STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant flips back to the bull side at SPX 2452. The whipsaw moves are getting old. The bulls and bears are in a knock-down drag-out fight for market control. XLF closes exactly on the 24.67 that Keybot called out a head of time. Isn't that impressive? Ditto the VIX that was teasing a close on the 11.14 line in the sand but ended at 11.22 after all the settlements.

The algo number and signal line are the same number proving the bull-bear tug-o-war in progress. The model could very well flip back to the short side tomorrow.

Banks and volatility tell the market story tomorrow. As banks go at the opening bell, so goes the stock market. If XLF drops below 24.67, bears win, above and bulls win. If VIX drops under 11.14, the bulls will be throwing a huge upside stock market party. The bears remain in the game if they can keep the VIX above 11.14 and moving higher.

If XLF drops under 24.67, and the SPX dfrops under 2444, Keybot will likely flip back to the short side, hence the market whipsaw choppiness continues. The stock market is erratic and unstable.

On the last whipsaw trade, the algo program lost -0.7%. The SPX did a round trip from the previous trade fro 2452 down to 2434 and now 2434 back up to 2452. The actual tradign lost -1.4% and drops down to up only +1% on the year thus far. Sideways choppy markets with low volatility chews up algorithm programs. The SPX benchmark is up +9.5% this year. Keybot exits PSQ and enters DIA.

Watch the  pivot of XLF 24.67; the banks tell you which way the stock market will move.

9/3/17; 7:00 PM EST =

9/1/17; 9:00 AM EST =

8/31/17; 7:00 PM EST EOM =

8/30/17; 3:42 PM EST = +56; signal line is +56 but algorithm remains long

8/30/17; 2:40 PM EST = +70; signal line is +56

8/30/17; 1:48 PM EST = +56; signal line is +56 but algorithm remains long

8/30/17; 1:04 PM EST = +70; signal line is +56

8/30/17; 10:49 AM EST = +56; signal line is +56; go long 2452; (Benchmark SPX for 2017 = +9.5%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.7%; Keybot algo for 2017 = +1.5%)(Actual results this trade = -1.4%; Actual results for 2017 = +1.0%)

8/30/17; 10:00 AM EST = +56; signal line is +56 but algorithm remains short

8/29/17; 10:00 AM EST = +40; signal line is +55

8/29/17; 9:51 AM EST = +40; signal line is +54

8/29/17; 9:44 AM EST = +24; signal line is +54; go short 2434; (Benchmark SPX for 2017 = +8.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.7%; Keybot algo for 2017 = +2.2%)(Actual results this trade = -0.7%; Actual results for 2017 = +2.4%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant is on the short side today and does not print any additional numbers after the 10 AM number. Semi's remain bullish and volatility and banks remain bearish. One of these three will flinch and dictate the direction ahead.

Bears need SOX under 1075.07 (now at 1084.86) to guarantee downside in the stock market. Bulls need either VIX under 11.15 (now at 11.70) and/or XLF above 24.67 (now at 24.57) to guarantee a stock market rally. XLF is only 10 cents from the bull-bear line so any news about the banks overnight will be important.

If XLF moves above 24.67 and the the SPX above 2449, Keybot will likely flip long, hence the imminent turn notation in the title line. But interestingly, if VIX moves under 11.15, that will send stocks higher but will likely not be enough to flip the algorithm long. Thus, if you are bullish the stock market, you had better be praying for the banks.

So hump day will be a battle between chips and banks; bears need lower semi's while bulls need higher financials. Markets are very erratic and unstable. The sideways sawtooth choppy slop continues. The bears are in control with the algo number 15 ponts below the signal line.

8/31/17; 7:00 PM EST EOM =

8/29/17; 10:00 AM EST = +40; signal line is +55

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side this morning at SPX 2434 as the whipsaw erratic market action continues. The North Korea missile launch causes angst in markets overnight but President Trump's response appears mild so markets are trying to recover. The algo, however, remains short.

Semiconductors, banks and volatility are key parameters most impacting stock market direction. Pay attention to SOX 1075.07 the bull-bear line in the sand. This level failed this morning but price has since recovered. Market bears need SOX under 1075.07 and if this occurs, stocks should begin dropping sharply.

Market bulls need either XLF above 24.65 and/or VIX under 11.18 to stop the market selling and begin a rally higher. The weakness in the banks is hurting the stock market today.

On the last trade, the algorithm program and actual trading each lose -0.7%. The benchmark SPX is up +8.7% on the year. Keybot exits SPY with the minor loss and enters PSQ. The Keybot computer program and the actual trading are each up a couple percent this year.

Bears need SOX 1075.07 to throw confetti. Bulls will celebrate with either XLF 24.65 or VIX 11.18. The algo printed a pre-scheduled number this morning at 10 AM EST and prints another on Friday morning before the opening bell.

SOX is printing at 1080 running higher. XLF is 24.50 moving higher. VIX is 12.33 moving lower. The bulls are trying to stabilize the stock market. Bears need weaker chips but the bulls are goosing the semi's higher.

9/3/17; 7:00 PM EST =

9/1/17; 9:00 AM EST =

8/31/17; 7:00 PM EST EOM =

8/29/17; 10:00 AM EST = +40; signal line is +55

8/29/17; 9:51 AM EST = +40; signal line is +54

8/29/17; 9:44 AM EST = +24; signal line is +54; go short 2434; (Benchmark SPX for 2017 = +8.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.7%; Keybot algo for 2017 = +2.2%)(Actual results this trade = -0.7%; Actual results for 2017 = +2.4%)

8/29/17; 9:36 AM EST = +40; signal line is +54 but algorithm remains long

8/28/17; 9:36 AM EST = +56; signal line is +55

8/27/17; 7:00 PM EST = +70; signal line is +54

8/25/17; 2:16 PM EST = +70; signal line is +54

8/25/17; 2:02 PM EST = +56; signal line is +53

8/25/17; 1:46 PM EST = +70; signal line is +54

8/25/17; 10:48 AM EST = +56; signal line is +53

8/25/17; 10:27 AM EST = +70; signal line is +53

8/25/17; 10:12 AM EST = +84; signal line is +53

8/25/17; 10:07 AM EST = +70; signal line is +52

8/25/17; 9:54 AM EST = +56; signal line is +53

8/25/17; 9:36 AM EST = +70; signal line is +54

8/23/17; 9:36 AM EST = +56; signal line is +55

8/22/17; 3:59 PM EST = +70; signal line is +57; go long 2452; (Benchmark SPX for 2017 = +9.5%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.1%; Keybot algo for 2017 = +2.9%)(Actual results this trade = -1.1%; Actual results for 2017 = +3.1%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant is back on the long side at SPX 2452 as the choppy sideways slop continues. The algo was very active on Friday printing nine numbers. The bulls are in charge with the algo number 16 points above the signal line. Bears need higher volatility or they got nothing. Bulls need higher commodities and retail stocks.

On the last trade, both the algorithm program and actual trading lose -1.1%. The benchmark SPX floats higher up +9.5% on the year. Keybot remains in single ETF's due to the whipsaw nature of markets currently. The algo exits SH and enters SPY. The algo program and the actual trading are each up about +3% so far this year.

The key parameters for next week can be highlighted after Keybot prints the Sunday pre-scheduled number tomorrow. Volatility, the VIX, will be important. The caution flag is out since the markets may easily decide to whipsaw back to the short side in the week ahead.

9/3/17; 7:00 PM EST =

9/1/17; 9:00 AM EST =

8/31/17; 7:00 PM EST EOM =

8/29/17; 10:00 AM EST =

8/27/17; 7:00 PM EST =

8/25/17; 2:16 PM EST = +70; signal line is +54

8/25/17; 2:02 PM EST = +56; signal line is +53

8/25/17; 1:46 PM EST = +70; signal line is +54

8/25/17; 10:48 AM EST = +56; signal line is +53

8/25/17; 10:27 AM EST = +70; signal line is +53

8/25/17; 10:12 AM EST = +84; signal line is +53

8/25/17; 10:07 AM EST = +70; signal line is +52

8/25/17; 9:54 AM EST = +56; signal line is +53

8/25/17; 9:36 AM EST = +70; signal line is +54

8/23/17; 9:36 AM EST = +56; signal line is +55

8/22/17; 3:59 PM EST = +70; signal line is +57; go long 2452; (Benchmark SPX for 2017 = +9.5%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.1%; Keybot algo for 2017 = +2.9%)(Actual results this trade = -1.1%; Actual results for 2017 = +3.1%)

8/22/17; 9:42 AM EST = +56; signal line is +58

8/22/17; 9:38 AM EST = +40; signal line is +59

8/21/17; 9:36 AM EST = +24; signal line is +61; go short 2426; (Benchmark SPX for 2017 = +8.4%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.3%; Keybot algo for 2017 = +4.0%)(Actual results this trade = -0.6%; Actual results for 2017 = +4.2%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short as stocks chop sideways today rallying strongly due to strength in the chips and financials. The algo number is only 2 points under the signal line so the bulls are making a strong run higher. If the VIX falls below 11.39 (now at 11.85), Keybot will likely whipsaw back to the long side. Market bears need either SOX under 1074 (now above 1076) and/or XLF under 24.65 (now at 25.72) to stop the rally in its tracks.

Volatility, chips and banks rule the roost today and dictate the path ahead for stocks. Bulls win with VIX 11.39 while bears win with SOX 1074 or XLF 24.65.

8/27/17; 7:00 PM EST =

8/22/17; 9:42 AM EST = +56; signal line is +58

8/22/17; 9:38 AM EST = +40; signal line is +59

8/21/17; 9:36 AM EST = +24; signal line is +61; go short 2426; (Benchmark SPX for 2017 = +8.4%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.3%; Keybot algo for 2017 = +4.0%)(Actual results this trade = -0.6%; Actual results for 2017 = +4.2%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant flips back to the short side on Monday morning at SPX 2426. The stock market is chopping sideways. Commodities fail back into the bear camp. The market bears are in good shape but you would not know it since stocks remain buoyant.

The stock market should roll over to the downside unless GTX moves above 2215.80, XLF above 24.65 and/or SOX above 1074. Any one of the three will stop the market selling. Two of the three will create a relief rally for stocks. If all three remain bearish, stocks should drop in earnest.

On the last trade, which did not even last one day, and is identified as a whpsaw, the algorithm loses -0.3% and the actual trading loses -0.6%. Since it was a whipsaw, Keybot drops down into using single ETF's over the next 35 days. Keybot exits SSO and enters SH. This will reduce risk if the sideways chop continues. Sideways slop chews up bulls and bears alike. The benchmark SPX is up +8.4% this year and the algo model and the actual trading each remain up +4% or more on the year.

GTX 2216, XLF 24.65 and SOX 1074 tells you everything you need to know for Tuesday. The bears are in control with the algo number 37 points under the signal line.

8/27/17; 7:00 PM EST =

8/21/17; 9:36 AM EST = +24; signal line is +61; go short 2426; (Benchmark SPX for 2017 = +8.4%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.3%; Keybot algo for 2017 = +4.0%)(Actual results this trade = -0.6%; Actual results for 2017 = +4.2%)

8/20/17; 7:00 PM EST = +38; signal line is +63 but algorithm remains long

8/18/17; 3:56 PM EST = +38; signal line is +65 but algorithm remains long

8/18/17; 3:23 PM EST = +54; signal line is +67 but algorithm remains long

8/18/17; 2:18 PM EST = +70; signal line is +68

8/18/17; 1:49 PM EST = +54; signal line is +69 but algorithm remains long

8/18/17; 12:17 PM EST = +70; signal line is +69; go long 2433; (Benchmark SPX for 2017 = +8.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.9%; Keybot algo for 2017 = +4.3%)(Actual results this trade = +1.6%; Actual results for 2017 = +4.8%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant is on the long side but champing at  the bit to go short. The internal parameters will not yet fully latch to permit the move. Friday trading saw a dramatic reversal to the upside for stocks led by semiconductors, financials and commodities. These three parameters are most greatly impacting broad stock market direction currently. The chips and banks, however, jump back into the bear camp at Friday's closing bell so the algo wants to flip short again. The price action is choppy and erratic.

If the SPX, starting at 2426, loses 5 points, and prints under 2421, Keybot will likely flip back to the short side, hence the imminent turn is in play. The bears need negativity in the commodities, and for GTX to fall under 2215.80, which will seal the deal with more downside losses for stocks ahead.

The bulls need SOX above 1074.20 and/or XLF above 24.65, which are only pennies from current levels, either one would do, to rally stocks higher.

Thus, bears need SPX under 2421 and GTX under 2215.80 to claim victory while the bulls need SOX above 1074 and XLF above 24.65 to take stocks higher. Keybot does not print any pre-scheduled numbers this week. The algo is on the long side but the algo number is 25 points under the signal line clearly wanting the model to flip short.

8/27/17; 7:00 PM EST =

8/20/17; 7:00 PM EST = +38; signal line is +63 but algorithm remains long

8/18/17; 3:56 PM EST = +38; signal line is +65 but algorithm remains long

8/18/17; 3:23 PM EST = +54; signal line is +67 but algorithm remains long

8/18/17; 2:18 PM EST = +70; signal line is +68

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant is on the long side as of about two hours ago. The chips flip back to the bull camp so stocks remain buoyant. Chips and banks tell you everything you need to know about market direction. Watch SOX 1074.30 (now at 1076) and XLF 24.65 (now 24.67). It is a game of pennies and a couple dollars.

If both parameters remain bullish, stocks should move sideways to sideways higher into the weekend. If either parameter turns bearish, stocks will create a negative bias. If both turn bearish stocks will tumble lower into the closing bell. Easy-peasy.

8/27/17; 7:00 PM EST =

8/20/17; 7:00 PM EST =

8/18/17; 2:18 PM EST = +70; signal line is +68

8/18/17; 1:49 PM EST = +54; signal line is +69 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the long side at SPX 2433. The stock market rallies on news that Whitehouse strategist Stephen Bannon is out. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin and National Economic Advisor Cohn, former Goldman Sachs cronies, muscle Bannon out the door. The investment bankers and Wall Street always win.

Chips, financials and commodities leap to the bull side triggering the algorithm to flip long. It came on fast. The chips, however, have already reversed. Thus, bulls need SOX above 1074.30 (now at 1073.17) to prove that a solid stock market relief rally is underway. Bears need to push XLF under 24.65 (now at 24.67) and/or GTX under 2215.70 (now at 2218.40) to prove that the downside selling in the stock market will resume. The bulls would also benefit from the VIX moving below 11.41 (now at 14.56).

Note how close the bull-bear battle is for the semiconductors, banks and commodities. Flip a coin. Markets are very erratic and unstable. A whipsaw back to the short side may occur. Watch the chips as the key signal. If SOX moves above 1074.30, the upside rally for equities is real. If SOX stays under 1074.30 the bears will prevent further upside in stocks.

On the last trade, the Keybot computer program gained +0.9% for a cumulative gain of over +4% this year thus far. The actual trading gains +1.6% on the last trade and is now up nearly +5% on the year. Remember, the actual trading was negative for the entire first half of this year. Keybot exits SDS and enters SSO remaining in 2x ETF's. The benchmark SPX is up +8.7% this year. Stay alert for a potential whipsaw. Chips, banks and commodities are controlling stock market direction currently.

8/27/17; 7:00 PM EST =

8/20/17; 7:00 PM EST =

8/18/17; 1:49 PM EST = +54; signal line is +69 but algorithm remains long

8/18/17; 12:17 PM EST = +70; signal line is +69; go long 2433; (Benchmark SPX for 2017 = +8.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.9%; Keybot algo for 2017 = +4.3%)(Actual results this trade = +1.6%; Actual results for 2017 = +4.8%)

8/18/17; 11:31 AM EST = +56; signal line is +70

8/18/17; 11:25 AM EST = +40; signal line is +71

8/18/17; 10:00 AM EST = +24; signal line is +73

8/17/17; 3:54 PM EST = +23; signal line is +75

8/17/17; 3:47 PM EST = +39; signal line is +78

8/17/17; 3:39 PM EST = +55; signal line is +80

8/17/17; 3:23 PM EST = +39; signal line is +82

8/16/17; 9:00 AM EST = +55; signal line is +83

8/14/17; 11:57 AM EST = +55; signal line is +85

8/14/17; 9:36 AM EST = +69; signal line is +85

8/13/17; 7:00 PM EST = +53; signal line is +85

8/10/17; 10:07 AM EST = +53; signal line is +86

8/10/17; 10:05 AM EST = +69; signal line is +88; go short 2455; (Benchmark SPX for 2017 = +9.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = +1.2%; Keybot algo for 2017 = +3.4%)(Actual results this trade = +2.5%; Actual results for 2017 = +3.2%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short with the algo only printing the pre-scheduled number this morning and nothing during the regular session. Volatility was high drama today. The VIX came down to kiss the 11.25-11.32 area called out by Keybot ahead of time, and the VIX bounced allowing the bears to maintain control despite a marginal move higher in the stock market.

Bulls need VIX below 11.32, GTX above 2214 and/or RTH above 80.64. Any one will create upside joy in stocks. If two of the three flip bullish, Keybot will likely flip long.

Market bears will maintain control of the stock market if all three parameters, volatility, commodities, and retail stocks, respectively, remain bearish. Bears need weaker banks and chips to take stocks lower. The bears are in control with the algo number 28 points under the signal line.

8/18/17; 10:00 AM EST =

8/16/17; 9:00 AM EST = +55; signal line is +83

8/14/17; 11:57 AM EST = +55; signal line is +85

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains bearish. The market bulls need lower volatility and higher commodities to prove that they can rally the stock market. Bulls need VIX below 11.32 and/or GTX above 2215. Bears need weaker chips, banks and copper to gain downside mojo. The bears are in control with the algo number 30 points under the signal line. Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number before the opening bell on hump day.

8/18/17; 10:00 AM EST =

8/16/17; 9:00 AM EST =

8/14/17; 11:57 AM EST = +55; signal line is +85

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short as the stock market staggers sideways after Monday's big relief rally. Keybot printed another number in the Monday session but nothing so far on Tuesday. The bears are in charge with the algo number 30 points under the signal line but humorously, the stock indexes are green.

Bears will need to weaken the chips and banks to gain downside momo. The bulls need higher commodities, lower volatility and higher retail stocks to reestablish an upside rally. Bulls need GTX above 2215, VIX below 11.32 and/or RTH above 80.69. Any one of the three will guarantee further upside in the stock market and if 2 of the 3 flip bullish, Keybot will likely flip long.

8/16/17; 9:00 AM EST =

8/14/17; 11:57 AM EST = +55; signal line is +85

8/14/17; 9:36 AM EST = +69; signal line is +85

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains bearish as the bulls stage a robust relief rally. The semiconductors and banks lead the way higher. SOX pops up through the important 1076 level creating the upside thrust. The bears remain in control with the algo number 16 points below the signal line but the caution flag is out.

Bulls need stronger retail stocks and lower volatility. If RTH moves above 80.69 (now at 80.27) and/or VIX below 11.35 (now at 12.56), stocks will move strongly higher. If one of these two parameters flip bullish, consider the imminent turn to be in play and Keybot will be in position to go long. The bears need weaker chips and to push the SOX back below 1076. Weaker chips and banks will help bears while stronger retail stocks and lower volatility will help bulls.

8/20/17; 7:00 PM EST =

8/18/17; 10:00 AM EST =

8/16/17; 9:00 AM EST =

8/14/17; 9:36 AM EST = +69; signal line is +85

8/13/17; 7:00 PM EST = +53; signal line is +85

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short. The bears need weaker banks to prove they have the juice to send the stock market another leg lower. Bears need XLF under 24.63 (now at 24.73 only a dime above). On Friday, the financials fell to 24.67 only 4 pennies from the 24.63 called out by the algo but price bounced. XLF will tell you a lot about the stock market direction early in the new week of trading.

Market bulls are slapped around a little but not yet concerned about the tame pullback. Keybot is tracking volatility, chips and retail. Bulls need either VIX under 11.33, SOX above 1076 and/or RTH above 80.77. Any one of these three will stop all market selling and begin a relief rally. If 2 of the 3 turn bullish, Keybot may be in position to move to the long side again.

Lots of retail earnings this week will toss the RTH to and fro. Watch the chips. If SOX moves above 1076, stocks are going to begin rallying higher. Bears need to stab the banks in the heart with XLF 24.63 if they want to create serious stock market selling.

Keybot prints two pre-scheduled numbers this week one on Wednesday morning and the other on Friday morning. The bears are cruising with the algo number 32 points below the signal line.

8/20/17; 7:00 PM EST =

8/18/17; 10:00 AM EST =

8/16/17; 9:00 AM EST =

8/13/17; 7:00 PM EST = +53; signal line is +85

8/10/17; 10:07 AM EST = +53; signal line is +86

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains bearish as the stock market rebounds on Friday morning. Bears need lower commodities and banks to create market carnage, GTX under 2214 (now at 2223) and XLF under 24.64 (now at 24.83), respectively.

Bulls need higher chips and retail stocks to move the stock market higher, SOX above 1076 (now at 1063) and RTH above 80.78 (now at 79.99), respectively. Semiconductors are key. If SOX remains below 1076, the bears are going to remain in control going forward. If SOX moves above 1076, the relief rally has upside legs. The caution flag will come out if SOX moves above 1076. If commodities and banks remains bullish, and chips and retail stocks remain bearish, the stock market will stagger along sideways into the weekend.

8/13/17; 7:00 PM EST =

8/10/17; 10:07 AM EST = +53; signal line is +86

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side shortly after the opening bell at SPX 2455. The VIX has popped above 15 now at 13.45 creating market negativity. Ditto retail stocks with RTH failing below the critical 80.82 level. Ditto chips that collapse under the important SOX 1076 bull-bear line in the sand. The semiconductor weakness creates the flush lower in stocks shortly after 10 AM.

On the last trade that went about one month, the algo program gains +1.2%. The actual trading gains +2.5% and is now up +3.2% on the year. It is nice to see a positive number since many Wall Street algorithms are struggling greatly this year due to the lack of volatility and low volume. Keybot is hanging in there. The S&P 500 benchmark is up nearly +10% this year thus far. Keybot exits SSO and enters SDS.

The bears are in control with the algo number 33 points under the signal line, however, watch out for a whipsaw move in these erratic and goofy markets. Focus on chips. The market bears will run out of gas and be unable to push the stock market lower if the SOX rises above 1076. If SOX remains under 1076 (now at 1073), the bears will continue growling and creating more negativity in the stock market. The bears finally have a turn at bat.

8/13/17; 7:00 PM EST =

8/10/17; 10:07 AM EST = +53; signal line is +86

8/10/17; 10:05 AM EST = +69; signal line is +88; go short 2455; (Benchmark SPX for 2017 = +9.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = +1.2%; Keybot algo for 2017 = +3.4%)(Actual results this trade = +2.5%; Actual results for 2017 = +3.2%)

8/10/17; 9:36 AM EST = +69; signal line is +88 but algorithm remains long

8/9/17; 3:59 PM EST = +99; signal line is +89

8/9/17; 9:36 AM EST = +85; signal line is +88 but algorithm remains long

8/8/17; 3:45 PM EST = +99; signal line is +88

8/8/17; 3:38 PM EST = +85; signal line is +87 but algorithm remains long

8/6/17; 7:00 PM EST = +99; signal line is +87

8/4/17; 10:27 AM EST = +99; signal line is +85

8/4/17; 10:07 AM EST = +83; signal line is +84 but algorithm remains long

8/4/17; 9:36 AM EST = +99; signal line is +84

8/4/17; 9:00 AM EST = +83; signal line is +82

8/3/17; 3:52 PM EST = +83; signal line is +82

8/3/17; 3:42 PM EST = +99; signal line is +81

8/3/17; 1:57 PM EST = +83; signal line is +79

8/3/17; 1:12 PM EST = +67; signal line is +78 but algorithm remains long

8/3/17; 1:07 PM EST = +83; signal line is +77

8/3/17; 12:52 PM EST = +99; signal line is +76

8/3/17; 11:52 AM EST = +83; signal line is +73

7/31/17; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +99; signal line is +71

7/30/17; 7:00 PM EST = +99; signal line is +70

7/28/17; 10:00 AM EST = +99; signal line is +68

7/25/17; 11:48 AM EST = +100; signal line is +66

7/25/17; 10:00 AM EST = +86; signal line is +64

7/25/17; 9:41 AM EST = +86; signal line is +62

7/23/17; 7:00 PM EST = +70; signal line is +59

7/20/17; 1:25 PM EST = +70; signal line is +58

7/19/17; 2:47 PM EST = +84; signal line is +57

7/19/17; 1:57 AM EST = +100; signal line is +55

7/19/17; 1:47 PM EST = +86; signal line is +53

7/19/17; 1:37 PM EST = +70; signal line is +52

7/19/17; 1:13 PM EST = +86; signal line is +52

7/19/17; 12:31 PM EST = +70; signal line is +50

7/19/17; 11:52 AM EST = +86; signal line is +49

7/19/17; 9:00 AM EST = +70; signal line is +49

7/16/17; 7:00 PM EST = +70; signal line is +48

7/14/17; 10:00 AM EST = +70; signal line is +48

7/11/17; 11:40 AM EST = +70; signal line is +48

7/11/17; 11:24 AM EST = +56; signal line is +48

7/10/17; 9:36 AM EST = +70; signal line is +48; go long 2425; (Benchmark SPX for 2017 = +8.3%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.7%; Keybot algo for 2017 = +2.2%)(Actual results this trade = +1.3%; Actual results for 2017 = +0.7%)

Note Added 11;11 AM EST: SOX is printing at 1074.09 about 2 points below the 1076 bull-bear line in the sand called out by Keybot. Watch this closely. Bears win under SOX 1076. Bulls win above SOX 1076.

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long but keeps teasing a move to the short side. Volatility is playing games with the VIX moving above and below the key 11.16 level. The algo number will drop again after the opening bell with VIX above 12 currently. Thus, if the SPX drops below 2462, Keybot will likely flip short. Yesterday, the bear's threatened to take stocks lower but they did not have enough gas and could not take out the initial lows in the session.

Market bulls need to push volatility lower and send VIX below 11.16 to resume the upside rally. Market bears will growl with VIX above 11.16 and especially above 12. The SPX 2462 level is key in the early going.

8/13/17; 7:00 PM EST =

8/9/17; 3:59 PM EST = +99; signal line is +89

8/9/17; 9:36 AM EST = +85; signal line is +88 but algorithm remains long

8/8/17; 3:45 PM EST = +99; signal line is +88

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long. The banks and retail stocks are buoyant to begin the week slapping the bears in the face. In the Tuesday trade, volatility spikes higher due to North Korea tensions. Keybot was ready to flip short but did not. Volatility is higher this morning so the algo will want to flip short again after the opening bell for the regular trading session.

The key is likely the SPX 2470.32 LOD from yesterday. If this is taken out and price holds below here for several minutes, and then begins moving lower, Keybot will likely flip short, hence the imminent turn is in play. Bears have it on a silver platter if they can create about 5 points of downside. The S&P futures are down 11 as this message is typed.

Gap down moves are tricky since the algo may not bite on the short side if prices fall like a rock in the first few minutes. Pay attention to the low prints in the SPX as they occur today. Bears will growl and the upside rally is over as long as the VIX remains above 11.16.

8/13/17; 7:00 PM EST =

8/8/17; 3:45 PM EST = +99; signal line is +88

8/8/17; 3:38 PM EST = +85; signal line is +87 but algorithm remains long

8/6/17; 7:00 PM EST = +99; signal line is +87

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long but the bears are starting to knock on the door. The algo was sleeping all last week until Thursday when it springs into action and prints 12 numbers into the weekend including the one pre-scheduled number. Market bears tried to flip the model short on Thursday and Friday but the internal parameters would not fully latch to allow the move. The bulls remain in control with the algo number 12 points above the signal line.

The bears need weaker retail stocks and a five-point drop in the S&P 500. If RTH drops under 80.80 (now at 81.00), only 20 pennies away, and the SPX drops under 2472, Keybot will likely flip short, hence the imminent turn notation in the title line. If RTH remains above 80.80, the bears got nothing and the imminent turn will not be in play as the bulls push stocks higher.

Market bears would also benefit from lower semiconductors and higher volatility. Bears need SOX under 1075.73 (now at 1090) and/or VIX above 11.28 (now at 10.03). Thus, bears will stop the stock market rally dead in its tracks with RTH 80.80, SOX 1075.73 or VIX 11.28. Any one would do. If these three parameters remain bullish, the stock market will continue floating higher.

Keybot does not print any pre-scheduled numbers this week. Listen for news about retail stocks overnight, good or bad news, which will likely tell the tale for Monday and watch the chips closely.

8/13/17; 7:00 PM EST =

8/6/17; 7:00 PM EST = +99; signal line is +87

8/4/17; 10:27 AM EST = +99; signal line is +85

8/4/17; 10:07 AM EST = +83; signal line is +84 but algorithm remains long

8/4/17; 9:36 AM EST = +99; signal line is +84

8/4/17; 9:00 AM EST = +83; signal line is +82

8/3/17; 3:52 PM EST = +83; signal line is +82

8/3/17; 3:42 PM EST = +99; signal line is +81

8/3/17; 1:57 PM EST = +83; signal line is +79

8/3/17; 1:12 PM EST = +67; signal line is +78 but algorithm remains long

8/3/17; 1:07 PM EST = +83; signal line is +77

8/3/17; 12:52 PM EST = +99; signal line is +76

8/3/17; 11:52 AM EST = +83; signal line is +73

7/31/17; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +99; signal line is +71

July Publication of the Daily Chronology of Global Markets and World Economics 2017-07 Available from Amazon; All-Time Record Stock Market Highs Continue; DOW 22093, NYA 12013, SPX 2484, COMPQ 6461, NDX 5996, RUT 1452, TRAN 9764; Obamacare Repeal and Replace Bill Fails in Senate; US Dollar Index Drops Euro Pops; Government Leaks; Whitehouse Drama; Humans Embrace Chip Implants the Mark of the Beast

The July Publication of the Daily Chronology of Global Markets and World Economics 2017-07 is available through Amazon. The historic market action continues with more all-time and multi-year record stock market highs printing in the major indexes and for individual stocks around the world. The world is awash in central banker liquidity so all asset classes continue higher.

July Cover Highlights;

ALL-TIME RECORD STOCK MARKET HIGHS CONTINUE

DOW 22093, NYA 12013, SPX 2484, COMPQ 6461, NDX 5996, RUT 1452, TRAN 9764

OBAMACARE REPEAL AND REPLACE BILL FAILS IN SENATE

US DOLLAR INDEX DROPS EURO POPS

GOVERNMENT LEAKS

WHITEHOUSE DRAMA

HUMANS EMBRACE CHIP IMPLANTS THE MARK OF THE BEAST

The July chronology highlights the non-stop all-time record breaking stock market highs. India’s BSE Sensex is above 32K. The Dow Industrials print above 22K in early August another milestone. The Dow Transports, however, are sinking like a stone. As July ends and August begins, the Dow Industrials (INDU or DJI) and the NYSE Composite (NYA) are printing record highs while the other indexes watch. Either the Dow and NYA are leading the broad market higher going forward, or, these two indexes will roll over to the downside. The Russell 2000 (RUT) is below its 50-day MA which will be tested in the days ahead.

The US dollar index and euro make big moves; these currency baskets move inverse to each other since they are weighted with each other’s currency. The dollar is sinking so the euro is bouncing. The euro tagged 1.19. Both the euro and dollar are testing their 200-week MA’s, resistance for the euro and support for the dollar, and that battle continues for the days ahead.

The daily Whitehouse drama continues with personnel changes occurring after only six months. The Russia and other investigations continue. Leaks from the government are damaging President Trump and the country. There are five times as many leaks occurring as compared to prior presidents.

There are democrats and liberals that pursue a progressive agenda for the country that are seeking to undermine and damage the president as well as establishment demopublican and republocrat politicians that do not want their beltway parties to end that have a vested interest in seeing the president fail. These groups are referred to as the ‘deep state’ that continue leaking sensitive government information hoping to embarrass and damage President Trump. America has become ill.

The chronology explains the price moves in global stock, bond and currency markets after key geopolitical events, central bank monetary policy meetings and economic data releases such as the monthly jobs report. If you are trying to make sense of the markets this is the resource for you. No other publication exists where the stock, bond and currency moves are detailed and explained as world events and economic news take place in real-time.

You can re-live the real-time price moves and excitement in markets for any past events including the May 2015 stock market top (2015-02 through 2015-10), Brexit (2016-06 and 2016-07), the US election (2016-10 and 2016-11), the drama behind the French election (2017-04 and 2017-05), economic data releases, monthly jobs reports, Fed meetings and much more. The wild overnight crash in the S&P futures, and quick recovery, after President Trump’s election last November is chronicled in real-time, as it happened minute-by-minute, in the 2016-11 publication.

As always, all monthly publications of the Daily Chronology of GlobalMarkets and World Economics are available from the links in the margins of the K E Stone blog sites or simply searching on Amazon or Google. The monthly publications contain updated information not posted on the Keystone the Scribe web site as well as clarifications, corrections, edits and refinements to the ongoing daily blog text.

The July 2017-08 chronology is tentatively set for publishing by Amazon on Saturday, 9/2/17.

Charts, technical analysis, trading commentary and blog posts on the KE Stone websites (Keystone the Scribe, The Keystone Speculator and Keybot the Quant) are supported by the advertising revenue, donations and book sales. The sites do not receive advertising credit unless you disable your ad-blocking software so your cooperation is appreciated. Proceeds aid charities.

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long. The bulls are in full control. A pre-scheduled number prints last evening for the EOM and the algo number remains 28 points above the signal line.

Bears are smacked around day after day by the bulls. Bears need either VIX above 11.28, SOX under 1076 or GTX under 2211, higher volatility, lower chips or lower commodities, respectively, to stop the upside rally in the stock market and introduce negativity. Keybot likely needs at least two of these parameters to turn bearish to flip the model short. The beat goes on.

8/6/17; 7:00 PM EST =

8/4/17; 9:00 AM EST =

7/31/17; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +99; signal line is +71

7/30/17; 7:00 PM EST = +99; signal line is +70