECB rate decision and press conference occur before the opening bell tomorrow and will impact the futures.

For the SPX starting at 2000, the bulls need nine points, to move above 2009, and an upside acceleration occurs. The bears need to push the SPX under 1998 to accelerate the downside. A move through 1999-2008 is sideways action. Markets are a coin-flip moving into the end of the week. Watch VIX 12.46 to see who wins. If VIX moves above 12.46, and SPX drops under 1998, only two points lower, Keybot will likely flip short.

9/5/14; 9:00 AM EST =

9/3/14; 12:15 PM EST = +54; signal line is +51

9/3/14; 11:57 AM EST = +40; signal line is +51 but algorithm remains long

9/2/14; 2:52 PM EST = +54; signal line is +51

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long. The SPX drops to 1995 and bounces; the bears did not have the juice to take it lower. Watch VIX 12.45 and JJC 38.71. Volatility is very erratic. Bulls need JJC above 38.71. Bears need VIX above 12.45. One of the two will flinch and dictate market direction forward.

For the SPX for Wednesday beginning at 2002, the bulls need four points to touch the 2006 handle and an upside acceleration will occur to 2010-2015. The bears need to push the SPX below 1995 to accelerate the downside. A move through 1996-2005 is sideways action for Wednesday. If VIX moves above 12.45 and the SPX drops under 1995, Keybot will likely go short.

9/5/14; 9:00 AM EST =

9/2/14; 2:52 PM EST = +54; signal line is +51

9/2/14; 11:52 AM EST = +40; signal line is +51 but algorithm remains long

9/2/14; 11:03 AM EST = +54; signal line is +51

9/2/14; 9:42 AM EST = +40; signal line is +51 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long as the new holiday-shortened week of trading begins and the algo prints a number off the get-go. Volatility leaps higher which places a lid on the SPX. Watch VIX 12.44 and JJC 38.77 (copper). Copper trades flat to lower so JJC remains bearish causing market negativity and volatility joins the bear camp with VIX above 12.44.

The algorithm is champing at the bit to go short but is held back since internal programming parameters are not fully latched as yet. If the SPX drops under 1995 and trails lower and remains lower, with the VIX remaining above 12.44, Keybot will likely flip short. Volatility and copper continue running the show and since VIX is near the 12.44 bull-bear line in the sand, use this as the main rudder steering the market directional ship today. Equities will recover and float higher if VIX drops under 12.44.

9/5/14; 9:00 AM EST =

9/2/14; 9:42 AM EST = +40; signal line is +51 but algorithm remains long

8/31/14; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +54; signal line is +51