STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long. Utilities, retail stocks and banks are the three metrics driving stock market direction currently. XRT 83.23 is the bull/bear line in the sand with price below at 82.54 creating bearishness. The stock market cannot make new record highs unless XRT moves above 83.23. The bulls were pumping retail stocks like madmen on Friday.

The XLF 51.15 palindrome is the line in the sand for the banksters with price at 51.94 creating bullishness in the stock market. Equities will be sliding down the rabbit hole if XLF loses 51.15.

UTIL 1111 and UTIL 1171 are the two key numbers for utilities in the holiday-shortened week ahead. That is a lot of one's. One by 3 Dog Night was a big hit in the late 60's and early to mid 70's. One is the loneliest number that you'll ever do. 

UTIL, or DJU, begins Tuesday trading at 1132. Again, the bulls were pumping utes like mad on Friday. They know what they have to do if they want to keep the stock market heading higher. Thus, mathematicians say thus a lot, that is why they are never invited to parties, when trading begins next week, utilities will immediately fall into the bear camp below 1171. Pay close attention to the utes. If the bulls are pumping and utilities are heading strongly higher, that may hint that the 1171 is achievable. If the bears come to play and utes are trading lower on Tuesday, that is likely a very negative sign for stocks ahead.

If retail stocks and banks remain status quo, or weaken, and UTIL begins next week 39 points below its goal that it will at least in the opening minutes, and the SPX trades below 7463 trending lower, Keybot the Quant will likely flip short. Hence, the imminent turn notation remains in the title line. Keybot only sees 1's and 0's so it will be interesting to see how it works out. King Donnie Chumpski says a deal on the Iran War is imminent, or a framework for a deal, so that should impact markets on Tuesday.

Keybot the Quant prints a prescheduled number on Tuesday and the last day of trading for May is Friday. Memorial Day. Taps.

5/31/26; 7:00 PM EST EOM =
5/26/26; 10:00 AM EST =
5/24/26; 7:00 PM EST = +53; signal line is +39
5/22/26; 10:00 AM EST = +53; signal line is +39

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long as the market machinations continue. The bulls are in control with the algo number 14 points above the signal line. The bulls goosed utilities, retail stocks and banks to create a happy mood into the long holiday weekend.

UTIL is pumped to 1132 to keep the stock market buoyant but this is not enough to avoid angst come Tuesday morning when US stocks reopen for trading. The robot will likely be champing at the bit to go short out of the gate on Tuesday morning so the imminent turn notation remains in the title line. All that matters is utes, banks and retail stocks. Walk carefully through the mine field. Since You've Been Gone by The Outfield.

5/24/26; 7:00 PM EST =
5/22/26; 10:00 AM EST = +53; signal line is +39
5/21/26; 9:58 AM EST = +53; signal line is +38
5/21/26; 9:00 AM EST = +37; signal line is +38 but algorithm remains long
5/20/26; 3:53 PM EST = +37; signal line is +39 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant flips to the long side yesterday after the opening bell at SPX 7378. Banks and utes jumped into the bull camp so the fix was in out of the gate. However, as the odd bazaar month of May continues, the quant is already champing at the bit to flip short with the algo number 2 points below the signal line.

The banks and utes will continue running the show. Retail stocks are trying to catch a bid and the bulls need a big recovery in this sector to carry the stock market higher. XRT 83 on the dot is the line in the sand with price at 81 sneaking higher. For now, it remains bearish causing negativity.

XLF 51.14 is the line in the sand for the banksters with price at 51.66 creating stock market bullishness.

UTIL, or DJU, 1110.50 is the line in the sand and price danced to and fro across this important metric yesterday finishing on the bear side at 1108. Bulls need UTIL above 1110.50 immediately to prove they got game, otherwise, they will likely fold like your cheap suit.

The UTIL 1110.50 line in the sand remains in play and will likely tweak a hair higher going into next week. UTIL 1089 was the other line in the sand this week that would signal stock market doom but the bulls would not let that occur. The 1089 is in play through tomorrow but at 4 PM EST it is a worthless number replaced with 1171. The bulls must rally the utilities  63 points higher over the next 2 days, otherwise, the stock market will start out with a demerit and negativity on Tuesday morning (US markets are closed Monday for Memorial Day and will reopen on Tuesday).

Watch utes closely because their direction and strength of move in either direction will be telling. Maybe the bulls pull off 1171 by tomorrow afternoon? Maybe the bears flush the stock market down the toilet driving UTIL below 1089 today or tomorrow?

If the SPX moves below 7358 trending lower, Keybot the Quant will likely flip short. If XLF loses 51.14, stocks will be slipping away. If UTIL loses 1089, Goodnight Irene. Good ole Leadbelly.

Bulls need UTIL immediately above 1110.50 to maintain dignity. It would be very telling going forward if utilities are weak today. Once bulls push DJU back above 1110.50, they will focus on pumping retail stocks higher and XRT above 83 that will guarantee new all-time highs for stocks again.

On the last trade that ran for 2-1/2 weeks, a very odd period for the stock market, that continues, the quant program loses -2.5% and the actual trading loses -4.4%. Interestingly, the robot wanted to flip long several times over the last 2 weeks as previously explained, but did not, until now. For the year thus far with almost 5 months in the bag, the benchmark S&P 500 is up +8%. The Keybot the Quant algorithm is up a percent and the actual trading generated by the quant is down three percent. The robot is taking it on the chin thus far this year but in the world of algo trading is doing a great job at riding the bucking bronco. The markets are chop suey, juking and jiving, chewing up bulls and bears alike. The actual trading is underperforming the SPX benchmark by 11%. That is not good but there is plenty of year ahead. Keybot the Quant has never had a down year since it went on line in 2008. Will this year be its Waterloo as Stonewall Jackson sang? Probably not.

Keybot the Quant prints a prescheduled number in about 2 hours. Banks and utilities are all that matter to stock market direction with the retail sector perhaps wanting to puff its chest.

5/24/26; 7:00 PM EST =
5/22/26; 10:00 AM EST =
5/21/26; 9:00 AM EST =
5/20/26; 3:53 PM EST = +37; signal line is +39 but algorithm remains long
5/20/26; 2:41 PM EST = +53; signal line is +40
5/20/26; 11:30 AM EST = +37; signal line is +41 but algorithm remains long
5/20/26; 9:56 AM EST = +53; signal line is +42; go long 7378 (Benchmark SPX for 2026 = +7.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = -2.5%; Keybot algo for 2026 = +0.8%)(Actual results this trade = -4.4%; Actual results for 2026 = -3.3%)
5/20/26; 9:50 AM EST = +37; signal line is +42
5/19/26; 3:56 PM EST = +21; signal line is +42
5/19/26; 1:33 PM EST = +37; signal line is +43
5/19/26; 12:29 PM EST = +53; signal line is +44 but algorithm remains short
5/18/26; 9:41 AM EST = +37; signal line is +45
5/17/26; 7:00 PM EST = +21; signal line is +46
5/15/26; 3:59 PM EST = +21; signal line is +48
5/15/26; 3:24 PM EST = +37; signal line is +49
5/15/26; 2:51 PM EST = +21; signal line is +50
5/15/26; 12:20 PM EST = +37; signal line is +51
5/15/26; 12:10 PM EST = +21; signal line is +52
5/15/26; 9:37 AM EST = +37; signal line is +54
5/14/26; 9:36 AM EST = +53; signal line is +55
5/13/26; 12:43 PM EST = +37; signal line is +56
5/13/26; 11:01 AM EST = +21; signal line is +57
5/13/26; 10:00 AM EST = +37; signal line is +58
5/13/26; 9:51 AM EST = +53; signal line is +59
5/13/26; 9:39 AM EST = +37; signal line is +59
5/12/26; 11:08 AM EST = +53; signal line is +60
5/12/26; 9:44 AM EST = +37; signal line is +60
5/11/26; 12:28 PM EST = +53; signal line is +62
5/11/26; 12:10 PM EST = +37; signal line is +62
5/11/26; 9:37 AM EST = +53; signal line is +63
5/10/26; 7:00 PM EST = +69; signal line is +63 but algorithm remains short
5/8/26; 10:00 AM EST = +69; signal line is +63 but algorithm remains short
5/8/26; 9:00 AM EST = +69; signal line is +62 but algorithm remains short
5/5/26; 9:38 AM EST = +69; signal line is +62 but algorithm remains short
5/5/26; 9:36 AM EST = +53; signal line is +62
5/4/26; 12:02 PM EST = +37; signal line is +62
5/4/26; 11:22 AM EST = +53; signal line is +63; go short 7198 (Benchmark SPX for 2026 = +5.1%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.3%; Keybot algo for 2026 = +3.3%)(Actual results this trade = +0.8%; Actual results for 2026 = +1.1%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short as the King Donnie Trumpski drama continues. The orange one keeps saying a deal is near with Iran, while he threatens military action, and the schtick is getting old with everyone. Nonetheless, Donnie's words send oil and markets to and fro.

The stock market staggers along following the metrics the quant laid out on the weekend. Utilities and banks are controlling the show right now. The bulls attacked out of the gate this morning pushing utilities higher to try and regain their footing. Banzai! UTIL ran up to 1109-1110 signaling that the bulls got game, but that lasted 5 minutes and the utes folded like a cheap suit.

UTIL 1110.51 (was 1109) and UTIL 1089.25 are the two key bull/bear lines in the sand for utilities. Price is at 1107 creating bullishness because it is above 1089 but also creating bearishness in equities since it is below 1110. Watch the utilities.

XLF 51.12 is the line in the sand for banks. Price slip-slides down to 51.10 creating bearishness albeit by two little pennies. These three metrics will dictate the path ahead for equities.

The Memorial Day holiday is Monday and stocks are typically bullish the two days in front of a three-day holiday weekend, so the professional traders may create buoyancy into the happy weekend when booze will be guzzled, flags will be waved, and copious amounts of hamburgers, hotdogs, corn on the cob, apple pie and watermelon will be consumed.

The scenarios write themselves. The status quo with UTIL price between the two key levels and the XLF below 51.10, will continue creating soggy stocks and a sideways malaise for equities with a downward bias. If UTIL 1089 fails, it is lights out for the stock market.

If copper futures drop about -3% or more, or if the VIX spikes higher above 20, the bears will receive extra downside fuel and the stock market selling will intensify.

If the bulls push XLF above 51.10, it is only two cents away, stocks will maintain a sideways path with an upward bias.

If the bulls push XLF above 51.10, and UTIL above 1110, stocks will be gathering significant upside steam and the quant will be champing at the bit to go long. If these two turn bullish, and the SPX moves above 7395, Keybot the Quant may flip long.

Utes and the banksters will determine the stock market's fate into the holiday weekend. Check XLF in the premarket tomorrow morning to see if the fix is in, or not. Lots of traders nowadays wish they had a million dollars. If I Had a Million Dollars.

5/24/26; 7:00 PM EST =
5/22/26; 10:00 AM EST =
5/21/26; 9:00 AM EST =
5/19/26; 3:56 PM EST = +21; signal line is +42
5/19/26; 1:33 PM EST = +37; signal line is +43
5/19/26; 12:29 PM EST = +53; signal line is +44 but algorithm remains short
5/18/26; 9:41 AM EST = +37; signal line is +45
5/17/26; 7:00 PM EST = +21; signal line is +46

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short with the bears in control and the algo number 25 points below the signal line. Retail stocks collapsed last week with XRT at 79 well under the 83.32 line in the sand.

For last week, all the drama was in utes and banks. As previously mentioned, the bears need UTIL, or DJU, to drop below 1089.25, only 4 bucks away, to create a large leg lower in the stock market.

The bulls need to rally utilities and push UTIL above 1109 to get the stock market back on track. Bulls need XLF above 51.12 with price only 2 pennies below. If you see weak banks, the bulls are in big trouble.

Boiling it down to something simple, for a Simple Man, bears win with UTIL below 1089. Bulls will maintain buoyant equities if XLF rises above 51.12. If UTIL remains above 1089, and XLF below 51.12, stocks will stumble along sideways waiting for one of them to flinch.

Keybot the Quant prints two prescheduled numbers this week one on Thursday morning before the opening bell and one on Friday shortly after the opening bell. Utilities and banks are all that matter right now.

5/24/26; 7:00 PM EST =
5/22/26; 10:00 AM EST =
5/21/26; 9:00 AM EST =
5/17/26; 7:00 PM EST = +21; signal line is +46
5/15/26; 3:59 PM EST = +21; signal line is +48

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short as the bears re-exert their dominance with a Friday selloff. It only puts a minor dent in the big bull rally over the last couple weeks. Utilities and banks failed creating the negativity in the stock market.

UTIL lost the 1109 level collapsing to 1093. Be very afraid moving forward since the utes dropping foretells major stock market trouble beginning in the days or weeks ahead (think crash). UTIL 1089.25 is the bull/bear line in the sand for the week ahead, in addition to the 1109, and price begins at 1093. Stocks will take a bigtime leg lower if the 1089 fails in the days forward. Bulls must get down on their knees and pray with all their might that utilities stage a big recovery rally in the days ahead, otherwise, stocks will begin sliding down the rabbit hole.

The banksters battled at the XLF 51.12 line in the sand the algorithm called out ahead of time. The robot does this routinely; calling out the numbers that price migrates towards. Are you impressed? You should be. There is no other model on the internet that tells you the metrics impacting stock market direction, along with the key lines in the sand before they occur, and posting it for free. Do not take it for granted since the decision can be made at anytime to not post anymore. Many followers want Keybot to become a subscription service. XLF ends the session and week at 51.10 only two pennies below the line in the sand but that is enough to create stock market negativity.

Utes and banks will tell the story ahead. If bearish, you want UTIL 1089.25 to fail so you can throw confetti as stocks fall apart. In addition, you want XLF to drop far lower and away from its land in the sand.

If bullish, you immediately want XLF to pop back above 51.12 and rally higher to signal that Friday was no biggie. In addition, you want stronger utilities and to see UTIL move back above the critical 1109.

The robot prints six numbers on Friday with the algo number 27 points below the signal line. The bears are growling and the utilities and banksters will dictate how loud the roar will be on Monday morning. Roy had the growl that all the ladies loved. Pretty Woman. Come on ladies, get out on the dance floor, show us your wares. Some folks thought Roy was partially blind because of his dark glasses; he was not. In early days, he had a gig but forgot his regular glasses and all he had was the dark glasses. He had no choice but to wear them and after the gig he was a huge hit and his career was taking off so the dark glasses became his signature look so he stuck with them.

5/17/26; 7:00 PM EST =
5/15/26; 3:59 PM EST = +21; signal line is +48
5/15/26; 3:24 PM EST = +37; signal line is +49
5/15/26; 2:51 PM EST = +21; signal line is +50
5/15/26; 12:20 PM EST = +37; signal line is +51
5/15/26; 12:10 PM EST = +21; signal line is +52
5/15/26; 9:37 AM EST = +37; signal line is +54
5/14/26; 9:36 AM EST = +53; signal line is +55
5/13/26; 12:43 PM EST = +37; signal line is +56
5/13/26; 11:01 AM EST = +21; signal line is +57
5/13/26; 10:00 AM EST = +37; signal line is +58
5/13/26; 9:51 AM EST = +53; signal line is +59
5/13/26; 9:39 AM EST = +37; signal line is +59
5/12/26; 11:08 AM EST = +53; signal line is +60
5/12/26; 9:44 AM EST = +37; signal line is +60
5/11/26; 12:28 PM EST = +53; signal line is +62

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short as the stock market continues a goofy confusing path. Retail stocks sh*t the bed yesterday collapsing -4% so it is time to buy new sheets at BBBY that crashed -7% yesterday. Retail stocks created the broad stock market negativity.

Then financials fell into the bear camp that had potential to send everything south but the bulls fought back pulling the banksters and insurance companies back into the bull camp. I Fought the Law.

Thus, therein lies the battle for market control. Retail stocks versus banks. XRT 84.05 and XLF 51.11 are the bull/bear lines in the sand. Retail stocks are causing negativity while banks are helping the stock market remain buoyant. Bulls can recover if they push XRT back above 84 but that is a formidable task with price now sporting an 81 handle. XLF is trading at 51.19 in the premarket only 8 cents away from creating havoc in the stock market.

Utilities were goosed by the market makers yesterday because they knew the ramifications if they fail. UTIL 1109 is the line in the sand with price at 1125 so watch to see if the utes will create negativity.

Also, volatility. VIX 20.13 is the line in the sand with price at 18.75 maintaining buoyant stock indexes. Bears need the VIX above 20 and that is when you will see the stock market fall apart. Bulls are okay under 20.

For now, the bears maintain control of the stock market, despite fumbling and bumbling with the ball the last few days, with the algo number 9 points below the signal line. Retail stocks, banks, utes and volatility are the four drivers of the stock market direction currently.

King Donnie Trumpski's Iran War messaging will continue impacting markets. WTIC crude oil moves above one hundo, check that, now above 101, creating a soggy mood for stocks today. The Soggy Bottom Boys sing I Am a Man of Constant Sorrow.

5/17/26; 7:00 PM EST =
5/11/26; 12:28 PM EST = +53; signal line is +62
5/11/26; 12:10 PM EST = +37; signal line is +62
5/11/26; 9:37 AM EST = +53; signal line is +63
5/10/26; 7:00 PM EST = +69; signal line is +63 but algorithm remains short

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short despite the algo number 6 points above the signal line, hence, the turn may be imminent. The internal parameters will not fully latch to permit the move yet. If the SPX moves up towards 7420-ish and higher, Keybot the Quant will likely flip long. Stocks should resolve this week one way or the other.

Utilities jump back into the picture after disappearing into the background the last couple months. If UTIL, or DJU, loses 1107, the stock market will be in trouble. UTIL begins the week at 1112. Any drop below 1090-ish over the next couple weeks will spell double trouble. Stevie Ray and Double Trouble with Pride and Joy. The utilities will be challenged greatly starting 5/26/26, the day after Memorial Day when US markets reopen. UTIL must be above 1171, a formidable task, during the last week of May or the stock market will be under duress.

Retail stocks, banks and volatility are also metrics at play impacting stock market direction. All are bullish, like utilities, to begin the week. XRT 84.19, XLF 51.10 and VIX 19.92 are the bull/bear lines in the sand. Retail stocks and banks are near their danger points that will create stock market negativity so watch them closely.

The VIX has a 17 handle and will need at least two sticks higher to create stock market negativity. However, if you see the VIX pop above 19.92, stocks will be falling down the rabbit hole.

As previously highlighted, it is odd that the robot has not flipped long over the last three days, very odd. Bulls likely win with the quant flipping long at SPX 7420-ish and higher, or, the bears are back in business if utes, retail stocks, banks or volatility turn negative. XLF is only 14 pennies away from negativity so the bankster bulls better come to the markets on Monday with lots of energy, otherwise, the financials may lead things lower.

Keybot the Quant does not print any prescheduled numbers this week so the movement of the robot depends on the parameters explained above. We need some more blues. How about Sue Foley, the Ice Queen, singing Queen Bee. It does not get any better than that.

5/17/26; 7:00 PM EST =
5/10/26; 7:00 PM EST = +69; signal line is +63 but algorithm remains short
5/8/26; 10:00 AM EST = +69; signal line is +63 but algorithm remains short

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short, surprisingly, as it continues to champ at the bit to go long for the last three trading days. The quant idles sideways without printing any numbers since Tuesday except for the two prescheduled numbers. It is bazaar behavior (the robot would have been expected to flip long by now) but these are bazaar times. If the SPX moves above 7420-ish, Keybot the Quant will likely flip long, so the watch continues.

The Iran War happy talk from King Donnie Trumpski pops stocks higher as evidenced by every tweet and media announcement. As the Strait of Hormuz goes, so goes the stock market.

But the robot only sees 1's and 0's and there are interesting things happening under the surface. The quant wants to flip long with the algo number 6 points above the signal line but the internal parameters will not fully latch to permit the move. The SPX price action is a problem even though the S&P 500 prints a new all-time high at 7401.50 and new all-time closing high at 7398.93. The "SPX 7.4K" hats are passed out but they are colored beanie caps with a miniature propeller spinning on top.

There are about a dozen times the robot was a hair from flipping long over the last 3 days but alas, it has not yet pulled the trigger. Shoot to Thrill. The bulls enjoy an ongoing happy rally and the expectation would be for the quant to finally flip long maybe on Monday? Either that or perhaps things fall apart?

The algorithm identifies utilities, retail stocks, banks and volatility as the key stock market drivers currently. Copper prices jump higher on global supply concerns so Doctor Copper jumps off the gurney and starts dancing a jig pumping stocks higher. While everyone is partying, utes, retail stocks and banks weaken and are on the verge of failing into the bear camp. Next week may be historic. What will happen? Strange Days like Jim sang.

5/10/26; 7:00 PM EST =
5/8/26; 10:00 AM EST = +69; signal line is +63 but algorithm remains short
5/8/26; 9:00 AM EST = +69; signal line is +62 but algorithm remains short
5/5/26; 9:38 AM EST = +69; signal line is +62 but algorithm remains short

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short as stocks rally bigtime on Iran War happy talk every 10 minutes. Yesterday looked like a no-brainer. Retail stocks and copper jump into the bull camp out of the gate but oddly, the day went by without the robot flipping long. Same-o today that makes the behavior very bazaar.

The quant remains in position to go long for the last 2 days with the algo number 7 points above the signal line but the internal parameters will not fully latch to permit the move. The robot has a hang-up with the price action of the SPX. Price has to do certain things, that it typically does as normal behavior, but for some reason, it is not cooperating. Things should resolve tomorrow.

Donnie Trump's happy talk about the Iran War rallies equities. Today, King Trump goosed stocks in the morning and then in the afternoon with happy Iran War and Strait of Hormuz talk.

All stock market metrics are joyous. Watch retail stocks, banks, and volatility. Also, UTIL, or DJU, drops to 1135 with 1106 a bull/bear line in the sand. The utilities are sneaking around in the bushes ready to throw eggs at houses and people, but not until UTIL loses 1106. Nobody Told Me.

5/10/26; 7:00 PM EST =
5/8/26; 10:00 AM EST =
5/8/26; 9:00 AM EST =
5/5/26; 9:38 AM EST = +69; signal line is +62 but algorithm remains short
5/5/26; 9:36 AM EST = +53; signal line is +62
5/4/26; 12:02 PM EST = +37; signal line is +62

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side yesterday at munch time at SPX 7198 as this year's choppy slop continues. The bears control the stock market ball with the algo number 24 big points below the signal line. Copper failed yesterday and then retail stocks followed the red metal down the primrose path.

However, copper recovers big this morning showing that the bulls plan to fight back. Copper and the stock market are moving in sync. As copper goes, so goes the stock market. CPER 35.70 is the line in the sand and price will likely jump back above, returning to the bull camp, today.

That leaves retail stocks as the major arbiter of stock market direction. XRT 84.10 is the bull/bear line in the sand. Price is below, in the bear camp, creating stock market negativity. Watch it in the premarket since it will tell you if the bears have juice, or not. Bulls will want the stock market ball back if XRT pops above 84.10 but they likely need to push the SPX above 7244-7253 for the quant to flip long.

On the last trade, that ran for a couple days, the quant program and the actual trading generated by the quant log marginal gains. For the year thus far, the benchmark SPX is up +5.1%, the quant program is up +3.3% and the actual trading is up +1.1%, an uneventful year as far as returns go. This is the year of choppy sideways slop. Keybot the Quant exited SSO and entered SDS remaining in the 2x leveraged ETF's.

Watch copper and retail stocks as explained above. Also, banks. XLF 51.04 is the line in the sand and price is only about a percent away, percent away, percent away, like the song a shot away, shot away, we need some Fergie. Mick always steals the show. Gimme Shelter. The banksters may fail so maintain a hairy eyeball on those crooks.

5/10/26; 7:00 PM EST =
5/8/26; 10:00 AM EST =
5/8/26; 9:00 AM EST =
5/4/26; 12:02 PM EST = +37; signal line is +62
5/4/26; 11:22 AM EST = +53; signal line is +63; go short 7198 (Benchmark SPX for 2026 = +5.1%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.3%; Keybot algo for 2026 = +3.3%)(Actual results this trade = +0.8%; Actual results for 2026 = +1.1%)
5/3/26; 7:00 PM EST = +69; signal line is +63
4/30/26; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +69; signal line is +63
4/30/26; 12:14 PM EST = +69; signal line is +63; go long 7175 (Benchmark SPX for 2026 = +4.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.1%; Keybot algo for 2026 = +3.0%)(Actual results this trade = -1.8%; Actual results for 2026 = +0.3%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long as the bulls stage another big move higher in stocks on Friday, but by the end of the session, most was given back. The bulls are in charge but the algo number is only a paltry 6 points above the signal line.

The bulls are euphoric with the stock market metrics all sitting in their camp maintaining buoyancy and lift in equities. The bears will not be able to create significant downside in stocks unless the VIX moves above 19.80, now at 17.

Copper, banks and retail stocks are the main drivers of stock prices currently. CPER 35.65, XLF 51.04 and XRT 84.03 are the bull/bear lines in the sand. Prices are above for all three creating the bull rally. Bulls must keep prices higher moving higher for all three if they want to continue sending stocks higher.

If any of the three turn bearish, or if the VIX spikes above 19.80, the quant will be in position to go short, and if the SPX is below 7229 trending lower, Keybot the Quant will likely flip short. If 2 or more of the metrics turn bearish, that tells you that stocks are falling down the rabbit hole and when the VIX spikes above 20, all hope will be lost for stocks.

Utilities are worth a mention. As was explained in real-time as the selling drama unfolded in March, the reason the stock market did not crash was because of the buoyant utilities. Utes were driven higher by the market makers to limit the downside. Now some time has passed and the utilities are set up to be in trouble in about 3 weeks time. The bulls must jam UTIL (same as DJU) higher and higher to stave off the bears that are coming down the street. Where the Streets Have No Name. If stocks begin pulling back, and UTIL is at the current levels or lower in about 3 weeks, say the end of the month, there is a high likelihood that the US stock market will fall into a crash profile (stocks will collapse from -10% to -30% maybe more). It is exciting stuff.

Keybot the Quant prints two prescheduled numbers this week both on Friday morning one before the open and one after. The bulls are driving the bus but Dr Copper, Joe Retailer and Barry Bankster are wresting for control of the wheel. Copper, retail stocks and banks only need to drop about -1.6% each to create stock market trouble so maintain a hairy eyeball on these parameters. Hard Times by Paramore.

5/10/26; 7:00 PM EST =
5/8/26; 10:00 AM EST =
5/8/26; 9:00 AM EST =
5/3/26; 7:00 PM EST = +69; signal line is +63
4/30/26; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +69; signal line is +63